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Messages - Sigmetnow

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1
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 21, 2017, 06:31:08 PM »
California added 1,300 fuel cell hydrogen vehicles over the last year – projections lowered again
https://electrek.co/2017/08/21/california-fuel-cell-hydrogen-vehicles/

As Electrek says:
The question remains: when are they going to give up? They keep lowering their projections as the hydrogen supply chain stays inefficient compared to battery-powered EVs and the grid delivery. Furthermore,  there’s no reason to believe that those latest projections will not be lowered again.

As we have often explained before, the entire end-to-end process from production to consumption is 3x times more energy efficient for battery-powered vehicles than hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

2
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 19, 2017, 09:37:57 PM »
Dieselgate.

U.S. Recommends Three-Year Prison Term for Ex-VW Engineer
U.S. prosecutors are recommending a three-year prison term for the former Volkswagen AG engineer who was the first person charged in the automaker’s diesel-emissions cheating scandal, citing his cooperation as a reason not to give him the maximum five years.

James Liang, who is scheduled to be sentenced in Detroit on Aug. 25, pleaded guilty in September to conspiring to defraud U.S. customers and regulators. Although he wasn’t the mastermind behind VW’s fraud, he was a key participant in pivotal events, the Justice Department said in court papers Friday.

"Liang knew that what he was doing was wrong, but minimized his own moral responsibility for the fraud by reassuring himself that he was merely an engineer whose job it was to present practical solutions to problems, regardless of their propriety," prosecutors said. "He told himself that others in the company were responsible for deciding whether ethical considerations should influence which course to take."...
https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2017-08-18/u-s-seeks-3-year-jail-term-for-ex-vw-engineer-in-diesel-probe


Let's hope this case will inspire new suits against fossil fuel companies.

3
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 19, 2017, 09:05:47 PM »
The 780-mile-long line would run from wind farms in western Kansas through Missouri and Illinois to Indiana, where it would connect with a power grid for eastern states. All the other states along its route already have granted approval to the $2.3 billion project.

This will probably boost the amount of Atlantic offshore wind installed to provide cheap electricity to the eastern coasts and the Midwest will lose out on potential earnings.

Bullet -> Foot

Looking at how rapidly offshore wind prices have fallen it may well be cheaper to use offshore than Midwestern + transmission costs.  And the hours of production for offshore more likely match demand.

Just need to continue the trend of reduced pushback from coastal folks complaining about the "unnatural view" of offshore turbines.

(Too bad we didn't feel equally upset about belching smokestacks on land. ::) )

4
Consequences / Re: Hurricane season 2017
« on: August 19, 2017, 08:31:23 PM »
Tropical Storm Harvey is the 8th named storm of hurricane season, more than 5 weeks ahead of schedule. 8th storm typically doesn't form until Sep 24th.

Expected to be ~hurricane strength near Central America on Monday.

https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/898289578771046400

Radar loop at the link.

Not sure where the twitter got their information, but the average date, averaged over the past 30 years,  for the 8th tropical development has been Sept. 4.  Half the length claimed on the twitter post.  Perhaps there was some sort of quirk associated with those years that did not produce eight tropical storms.  Thus far, 2017 has had more tropical development than the average; 8 compared to 5.4, with only four years experiencing their eighth at an earlier date. 

But you are only looking at one particular measure of tropical activity.  The intensity of the storms has been near average.  2017 has spawned two hurricanes, but no major hurricanes.  The 30-year average to date has been 1.4 hurricanes, with one major hurricane every two years.  It is still early in season, and things could change dramatically in the next month.  There does appear to be favorability for the development of another storm in the next week.

Holthaus refers to the eighth "named storm," which requires tropical storm strength with winds of 39 mph/63kph.  Not all tropical systems that form reach that criteria.

5
Consequences / Re: Sea Level Rise and Social Cost of Carbon
« on: August 19, 2017, 08:13:21 PM »
Miami Taxpayers Asked to Foot the Bill to Protect the City from Climate Change
Miami is among the U.S. cities most vulnerable to rising seas due to climate change, and city officials estimate that they may have to spend at least $900 million in the coming decades to upgrade the city’s flood prevention and drainage systems to keep the Atlantic Ocean at bay.

City officials don’t know exactly where all the money will come from, but in November the city will ask voters to approve a $400 million general obligation bond—new property taxes that will start chipping away at the cost of shoring up the city against the ravages of climate change. ...
https://www.climateliabilitynews.org/2017/08/16/miami-florida-climate-change-sea-level-rise-adaptation/

6
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 19, 2017, 05:01:49 PM »
The Hyundai IONIQ EV is... efficient.  And a normal-looking car.  And starts around $30,000.
...If you can find one.

