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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #250 on: January 28, 2017, 06:08:55 PM »
"You don't need dark matter, if you allow for the aether which is called for in Maxwells equations. The aether is a superconductor and electromagnetism pervades the universe, it allows magnetism which is 39oom stronger than gravity to hold the galaxies together."

1) disagreed that Maxwell's equations call for ether

2) disagreed that the putative ether would be a superconductor.

The second point is obvious since a superconductor excludes electric and magnetic fields. The first point is subtler.

3) EM holding galaxies together sounds like the Halton Arp theory, which is ... controversial.

4) no i am not going to watch a youtube video overturning a century of physics. if you wish to discuss, lets begin with the maxwell equations in free space with div E and B zero, curl E and B proportional to the partial time derivative of each other with a minus sign thrown in. Where is the ether in these equations ?

sidd

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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #251 on: January 30, 2017, 08:52:25 PM »
The linked reference provides observational evidence that we may live in a Holographic Universe, which by extension supports the possibility of HIOTTOE.

Niayesh Afshordi et al. From Planck Data to Planck Era: Observational Tests of Holographic Cosmology, Physical Review Letters (2017). DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.118.041301


http://journals.aps.org/prl/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevLett.118.041301

Abstract: "We test a class of holographic models for the very early Universe against cosmological observations and find that they are competitive to the standard cold dark matter model with a cosmological constant (ΛCDM) of cosmology. These models are based on three-dimensional perturbative superrenormalizable quantum field theory (QFT), and, while they predict a different power spectrum from the standard power law used in ΛCDM, they still provide an excellent fit to the data (within their regime of validity). By comparing the Bayesian evidence for the models, we find that ΛCDM does a better job globally, while the holographic models provide a (marginally) better fit to the data without very low multipoles (i.e., l≲30), where the QFT becomes nonperturbative. Observations can be used to exclude some QFT models, while we also find models satisfying all phenomenological constraints: The data rule out the dual theory being a Yang-Mills theory coupled to fermions only but allow for a Yang-Mills theory coupled to nonminimal scalars with quartic interactions. Lattice simulations of 3D QFTs can provide nonperturbative predictions for large-angle statistics of the cosmic microwave background and potentially explain its apparent anomalies."


See also the linked article entitled: "Study reveals substantial evidence of holographic universe

https://phys.org/news/2017-01-reveals-substantial-evidence-holographic-universe.html

Extract: "A UK, Canadian and Italian study has provided what researchers believe is the first observational evidence that our universe could be a vast and complex hologram.

Edit, see also:

http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/sciencefair/2017/01/30/universe-hologram-illusion/97249856/
« Last Edit: January 30, 2017, 09:51:53 PM by AbruptSLR »
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #252 on: February 07, 2017, 10:59:48 PM »
In the 'Trump Presidency' thread I have recently critiqued the alt-right, leftist populism and establishment approaches to addressing our current situation.  However, in my opinion we are headed for a socio-economic collapse (accelerated by climate change) in the next few decades regardless of the balance of alt-right, leftist populism, or establishment controls in political power and that following the collapse there will be two primary socio-economic movements co-existing (although interacting somewhat less dramatically than in 'The Matrix'):

(1) Those tied to the results of the 4th Industrial Revolution (which cannot be stopped at this point).  'Neural Lace' will allow these people to be connected to quantum-AI while conducting their affairs and thus will have a cyborg type existence (but different from the human farms in 'The Matrix').

(2) Those who take a more human based approach (somewhat like those in Zion in 'The Matrix'), but who have learned some of the systemic lessons from our pending socio-economic collapse, in order to cooperate more ala Marx's 'species being'.

As climate change is caused by humans, it would seem like our radiative forcing scenarios would benefit from addressing human nature.  With this in mind I provide the following link to the Wikipedia article entitled: "Marx's Theory of Human Nature", as 'species-being' (or species-essence) underpinned his critiques of capitalism and this construction of communist theory.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marx's_theory_of_human_nature

Extract: "Some Marxists posit what they deem to be Marx's theory of human nature, which they accord an important place in his critique of capitalism, his conception of communism, and his 'materialist conception of history'. Karl Marx, however, does not refer to "human nature" as such, but to Gattungswesen, which is generally translated as 'species-being' or 'species-essence'. According to a note from the young Marx in the Manuscripts of 1844, the term is derived from Ludwig Feuerbach’s philosophy, in which it refers both to the nature of each human and of humanity as a whole.

However, in the sixth Thesis on Feuerbach (1845), Marx criticizes the traditional conception of "human nature" as "species" which incarnates itself in each individual, instead arguing that the conception of human nature is formed by the totality of "social relations". Thus, the whole of human nature is not understood, as in classical idealist philosophy, as permanent and universal: the species-being is always determined in a specific social and historical formation, with some aspects being biological."
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #253 on: February 27, 2017, 09:31:34 AM »
As some people who read this thread do not read the "Empire - America and the future" thread, I have decided to re-post some recent relevant replies from that thread to this thread, beginning with the following post by JimD:


ALSR

A bit of a tweek here.  Just in fun, but with a serious side. 

Since I know how partial you are to AI and its possible positive side.  Here, however, is a real world actual existing early version of another use for AI and it certainly is hard from certain perspectives to think of it as positive.  IN fact it may have been the deciding factor in electing Trump.

Tell me what you think of this.

https://scout.ai/story/the-rise-of-the-weaponized-ai-propaganda-machine
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #254 on: February 27, 2017, 09:33:15 AM »
ALSR

A bit of a tweek here.  Just in fun, but with a serious side. 

Since I know how partial you are to AI and its possible positive side.  Here, however, is a real world actual existing early version of another use for AI and it certainly is hard from certain perspectives to think of it as positive.  IN fact it may have been the deciding factor in electing Trump.

Tell me what you think of this.

https://scout.ai/story/the-rise-of-the-weaponized-ai-propaganda-machine

Jim,

Thanks for a more detailed article than I have seen before on Cambridge Analytica and how Temp Trump/Mercer used it; and I enjoyed the read.

My impression is that we should all buckle-in because while the 3rd Industrial Revolution was about Information Science, the 4th Industrial Revolution is about the acceleration of the rate of change due to Information Science (so we haven't seen anything yet).

My general impression is that after circa 2045 we will see two significantly different tracks for post-collapse society: (1) one dominated by a cyborg approach and (2) one dominated by a species being type of approach.

When I have more time, I will write more.

Best,
ASLR
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #255 on: February 27, 2017, 09:33:57 AM »
The linked article is entitled: "Russia military acknowledges new branch: info warfare troops".   As we accelerate into the 4th Industrial Revolution, it would be Pollyannaish to ignore the use of information science in either warfare, or politics (I am sure that the NSA is not making this mistake).

http://www.militarytimes.com/articles/planes-tanks-ships-russian-military-gets-massive-upgrade

Extract: "Along with a steady flow of new missiles, planes and tanks, Russia's defense minister said Wednesday his nation also has built up its muscle by forming a new branch of the military — information warfare troops."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #256 on: February 27, 2017, 09:35:26 AM »
: SteveMDFP  February 23, 2017, 12:57:27 AM

That's one of the most disturbing articles I've ever read.  I had noticed in the few days before the US election a big increase in anti-Hillary material online.  This article explains that.






The truth of the matter is that politics is largely about the manipulation of uncertainty to get what one side wants; which has been going on for a long time.  So as not to dive into ancient history, the linked 2014 article is entitled: "Karl Rove vs. Hillary Clinton: Whisper campaign explodes on Internet", and provides an example of how during the 3rd Industrial Revolution, the internet allowed Karl Rove to effectively manipulate the truth before his target could react.  While the Cambridge Analytica work accelerates this trend by adding 4th Industrial Revolution - AI to Karl Rove's more traditional 'whisper campaigns' (he originally compiled lists of conservative groups and identified the key influencers in the groups to which he fed fake information to just before a key vote, so that the fake information would spread rapidly by whispers within the group before the target could respond).   Rather than expressing 'moral outrage' it is better to use information science to attack the uncertainty associated by fake information in order to mount a rapid response.

http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/politicsnow/la-pn-analysis-karl-rove-hillary-clinton-whisper-campaign-internet-20140513-story.html

Extract: "Judged strictly as strategy, and not, say, for its morality, Karl Rove’s blast at Hillary Clinton on Tuesday demonstrated how the game of political trickery manifests itself in the Internet age. Allegation reported, allegation denied, outrage from the victimized party, all bouncing across the Web, the initial accusation repeated each and every time -- a whisper campaign given full baying voice.

The Republican strategist's questioning of Clinton’s health was a joint assault on the minds of voters and the heart of the would-be White House contender, and it probably worked, at least minimally, by injecting into the conversation something no one had been talking about, and spreading a negative assertion without any proof."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #257 on: February 27, 2017, 09:37:00 AM »

: AbruptSLR  February 22, 2017, 05:26:01 AM

My general impression is that after circa 2045 we will see two significantly different tracks for post-collapse society: (1) one dominated by a cyborg approach and (2) one dominated by a species being type of approach.

When I have more time, I will write more.

Best,
ASLR





Just a quick note to expand on my two points cited in the quote above:

(1) The road to the cyborg approach is fairly obvious, when AI can not only be used to manipulate elections but also: (a) the stock market as demonstrated by Robert Mercer's (Renaissance Technologies') Medallion Fund; (b) support cyber-warfare as demonstrated by all major and minor powers in the world; (c) governance as is currently being demonstrated by the alt-right's attack on mainstream media via fake news and alternate facts and (d) Groups like Anonymous can hack private entities like: Microsoft, Facebook, Google and OpenAI to develop coding better than that used by Cambridge Analytica; in order to advance their own agendas.

In this regards, see the linked articles with the first entitled: "What Does the Billionaire Family Backing Donald Trump Really Want?"

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/01/no-one-knows-what-the-powerful-mercers-really-want/514529/


The second linked article is entitled: "Renaissance Partner Airs Battle With Mercer Over Trump

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-23/renaissance-partner-airs-battle-with-mercer-over-trump-wsj-says

Extract: "A Renaissance Technologies partner went public with his strong objections to top executive Robert Mercer’s support for President Donald Trump, telling the Wall Street Journal of a heated confrontation between the two men that may lead to his firing.

David Magerman has worked at the quantitative hedge fund for 20 years and helped design the firm’s trading systems. A registered Democrat, Magerman, 48, told the paper that Mercer’s “views show contempt for the social safety net that he doesn’t need, but many Americans do.”"

(2) The road to the species being approach could use a combination of mindfulness and electronic monitoring equipment to link the human mind to the holographic universe.  This might be achieved via the phosphorus pathway discussed in the following linked article is entitled: “The strange link between the human mind and quantum physics”.  In a few decades, who knows how much progress will be made into this matter.

http://www.bbc.com/earth/story/20170215-the-strange-link-between-the-human-mind-and-quantum-physics

Extract: “The perennial puzzle of consciousness has even led some researchers to invoke quantum physics to explain it. That notion has always been met with skepticism, which is not surprising: it does not sound wise to explain one mystery with another. But such ideas are not obviously absurd, and neither are they arbitrary.

For one thing, the mind seemed, to the great discomfort of physicists, to force its way into early quantum theory. What's more, quantum computers are predicted to be capable of accomplishing things ordinary computers cannot, which reminds us of how our brains can achieve things that are still beyond artificial intelligence. "Quantum consciousness" is widely derided as mystical woo, but it just will not go away.

In a study published in 2015, physicist Matthew Fisher of the University of California at Santa Barbara argued that the brain might contain molecules capable of sustaining more robust quantum superpositions. Specifically, he thinks that the nuclei of phosphorus atoms may have this ability.

