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Messages - sidd

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 26
1
Science / Re: "climate porn" vs. "not alarmed enough"
« on: Today at 05:26:07 AM »
Mr Steele wrote:
"Life here on the farm often deals with life and death. Today was one of those days where the vet gets called , we do everything we can but I end up making the call and burying the little piglet . X-Ray broken back, nothing to do. Sometimes I think a daily connection with death makes my thoughts about how I can move forward in dealing with climate change more visceral. Makes me kinda hard maybe."

Comes with the turf. Dealing with livestock is like that. They tell the kids not to name animals they're gonna eat.

" I think people are just unhinged from how their daily decisions are connected to life, the enviornment and ultimately climate change and the deadly consequences of their daily choices."

This is very true. Buying battery eggs or feedlot meat directly contributes to untold animal suffering. Divorcing human beings from their food supply allows them to easily condone horrible practices.

Eat less meat. That really helps, and in multiple ways.

sidd

3
Re: "Would a slimy corporate Democrat seek to overturn Citizens United?  Yes, because while that Dem might get 60% of the total spending by corporations, his Republican opponent might get 80%.  He'll be happy to make do with less corporate money, if his opponent nets even less."

I do not share that belief. The only thing that corporate politicians of any stripe do is expand their money pipeline.

Re: " ... there is no Democrat of any stripe that should be opposed once the primaries are settled. "

Let us see what the primaries bring. Let us see if the DNC lawsuit in florida reforms party internals. Let us see if they screw Bernie again.

https://thefloridasqueeze.com/2017/05/01/dnc-lawsuit-youre-morons-to-believe-us-part-1-of-3/

https://thefloridasqueeze.com/2017/05/04/dnc-lawsuit-dnc-wont-answer-courts-basic-question-about-state-primary-deals-part-2-of-3/

https://thefloridasqueeze.com/2017/05/20/the-new-divine-right-of-the-dnc-part-3-dnc-lawsuit/

In the meantime i am looking for primary challengers to the more slimy democrats. Our Revolution and Justice Democrats are out there finding some.

sidd

4
Re: Citizen's United

1) Agreed that is a horrible decision enabling dark billions to flow to politicians
2) Agreed that it will not be overturned without changing the supremes.

Where i disagree is with the notion that democrats beholden to exactly those dark billionaires would appoint noncorporate supremes.

sidd

5
Obama's first campaign and Sanders last year demonstrate that very effective campaigns can be sustained thru grass roots funding. Unfortunately it is easier, and much more personally lucrative to sell out to billionaires in secret.

I posed a question a while ago to the defenders of the corporate Democrats: is there a single incumbent corporate democrat in the US Senate or Congress who they would oppose ? Manchin ? Pelosi ? Booker ? DiFi ? Evans ? Anybody ?

Perhaps unsurprisingly, I did not get a single answer. Apparently there was not a single corporate democrat sleazy enuf to oppose.

sidd

6
Bernie is the most popular politician in the USA, and is the most credible candidate the Democrats can run. Unfortunately, I suspect corporate democrats will knife him again. Will be interesting to watch, by their deeds will you know them. If the corporates attack him again, I see no future for the Democratic party.

If Bernie is serious about running, I hope he is taking care of his health. His schedule is gruelling.

All through those long years of reagan, thatcher, clinton, we heard the same song. There Is No Alternative. Populists Are Unelectable. Just Not Possible. We Must Suck Corporate Penis. These sentiments delivered in sonorous, rotund tones from Very Serious People Who Know Better than The Unwashed Masses.

These guys have been so wrong for so long and yet stubbornly, relentlessly mouth the same tired  lines.  There is a quote from Laurence Peter that goes, "Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it." At first in my youth i leaned toward the former, but now that i am older i think they really do believe their own bullshit.

