Re 3: Greenland's ice mass hits a new low practically every year, as the link I posted in the previous comment indicates. How much the ice mass drops this year we have yet to find out, but yeah, I doubt this year will be an exception.
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Will the temperature above 80 make it to the baseline? Maybe the circled "hot" air intrusion delays it a bit, but it looks good so far. This late freeze might give us the head start needed for the melting season.
During February, IJIS has stayed on the 13.31 and 13.37 million km2. That is, no a single increase on the first 11 days! IJIS could reach the 13.5 million km2 mark, because there is still one month in which there could be a freeze, but I starting to doubt that we will reach the 13.75-14 million km2 range. Under 13.75 will be a huge low maximum.
I think you are too pessimistic. When looking at the antarctic melt season, it's currently on record low numbers, because almost everything except the Weddell Sea has melted.
NOT reported by the BBC, The Guardian or anywhere else that I can find. The message is not getting out there.
Thanks. Just to clarify, I guesstimated the decline of each sea to a general minimum date, not to its own minimum.
averages that include a 20% increase in total extent made up of brash ice compared to previous years is a false indicator.
at this point only volume is a useful comparison tool.
saying that the recent increase in sea ice extent is in line with previous years' growth is as shortsighted as saying that the relatively low anomalies of negative sea ice extent, below similar low years, was the primary cause of massive amounts of heat and water vapor moving into the arctic from a super-charged tropical water vapor belt.
when someone caveats their analysis by saying, 'albiet thinner' what they are really acknowledging is that this metric is no longer useful in communicating actual sea ice conditions.
...and yet the Polar star experienced more / thicker ice than usual:
But I would not be surprised if there was a temporary recovery in ice extension and volume, from now on and for the next one-to-two years.