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20-25 days of cloudy weather in Central Arctic and in June will have a positive effect on ice in September. But the shear warmth of the Northern Hemisphere cannot be denied.
Why people assume that a final extent below 2007 is not a catastrophe? It goes with the negative trend of post-2013 and even post-2005 leaving 2012 as an exception that eventually won't be exceptional.
Agree.
And, good question, that one about people. More than one answer to it, i think.
Some people assume that out of ignorance. "We lived through 2012 and world did not end, so we stay above 2012, everything's fine" sort of thinking. Myopic view, i call it. Unable to see further than their nose, so to say.
Yet others have an agenda. The agenda of calming down public opinion. This can't be denied in terms of mass media - too obvious. I guess some of that "policy" could well soak into this here forum, as well. After all, media and "involved with mass media policies" people do have free time and their own interests. And some of them honestly believe it's one noble thing to keep general population content, comforted and hopeful. May be it is, i'm not saying it's not. Not sure. Heck, even Lem
wasn't.
Yet some others are well-known bunch - techno-fix people. Those who hope big-time for CCS (carbon capture and storage) on global scale, feasibility of long-term (centuries) geo-engineering if need be, intense genetic modification of crops and livestock, etc. Many of those folk - i bet, - see the Arctic sea ice disappearance as "minor thing", which "we'll fix if need be, and/or adapt to". Pink glasses and all.
And i'd be very surprised if the above would be the complete list. I bet there are other kinds of people who don't see below 2007 as a catastrophe; heck, even ice-free, they don't see as something critical.
Bottom line is, with present day mass media, massively "corporated" education programs in most univercities around the globe, modern politics and urban culture (which is much isolated from natural world in most regards), and economics which doesn't care for anything further than few years ahead at best, - you can't expect people to be free of... misconceptions. Those are many and various and widespread, often even among the brightest. This here forum is much better than most places in this regard, but it's still far from being perfectly clean and unbiased, purely rational, scientific discussion.
P.S. That said, i still love reading it. Lots of great people here. Great thanks to all of you, guys, you know who you are. ^^