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Science / Re: Adapting to the Anthropocene
« Last post by AbruptSLR on Today at 10:37:48 PM »
While the linked Carnegie Europe article entitled: "Judy Asks: Is the Crisis of the Liberal Order Exaggerated?", offers a lot of insightful European opinions on the current turmoil of the "liberal" (rules-based) world order, I have selected only two opinions on this question; which emphasize the roles of both:

(a) How accelerating information technology (4th Industrial Revolution) can make decision making more transparent and

(b) How the rules/institutions that "liberal" elites develop must be adjusted to reflect the truly universal values of free-will.

Extract: "Bahadır KaleağasıChief executive officer of the Turkish Industry and Business Association (TÜSİAD) and president of the Bosphorus Institute

This is not simply a crisis of liberal democracy. The world is going through a very risky phase in the transition toward what could be described as democracy 4.0: a better-functioning political system based on instant and direct access by citizens to fact checking, impact analyses, and policymaking. As the Fourth Industrial Revolution begins to take hold around the planet, processes of societal change and democracy are going through stages of fluctuation as was the case in every other industrial revolution.

Industry 4.0 is quickly being uploaded into citizens’ daily lives, but there is an algorithmic problem with coding a modern democracy 4.0. The current evolution has several adverse dimensions as well as beneficial ones. On the one hand, innovations like quantum computing, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of things have the potential to lead to more transparency, direct democracy, and public scrutiny. On the other, liberal democracy’s turbulent evolution may eventually result in authoritarian manipulation of communication in the digital public sphere. Maybe a technology inspired by the blockchain that makes financial transactions more transparent through decentralized trust and distributed consensus can be adapted to the flow of information between public authorities and citizens.

Mikhail MinakovAssociate professor in the Department of Philosophy and Religious Studies at the University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy

No, it isn’t exaggerated.

Currently, the key institutions responsible for the functioning and development of the liberal order can only react to the snowball of challenges they face, not anticipate them. These institutions respond properly only to immediate risks and fail to avert medium- to long-term problems. This strategic blindness of liberal centers of power must be cured.

What makes this crisis of liberal globalism exceptional is the profound shift in the cultural order. Recent elections and referenda in the EU and United States show that enemies of liberal universalism are winning the trust of Western societies. Isolationism, obscurantism, and ultraconservatism are taking over Western capitals.

Universalism provided the liberal order with legitimacy. After the fall of the Soviet Union and in the absence of a disciplining enemy, Western elites betrayed their adherence to universalism and turned instead to more egoistic practices. As a result, illiberal conservatism offers Western societies alternative solutions that people find more convincing. With the fall of liberalism in the West, the liberal order has no future in other regions.

Liberalism is losing the competition for citizens’ hearts in the West. But it still can win their minds and consciences. Liberals should return to taking universal values seriously and put them at the core of new global agenda."
Arctic sea ice / Re: The 2017 melting season
« Last post by Thomas Barlow on Today at 10:19:39 PM »
May 29 2017 compared to June 11 2016 (nearest clear day).
Strong contrast added.
North of Greenland:
Policy and solutions / Re: Energy Efficiency: The “First Fuel”
« Last post by rboyd on Today at 10:10:24 PM »
Just need to get in an oil-fuelled helicopter and shoot the horses ... sorry, couldn't resist!
The rest / Re: Empire - America and the future
« Last post by SteveMDFP on Today at 10:09:38 PM »
The Empire goes for broke

I had no idea so many of us read the Saker.

If H.R.1644 Passes the Senate, then Trumpster's signature will be all that's needed to make the world subject to America's laws - always assuming that the world accepts being included into the American Empire.


I don't think The Saker or this assessment are accurate at all.  The Saker is clearly written with an ideological bias.  If we look at the actual bill in question, H.R. 1644, the Korea Interdiction and Modernization of Sanctions Act, there's simply nothing that would empower the US to force it's authority directly in Russian ports, nor other of the extraordinary claims.  See for yourself:

It simply seems to add standard US sanctions policies on those entities that refuse to comply with the applicable UN resolution.

Extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence.  I don't see any evidence of any of the extraordinary claims.
Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: Greenland 2017 melt season
« Last post by FishOutofWater on Today at 10:09:06 PM »
This year Greenland melting started in May, thus the decline in snow volume.

The high snowfall correlates with warm winter season temperatures and very strong far north Atlantic storms and blocking highs that transported heat towards the pole.
Policy and solutions / Re: But, but, but, China....
« Last post by TerryM on Today at 10:08:56 PM »
We now wait one year?
My point is that doing nothing is about as bad a choice as we can make.
If we started a few HSR projects, we'd have the use of these even if some years down the line HL proves to be better. We can do both if need be, but we can't continue to do neither.
Policy and solutions / Re: UN Climate Agreement - Paris 2015 and beyond
« Last post by rboyd on Today at 10:06:20 PM »
The real issue with the EU is that it was extended to include countries of widely different levels of income, but kept the free flow of people. As most people's second language is English, many of the economic migrants went to the UK. In the millions.

For the working class this meant direct competition for jobs, and overcrowding of schools etc. in the southeast (the predominant destination for the migrants). Brexit voting was very much split between working class (for) and middle/upper class (against) - voting their economic interests. Less racism and more basic economics. Also, the sheer speed and scale of the migration (millions in a few years) produced a lot of disruption. After significant levels of immigration many countries, including the US, have opted for a pause to allow time for the integration of the new immigrants.

You simply cant have a big chunk of population move from one country to another and not expect economic and social problems to occur. Wide open labour mobility does not work well between countries with widely different incomes, except for employers. Same issue with illegal Mexican etc. immigrants in the US, its always interesting how few employers get put in jail rather than the victimization of the migrants (which makes it even easier for employers to exploit them).

Greenland and Arctic Circle / Re: The Nares Strait thread
« Last post by Tigertown on Today at 10:02:52 PM »
Warm water had most likely been working on that fast ice from below for quite some time now, and probably the whole area as far as that goes. Of course, none of the remnants left from last summer ever really got a chance to bond together properly over the winter. Plus, personally, I think all the thickness models need re-calibrated.

P.S. CMEMS shows this area as currently having the thickest ice in the Arctic at 3.85 meters at the center; very much in harmony with PIOMAS.
Arctic sea ice / Re: Latest PIOMAS update (June)
« Last post by Andreas T on Today at 09:55:38 PM »
You're right. There's a large volume of ice that's going to add to the cold fresh melt water on the east coast of Greenland. The combination of melting sea ice and melting Greenland glaciers has been generating a cold pool over the past decade in the far north Atlantic according to Prof. Stephan Rahmstorf. The theory is that the fresh water is reducing the salinity of the water in the overturning circulation so it has to get very cold to get dense enough to sink.
The water in the cold pool in the north Atlantic has no way of getting colder, the water which comes out of the Arctic and which is dense enough to sink to the bottom of the Atlantic is the brine left behind when sea water freezes into much less salty sea ice. This takes place where ice forms in the winter and has to sink through the warmer intermediate water. Peter Wadhams describes observations of such a (downward) chimney of cold salty water in the Odden ice tongue in his book "A farewell to ice".
The Odden ice tongue no longer happens but as long as the volume of ice frozen in winter is not reduced the process continues. This water flows at the bottom of Fram strait where it is deepest.
The rest / Re: Article links: drop them here!
« Last post by Tigertown on Today at 09:55:32 PM »
Moscow storm: 11 killed as high winds strike Russian capital
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