In 2016, Adrian Kent of the University of Cambridge in the UK, one of the most respected "quantum philosophers", speculated that consciousness might alter the behaviour of quantum systems in subtle but detectable ways.“
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #258 on: February 27, 2017, 09:38:17 AM »

This post is a follow-on to my last post Reply #652:

The thing that upsets me the most about denalists (including both climate change denalists & Team Trump) is their preference for presenting reasonable logic, that I myself would use, and then at the very end present an answer that is the exact opposite of what I would conclude.  They then disseminate their 'findings' as fast & as widely as possible, in order to catch as many of the unprepared as possible in their nets of deceit.

For this post, I focus on Steve Bannon's use of Nassim Taleb's antifragility concept in his alt-right populist strategy of removing restraints on both Wall Street and the fossil fuel industry as part of an attempt to tear down the managerialist establishment that is suppose to be increasing the fragility of our global socio-economic system.

While decreasing the fragility of our global socio-economic system sound admirable, the way that alt-right populist are going about it by increasing fear, casino capitalism and kleptocratic opportunities is the opposite of what is needed.

Systems that are anti-fragile has a deep culture of experimentation without creating fear that can stifle innovation.  Clinging desperately to the past like Team Trump is doing by trying to turn back the clock to time when Detroit (motortown) and the oil and gas industries (i.e. heavy industries) were dominate in the US culture is only going to increase the fragility of the US socio-economic system.

True anti-fragility can be found in places like Silicon Valley (with its 'disruptive' technologies), which are places that deeply distrust Team Trump.  Merely thinking that you don't like AI and the 4th Industrial Revolution does not mean that they are not going to happen, and indeed thrive in the current and coming periods of chaotic transition.  Thus I recommend studying information science (see the “Systemic Isolation” and the “Adapting the the Anthropocene” threads) before companies like Cambridge Analytica (that is working with Team Trump) not only uses AI (including quantum computing) to deceptively flip elections but also the stock market thus converting crony capitalism into kleptocratic capitalism.

Carlota Perez has shown, advances in new technologies…whether it’s the railways, electricity…are marked by a chaotic transitional phase of wars, financial scandals, industrial mayhem and deep anxieties about the collapse of civilization; and due to the 4th Industrial Revolution we are going through one of those transitions today.

Protectionists, like Team Trump, believe in a system based on financial leverage (i.e. casino capitalism), heft, industries working in silos, banks directing the flow of capital and holding the balance of power (just look at Trump's cabinet appointments).  In such a period of chaotic transition Elon Musk is supporting OpenAI (which is open to everyone) and Facebook is writing to flag bad behavior like 'alternate facts'; in order to fight against companies like Cambridge Analytica that use deceptive AI to take advantage of 'others'.

I am not recommending the cyborg-approach (& prefer the species being approach), I do recommend facing the future with your eyes open instead of with Pollyannaish naivety.

Edit: A significant component of what I am saying here is that in times of change, 'natural selection' leads to systemic cooperation while 'survival of the fittest' leads to systemic isolation (alt-right).

See also:

http://www.thomaslfriedman.com/thank-you-for-being-late/

“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #259 on: February 27, 2017, 09:38:47 AM »
The linked article is entitled: “What if AI Could Lie?”  AI mimics humans and as we now live in a world dominated by alt-right fake news, we should need to watch out for deceptive humans, deceptive machines and soon cyborgs:

https://disruptionhub.com/what-if-ai-could-lie/

Extract: “Artificial Intelligence is constantly fed information from countless channels. If AI can understand deception, then all of these channels would be disrupted. In some ways, this is good news. In order to achieve optimal function, AI needs to handle missing or hidden data. It’s also useful for it to understand lying – for example, AI can pick up on fake news using an algorithm that mimics traditional journalism techniques. As of this month, it’s even used on U.S. borders as an unbiased lie detector. On the other hand, adding the ability to hide or twist data to super-intelligent systems is a recipe for disaster. AI systems have already worked out how to lie to each other, which creates competition rather than collaboration. Imagine what would happen if AI-enabled robots decided to keep information to themselves – in other words, refusing to co-operate with humans? The relationship between humans and technology would be fundamentally altered. Either way, if Artificial Intelligence can learn to be dishonest, it can be programmed to lie for malicious ends. Cyber criminals could hack into machine learning systems and play havoc with vital info, using rogue AI as blackmail or to steal data. It’s even been argued that AI is deceptive by nature because it mimics and imitates.

It’s clear that AI research isn’t going to stop just because Artificial Intelligence could be dangerous. That means that the only thing developers and investors can do is work together to find ways to contain or prevent deceptive AI. This is supposedly what Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Facebook, IBM and now Apple are doing with their partnership on AI. . . but if it was difficult to trust AI before, it definitely will be now that machine learning systems can bluff as well as, and better than, humans. Ultimately, if data-saturated AI can lie to us about our own information (and share it within neural networks that we can’t access) then we have a serious problem.”

Edit: This is the end of the re-posted replies from the "Empire - America and the future" thread.
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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SteveMDFP

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #260 on: February 27, 2017, 02:47:21 PM »
: SteveMDFP  February 23, 2017, 12:57:27 AM

That's one of the most disturbing articles I've ever read.  I had noticed in the few days before the US election a big increase in anti-Hillary material online.  This article explains that.






The truth of the matter is that politics is largely about the manipulation of uncertainty to get what one side wants; which has been going on for a long time.  So as not to dive into ancient history, the linked 2014 article is entitled: "Karl Rove vs. Hillary Clinton: Whisper campaign explodes on Internet", and provides an example of how during the 3rd Industrial Revolution, the internet allowed Karl Rove to effectively manipulate the truth before his target could react.  While the Cambridge Analytica work accelerates this trend by adding 4th Industrial Revolution - AI to Karl Rove's more traditional 'whisper campaigns' (he originally compiled lists of conservative groups and identified the key influencers in the groups to which he fed fake information to just before a key vote, so that the fake information would spread rapidly by whispers within the group before the target could respond).   Rather than expressing 'moral outrage' it is better to use information science to attack the uncertainty associated by fake information in order to mount a rapid response.

http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/politicsnow/la-pn-analysis-karl-rove-hillary-clinton-whisper-campaign-internet-20140513-story.html
. . .


I appreciate your re-posting the thread.  It's sufficiently important to merit wider dissemination.

I'd urge folks to read the article:
https://scout.ai/story/the-rise-of-the-weaponized-ai-propaganda-machine

AI applied to propaganda is a fearsome development.  There's reason to believe that this technology is really what was responsible for the momentous election outcomes that polling said were wildly unlikely to happen, the Brexit vote and the Trump win.  There was nothing wrong with the polling, absent the AI-powered last-minute push, there'd have been no surprises.

As Cambridge Analytica won't offer its services to liberal causes, we can now expect as much as a 3% last-minute shift in voting totals towards conservative/populist/fascist directions.  This means that Le Pen may well win victory in France.  Other elections in the Netherlands and Germany may well have similar right-wing upset victories.  This would likely spell the end of the EU and the Euro.  Buckle up, everyone.

wili

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #261 on: February 27, 2017, 03:01:56 PM »
Ha! We posted at about the same time, Steve.

I posted a similar article from the Guardian over on the Trump thread. I agree that this requires widespread dissemination and ought to make us rethink our use of social media.

"A force de chercher de bonnes raisons, on en trouve; on les dit; et après on y tient, non pas tant parce qu'elles sont bonnes que pour ne pas se démentir." Choderlos de Laclos "You struggle to come up with some valid reasons, then cling to them, not because they're good, but just to not back down."

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #262 on: February 27, 2017, 05:26:10 PM »
As some people who read this thread do not read the "Empire - America and the future" thread, I have decided to re-post some recent relevant replies from that thread to this thread, beginning with the following post by JimD:


ALSR

A bit of a tweek here.  Just in fun, but with a serious side. 

Since I know how partial you are to AI and its possible positive side.  Here, however, is a real world actual existing early version of another use for AI and it certainly is hard from certain perspectives to think of it as positive.  IN fact it may have been the deciding factor in electing Trump.

Tell me what you think of this.

https://scout.ai/story/the-rise-of-the-weaponized-ai-propaganda-machine

perhaps a bit too short but i only say that it even already has the correct name that is "ANDROID"

and of course the other big players are no better, what i mean is that humans will probably in big parts extinct themselves by becoming "androids" a mix of human and machine with ingredients like electronic components, case oriented enforced body parts, spare parts, parts from cultivated flesh and parts from other materials. it will happen for sure and i don't even judge it, it will have advantages and disadvantages like everything else. even our "holey" mother sun is not just good, depends on distance and other factors whether it's a blessing or a curse :-)

enjoy further
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #263 on: February 27, 2017, 11:56:47 PM »
The recent series of posts on deceptive AI afford me with a convenient opportunity to circle back to the Matrix theme that I used at the beginning of this thread; together with the Cad vs Dad theme presented in the previously posted linked research by Wlodarski et. al. (2015), cited at the end of this post.

Here Dads are associated with 'natural selection' (i.e. system cooperation) while Cads are associated with 'survival of the fittest' (i.e. systemic isolation).  The linked article indicates that human evolution has produced roughly a 50/50 split between human Cad/Dad fathers (who reproduce).  The article also indicates that historically in times of sufficient hardship the percentage of Dads increased, while in times of sufficient plenty, Cads have increased in their percentages.  It appears to me that alt-right populist are currently using othering to gab resources while the grabbing is still goo (a few decades before the coming collapse).

The best way to fight deception by Cads is via information.  However shortly aft Dads provide sufficient information to expose such deception, the boundary of uncertainty shifts, thus backing the Cads further into a corner; which is not a problem in a growing situation; but leads to conflict in a degrading situation (like the world is currently experiencing). 

In a post-collapse (after 2050-2060) socio-economic system, I believe that the elite Cads will become cyborg-like (with many of the common alt-right populists not reproducing after the collapse) & the Dads becoming more species-being like.  In the movie 'The Matrix' the cyborgs (Cads) are represented by the symbiotic relationship between the 'farmed' humans and the machine city; while the species-being Dads are represented by the humans hiding in Zion.

In such a hypothesized situation the 'energy' being harvested by the AI machines is not classical 'energy' but rather anti-entropy as defined by information theory; while Neo represents the human-path to enlightened anti-entropy vis mindfulness (possibly aided by feedback from the phosphorus pathway).

The Extract below from the Economist magazine as based on science it appears that humans are wired to be either Cads (deceptive) or Dads (supportive):

Rafael Wlodarski, John Manning , R. I. M. Dunbar, (2015), "Stay or stray? Evidence for alternative mating strategy phenotypes in both men and women", Biology Letters, Volume: 11 Issue: 2, DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2014.0977

http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/11/2/20140977

http://rsbl.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/roybiolett/11/2/20140977.full.pdf

See also:

http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21642000-promiscuity-and-fidelity-seem-be-specific-biological-adaptations-their

Extract: "Dr Wlodarski and his colleagues calculate that cads outnumber dads by a ratio of 57:43. Loose women, by contrast, are outnumbered by their more constant sisters, but by only 53:47. Each of these ratios tends in the direction of received wisdom. Both, though, are close enough to 50:50 for that fact to need an explanation.