Well i guess with trump, sanders and corbyn we see that populists are not so unelectable after all. 

sidd

7
Arctic sea ice / Re: Stupid Questions :o
« on: July 23, 2017, 07:50:38 AM »
for top of atmosphere fluxes

https://ceres.larc.nasa.gov/products.php?product=EBAF-TOA

note this caveat: "The CERES absolute instrument calibration currently does not have zero net balance and must be adjusted to balance the Earth's energy budget."

from one of the steps in the processing, noted at:

https://ceres.larc.nasa.gov/science_information.php?page=EBAFbalance#Eanalysis

In practice they constrain to ocean heat content increase as outlined in a 2005 Hansen paper.

they also have surface fluxes

sidd

8
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: July 23, 2017, 07:46:34 AM »
Re: carbon tax effect on gas price

I wrote: "100$/ton CO2 is about 1US$/gallon at 20 pounds CO2/gallon of gas. Right now average us gas price is 2.278/gallon. So it goes to 1.278"

That should read " So it goes to 3.278" The diesel numbers i quoted were correct.

In any case, diesel is the key, and the USA recently survived 4$ diesel. Not such a big deal, especially with dividend.

sidd

9
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: July 23, 2017, 05:53:07 AM »
100$/ton CO2 is about 1US$/gallon at 20 pounds CO2/gallon of gas. Right now average us gas price is 2.278/gallon
So it goes to 1.278

diesel is 2.491 US$ and CO2 is mebbe 15% more. so say 3.5 U$ ish a gallon.

Average US driver drives 10 kilomiles. Average is north of 20 miles/gallon, but lets say 20,  thats 500$ paid and received in a fee and dividend system. I burn a lot more miles than ... but i make biodiesel so i can live with that.

Bring it on.

sidd

10
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: July 22, 2017, 10:14:30 PM »
Gary Abernathy is the editor of a paper in a very small town in Ohio. I know that area, have friends that live there, and have spent much time there over the last forty odd years. The poverty is appalling.

Mr. Abernathy does an occasional column for which he has taken a great deal of flak. He tells it like he sees it, and like his readers see it. Some don't like that. But I know those people well, and he is right on the money regarding their attitudes.

The first three articles express the unyeilding support Trump still enjoys there, and attempts to explain why. Until the leadership Democratic Party reads and understands what he is saying, their prospects are dim.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/our-towns-newspaper-was-mocked-for-endorsing-trump-heres-what-we-think-now/2017/06/07/3365e17c-4acb-11e7-9669-250d0b15f83b_story.html

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/in-trump-country-russia-just-isnt-big-news-heres-why/2017/07/21/8514f49e-6cc3-11e7-9c15-177740635e83_story.html

http://www.twincities.com/2017/07/20/gary-abernathy-the-medias-martyr-complex/

The next article is on drug use which has blighted his community. A Republican Ohio Attorney General  is suing big pharma over opiod misuse, while Senator Cory Booker champions them.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/theres-an-ongoing-terrorist-attack-in-ohio/2017/06/30/2523f7ea-5da7-11e7-9fc6-c7ef4bc58d13_story.html

sidd

11
Dwight Evans is someone worth primarying. I watched him gut the Philly school system from close range.

"Evans had formulated an effective strategy to stay in power: use liberal allies to get elected, then move to the right on policy."

With democrats like these, who needs republicans ?

Read the whole thing:
https://jacobinmag.com/2017/05/corporate-education-reform-dwight-evans

sidd

12
Another leftist movement, so far within the Democratic Party, are the justice democrats founded by Cenk Uygur of The Young Turks, Kyle Kulinski of Secular Talk, and some from the Sanders presidential campaign.

https://justicedemocrats.com/

sidd

13
Nina Turner is another interesting person from ohio. Our Revolution is a successor to the Sanders movement. Working within the Democratic Party. So far.

https://ourrevolution.com/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2017/06/29/nina-turner-a-democratic-party-critic-takes-reins-of-sanders-founded-group/

sidd

14
Re: "They want accessibility incorporated into car design and states to steer clear of laws that would prohibit the blind from one day sitting in the driver’s seat."

This sounds weird. This is Level 5 automation, which is not there yet. Although I would like to see Stevie Wonder laying rubber in a muscle car.


15
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: July 20, 2017, 06:07:22 AM »
For an extreme wing of the greens, look at "Deep Green Resistance"

There is actually a more extreme thing called "Voluntary Human Extinction"


16
Science / Re: "climate porn" vs. "not alarmed enough"
« on: July 19, 2017, 09:26:53 PM »
Re: fear

Lapham, as always, is very well worth reading. Here is his latest on fear as an indispensable instrument of power and what it has wrought over the years leading to this present political landscape.