The Electrek Review – Hyundai IONIQ Electric extended test
Availability

As of now, the IONIQ Electric is only available in California in the US and a few other markets.  And when I say “available,” I mean “sold out because they made a really great car at a great price and then didn’t order enough batteries to make enough of them, and when they noticed demand was overshooting estimates by at least 2x, they increased production by 50% which is still obviously not enough, so get with it Hyundai and make a lot more of this great car.”

There’s a facebook group with several posts from new owners who have just taken delivery of their cars, often met with comments from envious prospective owners who are eagerly awaiting their backordered car.  This is nothing new in the “early adopter of a new EV model” scene, but Hyundai’s miscalculation seems palpable here.  On specs alone this car shatters the entire entry-level EV market, and when looks and practicality and completeness of the package, along with Hyundai’s innovative financing model, are taken into account, it seems a no-brainer that this car would sell more than 6-7k units, even just in California.

So I am loathe to use the “C” word to describe this great little car, but with low numbers and only California availability currently (at least in the US), Hyundai might be thinking that the EV version of this model will be sold for compliance (*gasp*) whereas their main focus for nation- and worldwide rollout would be the hybrid version. I do hope that this is not their intent, as this car is a great value and I believe offering it only in certain markets/small numbers would be a mistake. But my local dealerships are stocked to the gills with hybrid IONIQs with nary an all-electric version in sight, or even on the radar. “You can leave your name and we can call you when one comes in, but they’re usually already spoken for once they get here” said the dealership just miles away from Hyundai USA headquarters (paraphrased).
Hyundai’s financing scheme is quite interesting too.  The car is available with a $275/month, zero-down (after CA state rebates) “subscription” model, which differs from a lease in that it has no mileage restrictions and includes just about every cost you can imagine associated with car ownership – including tires and even the cost of charging. Leases are popular with EVs because the lessor takes the credit and rolls it into reduced lease payments for the car, so you don’t have to worry about your current tax liability. This is especially important for people buying a more entry-level car like the IONIQ, who might not have $7,500 in federal tax liability in any given year, as the credit is non-refundable and cannot be rolled forward into future tax years (it’s “use it or lose it”). ...
https://electrek.co/2017/08/18/electrek-review-hyundai-ioniq-electric-extended-test/

7
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 19, 2017, 04:39:13 PM »
Missouri regulators reject massive Midwest wind power line
JEFFERSON CITY, Mo. (AP) — Missouri utility regulators on Wednesday rejected a proposed high-voltage power line to carry wind power across the Midwest to eastern states, delivering a significant setback to developers of one of the nation’s longest transmission lines.

The decision marked the second time in a little over two years that the Missouri Public Service Commission has denied a request from Clean Line Energy Partners to build its power line through the state after a lengthy review process.

The 780-mile-long line would run from wind farms in western Kansas through Missouri and Illinois to Indiana, where it would connect with a power grid for eastern states. All the other states along its route already have granted approval to the $2.3 billion project.

Most members of Missouri’s regulatory panel said they, too, wanted to approve the high-profile project but felt compelled to vote against it because of a recent state appeals court ruling. The judges in that case said utilities must first get the consent of counties to string a power line across roads before state approval can be granted. Clean Line lacks approval from several Missouri counties where its line is opposed by local residents.

It’s not clear whether Missouri’s decision will kill the project.
...
https://apnews.com/e231e50879a14154aee9234638db3160/Missouri-regulators-reject-massive-Midwest-wind-power-line

8
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: August 19, 2017, 04:35:40 PM »
Corrupt offers, or nothing?

Brazil:  Few foreign bids expected for Petrobras $1 billion natgas project
http://www.nasdaq.com/article/few-foreign-bids-expected-for-petrobras-1-bln-natgas-project-20170818-00524

9
Consequences / Re: Floods
« on: August 19, 2017, 04:30:59 PM »
U.S.:  Federal Flood Insurance Rebuilds Homes Over and Over, Trapping Residents in Flood-Prone Areas, Report Says
"The National Flood Insurance Program was designed to help Americans recover from flood disasters, but it can also unintentionally trap homeowners who would prefer to move somewhere safer," the NRDC said on its website. "Instead of moving out of harm’s way, many policyholders find themselves rebuilding their homes again and again."
https://weather.com/amp/science/environment/news/flood-insurance-building-residents-trapped.html

10
Policy and solutions / Re: Bikes, bikes, bikes and more...bikes
« on: August 19, 2017, 04:24:00 PM »
"This summer it became one of the first cities to issue a permit for private bikeshare systems that do not use stations or docks to park bicycles. Instead, bikes can be left along public sidewalks, provided they do not block driveways or pedestrian access."