If their analysis is correct, Dr Wlodarski and his colleagues have probably stumbled on a type of equilibrium known to biologists as an evolutionarily stable strategy, in which a way of behaving becomes more advantageous as it gets rarer, and less so as it gets commoner. Cads succeed when dads are frequent, and vice versa. Neither can conquer and neither can vanish. Such equilibria are part of a branch of math called game theory—"
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #264 on: March 06, 2017, 12:24:33 AM »
All of the world's current major problems (overpopulation, overshoot, international tension etc.) can be analytically-classified as 'wicked'.  Wicked problems are situational and characterized by both complexity and uncertainty, and thus are not conducive to being resolved by direct logic.  Therefore, in this (& the following series of) post(s), I will focus on the use of Hegel's dialectic technique (with its [Fichte's] thesis/antithesis/synthesis logic structure) in order to better understand the dynamic relationship between evidence-based (Dad/Cooperative-type ) decision makers and pre-conditioned  (Cad/Isolationist-type) decision makers.  My goal is to better understand how to evolve our currently overshoot situation towards a less fragile situation, in a Bayesian fashion.  Such a dialectic technique could be metaphorically imagined (see the first attached image) as the dynamic/tense/clashing interaction between a mindfulness-skillset vs a preconditioned-skillset spiraling in a Hegelian fashion (see the second & third attached images) around a complex core of uncertain interactions in a double-helix manner (see the fourth attached image) thru time.  This double helical interaction/clashing can be considered as two trail lawyers spirally around uncertainties in a court case towards a jury-determination of the 'truth' beyond a reasonable shadow of doubt.  In this sense trial testimony is presented that is charged to be "the 'truth', the whole 'truth' and nothing but the 'truth'", with one lawyer represents pre-conditioned/conceived 'truths' and the other side represents evidence-based 'truths'. 

As many readers are not familiar with Hegel, I provide the first linked Hegel video, that discusses how the thesis and antithesis are both incomplete versions of the truth (priori) & thus must clash to form a new synthesis (or posterior).  This new synthesis then serves a new thesis (priori) for a new cycle of clashes with updated antithesis to form a new round of cycle as shown in the second, third and fourth attached images.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q54VyCpXDH8

As Hegel's thinking is somewhat convoluted, I provide the second linked video on Hegel, as a synopsis of some of his key points.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5JGE3lhuNo

1.  "Important parts of ourselves can be found in history".  Thus we should not feel superior to earlier era, but rather bonded with it.

2.  "Learn from ideas you dislike".  Thus, nationalist can learn from globalists and vice versa.
3. "Progress is messy".  Thus, it takes at least three cycles of the dialectic to reach a new synthesis.

4. "Art has a purpose - Art is a sensuous presentation of ideas".  Thus, art and metaphors help us to grasp the sterile logic of complex situations (Which is why I am presenting a Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor).

5. "We need new institutions".  Thus, idea need to be more than merely correct, they need corrected institutions to put them into effect.

As Capitalism (in all of its modern forms such as: crony, casino, vulture, etc.) is at the core of many/most of the current problems (partially because it has surpassed other failed systems like Communism, Imperialism etc.), and as Marx was a major critic of Capitalism and was taken by Hegel's dialectic line of thinking, I present the following third linked video on Marx:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fSQgCy_iIcc

1.  "Modern work is alienated".  Over specialized work has disconnected us from our truth species-being nature.

2.  "Modern work is insecure".  I.e. modern capitalism makes us expendable.

3.  "Workers get paid little while capitalists get rich". I.e. profit is not a reward for elitist ingenuity/talent but rather is theft of congealed talent and efforts of the workers; so that profit is exploitation.

4. "Capitalism is very unstable". I.e. Oscillations from crisis to crisis is endemic in capitalism due to periods of unsustainable overshooting of production leading to excessive exploitation and a collapse of demand.  Marx believe that such oscillations could be reduced/eliminated by a redistribution of wealth.

5. "Capitalism is bad for capitalists".  I.e. capitalism forces us to put economics ahead of human values w.r.t. our interactions; or that "commodity fetishism" (or materialism) that creates a ideology that people such be valued for their production and that leisure is sinful.  This ideology makes people anxious, competitive, conformist and politically complacent.  Thus Marx's idea of utopian included no private wealth, no inheritance, a steeply graduated tax, centralism control of finance, communication and transport & free education leading to species-being.

In the Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor, a chain reaction of clashing interests causes spiraling oscillations due to errors/shortcoming of the thesis creating an antithesis (with its own errors) leading to an imperfect synthesis that fuels another round of suffering.  In HIOTTOE, these chain reaction of helically spiraling oscillations of errors can be progressively dampened out by the application of the trinity of Atapi-Sampanjo-Satima, and I noted that the Trinity is also heavy in meaning in Christian theology, for example with regards to: "The Father, the Son and the Holy Spirit". For those who have not followed this thread, I offer the following discussion about the Pali words in this phrase:

Atapi is the right effort; which allows one to focus on, and sub-divide (dhamma investigation), the signals observed by free will in real time & in a manner that is aware of the transient (impermanent) nature of the signals (body in body, sensations in sensations, mind in mind and mental content in mental content).

Sampanjano allows one to transcend the truth that one believes at any moment (priori) to perceive (sanna) the truth that is in that moment, and then allows one to use free will to choose not to react to form (sankhara) another mindless posterior but rather to produce a mindful/wise posterior (which result in less misery/suffering/signal error).

Satima allows one to maintain continuous awareness while maintaining atapi and sampanjano.

The application of "atapi-sampajano-satima" is a means where one recognizes that suffering created by reductionism in real time (atapi) thereby developing the wisdom (sampajano) to let go of pre-conditioned assumptions inherent in reductionism in order to more fully live (remain aware) in the moment (satima).

To me it is self-evident that this Pali phase describes a process that facilitates the scientific method.  Also, in terms of the Bayesian dialectic double helix metaphor, the double helical dialectic process results in a pre-conditioned chain of mindless reactions leading to 'becoming' (rebirth) and the associated suffering.

For more easily accessible background on the teachings of Buddha see the following linked video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tilBs32zN7I

We need to acknowledge and face suffering.in order to extinguish the flames of craving & aversion; which liberates us from suffering (from addiction & mental illness) via the noble eightfold path of: Right view, right intention, right speech, right action, right livelihood, right effort, right mindfulness and right concentration; which takes actual/real practice in order to develop a mind grounded in truth.

I present this series of post here for ease of reference to my prior posts in this thread related to the Holographic Interpretation of the Theory of Everything, HIOTTOE (which uses insights from both information science and its traditional counterpart mindfulness/Vipassana); however, new readers might also want to examine my posts in other threads including the "Adapting to the Anthropocene" and "Human Stupidity" threads.  While my presentation may seem unnecessarily convoluted (as was Hegel's), by the end of my following series of posts, it would be nice to believe that activist scientists could use the metaphor of a dialect double helix to help support evidence-based policy making.

“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #265 on: March 06, 2017, 12:29:29 AM »
The linked Wikipedia article entitled: "Thesis, antithesis synthesis", makes it clear that Fichte introduced this triad logic structure, while (per Mueller)for Hegel the dialectic did not mean the triad but rather the:

"Dialectic means that any "ism"--which has a polar opposite, or is a special viewpoint leaving "the rest" to itself--must be criticized by the logic of philosophical thought, whose problem is reality as such, the "World-itself."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thesis,_antithesis,_synthesis

Extract: "… Hegelian Dialectic as the process of a thought that passes through stages of a thesis, antithesis and synthesis … a beginning proposition called a thesis, (2) a negation of that thesis called the antithesis, and (3) a synthesis whereby the two conflicting ideas are reconciled to form a new proposition.

Kant concretises his ideas into:
•   Thesis: "The world has a beginning in time, and is limited with regard to space."
•   Antithesis: "The world has no beginning and no limits in space, but is infinite, in respect to both time and space."

Inasmuch as conjectures like these can be said to be resolvable, Fichte's Grundlage der gesammten Wissenschaftaslehre (1794) resolved Kant's dyad by synthesis, posing the question thus:
•   Are synthetic judgments a priori possible?
o   No synthesis is possible without a preceding antithesis. As little as antithesis without synthesis, or synthesis without antithesis, is possible; just as little possible are both without thesis.

Fichte employed the triadic idea "thesis–antithesis–synthesis" as a formula for the explanation of change.

According to Walter Kaufmann (1966), although the triad is often thought to form part of an analysis of historical and philosophical progress called the Hegelian dialectic, the assumption is erroneous:

Whoever looks for the stereotype of the allegedly Hegelian dialectic in Hegel's Phenomenology will not find it. What one does find on looking at the table of contents is a very decided preference for triadic arrangements. ... But these many triads are not presented or deduced by Hegel as so many theses, antitheses, and syntheses. It is not by means of any dialectic of that sort that his thought moves up the ladder to absolute knowledge.

Gustav E. Mueller (1958) concurs that Hegel was not a proponent of thesis, antithesis, and synthesis, and clarifies what the concept of dialectic might have meant in Hegel's thought.
"Dialectic" does not for Hegel mean "thesis, antithesis, and synthesis." Dialectic means that any "ism"--which has a polar opposite, or is a special viewpoint leaving "the rest" to itself--must be criticized by the logic of philosophical thought, whose problem is reality as such, the "World-itself."

According to Mueller, the attribution of this tripartite dialectic to Hegel is the result of "inept reading" and simplistic translations which do not take into account the genesis of Hegel's terms:
Hegel's greatness is as indisputable as his obscurity. The matter is due to his peculiar terminology and style; they are undoubtedly involved and complicated, and seem excessively abstract. These linguistic troubles, in turn, have given rise to legends which are like perverse and magic spectacles - once you wear them, the text simply vanishes. Theodor Haering's monumental and standard work has for the first time cleared up the linguistic problem. By carefully analyzing every sentence from his early writings, which were published only in this century, he has shown how Hegel's terminology evolved - though it was complete when he began to publish. Hegel's contemporaries were immediately baffled, because what was clear to him was not clear to his readers, who were not initiated into the genesis of his terms.

An example of how a legend can grow on inept reading is this: Translate "Begriff" by "concept," "Vernunft" by "reason" and "Wissenschaft" by "science"--and they are all good dictionary translations--and you have transformed the great critic of rationalism and irrationalism into a ridiculous champion of an absurd pan-logistic rationalism and scientism.
The most vexing and devastating Hegel legend is that everything is thought in "thesis, antithesis, and synthesis."

In my last post I noted that in the Bayesian/Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor, the double helical dialectic process results in a pre-conditioned chain of mindless reactions (or –isms) leading to 'becoming' (rebirth) and the associated suffering. In this sense it is clear why the Buddha recommended following the middle path between such extremes, and that the middle path can be reached by the progressive application of atapi-sanpajano-satima.

“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #266 on: March 06, 2017, 12:34:29 AM »
I note that per HIOTTOE, the Holographic Universe can be considered as a free will information network with a recurring fractal-like information structure.  So if one considers the Hegelian dialectic double helix as a metaphor for a chaotic strange attractor, one should not be surprised to find this fractal-like metaphor useful at many different scales and applicable to many different information driven chaotic systems (e.g. socio-economic, biological, psychological, political, etc).
Thus before returning to the topic of how to refine/update the Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor, using information science, I present one recent example of the application of this dialectic in politics.

Here, Trump's definition of "fake news" as any reporting that makes his administration look bad; can lead to a mainstream media thesis that alt-right populism is leading to Orwellian Newspeak to and its totalitarian implementation to prevent "thoughtcrime".  However, per the dialectic interpretation, this led to the alt-right media antithesis that we do not need to be concerned by Trump totalitarian Newspeak because any such systems are brittle and will soon collapse under their own weight.  Rather they warn that we should all be more concerned by the 'globalist' hidden agenda illustrated in Huxley's book "Brave New Worlds".