"The stockpiling of domestic fear for all seasons (the instrument of power that no self-respecting military empire can afford to leave home without) is the political alchemist’s trick of changing lead into gold ..."

"The war on terror brought up to combat strength the nation’s ample reserves of xenophobic paranoia, the American people told to live in fear—suspect your neighbor and watch the sky; buy duct tape, avoid the Washington Monument, hide the children."

Read the whole thing.

http://www.laphamsquarterly.org/fear/petrified-forest

sidd

17
Science / Re: Exiting The Anthropocene
« on: July 18, 2017, 10:03:19 PM »
There is a new paper by Hansen on trajectories for exit from the Anthropocene, where he compares the cost of carbon drawdown vs mitigation. The paper is comprehensive enuf to be a review, and many of the usual suspects are on the list of authors. Apart from it's contents, the reference list is very valuable also.

open access, read all about it.

http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/8/577/2017/esd-8-577-2017.html

sidd

18
Antarctica / Re: Can ice mass change rotational axis of earth
« on: July 16, 2017, 11:50:04 PM »
Mr. Rox was kind enuf to correct my error, in that an iceberg moving about would have little effect, since the ocean is in hydrostatic equilibrium with timescales of equlibration a few hours, essentially the circumference of the earth divided by the speed of sound in water.

So more precisely: Loss of grounded ice does cause an effect, as the cited paper shows. As does loss of volume above flotation in marine based ice sheets. The effect on the direction of the rotation axis is quite small, a few tens of milliarcseconds.  And loss of floating ice shelves into icebergs has very little effect.

sidd

19
Antarctica / Re: Can ice mass change rotational axis of earth
« on: July 16, 2017, 09:00:55 PM »
It would have to be very massive. Say approximately the total ice melt from greenland, around 300 gigaton or so. For a paper see

DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1501693

http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/2/4/e1501693

open access. read all about it.

sidd

20
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: July 15, 2017, 08:23:51 PM »
The times, they are a'changin:

"OPEC quintupled its forecast for sales of plug-in EVs, and oil producers from Exxon Mobil Corp. to BP Plc also revised up their outlooks in the past year, ..."

"The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries raised its 2040 EV fleet prediction to 266 million from the 46 million it anticipated a year ago."

"    The International Energy Agency more than doubled its central forecast for EVs, raising its 2030 EV fleet size estimate from to 58 million from 23 million.
    Exxon Mobil boosted its 2040 estimate to about 100 million from 65 million.
    BP anticipates 100 million EVs on the road by 2035, a 40 percent increase in its outlook compared with a year ago.
    Statoil ASA, the Norwegian state oil company, says EVs will account for a 30 percent of new sales by 2030. "

"Yet even as oil majors lift their outlook, they remain much less optimistic than the automakers. The world’s top automakers have a combined plan to sell 6 million EVs a year by 2025, rising to 8 million in 2030, ..."

Read the whole thing:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-14/big-oil-just-woke-up-to-the-threat-of-rising-electric-car-demand

sidd


21
Who make this chainsaw ? I want one, and half a dozen batteries.

Agreed that a chainsaw is dangerous. Kevlar clothing helps mitigate.

22
Walking the walk / Re: Top climate-friendly actions
« on: July 12, 2017, 10:44:43 PM »
Paper by Wynes on top individual climate friendly actions:

" ... having one fewer child (an average for developed countries of 58.6 tonnes CO 2 -equivalent (tCO 2 e) emission reductions per year), living car-free (2.4 tCO 2 e saved per year), avoiding airplane travel (1.6 tCO 2 e saved per roundtrip transatlantic flight) and eating a plant-based diet (0.8 tCO 2 e saved per year) ..."

I attach fig 1. paper is at :

http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7541

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7541

open access. read all about it.

sidd

23
Paper on the Cryosphere discuss about 79N, (and Peterman and Ryder). 79N is thinning

"At Nioghalvfjerdsbræ the total melt flux (14.2±1.6 km^3/yr water-equivalent) exceeds the inflow of ice
(10.2±0.59 km^3/yr water-equivalent) indicating present thinning of the ice tongue"

I attach part of fig 1 and fig 2. Nice paper,read the whole thing.

http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/tc-2017-99/


24
Policy and solutions / Re: If not Capitalism... then What? And, How?
« on: July 12, 2017, 05:10:44 AM »
I recently travelled to the headwaters of the Missouri at Three Forks, MT.  There you can see already runoff residue in the Jefferson, Madison and Galatin rivers that come together.  I went through the Galatin and Madison valleys upstream, didnt see much pollution upstream of the confluence.