How Seattle morphed from bikeshare failure to industry leader in five months
http://money.cnn.com/2017/08/18/technology/business/seattle-bikeshare/index.html

11
Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: August 19, 2017, 04:20:30 PM »
Kuwait's inferno: how will the world's hottest city survive climate change?
It is 9am and the temperature in Kuwait City is 45C and rising, but already people working outside. A row of litter-pickers are already hard at work along a coastal highway, their entire bodies covered to protect them from the sun. Outside one of the city’s many malls, valets hover beside the air-conditioned entrance, while two men in white hats huddle wearily next to their ice cream stands.

Other city residents are luckier. They can avoid the outdoors altogether, escaping the inferno by sheltering in malls, cars and office buildings, where temperatures are kept polar-cold.

For years, Kuwait’s climate has been steadily heating up. In the summer months, the Gulf state now frequently touches 50C, and was last year awarded the grim prize of being the hottest place on earth, when temperatures reached a staggering high of 54C.

But while the capital is making plans to prepare for climate change and the rising heat, there are growing concerns for those residents who cannot afford to shelter inside, and mounting questions about how such an energy-intensive city can survive as resources such as water and oil dwindle.
...
https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2017/aug/18/kuwait-city-hottest-place-earth-climate-change-gulf-oil-temperatures

12
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: August 19, 2017, 12:47:58 PM »
Trump resigned, quite a while ago.  In fact, he was never a President to begin with.
Opinion from The New York Times.

The Week When President Trump Resigned
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/18/opinion/sunday/president-trump-resignation.html?mcubz=0

13
[edited slightly for clarity and ASIF format limitations]

Eric Holthaus:
Just in! A statement from the @usgcrp, on the current status of the CSSR. Looks like the report is still on schedule.  My source in the EPA says:
"my sense is that the report will be published without major changes to the core content."
That's good news.
My source continues:
"I think it will eventually make it through the remaining reviews in a form that accurately reflects the science."
 This source is one of the good guys, so I'm confident that the Trump administration won't succeed in significantly altering this report.

https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/898699219376062464

14
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 18, 2017, 09:53:04 PM »
Re manufacturing wind turbine blades, Bob Wallace wrote:
Heat - I don't think blades go into "ovens".  Heat can be applied with heat guns or IR lamps.  We certainly could build a 'lid' in sections that bolted together and fitted over the mold so that the area under the lid could be heated.


I think what we're looking for is a big, mobile 3-D printer.  SpaceX uses one to make rocket engine parts, and others are printing out small houses, so it's only a matter of time until we're making really, really big machine parts.  :)

Musk's “Machine that builds the machine," and all that.

15
Policy and solutions / Re: Geoengineering, another rush for money?
« on: August 18, 2017, 09:37:41 PM »

Sigmetnow,

I am curious to see whether you will become an ASIF Empress when you reach 10,000 posts. Also, I very much appreciate your various posts to date. 
<snip>

All the best,
ASLR

I'm holding out for Galactic President.  ;D

16
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: August 18, 2017, 09:31:01 PM »
Seadrill Ltd (SDRL) Stock Isn’t Going to Make It
Despite the extensions, SDRL stock is moving ever closer to bankruptcy
Seadrill Kicks the Can

With oil hovering between $45 and $50 per barrel and the glut of crude not ending, it doesn’t make much sense for energy firms to tackle expensive deepwater projects. That’s a problem if you rent/own the high-tech equipment needed to tap the ultra-deepwater areas of the Gulf of Mexico or the North Sea. It’s particularly a major issue if you have more than $11 billion in debt.

So it shouldn’t come as a surprise that SDRL has cratered over the last two years and can now be had for less than a buck.

And it also shouldn’t come as a surprise that Seadrill is looking to restructure some of this debt to reduce that burden. While SDRL has been working hard with its creditors, Chapter 11 bankruptcy isn’t out of the question, and we supposed to hear the results of its efforts at the end of July. However, SDRL managed to kick the can on the negotiations. ...
http://investorplace.com/2017/08/seadrill-ltd-sdrl-stock-make-it/view-all/

17
Policy and solutions / Re: Geoengineering, another rush for money?
« on: August 18, 2017, 01:05:18 AM »
ASLR,
You just made me lose a bet with myself.
I thought for sure you would quickly post the results of a study showing that modernization of the Third World would cause increased carbon emissions. ;D

But I guess we've gone off topic long enough.