An example of the thesis, about Trump and Newspeak, can be found in the first linked article entitled "Trump's cabinet is cleverer than you think":

http://felixonline.co.uk/comment/6838/trumps-cabinet-is-cleverer-than-you-think/

Extract: "The simplicity of Trump’s language is staggering. His vocabulary is incredibly basic and his sentences are very short – it is far from that expected of a statesman. George W. Bush managed words with more syllables. On the campaign trail this lack of linguistic ability exposed the man as a semi-coherent orator with barely the capacity for holding office. Countless times were the words "great", "terrible", "strong", "weak", "winning" and "losing" used, and always in their direct pairs.

Now in power, this simplicity has become more sinister and is reminiscent of Newspeak, the language used in Orwell’s dystopia. Its purpose is to "diminish the range of thought", to suit the ideological needs of the Party by removing all but the essential meaning of words so as to prevent thoughtcrime. In the case of the Trump administration, this particular set of words and others have been used to the point where they have lost all but their bare meaning."

Now combine this basic, unequivocal language with how the administration delivers information and you get a recipe for something that is in the same vein as the Ministry of Truth. The persistent television interviews with Kellyanne Conway or Stephen Miller, as well as the painful press conferences with Sean Spicer, seem to give different narratives as they go and then finally agree on a common line of thought, somewhat akin to the work of Orwell’s protagonist Winston in Minitrue when he has to sift through old news articles and reports altering information to suit the Party. When Oceania changes adversaries in the war from Eurasia to Eastasia, the history of the perpetual conflict is entirely rewritten, resulting in public outrage that Eastasia was the enemy all along, with blind disregard for the past. This is because of the bare meaning of the language and its constructs, and how it has subsequently discouraged thoughtcrime."

An example of the antithesis can be found in the second linked article entitled: "Trump presidency sparks debate over George Orwell and Aldous Huxley":

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/arts/review/trump-presidency-sparks-debate-over-george-orwell-and-aldous-huxley/news-story/8b909a6d82673c090988fadbfa7d51d8

Extract: "The sales boost has sparked a debate about who was right, Huxley in 1932 or Orwell in 1949. Both novels are set in a dystopian future. The dystopias are achieved differently — Orwell went for repression, poverty and the Junior Anti-Sex League; Huxley for technology, drugs, entertainment and sex — but the outcomes are much the same: the state is all-powerful.

The Nineteen Eighty-Four quote I’d like to pull out, though, is: “The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.” Trump was there for everyone’s eyes to see and ears to hear, and he was elected, not rejected.

Orwell created a Stalinist totalitarian world, the sort of state the West feared through the long Cold War. Yet, as Christopher Hitchens observed in 1999, Orwell’s “house of horrors” collapsed soon after the year in which he set the novel. The Berlin Wall came down, the Soviet Union separated. “Huxley,” he wrote, “rightly foresaw that any such regime could break because it could not bend.”

I’m leaning to the Huxleyites in this debate: “What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book, for there would be no one who wanted to read one. Orwell feared those who would deprive us of information. Huxley feared those who would give us so much that we would be reduced to passivity and egoism. Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance. Orwell feared we would become a captive culture. Huxley feared we would become a trivial culture.”"
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #267 on: March 06, 2017, 01:07:16 AM »
Another example of the application of the Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor to current socio-economics, and associated politics, can be based on the human dynamics cited in Nicholas Taleb's book: "Antifragility: Things that Gain from Disorder".  Bannon has retained Nicholas Taleb as a consultant; which can lead to a mainstream media thesis that the kleptocratic Team Trump is intentionally creating disruption in order to grab power/resources during the ensuing disorder.

This thesis is supported by the linked article is entitled: "Populist Masculinity and the Suspension of Order".  The article indicates that Trump's populist masculinity demands crisis/disorder so that it garner power.

https://www.pastemagazine.com/articles/2017/02/populist-masculinity-and-the-suspension-of-order.html

Extract: "Populist masculinity can be seen as a pyramid scheme with Trump at the top, surrounded by his uber-rich and uber-right cronies. Below this highest level of the pyramid reside the celebrity class of the alt-right such as Milo Yiannopoulos and Mike Cernovich. These mid-tier populists resell Trumpian populism to the people lower down the pyramid in the hope of building sufficient cultural and financial capital to elevate themselves further up the pyramid (they certainly have little genuine interest in those further down). At the base of the pyramid are the much-famed “white working class” and their various economic and racial permutations who suffer certain masculine anxieties. Some of those anxieties, such as the loss of identity in a globalized labor market, are forgivable; others, such as the loss of white male privilege, are not.

What this pyramid suggests is that there is no such singular thing as “populist masculinity,” rather a spectrum of populist masculinities with different hopes, dreams and anxieties. In order to do justice to these diverse experiences, let alone construct compelling alternatives that will draw people away from Trump, it is necessary to think more creatively around the subject of how masculinity functions right now. There are multiple dynamics at play behind populist masculinity. One of these is the suspension of order.

In short, populist masculinity casts masculinity in a state of exception. By framing masculinity as under attack by liberal values, populist masculinity invokes exceptional powers to assert regressive forms of masculinity that in non-exceptional circumstances might appear unreasonable. We hear much about the so-called “crisis of masculinity.” The crucial pivot here is that masculinity is not in crisis, rather masculinity demands crisis. When crisis ensues, unexpected proposals may suddenly appear on the table: the suppression of women and atypical men, martial law, or any number of other unsavory things justified by alternative facts that would not seem credible in normal circumstances.

All such strategies require an intellectual mentor, and populist masculinity may find one in Nassim Nicholas Taleb, whose book Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder argues for the need to thrive in what might otherwise be described as the state of exception. Taleb may not know it, but Antifragile enjoys a certain cult status within populist masculinity. A quick search on the forum of populist masculinist Roosh V shows many references to the man and the concept. Given Taleb is known for his bully-boy tactics and his tendency on Twitter to gauge a man’s worth by how much he can deadlift, perhaps Taleb will function not just as intellectual mentor, but intellectual attack dog."

This create the antithesis that it is inevitable that 'globalist' leader in disruptive technology companies like Mark Zuckerberg in Facebook and other comparable leader in Google/Alphabets, Apple, Facebook, Uber, Airbnb, Tesla, SpaceX, Amazon, etc., will increasingly impact politics in order to compete against the thesis that the alt-right isolationists are using disruption to grab more power away from the globalists.  The second linked article entitled: "Mark Zuckerberg: Progress ‘requires’ embrace of ‘global community’", supports the antithesis position:

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/feb/17/mark-zuckerberg-facebook-founder-progress-requires/

Extract: "Facebook founder Marck Zuckerberg left no doubt Thursday where he stands on the issue of globalism: progress “requires” it, he said.

Mr. Zuckerberg said in a statement called “Building Global Community” on his social-media platform that globalism is “the next step” for humanity, even if advocates face tough questions whether they can “make a global community that works for everyone.”

“Our greatest opportunities are now global — like spreading prosperity and freedom, promoting peace and understanding, lifting people out of poverty, and accelerating science,” Mr. Zuckerberg wrote. “Our greatest challenges also need global responses — like ending terrorism, fighting climate change, and preventing pandemics. Progress now requires humanity coming together not just as cities or nations, but also as a global community.”"

See also:
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/shortcuts/2017/feb/17/facebook-manifesto-mark-zuckerberg-letter-world-politics

&

http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2017/02/20/cuban-trump-cant-stop-rise-robots-and-their-effect-us-jobs/98155374/

Furthermore, I note that in the current early phases of the 4th Industrial Revolution (4th IR), sharing companies like Uber and Airbnb (and soon Tesla with self-driving-car ownership sharing groups) are made possible not only by the spread of smartphones (with GPS), but also by internet social networks for evaluating the offered services; by a surplus of cars & housing; degrading services; and by opportunities for hard-driving (disruptive) smart entrepreneurs (who knew how to work the legal system including the use lobbyists) in a high-pressure natural selection environment (where many other start-ups failed).  Other examples of the disruptive-growth nature of the 4th IR include: (a) both Google and Microsoft have announced that they will begin selling commercial general purpose quantum computers in 2017 (& I note that Obama signed a bill to support the development of a quantum Internet in the next few years); and (b) both SpaceX and Blue Origins have announced commercial trips to the moon by 2018 (see the linked article below).

http://mashable.com/2017/03/03/elon-musk-jeff-bezos-moon-plans/#1.VbupfXNqqj

Another example of the use of the dialectic to help understand the politicization of technical issues, I note that Trump has pulled the traditionally Democrats issue of infrastructure jobs into the kleptocratic sphere by means of proposed new Public-Private-Partnership (P3) legislation where concession rights to otherwise public infrastructure would be granted to private parties (many part of the kleptocracy) in exchange for access to trillions of dollars of currently untapped private monies.  However, if firms like Apple, Alphabet etc (globalist firms with billions of dollars of underutilized monies) take advantage of the new P3 legislation and use their advanced AI/IoT to out compete the isolationist kleptocrats in the infrastructure market then we could very soon have smart infrastructure to go along with our smart phones, smart cars, smart rockets and smart robots.  Further, once in the brick and mortar market such information based Dad firms can quickly go beyond Amazons new self-checkout stores into the hot-bedding of infrastructure where say one company uses a restaurant building for specialty breakfast & lunch and another uses it for specialty dinners, all facilitated by the IoT.
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #268 on: March 06, 2017, 01:14:07 AM »
As motivation for updating the traditional Hegelian dialectic, I note that most rational people agree that capitalism needs to be reformed as an institution; in face of both the 4th IR (supported by globalists to aim for increased worldwide interdependence) and the isolationist nationalistic worldwide populist movements.  In this regards, I note that Marx believed that the nature of "postcapitalism" will be largely determined by information science.

In the following linked article Paul Mason makes it clear that Marx has been mis-understood for over a century (see the second link to an open access copy of: "The Fragment on Machines" by Karl Marx); in much the same way that Hegel has frequently been misinterpreted:

http://www.theguardian.com/books/2015/jul/17/postcapitalism-end-of-capitalism-begun

Extract: "Capitalism, it turns out, will not be abolished by forced-march techniques. It will be abolished by creating something more dynamic that exists, at first, almost unseen within the old system, but which will break through, reshaping the economy around new values and behaviours. I call this postcapitalism.

As with the end of feudalism 500 years ago, capitalism’s replacement by postcapitalism will be accelerated by external shocks and shaped by the emergence of a new kind of human being. And it has started.

New forms of ownership, new forms of lending, new legal contracts: a whole business subculture has emerged over the past 10 years, which the media has dubbed the “sharing economy”. Buzzwords such as the “commons” and “peer-production” are thrown around, but few have bothered to ask what this development means for capitalism itself.

I believe it offers an escape route – but only if these micro-level projects are nurtured, promoted and protected by a fundamental change in what governments do. And this must be driven by a change in our thinking – about technology, ownership and work. So that, when we create the elements of the new system, we can say to ourselves, and to others: “This is no longer simply my survival mechanism, my bolt hole from the neoliberal world; this is a new way of living in the process of formation.”

Even now many people fail to grasp the true meaning of the word “austerity”. Austerity is not eight years of spending cuts, as in the UK, or even the social catastrophe inflicted on Greece. It means driving the wages, social wages and living standards in the west down for decades until they meet those of the middle class in China and India on the way up.

Innovation is happening but it has not, so far, triggered the fifth long upswing for capitalism that long-cycle theory would expect. The reasons lie in the specific nature of information technology.
...
We’re surrounded not just by intelligent machines but by a new layer of reality centred on information.