Ag runoff is a huge issue, but so is urban runoff.

sidd

25
Looks like an interesting thesis. I have personal evidence for the deep resentment in small town USA over the fact that no banker of consequence went to jail while putting homeowners on the streets. But I don't fully buy the argument, I think there were other factors also.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/chickenshit-club_us_5963fcc6e4b005b0fdc7bacb?ncid=inblnkushpmg00000009

26
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: July 11, 2017, 09:19:16 PM »
This is fascinating.

" ... the fourteen states with the largest increases in inequality after 1990 without exception voted for Hillary Clinton."

"Conversely, the seven states with the smallest increase in inequality, and ten of the lowest twelve, all voted for Donald Trump."

http://www.newgeography.com/content/005678-inequality-and-2016-election-outcome-a-dirty-secret-and-a-dilemma


I attach fig 1


27
Lets run another New York pol with ethics problems in 2020. What could go wrong ?

http://buffalonews.com/2017/07/09/cuomo-talks-like-president-least-candidate/

sidd

28
Policy and solutions / Re: City or countryside : which direction ?
« on: July 11, 2017, 01:33:57 AM »
THere are a few datacenters I have seen built which were designed with "greenfield to greenfield" ideas. The lifetime was projected to be twenty to twenty five years, and contractual provisions and monies assured for retirement, recycling and ecosystem restoration.

But most are not.

29
Re: Mr Pettit's comment on Ryan and his district

Apparently we differ on Ryan. Out of curiosity, what was the last time you were in his district ? I went thru there several times during the last election and the discontent among Democratic rank and file was apparent, as in the electorate at large. Hillary Clinton was universally despised, as was Pelosi. I have been through there at least twice since the election, and the groundswell for Trump is still apparent.

Perhaps we hang out with different crowds ...

Re: "  ... the Democratic Party doesn't need members of the Democratic Party publicly trashing the Democratic Party, calling it and its leadership "toxic" and "unpopular" . "

Wait. Tim  Ryan is voicing democrat discontent at grassroots level, which I know exists since before the presidential election, and exists today. Pelosi is a toxic name in a large part of Ohio among Democrats. Is it the position of the Democratic party that  Ryan should not express what his constituents are saying ?

If so, Assange is correct and the Democratic Party is indeed doomed. But I disagree that the Democratic Party is at the point where it must suppress the opinions of it's own voters. Soon perhaps, but not quite yet. As always I could be wrong.

sidd

30
Tim Ryan gets it. So do his consituents. I have been thru his district many, many times over several decades, and Hillary is extremely lucky to have squeaked by there. I think everyone who can should help him out.

--

"The brand is just bad," the Congressman said on CNN Wednesday night. "I don't think people in the beltway are realizing just how toxic the Democratic Party brand is in so many parts of the country"

...

Re: Pelosi

"She's less popular than Donald Trump in my district," Ryan told CNN's Don Lemon.

...

" People in Ohio, Don, aren't really talking about Russia or Michael Flynn or Putin or anything else. They're worried about paying the bills ...  we're talking about Trump so much we're not talking about them."

...

Well, we're losing. It's Trump, four; us, zero, you know, in the special elections. And that's a real problem. And we keep losing these races. And, you know, at some point, you got to start winning. And we're not winning. We haven't figured out how to win.

--

Read all about it.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2017/06/22/dem_rep_tim_ryan_pelosi_toxic_to_democratic_party_doesnt_benefit_candidates_to_be_tied_to_her.html

http://www.npr.org/2017/06/22/533909764/democratic-rep-tim-ryan-criticizes-his-partys-strategy

sidd

31
A couple weeks ago, Taibbi had an article out that outlined the problems for the corporate democrats, showing just how disconnected they are:

--
" ... Atlantic senior editor David Frum tweeted in despair:

"I think we need a word to describe people broadly satisfied with the status quo & skeptical of radical changes based on wild promises."

...

"I mean, there have to be a few of us, right? Maybe we could form a movement of some kind or form a political party with that word in it?"

...

