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My point is not that this is not happening today -- it is that the mechanism resulting in increasing fall/wintertime snowcover will soon overwhelm spring/summer snowcover as well, even if it may take another 5-10 years to kick into gear.
Indeed. The Kara is just getting hammered and will continue to be for at least the next 10 days.
May I suggest an actual scientific discussion instead?
It might be worth looking into, as there have been so many severe avalanches in that area lately. I would google it myself, but I am on the way out to run errands.
That purple y shape seems a permanent fixture. I would suspect a period with no data for that area.
If I am right, then nothing I/we do now makes a bit of difference. The war was lost 200 years ago.
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"The changes in atmospheric circulation in the Arctic, thought to originate in the tropical Pacific, increase the amount of water vapour in the lower atmosphere, the paper explains. Together with a shift to fewer clouds, this has increased the amount of solar radiation reaching the ice."
So when can we expect this natural variability to flip back again and see a reduction in the rate of Arctic sea ice loss? Is it controlled by the PDO or ENSO?
I thought the high pressure was moving over Greenland because that's the only place cold enough for it to form (Cold Pole)?
I'm also not sure about the shift to fewer clouds, as there's an increase in water vapour over the Arctic, coming from lower latitudes and from the Arctic Ocean itself, because of Arctic sea ice loss. In fact, increased cloudiness in autumn and winter (especially these past two winters) are causing record low maximums, this year for both extent and volume.
All in all, I feel that this is all very theoretical and these scientists aren't paying enough attention to what is happening on the ground. We may have passed the point where our knowledge on the Old Arctic has become moot.