There is, alongside the world of monopolised information and surveillance created by corporations and governments, a different dynamic growing up around information: information as a social good, free at the point of use, incapable of being owned or exploited or priced. I’ve surveyed the attempts by economists and business gurus to build a framework to understand the dynamics of an economy based on abundant, socially-held information. But it was actually imagined by one 19th-century economist in the era of the telegraph and the steam engine. His name? Karl Marx.

In the “Fragment” Marx imagines an economy in which the main role of machines is to produce, and the main role of people is to supervise them. He was clear that, in such an economy, the main productive force would be information. The productive power of such machines as the automated cotton-spinning machine, the telegraph and the steam locomotive did not depend on the amount of labour it took to produce them but on the state of social knowledge. Organisation and knowledge, in other words, made a bigger contribution to productive power than the work of making and running the machines.

Given what Marxism was to become – a theory of exploitation based on the theft of labour time – this is a revolutionary statement. It suggests that, once knowledge becomes a productive force in its own right, outweighing the actual labour spent creating a machine, the big question becomes not one of “wages versus profits” but who controls what Marx called the “power of knowledge”.

In these musings, not published until the mid-20th century, Marx imagined information coming to be stored and shared in something called a “general intellect” – which was the mind of everybody on Earth connected by social knowledge, in which every upgrade benefits everybody. In short, he had imagined something close to the information economy in which we live. And, he wrote, its existence would “blow capitalism sky high”.
...
With the terrain changed, the old path beyond capitalism imagined by the left of the 20th century is lost.

But a different path has opened up. Collaborative production, using network technology to produce goods and services that only work when they are free, or shared, defines the route beyond the market system. It will need the state to create the framework – just as it created the framework for factory labour, sound currencies and free trade in the early 19th century. The postcapitalist sector is likely to coexist with the market sector for decades, but major change is happening.

By creating millions of networked people, financially exploited but with the whole of human intelligence one thumb-swipe away, info-capitalism has created a new agent of change in history: the educated and connected human being.

This will be more than just an economic transition. There are, of course, the parallel and urgent tasks of decarbonising the world and dealing with demographic and fiscal timebombs. But I’m concentrating on the economic transition triggered by information because, up to now, it has been sidelined. Peer-to-peer has become pigeonholed as a niche obsession for visionaries, while the “big boys” of leftwing economics get on with critiquing austerity.

So how do we visualise the transition ahead? The only coherent parallel we have is the replacement of feudalism by capitalism – and thanks to the work of epidemiologists, geneticists and data analysts, we know a lot more about that transition than we did 50 years ago when it was “owned” by social science. The first thing we have to recognise is: different modes of production are structured around different things. Feudalism was an economic system structured by customs and laws about “obligation”. Capitalism was structured by something purely economic: the market. We can predict, from this, that postcapitalism – whose precondition is abundance – will not simply be a modified form of a complex market society. But we can only begin to grasp at a positive vision of what it will be like.

I don’t mean this as a way to avoid the question: the general economic parameters of a postcapitalist society by, for example, the year 2075, can be outlined. But if such a society is structured around human liberation, not economics, unpredictable things will begin to shape it.

The feudal model of agriculture collided, first, with environmental limits and then with a massive external shock – the Black Death. After that, there was a demographic shock: too few workers for the land, which raised their wages and made the old feudal obligation system impossible to enforce. The labour shortage also forced technological innovation. The new technologies that underpinned the rise of merchant capitalism were the ones that stimulated commerce (printing and accountancy), the creation of tradeable wealth (mining, the compass and fast ships) and productivity (mathematics and the scientific method).

Present throughout the whole process was something that looks incidental to the old system – money and credit – but which was actually destined to become the basis of the new system. In feudalism, many laws and customs were actually shaped around ignoring money; credit was, in high feudalism, seen as sinful. So when money and credit burst through the boundaries to create a market system, it felt like a revolution. Then, what gave the new system its energy was the discovery of a virtually unlimited source of free wealth in the Americas.

A combination of all these factors took a set of people who had been marginalised under feudalism – humanists, scientists, craftsmen, lawyers, radical preachers and bohemian playwrights such as Shakespeare – and put them at the head of a social transformation. At key moments, though tentatively at first, the state switched from hindering the change to promoting it.

Today, the thing that is corroding capitalism, barely rationalised by mainstream economics, is information. Most laws concerning information define the right of corporations to hoard it and the right of states to access it, irrespective of the human rights of citizens. The equivalent of the printing press and the scientific method is information technology and its spillover into all other technologies, from genetics to healthcare to agriculture to the movies, where it is quickly reducing costs.

The modern equivalent of the long stagnation of late feudalism is the stalled take-off of the third industrial revolution, where instead of rapidly automating work out of existence, we are reduced to creating what David Graeber calls “bullshit jobs” on low pay. And many economies are stagnating.

The equivalent of the new source of free wealth? It’s not exactly wealth: it’s the “externalities” – the free stuff and wellbeing generated by networked interaction. It is the rise of non-market production, of unownable information, of peer networks and unmanaged enterprises. The internet, French economist Yann Moulier-Boutang says, is “both the ship and the ocean” when it comes to the modern equivalent of the discovery of the new world. In fact, it is the ship, the compass, the ocean and the gold.

The modern day external shocks are clear: energy depletion, climate change, ageing populations and migration. They are altering the dynamics of capitalism and making it unworkable in the long term. They have not yet had the same impact as the Black Death – but as we saw in New Orleans in 2005, it does not take the bubonic plague to destroy social order and functional infrastructure in a financially complex and impoverished society.

Once you understand the transition in this way, the need is not for a supercomputed Five Year Plan – but a project, the aim of which should be to expand those technologies, business models and behaviours that dissolve market forces, socialise knowledge, eradicate the need for work and push the economy towards abundance. I call it Project Zero – because its aims are a zero-carbon-energy system; the production of machines, products and services with zero marginal costs; and the reduction of necessary work time as close as possible to zero.

The main contradiction today is between the possibility of free, abundant goods and information; and a system of monopolies, banks and governments trying to keep things private, scarce and commercial. Everything comes down to the struggle between the network and the hierarchy: between old forms of society moulded around capitalism and new forms of society that prefigure what comes next.

We need more than just a bunch of utopian dreams and small-scale horizontal projects. We need a project based on reason, evidence and testable designs, that cuts with the grain of history and is sustainable by the planet. And we need to get on with it."

For an open access copy of: "The Fragment on Machines" by Karl Marx see:

http://thenewobjectivity.com/pdf/marx.pdf


Furthermore, the following linked book by John Bellamy Foster (2016) is entitled: "Marx’s Ecology: Materialism and Nature", and it indicates that Karl Marx thought of the human body as part of the natural world and called nature an extension of our bodies.  Thus Marx's ideas for the use of information theory to re-shape our post-capitalistic global socio-economic system should result in an improved relationship between mankind and Mother Nature.

http://monthlyreview.org/product/marxs_ecology/

Promotional summary: "Progress requires the conquest of nature. Or does it? This new account overturns conventional interpretations of Marx and in the process outlines a more rational approach to the current environmental crisis.

Marx, it is often assumed, cared only about industrial growth and the development of economic forces. John Bellamy Foster examines Marx’s neglected writings on capitalist agriculture and soil ecology, philosophical naturalism, and evolutionary theory. He shows that Marx, known as a powerful critic of capitalist society, was also deeply concerned with the changing human relationship to nature.

Marx’s Ecology covers many other thinkers, including Epicurus, Charles Darwin, Thomas Malthus, Ludwig Feuerbach, P. J. Proudhon, and William Paley.

By reconstructing a materialist conception of nature and society, Marx’s Ecology challenges the spiritualism prevalent in the modern Green movement, pointing toward a method that offers more lasting and sustainable solutions to the ecological crisis."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #269 on: March 06, 2017, 01:36:27 AM »
I intentionally adopted the metaphor of a Hegelian dialectic double helix, because modern information science has now allowed microbiology to synthetically manipulate the Adenine (A), Cytosine (C), Thymine (T) and Guanine (G) and the double helical sugar phosphate backbone of DNA (see the first attached image) to create incredibly dense, accurate and stable information storage devices, as discussed in the linked article entitled: "To make better computers, researchers turn to molecular biology".

http://www.csmonitor.com/Science/2017/0302/To-make-better-computers-researchers-look-to-microbiology

Extract: "DNA, where all of biology's information is stored, is incredibly dense. The whole genome of an organism fits into a cell that is invisible to the naked eye.

That's why computer scientists are turning to molecular biology to design the next best way to store humanity's ever-increasing collection of digital data.

George Church, a geneticist at Harvard University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, first used DNA as storage for digital information in 2012, which he reported in a paper published in the journal Science. At the time, he revealed his success during an interview on the Colbert Report by showing Stephen Colbert a tiny piece of paper on which there was a small spot that contained millions of copies of Dr. Church's book, "Regenesis," in the form of DNA.

Computer engineers have created some amazingly small devices, capable of storing entire libraries of music and movies in the palm of your hand. But geneticists say Mother Nature can do even better.

DNA, where all of biology's information is stored, is incredibly dense. The whole genome of an organism fits into a cell that is invisible to the naked eye.

That's why computer scientists are turning to microbiology to design the next best way to store humanity's ever-increasing collection of digital data."

This work opens up the interpretation of the traditional Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor to all of the lessons learned from the application of information science to understanding both evolutionarily driven DNA and the 4th Industrial Revolution driven 'regenesis' of DNA for information technology.  Hopefully, this will help facilitate Hegel's goal of moving beyond '-isms" so that we can better understand the dynamic world for what is truly is (see the second and third attached images).
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

LRC1962

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #270 on: March 06, 2017, 05:16:39 AM »
Another way we are isolating ourselves. Depending upon computer technology for everything. See what happens at work when there is no power. Also in this day and age of economic efficiency and just in time deliveries, true redundancy is a fiction and as we can see by brown outs and blackouts even in the richest countries electric power is always a step away from collapse and therefore no computers. Another influencing natural factor that could rapidly change current direction of isolation can be found here.
"If the eruption had occurred only one week earlier, Earth would have been in the line of fire.
https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2014/23jul_superstorm] [url]https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2014/23jul_superstorm[/url]
The odds of a hit?
"In my view the July 2012 storm was in all respects at least as strong as the 1859 Carrington event," says Baker. "The only difference is, it missed."

In February 2014, physicist Pete Riley of Predictive Science Inc. published a paper in Space Weather entitled "On the probability of occurrence of extreme space weather events."  In it, he analyzed records of solar storms going back 50+ years.  By extrapolating the frequency of ordinary storms to the extreme, he calculated the odds that a Carrington-class storm would hit Earth in the next ten years.

The answer: 12%.

Costs?
In a 2013 report, Lloyd's of London, the insurance market, put the population at risk of a massive storm at "between 20-40 million with durations up to 1-2 years," depending "largely on the availability of spare replacement transformers." The cost of such a recovery would range between $600 billion and $2.6 trillion.

Read more at: https://phys.org/news/2016-04-solar-storm-big-urgency.html

Recovery time from a business view point?
During the Carrington event, people saw auroras as far south as Cuba. The storm also knocked out telegraph systems in much of the Northern Hemisphere. But "knocked out" doesn't quite cover it, as this anecdote from NASA makes clear:

Spark discharges shocked telegraph operators and set the telegraph paper on fire. Even when telegraphers disconnected the batteries powering the lines, aurora-induced electric currents in the wires still allowed messages to be transmitted.

And this was before we relied on an expansive electrical grid, radio waves, satellites, computers, and other systems that are highly susceptible to solar storms.