Frum's clarion call spoke to the almost total cluelessness of the D.C./punditoid class to which he belongs. (To be clear, though I'm a New Yorker, I also belong to this miserable group.)

...

The idea that people who want expanded health care, reduced income inequality, fewer wars and more public services are "unrealistic" springs from an old deception in our politics.

For decades pundits and pols have been telling progressive voters they don't have the juice to make real demands, and must make alliances with more "moderate" and presumably more numerous "centrists" in order to avoid becoming the subjects of right-wing monsters like Reagan/Bush/Bush/Trump.

Voters for decades were conned into thinking they were noisome minorities whose best path to influence is to make peace with the mightier "center," which inevitably turns out to support military interventionism, fewer taxes for the rich, corporate deregulation and a ban on unrealistic "giveaway" proposals like free higher education. Those are the realistic, moderate, popular ideas, we're told.

But it's a Wizard of Oz trick, just like American politics in general. There is no numerically massive center behind the curtain. What there is instead is a tiny island of wealthy donors, surrounded by a protective ring of for-sale major-party politicians (read: employees) whose job it is to castigate too-demanding voters and preach realism.

Those pols do so with the aid of a bund of dependably alarmist sycophants in the commercial media, most of whom, whether they know it or not, technically inhabit the low end of the 1 percent and tend to be amazed that people out there are pissed off about stuff.

...

If 80 percent of Americans ever realized their shared economic situation, they could and probably should take over government. Of course, they wouldn't just be taking power for themselves, they'd be taking it from the big-dollar donors who own such a disproportionately huge share of wealth in our society.

Such people of course have many very good reasons to embrace the status quo. The problem is, they're not terribly numerous as a group, which unfortunately for them still matters in a democracy. It's one of the unpleasant paradoxes of exclusive wealth. If you live in a democracy, you're continually forced to manufacture the appearance of broad support for the regressive policies underpinning your awesome lifestyle.

--

Read the whole thing:

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/features/taibbi-goodbye-and-good-riddance-to-centrism-w487628

sidd

32
Drutman and Axelrod present the case for conventional Party wisdom, but more and more the Democratic Party is merely a version of the Republican Party. The Democrats do all the bad things they ascribe to Republicans, but with feigned reluctance. Truman once said that given the choice between a Republican and a Republican in Democrat clothing, the voters will choose the former. Hightower put it more plainly: There's nothing in the middle of the road except a yellow line and dead armadillos.

I have remarked that Hillary Clinton was an excellent Republican candidate and Sanders was a throwback to an older Democratic Party. Trump, of course, is from the Monster Raving Loony party, and his victory reveals the ideological bankruptcy of both the Republicans and the Democrats.

Booman has a thoughtful article on future courses for the Democrats and some unkind words for Mark Penn. I fear, that as usual, he will be ignored.

http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2017/7/6/124254/1373

sidd

33
Antarctica / Re: What's new in Antarctica ?
« on: July 05, 2017, 11:30:35 PM »
Hillenbrand (2017) doi:10.1038/nature22995

"Here we present a multi-proxy data based reconstruction of variability in CDW inflow to the Amundsen Sea sector, the most vulnerable part of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, during the Holocene epoch (from 11.7 thousand years ago to the present). The chemical compositions of foraminifer shells and benthic foraminifer assemblages in marine sediments indicate that enhanced CDW upwelling, controlled by the latitudinal position of the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds, forced deglaciation of this sector from at least 10,400 years ago until 7,500 years ago—when an ice-shelf collapse may have caused rapid ice-sheet thinning further upstream—and since the 1940s"

Nice paper. Ties right in to Smith (2017) doi:10.1038/nature20136

"Here we show that the present thinning and retreat of Pine Island Glacier in West Antarctica is part of a climatically forced trend that was triggered in the 1940s."

The last time PIG did this was 10K to 7.5K BP. Now if you look at Blanchon-2009, supplementary, you can see what the sea level was doing then. I attach fig s3.


sidd

34
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: July 04, 2017, 05:29:39 AM »
Thank you for that gem of a link to Adam Schiff on the Comey firing.

"The fact that an employer can terminate an employee at will doesn’t mean that he can fire an employee because the employee rejected his sexual advances."

