Looking at this mornings latest model runs, it seems some average to slow melt conditions over the next 5 days, before a very strong signal for a -ve NAO appear, which would make things much more interesting.
While there are some mild pockets over the Arctic during the next few days, such as in the Barents/Kara sector now and Beaufort early next week, these aren't quite mild enough to cause dramatic melting yet. Meanwhile, northerly winds through the Bering Sea should keep the thin ice there from retreating rapidly, while other peripheral areas (Baffin Sea, Hudson Bay, Okhotsk) remain close to or below average temperature-wise, so nothing out of the ordinary for these regions.
After this point, from about 5 days out, both the ECM and GFS operational runs, as well as their respective ensemble means, begin to develop a strong -ve NAO pattern, which will increase the likelihood of Warm Air Advection (WAA) into the Arctic, massively increase export through Fram and produce more dramatic weather patterns overall.
By day 7, a powerful high pressure is centered over Greenland and a very -ve NAO is in place.
ECM operational t168
GFS operational t168
Note the tightly packed isobars around Fram (strong winds) and the flow of mild air into the Baffin sea and CAA. It appears that these aren't rogue runs, as the ensemble means of both are also in agreement
ECM ensemble mean
GFS ensemble mean
Anyway, if that strongly -ve NAO sets in things may get very interesting. Until then, not a whole lot expected to happen