Today a Carrington event-like storm would be more devastating than at any other point in history. In fact, a powerful event may cause $2 trillion in damage just in the first year, according to the US government, and take 4 to 10 years for the planet to recover.
My edit: Knock outed the power in Quebec for millions for

http://www.businessinsider.com/solar-storm-effects-electronics-energy-grid-2016-3

Another acrticle:
The Canadian province of Quebec's electrical grid wasn't able to handle the load and went entirely offline. For 12 hours, in the freezing Quebec winter, almost the entire province was without power. I'm telling you, that place gets cold, so this was really bad timing.

Follow your imagination back to Thursday, September 1st, 1859. This was squarely in the middle of the Victorian age.

And not the awesome, fictional Steampunk Victorian age where spectacled gentleman and ladies of adventure plied the skies in their steam-powered brass dirigibles.

No, it was the regular crappy Victorian age of cholera and child labor. Technology was making huge leaps and bounds, however, and the first telegraph lines and electrical grids were getting laid down.

Imagine a really primitive version of today's electrical grid and internet.

http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/ciencia2/ciencia_solarstorm48.htm
I believe it could be even longer as dependence on the electron is so prevalent you have a chicken and egg problem. Cannot do one without the other. Only a 12% chance, but then in 1980 the Arctic was not supposed to able to melt out until 2100's.
"All truth passes through three stages: First, it is ridiculed; Second,  it is violently opposed; and Third, it is accepted as self-evident."
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sidd

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #271 on: March 06, 2017, 05:39:37 AM »
Re: Huxley and Orwell

I’m leaning to the Huxleyites in this debate: "What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book, for there would be no one who wanted to read one. Orwell feared those who would deprive us of information. Huxley feared those who would give us so much that we would be reduced to passivity and egoism. Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance. Orwell feared we would become a captive culture. Huxley feared we would become a trivial culture.”

1) Heeheeeheee. Welcome to the Huxley club. I was once a member, but see below.

2) To go along with your Hegelian dialectic, why not both ?

3) In these respects see Sheldon Wolin and "Inverted Totalitarianism"

sidd

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #272 on: March 06, 2017, 01:09:09 PM »
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1578.msg105523.html#msg105523

ASLR. What about the infeasibility of abundant goods, zero work and 9-10B people, given limited resources?
“You can know the name of a bird in all the languages of the world, but when you're finished, you'll know absolutely nothing whatever about the bird... So let's look at the bird and see what it's doing -- that's what counts.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #273 on: March 06, 2017, 05:44:17 PM »
Re: Huxley and Orwell
...
2) To go along with your Hegelian dialectic, why not both ?
...
sidd
sidd,

My point in presenting the Hegelian dialectic is that both currently exist and will continue to exist in the future due to society's increasing polarity; which in my opinion will lead to a socio-economic collapse in the 2045 to 2060 timeframe, because people insist on misinterpreting Hegel's goal of reducing "-isms" (Scientism, Buddhism, Totalitarianism, Communism, Capitalism, etc.); which I believe can best be achieved by the application of atapi sanpajano satima.  Unfortunately, most people are too lazy (or have too much mental impurity) to think rationally and to avoid "magic" thinking.  Too many people magically think that controlling/owning objectified things is the path to happiness; when in fact the opposite is true.  To many people magically think that skills are the ability to gain control/ownership of objectified things; when is actuality skill is the ability to rationally see that such behavior leads to continuing suffering.  Too many people magically think that their cravings/aversions are expressions of their "free will", when a rational interpretation of free will means that you accept other peoples free will and thus that you do not crave objectifying them nor do you fear being objectified by them (because your true free will is your own (within a free will information network) and cannot be controlled by others but only misdirected by your own mental impurities).

Best,
ASLR
« Last Edit: March 06, 2017, 06:40:04 PM by AbruptSLR »
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #274 on: March 06, 2017, 06:13:35 PM »
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,1578.msg105523.html#msg105523

ASLR. What about the infeasibility of abundant goods, zero work and 9-10B people, given limited resources?

DrTskoul,

My point in presenting Marx's vision of an information based (i.e. rational) society freeing man to behave like a species-being; is not to say that merely noting and describing a dialectic socio-economic pattern guarantees that society will achieve that end before a major collapse occurs.  Once one identifies that a thesis is an incomplete dogmatic '-ism' that facilitates the creation of an incomplete dogmatic antithesis as a balancing '-ism'; does not mean that the resulting cyclic conflicts and the ensuing synthesis is sustainable.  What it means is that for those who have the grit to practice atapi sanpajano satima, that their is a progressive/cyclic means to dampen the dialectic oscillations an to converge towards Hegel's goal of reduced suffering by rationally accepting reality as it truly is, not as how one magically (pre-conditionally) wish it to be.  In this sense natural selection has allowed the strange attractor structure of DNA's double helix to move life from microorganisms to empathic human being with truly impressive potential; but that does not guarantee that DNA will also support Cads (opportunists or parasites that take advantage of their hosts) who rely on deception to distort Darwin's natural selection into opportunistic 'survival of the fittest' thinking.  Natural selection recognizes that the existence of parasites can accelerate evolution (which is probably the main reason that Homo Sapiens evolved in Africa).

As I have stated previously, I believe that as a society that we are heading towards a collapse circa 2045 to 2060; and that the survivors will be divided into two camps.  One adopting cyborg type technology and who cling to the magic thinking the power over others will bring happiness; and the other learning the lessons of the recent collapse will focus on accepting that the changing nature of reality demands that people resist pre-conditioning on a real time basis thus updating themselves using scientific Bayesian logic to live happily in the moment in a sustainable fashion accepting the free will of others and not objectifying them.

Best,
ASLR

Edit: The attached image shows that the top 10% of the world's population accounts for essentially 50% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions.  Under Communism Russia had a relatively high per capita emission rate and now under kleptocratic Capitalism it still has a relatively high per capita emission rate.  This indicates that a Hegelian resolution of the double helical dialectic is not that one side or the other wins, but that '-isms' like Communism and Capitalism are diminished; which I believe is best accomplished by application atapi sanpajano satima trinity to the thesis-antithesis-synthesis triad.

Edit 2: For more on how natural selection has resulted in approximately a 50-50 split of Cads vs Dads in the human genome see my Reply #263 in this thread.
« Last Edit: March 07, 2017, 05:02:08 PM by AbruptSLR »
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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magnamentis

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #275 on: March 06, 2017, 06:53:48 PM »
Re: Huxley and Orwell
...
2) To go along with your Hegelian dialectic, why not both ?
...
sidd
sidd,

My point in presenting the Hegelian dialectic is that both currently exist and will continue to exist in the future due to society's increasing polarity; which in my opinion will lead to a socio-economic collapse in the 2045 to 2060 timeframe, because people insist on misinterpreting Hegel's goal of reducing "-isms" (Scientism, Buddhism, Totalitarianism, Communism, Capitalism, etc.); which I believe can best be achieved by the application of atapi sanpajano satima.  Unfortunately, most people are too lazy (or have too much mental impurity) to think rationally and to avoid "magic" thinking.  Too many people magically think that controlling/owning objectified things is the path to happiness; when in fact the opposite is true.  To many people magically think that skills are the ability to gain control/ownership of objectified things; when is actuality skill is the ability to rationally see that such behavior leads to continuing suffering.  Too many people magically think that their cravings/aversions are expressions of their "free will", when a rational interpretation of free will means that you accept other peoples free will and thus that you do not crave objectifying them nor do you fear being objectified by them (because your true free will is your own (within a free will information network) and cannot be controlled by others but only misdirected by your own mental impurities).

Best,
ASLR

hat off ( hut ab )

a real pleasure like most of your posts but this one gets quite close to the roots where should there ever be, would lay the solutions as well. sorry that my relatively poor english skills do no allow for better wording but
i just wanted to submit my genuine compliments. for me it's a rare thing and a great pleasure to read so much from one person in various fields without feeling the urge to either relativate and/or add something LOL

keep goin'
http://magnamentis.com
Knowledge, Understanding & Insight Are Among The Best Sources For Personal Freedom & Vitality !

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #276 on: March 06, 2017, 10:05:47 PM »
The first linked open access Feb 23, 2017 article is entitled: "An Epigenetics Gold Rush: New Controls for Gene Expression", Nature, doi: 10.1038/542406a.  The epigenome (see the first attached image) is the "… broad array of chemical marks that decorate DNA and its protein scaffold.  These marks act like a chemical notation, telling the cell which genes to express and which to keep silent.  As such, the epigenome helps to explain how cells with identical DNA can develop into the multitude of specialized types that make up different tissues."

http://www.nature.com/news/an-epigenetics-gold-rush-new-controls-for-gene-expression-1.21513

As epigenetics is opening a gold mind for reading, writing to and regulating DNA/RNA expression (see the second image), so information science (say tunnel boring for information in the coming entangled quantum Internet) can open a new gold mine of information from models of human behavior (whether dialectic or embedded in state of the art Earth System models, see the second linked reference).

Finn Müller-Hansen, Maja Schlüter, Michael Mäs, Rainer Hegselmann, Jonathan F. Donges, Jakob J. Kolb, Kirsten Thonicke, and Jobst Heitzig (2017), "How to represent human behavior and decision making in Earth system models? A guide to techniques and approaches", Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss., doi:10.5194/esd-2017-18

http://www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/esd-2017-18/esd-2017-18.pdf

Such work will fuel the 4th Industrial Revolution; but how mankind manages such an explosion of unlocked information is a separate matter.  The following bullet points provide some guidance on my opinions of how mankind can make the most of such an explosion of coming information in our current fragile (due to greed, fear and ignorance) global situation:

- When formulating models of strange attractors in chaotic systems (& in the Anthropocene this increasingly means modeling human behavior via such models as a Hegelian dialectic double helix) one needs to include terms representing: (a) tension in the elements playing the role of the base pairs (e.g. A-T, T-A, C-G, G-C) that both hold the two spiral backbones together and which represent the conflict between the two incomplete thesis and antithesis backbones; (b) terms representing the epigenome used to both edit and express the information contained in the double helix, and if possible (c) terms representing atapi sanpajano satima in order to allow for the iterative damping of oscillations in the dialectic if humans are willing to work towards such damping, and or to allow for excitation of the oscillations if human remain on their current egotistical BAU pathway.

- When representing the influence of increasingly powerful AI, one should include terms for AI's impact on both the thesis and antithesis backbones of the double helix; and if possible one should include evolutionary terms to allow for AWE (artificial wisdom evolution) as atapi sampajano satima is applied, thus diminishing ego and opening the system to more connectivity and less isolation.

-  If possible atapi sampajano satima should be applied at both big boat (systemic) and small boat (individual) levels, recognizing the fractal nature of our current wicked problems.

- Recognize that wisdom is where you find it, even if it is incomplete within '-isms' (such as Scientism, Judaism, Marxism, etc.); so long as one tests such second-hand wisdoms against our every changing reality (dhamma).
« Last Edit: March 08, 2017, 03:13:55 AM by AbruptSLR »
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #277 on: March 07, 2017, 05:18:35 PM »
Just a quick post to note that in Replies #254 & 259, I cited how opportunists (Cads) are already using deceptive AI to manipulate elections, markets, etc.  Thus by the dialectic double helix metaphor, evidenced-based individuals (such as scientists and Dads) would be justified in using AI internet bots to disseminate truthful and/or positive messages of how to address our multiple wick problems including climate change.

Perhaps, such evidenced-base individuals could use the metaphor of messenger RNA (see the attached image) to intuitively explain how they are using such positive AI internet bots to fix our broken Hegelian dialectic double helix dynamic.