That would make a good Saturday Night Live item ... Trump putting the moves on Comey ...

sidd

35
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: July 04, 2017, 05:04:15 AM »
Re: living in the past

1) Wait, what ? I am concerned with current, ongoing surveillance in my quoted post, not something in the       past.

2) I fully expect the GOP to attempt to expand surveillance (don't get me wrong, the democrats would do the same, just as Obama did, but with a furrowed brow, and sighs of concern.)

3) To drag this conversation back to Russiagate, Snowden said some time ago that if there were evidence of collusion by the Trump campaign with Russia, the NSA would know about it.

sidd

36
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: July 04, 2017, 04:39:54 AM »
"Depends on what "listened in" means.:

Just like "Depends on what "torture" means"

[To expand: from the  link i posted:

"US authorities intercepted and recorded millions of phone calls last year ..."

I'd say that's close enuf lexically to "listened in" ]

And as for the professionalism of the US intelligence agencies, they are a bunch of thugs, as is clear from various US Government reports over the years. Preceding the horrific Senate torture report, the Church committee is a useful source, and it is clear the practises detailed in Church never really stopped, and came roaring back in the last couple decades.

The Europeans never intercepted and listened on the scale of the US. Look up the Echelon reports to the EU parliament in the 90s.

sidd

37
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: July 04, 2017, 04:29:57 AM »
Probable cause ? that's so twentieth century. Look up "RAS" (Reasonable Articulable Suspicion) in connection with NSA/FBI wiretaps, or in other words, just about anything the person making the query wants to put in that field. In fact, sometimes that field has been left blank.

I do wish people would actually read the Snowden and Wikileaks corpus carefully. It's much worse than many here seem to believe.

1) If you dont use encryption, you are naked, almost anyone with a modicum of skill can eavesdrop.
2) If you do use encryption, you are still subject to traffic analysis, and all encrypted traffic is retained indefinitely.
3) If you use an anonymizer like Tor, I2P or one of the rest you immediately move onto the list of people who are using them.

You have to jump thru a bunch of hoops to really hide. Most don't know how. Many don't care, until their emails are dumped and/or they get doxed. But the point is that such apparatus should never have been built in the first place. I seem to recall the Peace President promising to dismantle the system ...

sidd

38
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: July 04, 2017, 02:59:58 AM »
Re: not just FISA

look at section 702, exec order 12333 and this latest titbit from a few days ago

"With a single warrant, US feds listened in on 3.3 million phone calls"

http://www.orrazz.com/2017/07/with-single-warrant-us-feds-listened-in.html

sidd

39
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: July 04, 2017, 02:45:07 AM »
Only Republicans lie ? News to me. Just of the top of my head ...

"Banks and lenders must be held accountable for ending the practices that got us into this crisis in the first place." Barack Obama, Feb 18th 2009.

"Nobody is listening to your telephone calls," President Barack Obama said Friday ...

On March 12, 2013, during a United States Senate Select Committee on Intelligence hearing, Senator Ron Wyden quoted NSA director Keith B. Alexander’s keynote speech at the 2012 DEF CON. Alexander had stated that “Our job is foreign intelligence” and that “those who would want to weave the story that we have millions or hundreds of millions of dossiers on people, is absolutely false.... From my perspective, this is absolute nonsense.” Wyden then asked Clapper, “Does the NSA collect any type of data at all on millions or hundreds of millions of Americans?” He responded, “No, sir.” Wyden asked “It does not?” and Clapper said, “Not wittingly. There are cases where they could inadvertently, perhaps, collect, but not wittingly.”[

sidd

40
I should point out that my references to articles does not mean I endorse the author's entire corpus. I do try to quote those passages which struck me as cogent, and indicate where i disagree. And I do ask that one read the whole thing.

