« on: April 19, 2017, 08:22:24 PM »
This graph shows the same [sad] story even better:... especially knowing that the blue line (max) in 2017 will likely drop below the "21" (x1000 km3) line. During recent years, melt has been in the rage of 19.5 (in 2010 and 2012) to 16.5 (2014), so less than 2,000 km3 remaining is a real possibility, but not a 'sure thing'.
I won't be particularly surprised if we have a record melt (20,000 km3 - the Arctic has been prepped for it) or a modest one (17,000 km3 - the High Arctic's short melting season makes it tough, even with thin ice).
[Yeah, my comment may belong in the melting thread - but this isn't a 'major' thread, so I don't expect Neven to get out his axe, but because of this note he might .]