“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #278 on: March 07, 2017, 05:24:27 PM »
Another quick post to note that scientists could also use the double helix metaphor to better explain to the public the fat-tail (PDF) risk of abrupt climate change due to the interaction of multiple climate attractors in a Hegelian dialectic double helix type fashion (resulting in strange attractor amplification of otherwise weak signals, as has been documented in paleoclimate studies).
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #279 on: March 09, 2017, 01:35:17 AM »
I imagine that some people might think that posting about a Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor as a tool for more effectively understanding our rapidly changing world during the 4th Industrial Revolution; is a bit contrived & of little purpose.  Nevertheless, I believe that such metaphors are very useful for exploring 'wick problems' and so the following is an attempt to extend the line of logic presented in my recent series of posts.

I previously acknowledged that the use of such metaphors is likely not going to prevent the coming socio-economic collapse (that I place around 2045 to 2060); nevertheless, I believe that better understanding the dynamics of the Anthropogene (where humans dominate the extant systems), should benefit those who survive the coming collapse (so I do not believe that such explorations are a waste of time).  Furthermore, I believe that part of truly understanding the human condition is to be actively working to reduce systemic related suffering, and not just to philosophize.

With that in mind, I begin by providing the following extracts from the linked paper by Robert B. Pippin, entitled: "Hegel and Institutional Rationality"
 
https://www.unf.edu/~hkoegler/Postmodernism/KoeglerDocs/OtherDocs/Pippin.pdf

Extract: ""Right is concerned with freedom," Hegel notes in the remark to Paragraph 215 in his Philosophy of Right, and freedom is “the worthiest and most sacred possession of man." In his account of the nature of this all-important freedom, Hegel makes two well known claims, and the problem I want to discuss is an obvious consequence of trying to think the two claims together.

First, according to Hegel philosophy is not concerned with the mere concept of such freedom, but with the concept and its "actuality" (Wirklichkeit).

… in the Introduction to the Lectures, that "Only in the state does man have rational existence," (LPWH, p. 94) and in his unpublished 1818-19 Rechtsphilosophie lectures that it is “only in the state that the concept of freedom comes to its self-sufficient existence.” (VPR 18, p.222) Most speculatively: "The divine principle in the state is the Idea made manifest on earth."

But why would being a family member, or a bourgeois or a citizen count as being free? The appearance of the adjective "rational" in that last claim about “rational existence” and the exactly parallel formulations about reason on the one hand and freedom in its self-sufficient existence on the other, already signal the second claim I want to start from. Not any modern institution can be said to represent the actualization of freedom, and so only a few of one’s social roles can be said to embody “actual” ethical duties."

Next, I note that Hegel's focus on man's institutional rationality should work towards providing 'freedom', is comparable to my prior comments regarding my interpretation of Vipassana/HIOTTOE (with a free-will information network): that for a human should work towards refining ones pre-conditioned mind is the path to reduced suffering and that this best pursued by grounding the mind in reality via the mind-body relationship.  Following this analogy if one want to improve our modern institutions (e.g. capitalism, families, democracy, etc) to be more sustainable (with less suffering), one not only needs to improve information management/science, but also to create right institutional understanding/equanimity (sampajano) to deal with the 'tyranny of the small decision/commons'.  The current isolationist trend to address the 'tyranny of the common' problem by privatizing common goods (such as happened in kleptocratic Russia after the fall of the USSR, and is accelerating around the world with the alt-right populist movement), will only protect the top people (leading on a possible path to cyborgs).  However, hopefully better management of the massive amount of information coming with the 4th Industrial Revolution will result in more personal freedom (as envisioned by Marx); possibly by training AI to learn thinking patterns from mindful/moral individuals who understand loving kindness (Metta).
« Last Edit: March 09, 2017, 01:42:01 AM by AbruptSLR »
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #280 on: March 09, 2017, 05:06:59 PM »
For those not familiar, the Tyranny of the Commons problem is a sub-set of the Tyranny of small decisions problem (see Wikipedia link and extracts below):

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tyranny_of_small_decisions


Extract : "Aristotle (384–322 BC) similarly argued against common goods of the polis of Athens:
For that which is common to the greatest number has the least care bestowed upon it. Everyone thinks chiefly of his own, hardly at all of the common interest; and only when he is himself concerned as an individual. For besides other considerations, everybody is more inclined to neglect the duty which he expects another to fulfill; as in families many attendants are often less useful than a few.
 
Thomas Mun (1571–1641), an English mercantilist, commented about decisions made with a myopic, small time perspective:

[T]hey search no further than the beginning of the work, which mis-informs their judgements, and leads them into error: For if we only behold the actions of the husbandman in the seed-time when he casteth away much good corn into the ground, we will rather account him a mad-man than a husbandman: but when we consider his labours in the harvest which is the end of his endeavours, we find the worth and plentiful increase of his actions.

Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk (1851–1914), an Austrian economist, observed that decisions made with small time perspectives can have a seductive quality:

It occurs frequently, I believe, that a person is faced with a choice between a present and a future satisfaction or dissatisfaction and that he decides in favor of lesser present pleasure even though he knows perfectly well, and is even explicitly aware at the moment he makes his choice, that the future disadvantage is the greater and that therefore his well-being, on the whole, suffers by reason of his choice. The "playboy" squanders his whole month's allowance in the first few days on frivolous dissipation. How clearly he anticipates his later embarrassment and deprivation! And yet he is unable to resist the temptations of the moment."

With this "Tyranny of the small decisions" background, it is clear that the capital behind capitalism is the compounded delayed gratification (possibly produced by labor) owned by the wealthy that is provided to labor in order to produce more "goods".  Unfortunately, capital without power produces nothing so consequently our current modern international capitalistic market place is driven by fossil fuel activated capital (plus resources of labor and material).  In this sense "Climate Cads" are addicted to the "goods" produced by modern international capitalism and are not currently willing to internalize the cost of the climate change related damage caused by fossil fuel to drive the capitalistic engineer that produces the "goods" they addictively want more and more of, even if this addiction means that future generations will likely suffer from societal collapse.

Obviously, the game theory mathematics of the "Tyranny of the small decisions" problem can be played in a very large number of ways in order to gain an improved Nash Equilibrium solution that considers both the common good of the whole planet and the "Social Cost of Carbon".
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #281 on: March 09, 2017, 05:21:33 PM »
The real world contains multiple fat-tailed uncertainties that must be included in any game theory modeling of our current situation as decision makers are not entitled to assume that we all live in a stationary world (with limited fluctuations) rather than in a non-stationary climate change trending world where it is very important to consider that the further one moves down a BAU pathway the fatter the tail of the risk pdf becomes. Increased use of inductive thinking (which acknowledges the uncertainties of the fat-tailed risks rather than ignoring them) has historically allowed science to effectively tackle such fat-tailed problems, & I believe that von Clausewitz's "military genius" also uses such induction to identify solutions to complex problems clouded by "the fog of war".

In this regards, Taleb also discusses the philosophical problems of using induction and how past performance is no indicator of future performance.  Inductive reasoning, also known as induction, is a kind of reasoning that constructs or evaluates propositions (a priori) that are abstractions of observations of individual instances. Inductive reasoning contrasts with deductive reasoning in that a general conclusion is arrived at by specific examples.  Inductive reasoning allows for the possibility that the conclusion be false, even where all of the premises are true.

The philosopher C. D. Broad said that "induction is the glory of science and the scandal of philosophy" as the Scientific Method makes extensive use of induction.  Obviously, free will is a fundamental consideration for philosophy and also in earlier posts I touched upon the role of uncertainty as discussed by C.D. Broad (1925), in "The Mind and its Place in Nature", New York: Harcourt, Brace & Company, Inc. as summarized by the following quote:

"The speculative philosopher and the scientific specialist are liable to two opposite mistakes. The former tends to deliver frontal attacks on Reality as a whole, armed only with a few wide general principles, and to neglect to isolate and master in detail particular problems. The latter tends to forget that he has violently abstracted one part or one aspect of Reality from the rest, and to imagine that the success which this abstraction has given him within a limited field justifies him in taking the principles which hold therein as the whole truth about the whole world. The one cannot see the trees for the wood, and the other cannot see the wood for the trees. The result of both kinds of mistake is the same, viz., to produce philosophical theories which may be self-consistent but which must be described as "silly". By a "silly" theory I mean one which may be held at the time when one is talking or writing professionally, but which only an inmate of a lunatic asylum would think of carrying into daily life."

C. D. Board is talking about induction & deduction address uncertainty differently when considered as a subset of IT's entropic uncertainty.  However, as humans generally do not relate well to IT (while the coming AI generally will); I provide the following alternate names for this IT dichotomy that also fit well into a Hegelian dialectic double helix metaphor:

(a) Speculative philosopher vs scientific specialist; (b) Yin vs Yang: (c) indeterministic vs deterministic; (d) Climate Dads vs Climate Cads; (e) Natural Section vs Survival of the Fittest; (f) Love is lyrical while Lust is lewd; (g) "one-with-everything" vs Tyranny of the small decision, (h) liberal vs conservative, and (i) ignorance is suffering vs ignorance is bliss.
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #282 on: March 10, 2017, 07:52:47 PM »
The linked article entitled :Physicists have created an “impossible” state of matter that could power quantum computers", indicates that oscillating time crystals could be used to make room temperature quantum computers (which would facilitate the development of higher-powered AI sooner rather than later).


https://qz.com/928609/physicists-have-created-an-impossible-state-of-matter-that-could-power-quantum-computers/

The creators of the newly-announced time crystals aren’t fussed about definitions. They are, instead, excited by the possibility of using their methods to accelerate the development of quantum computers, which are predicted to be faster than any supercomputer that can be built with silicon chips.
Quantum computers require atoms to exist in entangled states, where changing the state of one automatically causes the other to change state too. At present, such states can be achieved only at extremely low temperatures. Lurkin got all the nitrogen atoms in his dirty diamond to change position together at a constant frequency—meaning they were held in quantum entanglement—and he did it at room temperature.
“In my main job, I use atoms to create quantum computers,” Monroe told me. “Our finding could help create larger quantum computers that don’t need to be at such cold temperatures.”

See also the reference entitled: "Observation of a discrete time crystal":

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v543/n7644/full/nature21413.html

& the reference entitled: "Observation of discrete time-crystalline order in a disordered dipolar many-body system"

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v543/n7644/full/nature21426.html

“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #283 on: March 12, 2017, 06:30:56 PM »
Other examples of the disruptive-growth nature of the 4th IR include: (a) both Google and Microsoft have announced that they will begin selling commercial general purpose quantum computers in 2017 (& I note that Obama signed a bill to support the development of a quantum Internet in the next few years); and (b) both SpaceX and Blue Origins have announced commercial trips to the moon by 2018 (see the linked article below).

http://mashable.com/2017/03/03/elon-musk-jeff-bezos-moon-plans/#1.VbupfXNqqj


The linked article entitled: "Amazon founder Jeff Bezos wants to colonize the moon", discusses the possibility that under the Trump Administration "… we could have Blue Origin setting the stage for a moon base while SpaceX is planning its Mars mission."

http://www.blastr.com/2017-3-10/jeff-bezos-blue-origin-colonize-moon

Extract: "Blue Origin has mapped out a site within a crater at the south pole where there is water nearby and adequate sunlight for solar energy production as the potential site. Blue Origin hopes to ramp up deliveries by the mid-2020s. Where fellow private space firm SpaceX has already been working with NASA for a while, this marks Blue Origin's most obvious push to partner with the space agency for an initiative of this scope. If a partnership comes together, Bezos said he believes the first unmanned mission could take place as early as 2020.