That said, I think that Assange is a skilled analyst, here he is on the differential effects of leaks on closed and open organizations:

"The more secretive or unjust an organization is, the more leaks induce fear and paranoia in its leadership and planning coterie. This must result in minimization of efficient internal communications mechanisms (an increase in cognitive "secrecy tax") and consequent system-wide cognitive decline resulting in decreased ability to hold onto power as the environment demands adaption. Hence in a world where leaking is easy, secretive or unjust systems are nonlinearly hit relative to open, just systems. Since unjust systems, by their nature induce opponents, and in many places barely have the upper hand, mass leaking leaves them exquisitely vulnerable to those who seek to replace them with more open forms of governance. "

https://wiki.p2pfoundation.net/Non_Linear_Effects_of_Leaks_on_Unjust_Systems_of_Governance

Describes both the effect of leaks on USGov intelligence organizations as well as the DNC in the last election.

sidd

41
The rest / Re: Jason Group - Earth Turning to Mars?
« on: July 03, 2017, 06:02:51 AM »
"a meltdown of 450 nuclear power plants will destroy the atmosphere and turn earth to Mars"

no way. Assume worst case, 450 nukes eviscerated and their contents dumped in the stratosphere by a powerful demon. No way that turns Earth to Mars. Not even close.

sidd

42
My word! Even Booman admits that the Democratic Party's power structure has lost its mind.

http://www.boomantribune.com/story/2017/7/2/11276/73850

which links to

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/07/liberal-fever-swamps/530736/

The latter is in the same vein as the Rensin piece from the  LA review of books that I posted previously.

"People like Mensch, Claude Taylor, Andrea Chalupa, Eric Garland, and Leah McElrath feed their followers a steady diet of highly provocative speculation, rumor, and innuendo that makes it sound as if Trump’s presidency—and, really, the entire Republican Party—is perpetually on the verge of a spectacular meltdown.

The most prolific of the conspiracy-mongers tend to focus on the Russia scandal, weaving a narrative so sensationalistic and complex that it could pass for a Netflix political drama. Theirs is a world where it is acceptable to allege that hundreds of American politicians, journalists, and government officials are actually secret Russian agents; that Andrew Breitbart was murdered by Vladimir Putin; that the Kremlin has “kompromat” on everyone, and oh-by-the-way a presidency-ending sex tape is going to drop any day now."

Coppins has unkind things to say about the Palmer Report as well.

sidd

43
Essay by Assange on the Democratic Party. He is pessimistic.

"The Democratic establishment has vortexed the party's narrative energy into hysteria about Russia (a state with a lower GDP than South Korea). It is starkly obvious that were it not for this hysteria insurgent narratives of the type promoted by Bernie Sanders would rapidly dominate the party's base and its relationship with the public. Without the "We didn't lose, Russia won" narrative the party's elite and those who exist under its patronage would be purged for being electorally incompetent and ideologically passe."

"The Democrat establishment needs the support of the security sector and media barons to push this diversionary conspiracy agenda, so they ingratiate themselves with these two classes leading to further perceptions that the Democrats act on behalf of an entrenched power elite. Eventually, Trump or Pence will 'merge' with the security state leaving Democrats in a vulnerable position ... "

That last point i have quoted is probably what will do the Democrats in, the Trump does an alliance with the torturers and cuts the Democrats out. Assange goes on to state that the Democratic Party is unsalvageable. I don't know if i agree yet, but it is getting close.

Read the whole thing:
http://www.twitlonger.com/show/n_1spvqcj

sidd

44
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: July 02, 2017, 03:35:28 AM »
"We do need a way to make EV's pay their fair share for road use. "

Wait, what ? Road wear goes as fourth power of axle load. Make the truckers pay hugely more than they do. You can pretty much exempt the cars.

Freight trucks are getting a free ride. I say this as someone who moves buncha tonnage.

sidd

45
Consequences / Re: Qué se ficieron ?
« on: July 01, 2017, 09:33:04 PM »
I travelled through the Badlands recently, spent some time with the Lakota on the "reservation" (that word turns to bile in my mouth.)  Unemployment there is 90%.

Then I visited Wounded Knee.

There is a quote from Thomas Jefferson, "I tremble for my country when I reflect that God is just; that his justice cannot sleep forever." If there is a place that cries out for justice, it is Wounded Knee.

That place reeks of evil. Not only for the massacre, but for the present, naked degradation of the Lakota, a once proud nation.

The graves are unkept and overgrown. The guy running a "museum" there was recently busted for running drugs out of it.  His little daughter was begging from tourists in the parking lot. An Ogallala police officer (they run their own government) showed up and was questioning the rest of his family, who were panhandling as well.

While I was standing, dumbstruck, at the gravesites, something happened to give me hope. A small procession appeared in the dust and wound its way up the hill. They were the descendants of those killed, and they often march there to pray. They do remember. So should we.

