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Author Topic: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating  (Read 2282 times)

Apocalypse4Real

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NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« on: May 26, 2015, 11:45:57 PM »
Besides the NOAA ESRL Global CO2 average breaking through 400 ppm for the first time, the decadal global CO2 increase was above 21 ppm for a 10 year period for the first time in the record.

There is more at http://megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/



anotheramethyst

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2015, 09:53:21 AM »
thanks for the link!!! scary stuff :(

jai mitchell

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #2 on: May 27, 2015, 07:00:52 PM »
we are starting to experience carbon cycle feedback effects that will increase significantly over the next decade.  I expect that the atmospheric fraction of carbon dioxide will continue to increase from 55% today to 60% by 2020.  This additional 5% of annual emissions no longer being sequestered by the earth will rapidly increase atmospheric emissions even as we desperately attempt to halt the fossil-fueled destruction of our biosphere.
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Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #3 on: December 30, 2016, 03:14:02 AM »
NOAA/ESRL Global CO2 for October, 2016:

Hit a new monthly high of 402.31 ppm, which was 3.71 ppm higher than October, 2015. This yr/yr increase of 3.71 ppm is the highest for any month in the NOAA/ESRL record.

The ten year change from October 2006 to 2016 was 22.47 ppm, the highest of any ten year period monthly comparison.

Perhaps some of this rate of increase is El Nino related, but these may be less connected than previously.

Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #4 on: December 30, 2016, 03:48:41 AM »
Global annual CO2 for 2016 on track for a yr/yr increase above 3.7 ppm, smashing through the annual growth rate of 3 ppm.

See: http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/2016/12/global-co2-october-2016-hits-record.html

ritter

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #5 on: December 30, 2016, 04:51:09 AM »
More really bad news. Thanks? ;)

Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #6 on: January 03, 2017, 03:44:49 PM »
There is an association between El Nino occurrences and increases in yr/yr monthly CO2 emissions rates. The most recent El Nino demonstrates that relationship.

What's more troubling is when one observes a CO2 spike with no associated El Nino. The chart illustrates the relationship between ENSO 3.4 (El Nino La Nina and monthly NOAA/ESRL CO2 increases. There is more at:

http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/

Pmt111500

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #7 on: January 03, 2017, 04:14:18 PM »
There is an association between El Nino occurrences and increases in yr/yr monthly CO2 emissions rates. The most recent El Nino demonstrates that relationship.

What's more troubling is when one observes a CO2 spike with no associated El Nino. The chart illustrates the relationship between ENSO 3.4 (El Nino La Nina and monthly NOAA/ESRL CO2 increases. There is more at:

http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/


That image looks familiar. Thanks for doing this, though this is rather unsettling.
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Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #8 on: March 12, 2017, 09:52:47 PM »
December 2016, Global CO2 concentration another new monthly record 3.27 ppm higher than December, 2015.

Additionally, the 2016 Global CO2 annual mean is 3.47 ppm higher than the annual mean for 2015.

Also, December 2016 global CO2 a 22.52 ppm increase over December 2006, another new record.

See: http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/

« Last Edit: March 12, 2017, 09:59:29 PM by Apocalypse4Real »

oren

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #9 on: March 13, 2017, 05:26:39 AM »
There is an association between El Nino occurrences and increases in yr/yr monthly CO2 emissions rates. The most recent El Nino demonstrates that relationship.

What's more troubling is when one observes a CO2 spike with no associated El Nino. The chart illustrates the relationship between ENSO 3.4 (El Nino La Nina and monthly NOAA/ESRL CO2 increases. There is more at:

http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/

Eyeballing this char seems to indicate based on past correlation of spikes that our current spike might not be over nor at its peak. I hope tbat's not the case.

Pmt111500

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #10 on: March 13, 2017, 05:44:53 AM »
There is an association between El Nino occurrences and increases in yr/yr monthly CO2 emissions rates. The most recent El Nino demonstrates that relationship.

What's more troubling is when one observes a CO2 spike with no associated El Nino. The chart illustrates the relationship between ENSO 3.4 (El Nino La Nina and monthly NOAA/ESRL CO2 increases. There is more at:

http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/

Eyeballing this char seems to indicate based on past correlation of spikes that our current spike might not be over nor at its peak. I hope tbat's not the case.

Mauna Loa record would say january global values of change since last year are still large but that february would be a bit lower. Not that the Mauna Loa and Globe are exactly synchronous and of the same magnitude always. It's quite a good proxy for globe but deviations do occur, if I remember correctly. A4R, would it be possible to have the global record extended to the start of Mauna Loa record with some degree of accuracy? Proxy-based extensions of existing records are anyway done on many locations wrt paleoclimate, so this might be applied here too?

Oops, the last of the graphs would state this is already being done.
« Last Edit: March 13, 2017, 06:05:14 AM by Pmt111500 »
A quantity relates to a quantum like camel's back relates to camel's _______ ? (back, vertebra, vertebral tendon, spinal disc, paralysis)

Shared Humanity

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #11 on: March 13, 2017, 02:28:11 PM »
There is an association between El Nino occurrences and increases in yr/yr monthly CO2 emissions rates. The most recent El Nino demonstrates that relationship.

What's more troubling is when one observes a CO2 spike with no associated El Nino. The chart illustrates the relationship between ENSO 3.4 (El Nino La Nina and monthly NOAA/ESRL CO2 increases. There is more at:

http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/

Eyeballing this char seems to indicate based on past correlation of spikes that our current spike might not be over nor at its peak. I hope tbat's not the case.


That may be the case but I expect the spike is, in fact, a spike and the increases will settle back down to a more or less linear pattern. This, unfortunately, will allow deniers to talk about a hiatus in CO2 growth for the next decade.

Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #12 on: May 21, 2017, 09:12:42 PM »
Global monthly mean CO2 for February, 2017 405.75 ppm up 2.74 ppm above February 2016, 12.75 ppm over Feb, 2012, and 22.43 ppm over Feb 2007. All trends still intact for increases, despite El Nino effect which is working out of the data.

See: http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/


Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #13 on: May 21, 2017, 09:15:41 PM »
Global monthly mean CO2 for February, 2017 at 405.75 ppm. Fastest and sortest time for a 5 ppm increase in NOAA ESRL record - at 22 months. On track for potential increase of 10 ppm in four years or less.

See: http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/

Apocalypse4Real

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Re: NOAA ESRL Global CO2 Increase Accelerating
« Reply #14 on: May 21, 2017, 09:17:48 PM »
Global annual mean actual growth of CO2 at 3.44 ppm for 2016 vs 2015. Highest of any year. See http://www.megiddo666.apocalypse4real-globalmethanetracking.com/