18
Consequences / Re: Hurricane season 2017
« on: August 18, 2017, 12:47:15 AM »
Tropical Storm Harvey is the 8th named storm of hurricane season, more than 5 weeks ahead of schedule. 8th storm typically doesn't form until Sep 24th.

Expected to be ~hurricane strength near Central America on Monday.

https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/898289578771046400

Radar loop at the link.

19
Policy and solutions / Re: Geoengineering, another rush for money?
« on: August 17, 2017, 09:50:55 PM »
The desire of the large third world population to improve their standard of living is a common theme, with the implication that this will greatly increase the carbon footprint of that segment of the population.

Why do you assume the developing world will chose a high carbon footprint when a low carbon footprint path is cheaper?

<snip>

Of course I don't assume that.  But increasing carbon emissions from a modernized third world is a common rejoinder around these parts. ;)

20
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 17, 2017, 09:38:29 PM »
Taiwan wants to eliminate nuclear, reduce coal, and increase renewables and distributed generation.

Mishap Triggers Taiwan Blackout as Power Policies Draw Scrutiny
A blackout caused by a blunder at Taiwan’s biggest gas-fired plant is the latest challenge to an electricity grid recently pushed to its limit and to President Tsai Ing-wen’s efforts to reshape the island’s power mix.

A combination of unusually hot weather, infrastructure damage from typhoons and Tsai’s drive to abandon nuclear power left Taiwan barely able to supply sufficient electricity to residential and business users in the past week. That balance gave way just before 5 p.m. Tuesday when the Tatan power plant, which accounts for almost 9 percent of the island’s generation capacity, stopped after workers accidentally shut off its natural gas supply.

Tsai publicly apologized for the power outage that hit more than 6 million households and disrupted some semiconductor production. Electricity was restored by 10 p.m., but not before Lee Chih-kung, Tsai’s economy minister, offered his resignation. Both the operator and supplier of the plant, Taiwan Power Co. and CPC Corp., are state-run.
...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-08-16/taiwan-s-president-apologizes-for-blackout-affecting-millions


Tesla Powerpacks are being considered by Taiwan following massive blackout
Taiwan recently suffered from a massive blackout that affected millions of households on the island, resulted in millions in damages, and ended up with the economy minister resigning.

Now the Taiwanese government says that it is reaching out to Tesla to consider a similar solution as the massive 100 MW/129 MWh Powerpack system that Australia ordered from Elon Musk’s company after they had their own power outage issues. ...
https://electrek.co/2017/08/17/tesla-powerpack-taiwan-blackout/

21
Policy and solutions / Re: Geoengineering, another rush for money?
« on: August 17, 2017, 08:23:39 PM »
”…technological 'fixes' just wet people's appetite for more technology and more consumption.”


But technological fixes can also reduce a person’s (or a community’s) carbon footprint, such as solar ovens replacing wood or dung fires; or small solar panels powering lights in place of kerosene lanterns.


I'm sorry, but I don't see dung fires or kerosene lanterns contributing significantly to the problems we face.


Terry


The desire of the large third world population to improve their standard of living is a common theme, with the implication that this will greatly increase the carbon footprint of that segment of the population.  I was just pointing out that third world's appetite for technological growth can occur in a way that actually lessens their emissions.

22
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 17, 2017, 08:14:35 PM »
Swoozle,

That makes sense to me.  I suppose if it were easy to make a mobile manufacturing center, somebody would have done it by now!

23
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 17, 2017, 08:10:06 PM »
Tesla to deploy Powerpacks at several Home Depot stores, GE will build 50 solar rooftop systems
The new rooftop solar projects are part of Home Depot’s efforts to utilize 135 megawatts (MW) of alternative and renewable energy by 2020.
https://electrek.co/2017/08/17/tesla-powerpack-home-depot-stores-ge-solar-rooftop-systems/

These are being deployed to power the store, not for sale -- although some stores do offer Solar City PV panel installation.

24
Consequences / Re: The 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season
« on: August 17, 2017, 07:53:33 PM »
August 2017:

The National Weather Service has completed an assessment of "how they did" handling Hurricane Matthew in October 2016.  Media and emergency response partners said the new flood graphics and post-Superstorm-Sandy procedures worked well, but they were still surprised by the (record) severity of the event.  Some coastal weather offices were understaffed, with people working 18-hour days.  More river gages are needed.
 