My heart was too full to join them. I left them to their prayers.

sidd


46
Consequences / Re: General Drought Stuff
« on: July 01, 2017, 08:56:55 PM »
Drought in Montana,Dakotas.

http://www.thedickinsonpress.com/news/north-dakota/4289220-burgum-proclaims-statewide-fire-and-drought-emergency

I just went thru there east to west and back. They are sucking from the Ogallala and spraying water like it was free. The water level in the wells is sinking fast.. Once i got into th Platte watershed in Nebraska, there was a lot of irrigation too, but i think they are sucking from the Platte rather than deeper. Not till lincoln, NE did i see reduction in sprinklers.

Very dry in the Badlands, even more than usual. The First Peoples confined there dont irrigate, mebbe too poor. I talked to a few of the Lakota, they run a few thousand head, but that seems to be it. All the larger farms interspersed there with Native lands are owned by white folk.

sidd

47
Lee Fang is usually worth reading.  Here he is on a corporate democrat dinosaur laughing about single payer, echoed by corporate republican dinosaur.

https://theintercept.com/2017/07/01/dick-gephardt-single-payer-health-insurance-lobbyists/

sidd

48
Nice article about the wilderness of the so called democratic intellectuals:

"Rachel Maddow, once the charming spokesperson of a kinder world, crazily unveils tax returns she found in Al Capone’s vault. Keith Olbermann — never charming but at least self-confident — now squats on the floor in promotional photos, swaddled in an American flag. The newer stars of the left — the Louise Mensches and Eric Garlands — are using game theory to outwit invisible Soviet assassins. Elected Democrats are paralyzed. They repeat, over and over, that none of this is normal, commit themselves to the fight, and then roll over, confirming the president’s appointments, praising the beauty of a missile strike, or begging the FBI to save them. Hillary Clinton emerges from the woods to blame Jim Comey, the DNC, and the Russians for her loss ... "

...

"  ... beginning with Bill Clinton, the slim ideological differences that existed between the Democrats and the GOP were replaced with differences of style. Clinton’s “Third Way” promised to be every bit the dupe-servant of war and profit its rivals were, but to do it with the measured confidence of an expert. The New Democrats would destroy the labor movement, but sigh about it. They would frown while they voted to authorize the next war. They would make only the concessions necessary to bolster the flailing engine of finance capital, but they would do it with the latest research in the world. "

...

"The result was an American political movement whose center was a moral void. When John Kerry spoke out against the death penalty, his opposition was based in flawed application — the punishment just wasn’t smart. When he criticized Bush’s handling of the War in Iraq, his position was similar: he would continue the war but be more strategic about it. When Kerry lost, American liberals opined that there were just too many rubes out there. They would have voted better — smarter — if only they had had the right data visualizations in front of them. When Barack Obama won, and then passed the Heritage Foundation’s health care policy while carrying out a drone war responsible for the incineration of children in half a dozen sovereign nations, he did it while remaining the smartest guy in the room. "

...

"Like any superego, managerial liberalism is concerned first and foremost with appearances. This explains why, in the face of so much bad policy, liberals are incessantly talking about decorum. Thus, the vulgarity and impropriety of Donald Trump are more offensive than his policies, the callousness of his collusion with dictators more insulting than the collusion itself (ordinarily, that is done more quietly, and only with governments like Saudi Arabia, which can butcher their own citizens but not threaten American hegemony). Meanwhile, liberal politicians and journalists express frustration with the rude socialists popping up in their Twitter feeds and at their town halls, refusing to respect their elders. It’s all so embarrassing and juvenile, they claim, when what is needed is a sober, adult response to Donald Trump — never mentioning that the adults were all routed at the polls by this Monster from the Id."

Read the whole thing.

https://lareviewofbooks.org/article/the-blathering-superego-at-the-end-of-history/

sidd

49
The pizeo idea is completely mad. The will decrease the efficiency of the vehicle, it will burn more fuel.

50
The rest / Re: Russiagate
« on: July 01, 2017, 04:52:45 AM »
"I don't think they are lying about this."

While I think they lie about everything.

There is a market, as we see on this forum, for russiagate stories. The leakers are meeting a demand, just as they should, in this glorious free market.

As for Carter Page, it is quite clear he has been an FBI informant for some time ...

sidd


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