Although Hurricane Matthew's storm center remained offshore, it paralleled the coast and lingered for days, with winds in excess of 100 mph, storm surge in excess of 7 feet, and up to 20 inches of rainfall. Weather-related fatalities occurred up and down the southeast U.S. coast, mostly from inland flooding.

Service Assessment
October 2016 Hurricane Matthew
https://www.weather.gov/media/publications/assessments/HurricaneMatthew8-17.pdf

25
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: August 17, 2017, 05:45:33 PM »
Democrats in Congress Explore Creating an Expert Panel on Trump’s Mental Health
There is also a bill aimed at establishing a “commission on presidential capacity”
“The role of honor or, rather, perceived humiliation is often overlooked as a powerful stimulant of international violence,” they write, adding that the “president may not have the capacity to consider an array of possible choices, due to his own emotional needs.” They ask Congress to “take immediate steps to establish a commission to determine his fitness for office.”
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/democrats-in-congress-explore-creating-an-expert-panel-on-trump-rsquo-s-mental-health/

26
Policy and solutions / Re: Geoengineering, another rush for money?
« on: August 17, 2017, 05:37:23 PM »
”…technological 'fixes' just wet people's appetite for more technology and more consumption.”


But technological fixes can also reduce a person’s (or a community’s) carbon footprint, such as solar ovens replacing wood or dung fires; or small solar panels powering lights in place of kerosene lanterns.

27
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 17, 2017, 04:55:30 PM »
Here's a lighter than air craft designed to operate in winds up to 40 knots (46 MPH).

It could probably haul blades during most daylight hours in windy places.

http://www.popularmechanics.com/flight/a9525/airship-20-inside-the-lighter-than-air-revival-15933252/


That's the same company as Tor Bejnar's article. :)  But thanks for the further info.

28
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 17, 2017, 04:27:46 PM »
When will advertisements for cars with tailpipes be banned as health hazards? Poll results
Just 30 years ago, people could smoke anywhere, including offices, malls, and restaurants.

The 1987 opening of a New York City restaurant called "Nosmo King" (read it again) was considered a bizarre, if amusing, idea that restauranteurs said would bankrupt the place because no one would give up cigarettes to eat there.

Now, throughout much of the Western world, smoking in public is banned as a health hazard to everyone else who's exposed to secondhand smoke—including the wait staff in those restaurants.

Environmentalists have begun to raise the same issue on a global scale for the carbon dioxide emissions emitted by road vehicles with internal combustion engines. ...
http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1112133_when-will-ads-for-cars-with-tailpipes-be-banned-as-health-hazards-poll-results


When will we see 'tailpipes' on cars as morally wrong?
http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1101015_when-will-we-start-to-see-tailpipes-on-cars-as-morally-wrong

29
Science / Re: Trump Administration Assaults on Science
« on: August 17, 2017, 01:00:56 AM »
EPA plans to rewrite Obama-era limits for coal power plant wastewater
WASHINGTON — The Environmental Protection Agency says it plans to scrap an Obama-era measure limiting water pollution from coal-fired power plants.

A letter from EPA Administrator Scott Pruitt released Monday as part of a legal appeal said he will seek to revise the 2015 guidelines mandating increased treatment for wastewater from steam electric power-generating plants.

Acting at the behest of electric utilities who opposed the stricter standards, Pruitt first moved in April to delay implementation of the new guidelines. The wastewater flushed from the coal-fired plants into rivers and lakes typically contains traces of such highly toxic heavy metals as lead, arsenic, mercury and selenium. ...
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/epa-plans-rewrite-obama-era-limits-coal-power-plant-wastewater/

30
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: August 16, 2017, 11:22:03 PM »
Shell and Exxon face censure over claim gas was 'cleanest fossil fuel'
Dutch advertising watchdog’s ruling prompts company to change line to ‘least polluting fossil fuel’ as campaigners welcome action over ‘misleading’ ad
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/aug/14/shell-and-exxon-face-censure-over-claim-gas-was-cleanest-fossil-fuel

31
Science / Re: Trump Administration Assaults on Science
« on: August 16, 2017, 11:17:26 PM »
"The White House posted the text of the executive order last night. In just 28 words, one section of the order reverses stricter flood standards set by Obama, making Americans and businesses more vulnerable to heavy rains and sea-level rise."

Trump Promised Beautiful Bridges and Roads. Now He’s Putting Them in Harm’s Way.
He’s “throwing out any guarantee that our infrastructure will be safe.”
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2017/08/trump-promised-beautiful-bridges-and-roads-now-hes-putting-them-in-harms-way/

32
The rest / Re: The Trump Presidency (was "Presidential Poll")
« on: August 16, 2017, 11:09:03 PM »
John Harwood:  Trump staff have been asked to "save America from this president" by remaining.

The view from the White House is a lonely one as the business community abandons Trump
As business leaders abandon President Donald Trump's business councils, the White House faces a host of challenges.
Business support was seen as greasing the wheels of the GOP agenda.
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/16/the-view-from-the-white-house-is-a-lonely-one-as-the-business-community-abandons-trump.html

33
This article's suggestions in how to improve evacuation rates for hurricanes might also apply for climate change action.

'Evacuate!' isn't enough: 5 ways to improve hurricane messaging
3. Keep it local

During the focus groups, Hogan Carr said they learned that regional information did not resonate. She recalled one woman's Sandy story.

“She didn’t believe that Sandy was a risk to her until she saw the name of her small town on the Jersey Shore on the national news … until her community was named – it hadn’t hit home,” Hogan Carr said.
https://www.app.com/story/weather/hurricanes/2017/08/16/hurricane-evacuation-sandy-risk-communication/571820001/

34
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 16, 2017, 04:37:38 PM »
Ford is building 2,500 electric vans for DHL’s delivery service fleet in Germany.

Ford unveils its new electric truck made with DHL
https://electrek.co/2017/08/16/ford-new-electric-truck-dhl/

35
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 15, 2017, 09:37:00 PM »
EV (NEV) sales in China.  Fewer hybrids.  Many more BEVs.

China plug-in sales for Q2 of 2017 and Year-to-Date
We expect shares to follow a positive trend throughout the remainder of the year, with NEV passenger car sales reaching a total of 530,000 units for 2017. This would mean a NEV share of 2,1 % and 48 % growth over 2016. The NEV passenger car sales grow 20 times faster than the car market as a whole.
http://electriccarsreport.com/2017/08/china-plug-sales-q2-2017-year-date/

36
Consequences / Re: Sea Level Rise and Social Cost of Carbon
« on: August 15, 2017, 08:45:45 PM »
"The Trump administration is acting very rashly in part out of the desire to undo a climate measure under the Obama administration," he said. "This is an enormous mistake that is disastrous for taxpayers. The (Obama) rule would have saved billions of dollars over time."

Trump to revoke Obama-era flood risk building standards
U.S. President Donald Trump will revoke an Obama-era executive order on Tuesday that required strict building standards for government-funded projects to reduce exposure to increased flooding from sea level rise, sources said. ...
http://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN1AV1ZI

37
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 15, 2017, 08:41:14 PM »

It's interesting that Musk missed his buyers not because of the high costs associated with great speed and mileage, but rather with the lowest mileage models that were his least expensive offering. Will this be internalized as a lesson learned, will it be seen as a minimal mileage that must be met, or will it be seen as an aberration that won't effect operations going forward?


Terry


Here's an examination of the short-range versus the long-range EV market:

The market has very little appetite for short-range BEVs (in other words "demand constrained") and is highly sensitive to the difference between long-range and short-range BEVs. Even Tesla, by officially offering a 40kWh Model S, did not know this fact about the market in 2012. After 2013, no one has any excuse not to know this.
http://tesla.dauger.com/disrupts/longrangeBEVmarket.html

38
Policy and solutions / Re: Oil and Gas Issues
« on: August 15, 2017, 08:30:45 PM »
'We've Made History': Ireland Joins France, Germany and Bulgaria in Banning Fracking​
https://www.ecowatch.com/ireland-ban-fracking-2450255362.html

39
Policy and solutions / Re: Renewable Energy
« on: August 15, 2017, 07:39:40 PM »
Why aren't they using blimps to transport giant wind turbines?  Someone is at least thinking about it:

Large Wind Turbine Blade Transportation Solution: The Aeroscraft

... As larger-scale blades and bigger turbines are developed—beyond 80 ft in length ranging up to 145 ft—utilizing trucks or helicopters to transport these blades in austere or landlocked territories becomes complex. Blade lengths will continue to grow in the future, particularly for offshore wind projects. The largest blades are over 200 feet long (60 meters-plus) for a 5MW turbine. In this situation, the Aeroscraft with its vertical takeoff and landing capability offers a solution to transporting blades from a manufacturing site directly to the point-of-need-destination. ...


I couldn't find a single photo of an airship carrying a turbine. Here's one! (or 3 blades)
<snip>


Although this idea may seem tempting, there are several things that give me pause.

First, the article was written by the company which is proposing the product, so its opinions are bound to extoll the positive possibilities, while omitting the negative ones. ;)  As of yet, they have only built a scale prototype, which likely is one reason why you haven't seen any photos of blimps with wind turbines. (The illo you show is photoshopped.)

Blimps are among the least maneuverable of aircraft, second only to balloons. And wind turbines are located in places of significant wind. One good gust, and that blimp or its suspended cargo could take out several wind turbines, not to mention possibly damage itself irreparably….

Perhaps it could be used to transport turbine parts to the location, if they delay turbine construction until all the cargo has been delivered.  But again, this would all have to happen in low-wind conditions.

I would be interested to see how those buoyancy control “helium pressurization envelopes” work in a timely manner in such a huge, semi-rigid ship.  SpaceX uses helium to quickly pressurize the interior of the Falcon 9 rocket to replace fuel volume as it is spent.  But that rocket is sturdy enough to withstand launch, super-mach speeds, re-entry forces, and landing!

40
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 15, 2017, 04:17:19 AM »
Some electric cars are being heavily discounted up to $20,000 as next-gen EVs come to market
https://electrek.co/2017/08/14/electric-cars-discount-ev/

200 miles (322km) of range seems to be a tipping point for "next-gen" EVs. There was an early Tesla Model S with a 40kWh battery -- the cheapest Model S, you would think it would be a huge seller -- but with a range under 200 miles, there were very few sales.  The model was soon discontinued.

41
Policy and solutions / Re: Batteries: Today's Energy Solution
« on: August 15, 2017, 03:56:43 AM »
“Carlsson said that they aimed to produce advanced li-ion battery cell in different formats with a cost below $100 per kWh.”

Former Tesla execs launch funding effort for their own battery gigafactory in Europe
The actual start of production is expected in 2020 with a capacity of 8 GWh per year and they aim for 32 GWh of capacity once the entire factory will be completed in 2023. It’s comparable to Tesla’s expected production capacity in 2018 for Gigafactory 1 in Nevada.
https://electrek.co/2017/08/14/former-tesla-execs-funding-battery-gigafactory-europe/

42
Glaciers / Re: Glaciers worldwide decline faster than ever
« on: August 15, 2017, 03:50:36 AM »
Glacier National Park is overcrowded. Thanks, climate change.
A record-breaking 1 million people visited Glacier in July, up 23 percent from last year. Park officials are stuck dealing with overcrowded parking lots, more medical emergencies, and a shortage of open campsites.

While the number of visitors has fluctuated in past decades, it’s been on the rise over the past five years. Some attribute the park’s popularity to low gas prices (perfect for road trips!) and all the envy-inducing photos making their way to Instagram, while others blame our old pal climate change: All but 26 of the 150 glaciers that existed in Glacier National Park in the late 1800s have melted away, and scientists say it’s “inevitable” we’ll lose the rest. Such predictions have prompted a wave of “doomsday tourists” who want to catch a glimpse of climate change in action.

“People tell us they want to see glaciers before they’re gone,” Pamela Smith, a Glacier campground volunteer, told the Missoulian. “They have come here to see the impacts of climate change for themselves.”
http://grist.org/briefly/glacier-national-park-is-overcrowded-thanks-climate-change/

43
Policy and solutions / Re: Becoming Vegan.
« on: August 15, 2017, 03:30:35 AM »
Warning: graphic descriptions and images.

Never mind CCTV in slaugherhouses, we need to end the meat and dairy industry altogether
It isn’t just horrific for the animals, producing meat also has a huge effect on the environment and health consequences to humans – even those of us who are vegan

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/meat-dairy-vegan-slaughterhouses-vegetarian-a7891046.html?amp

44
Consequences / Re: Hurricane season 2017
« on: August 15, 2017, 03:22:19 AM »
  ;) ;D

"Please proceed with caution when sharing long range deterministic model forecasts for undeveloped potential tropical systems."
https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/897148333046849536

45
Consequences / Re: Places becoming less livable
« on: August 14, 2017, 03:24:58 PM »
Kees vander Leun: Heavy heatwave in Iraq: temperature in Basrah, city of 2 million people, to hit 49-52°C (120-126F), 10 days in a row!
https://twitter.com/soubundanga/status/896755350828859393

46
Science / Re: Trump Administration Assaults on Science
« on: August 14, 2017, 01:01:50 AM »
Alaskan towns at risk from rising seas sound alarm as Trump pulls federal help
Communities in danger of falling into the sea say assistance from Washington has dried up: ‘It feels like a complete abdication of responsibility on climate change’
The US government’s withdrawal from dealing with, or even acknowledging, climate change may have provoked widespread opprobrium, but for Alaskan communities at risk of toppling into the sea, the risks are rather more personal.

The Trump administration has moved to dismantle climate adaptation programs including the Denali Commission, an Anchorage-based agency that is crafting a plan to safeguard or relocate dozens of towns at risk from rising sea levels, storms and the winnowing away of sea ice.

Federal assistance for these towns has been ponderous but could now grind to a halt, with even those working on the issue seemingly targeted by the administration. In July, Joel Clement, an interior department official who worked with Alaskan communities on climate adaptation, claimed he had been moved to a completely unrelated position because of the administration’s ideological hostility to the issue.

“We were getting down to the brass tacks of relocation [of towns at risk] and now work has just stopped,” Clement told the Guardian. He has lodged an official complaint over his reassignment.

“Without federal coordination from Washington DC, there isn’t much hope. This will take millions of dollars and will take years, and these people don’t have years. I think it’s clear I was moved because of my climate work. It feels like a complete abdication of responsibility on climate change.”

According to the Army Corps of Engineers, 31 Alaskan communities face “imminent” existential threats from coastline erosion, flooding and other consequences of temperatures that are rising twice as quickly in the state as the global average. A handful – Kivalina, Newtok, Shishmaref and Shaktoolik – are considered in particularly perilous positions and will need to be moved. ...
https://amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/aug/10/alaska-coastal-towns-sea-level-rise-climate-change

47
Policy and solutions / Re: Solar Roadways
« on: August 13, 2017, 09:41:55 PM »

That's exactly what these early projects will demonstrate.  All the Powerpoint presentations and engineering specs in the world won't prove it.  But there are many people and companies eager to give it a try.

Their first public installation in Idaho proved either that their modules have terrible production or that bad siting results in terrible production. They didn't provide enough information to be able to distinguish.


Their laminating oven couldn't handle their first "large production" attempt and they went with spoiled panels to have something for their scheduled public unveiling.  They replaced those panels a few weeks later with good ones produced at a slower pace.

Edit:  https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,856.msg110934.html#msg110934
---


That's exactly what these early projects will demonstrate.  All the Powerpoint presentations and engineering specs in the world won't prove it.  But there are many people and companies eager to give it a try.

Their first public installation in Idaho proved either that their modules have terrible production or that bad siting results in terrible production. They didn't provide enough information to be able to distinguish.

----

They didn't even set up a small properly oriented solar panel nearby to give them reference data.

They're selling boxes of apples and not letting customers check to see how many apples are in the box and whether they're rotten.



Edit:
They have set up solar panels to obtain data to compare with future SolarRoadways installations:

"In April of 2015, a collection site was installed in southern Arizona at the Biosphere 2 in Oracle, Arizona. A second site was set up at Solar Roadways in Sagle, Idaho in August 2015. A third site was set up at the Missouri DOT Transportation Research Center in Chesterfield, Missouri in March 2016."

http://www.solarroadways.com/Data/Modot

48
Policy and solutions / Re: Cars, cars and more cars. And trucks, and....
« on: August 13, 2017, 09:25:51 PM »
General  Motors will start selling a tiny electric car in China this week that will cost about $5,300 after national and local electric vehicle incentives, according to GM.
http://money.cnn.com/2017/08/07/autos/gm-china-electric-car/index.html

Top speed of 62 miles an hour (100kph), range about 96 miles (155 km).

49
Policy and solutions / Re: Becoming Vegan.
« on: August 13, 2017, 09:05:12 PM »
Meet the 'vegan mafia,' a secret group of investors betting on the future of food
- The vegan mafia invests in companies that aim to take animals out of the supply chain.
- Its members are powerful former financiers, entrepreneurs and bio-tech investors.
- This group isn't interested in kale and tofu (well, sometimes it is).
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/11/vegan-mafia-food-investor-network-includes-bill-maris-kyle-vogt.html

50
Policy and solutions / Re: Solar Roadways
« on: August 13, 2017, 06:38:28 PM »
And the data to prove solar roadways work, are affordable, and last is available where?

That's exactly what these early projects will demonstrate.  All the Powerpoint presentations and engineering specs in the world won't prove it.  But there are many people and companies eager to give it a try.

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