No word yet on if NASA will get a partnership program off the ground, though the Trump administration has been far more open to the idea of a moon mission than former President Obama — so it stands to reason this pitch could certainly find an audience. If it does, we could have Blue Origin setting the stage for a moon base while SpaceX is planning its Mars mission."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #284 on: March 13, 2017, 05:57:57 PM »
The linked article is entitled: "Reflecting on AI’s biggest challenges for society in 2017"; and it indicates that AI work needs to include consideration of ethics in the near term in order to produce 'SafeAI':

http://www.geektime.com/2017/03/13/reflecting-on-ais-biggest-challenges-for-society-in-2017/

Extract: "Students of artificial intelligence are getting recruited like star athletes, but could a rush to get new technology on the field cause ethical lapses?

The Partnership on AI is the ultimate illustration of that. It’s a consortium co-founded by Amazon, Facebook, Google, Microsoft, and IBM which just last month added two new members: Apple and OpenAI. The latter company, backed by Y-Combinator’s Sam Altman and SpaceX’s Elon Musk, is a company that will be at the center of machine discussion for years to come.

“We work on reinforcement learning, generative models, imitation learning, transfer learning, robotics. We do a lot of stuff,” says OpenAI Director of Communications Jack Clark, a company putting a square focus on the practical effects of new technology and so-called “SafeAI.”

“We try and build the most advanced AI systems we can and in doing so we try to find out where there needs to be safety work.  How can we develop techniques we can prove mathematically will have the *right outcomes? ‘We can give you 100 percent certainty that this won’t do ‘X.'”

OpenAI joined Partnership for a pretty simple reason: to steer the conversation toward the near future.

A side effect to this is collaboration across fields, not just companies. An example related to but not essential to the conversation on AI is nanotechnology, where chemists have had to work with physicists to produce next-generation mobile screens out of silver and gold nanowires.

“People are moving between the silos like they never used to before, but that requires a different way of communicating, being able to communicate about the fundamentals of your work but learn and absorb the fundamentals of your collaborator’s work,” Gorman reiterates. The consequence of this rapid evolution is not just one of anxiety, but a need to work in tandem.
The big change we will see in 2017 will come from corporate reinvesting in academic research."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #285 on: March 17, 2017, 09:13:33 PM »
The linked reference demonstrates that the combined use of AI (i.e. machine learning), quantum computing and Bayesian inference can greatly assist in the effective modeling of 'wicked problems'.

Jianwei Wang, Stefano Paesani, Raffaele Santagati, Sebastian Knauer, Antonio A. Gentile, Nathan Wiebe, Maurangelo Petruzzella, Jeremy L. O’Brien, John G. Rarity, Anthony Laing, & Mark G. Thompson (2017), "Experimental quantum Hamiltonian learning", Nature Physics, doi:10.1038/nphys4074

http://www.nature.com/nphys/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nphys4074.html

Abstract: "The efficient characterization of quantum systems, the verification of the operations of quantum devices and the validation of underpinning physical models, are central challenges for quantum technologies and fundamental physics. The computational cost of such studies could be improved by machine learning enhanced by quantum simulators. Here we interface two different quantum systems through a classical channel—a silicon-photonics quantum simulator and an electron spin in a diamond nitrogen–vacancy centre—and use the former to learn the Hamiltonian of the latter via Bayesian inference. We learn the salient Hamiltonian parameter with an uncertainty of approximately 10−5. Furthermore, an observed saturation in the learning algorithm suggests deficiencies in the underlying Hamiltonian model, which we exploit to further improve the model. We implement an interactive version of the protocol and experimentally show its ability to characterize the operation of the quantum photonic device."
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #286 on: March 18, 2017, 11:49:29 PM »
As we jointly approach the coming socio-economic collapse via systemic overshoot; the skill of discerning the truth will increasingly become an issue of critical importance.  In a world of uncertainties, one is separated from the truth in a Hegelian dialectic sense in that when one creates a thesis as an approximation of the truth one automatically creates an antithesis that sets the dialectic double helix spiral (of becoming) into motion.  In this sense, both ignorance of the truth, and/or denial of the truth, both have consequences (i.e. causes suffering), and the nature of those consequences (suffering) depends on which strand of the dialectic double helix one is considering.  This is truth for both active Cad vs Dad type interactions and for passive dialectic spirals like that discussed in the linked article entitled: "The ‘Spiral of Silence’ Theory Explains Why People Don’t Speak Up on Things That Matter".

http://nymag.com/scienceofus/2017/03/the-spiral-of-silence-explains-why-people-dont-speak-up.html?mid=facebook_nymag

Extract: "If you’re like most Americans, you’re probably at least a little worried about climate change — and you probably aren’t talking about it. Research has shown that two-thirds of people in the U.S. say they’re “moderately interested” or “very interested” in global warming; at the same time, around 70 percent say they rarely or never broach the subject with the people close to them. It’s a paradox that also doubles as an explanation: Climate scientists have suggested that the reason people don’t discuss climate change is simply because they don’t hear it being discussed, a phenomenon sometimes referred to as the “spiral of silence.”

The term was coined by German political scientist Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann in her book The Spiral of Silence: Public Opinion — Our Social Skin, in which she observed that silence can manifest itself in different ways: Both people who hold majority opinions and those in the minority will often keep quiet on issues that are important to them, but they’ll do it for different reasons. But both of those reasons, explains Elizabeth Suhay, a political scientist who studies conformity, stem from a misjudgment about the prevalence of their opinions. “The majority just assumes that everybody thinks like them,” she says, “and people in the minority think they’re the only ones.”"
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #287 on: March 23, 2017, 08:48:46 PM »
This post is provided as a follow-up to my last post about developing the skill required to discern the truth in a 'wicked problem' type of system:
Denialists claim the right to use non-evidence-based alternate 'truths' to support their predetermined objectives; which can create a conflict/tension (in the Hegelian dialectical double helix sense) with evidence-based science.  Within the HIOTTOE framework, I submit that dialectically seeking evidenced based truths lead (in the limit) to an end of systemic isolation; which can be verified by the reduction/elimination of Hegelian dialectical conflict/tension and the associated rise of loving kindness (i.e. Metta, see Reply #59) within the system (information network) under consideration.  This is an important consideration when seeking a path forward for a 'wick problem' such as for the tyranny of small decisions leading to climate change driven socio-economic collapse; within the context of the coming 4th Industrial Revolution.  As currently being developed, AI can be used by both non-evidence-based, and evidenced-based, factions/spirals of a Hegelian dialectical double helix.  Thus AI programmers need to be provided with guidance on algorithm to use to parse the difference between non-evidence-based 'truths' and evidenced-based 'truths' within the context of a 'wick problem'.

Within HIOTTOE (based on a freewill information network), indirect knowledge (evidence) of freewill creates the illusion of change that in turn creates the illusions of time, space, matter, energy and a timelessly-evolved multi-dimensional multiverse.  This dynamic also creates the illusion of freewill for the non-evidence-based faction while direct knowledge is the only way to discern truth freewill.

For ease of reference, HIOTTOE means Holographic Cybernetic Organism (Holoborg) Interpretation of the Theory of Everything; to which other scientific theories such as: Quantum Theory, The Theory of Relativity, String Theory, and Quantum Gravity Theory; are considered to be subsets that deal only with indirect knowledge, and not direct, knowledge of the freewill information network (which in turn is assumed to be a subset of the laws of dhamma).  While the cultivation of direct knowledge leading to nibbana is best addressed by mindfulness techniques such as Vipassana, HIOTTOE is appropriate for dealing with indirect knowledge according to the rules of Information Theory/Science, and its use in 'wick problems' by institutions and socio-economic systems via metaphors including the Hegelian dialectic double helix.

In future posts I plan to elaborate on the use of Information Science, AI, HIOTTOE metaphors, art metaphors and the Hegel dialectic in order to discuss means to reduce the systemic isolation of institutions & socio-economic systems that are currently accelerating towards collapse.
With regards to recent AI developments, see also:

http://distill.pub/about/
&
https://blog.openai.com/
&
https://deepmind.com/
&
https://research.google.com/teams/brain/
&
https://research.google.com/bigpicture/
&
http://ycr.org/

And as a correct understanding of HIOTTOE requires an appropriate understanding of information entropy, see the following reference that uses information theory to demonstrate how to extract more work from a closed system than can be achieved using only classical theory; which also has implications for interpretation of the evolution of entropy within a holographic universe.

Gianluca Francica, John Goold, Francesco Plastina & Mauro Paternostro (2017), "Daemonic ergotropy: enhanced work extraction from quantum correlations", npj Quantum Information 3, Article number: 12, doi:10.1038/s41534-017-0012-8.

http://www.nature.com/articles/s41534-017-0012-8

Abstract: "We investigate how the presence of quantum correlations can influence work extraction in closed quantum systems, establishing a new link between the field of quantum non-equilibrium thermodynamics and the one of quantum information theory. We consider a bipartite quantum system and we show that it is possible to optimize the process of work extraction, thanks to the correlations between the two parts of the system, by using an appropriate feedback protocol based on the concept of ergotropy. We prove that the maximum gain in the extracted work is related to the existence of quantum correlations between the two parts, quantified by either quantum discord or, for pure states, entanglement. We then illustrate our general findings on a simple physical situation consisting of a qubit system."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #288 on: March 24, 2017, 01:14:16 AM »
The linked article is entitled: “The Forces Driving Middle-Aged White People's 'Deaths Of Despair'”.  The message that I take away from this, is that both systems, and people, need to learn to honestly adapt to change, and they need to learn sooner rather than later.

http://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2017/03/23/521083335/the-forces-driving-middle-aged-white-peoples-deaths-of-despair

Extract: “In a follow-up to their groundbreaking 2015 work, they say that a lack of steady, well-paying jobs for whites without college degrees has caused pain, distress and social dysfunction to build up over time. The mortality rate for that group, ages 45 to 54, increased by a half percent each year from 1999 to 2013.

But whites with college degrees haven't suffered the same lack of economic opportunity and haven't seen the same loss of life expectancy. The study was published Thursday in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.

Case and Deaton, who are both at Princeton University, spoke with NPR's David Greene about what's driving these trends.”
« Last Edit: March 24, 2017, 01:54:10 AM by AbruptSLR »
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #289 on: March 24, 2017, 01:51:10 AM »
As a follow-up to my last post, the linked article is entitled: "Missing 2 to 3 hours of sleep has same crash risk as driving drunk, finds AAA report".  This illustrate that just pushing harder (on ourselves and those around us) is actually part of the problem.

http://www.cos-mag.com/employee-wellness/31945-missing-2-to-3-hours-of-sleep-has-same-crash-risk-as-driving-drunk-finds-aaa-report/

Extract: "The report found that in a 24-hour period, crash risk for sleep-deprived drivers increased steadily when compared to drivers who slept the recommended seven hours or more:
•Six to seven hours of sleep: 1.3 times the crash risk
•Five to six hours of sleep: 1.9 times the crash risk
•Four to five hours of sleep: 4.3 times the crash risk
•Less than four hours of sleep: 11.5 times the crash risk.

Nearly one in three people surveyed by the foundation admit that at least once in the past month they drove when they were so tired they had a hard time keeping their eyes open."
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #290 on: March 24, 2017, 03:49:05 AM »
Great couple of links, ASLR.

On the first one, it should be pointed out that Blacks and many other minorities have worse stats on jobs, especially those without college degrees. Blacks also have higher morbidity and mortality rates, but those are going down for Black while going up for Whites.

I think that trajectory is what is driving the despair, added to the widespread misperception among said whites that their troubles are due to being discriminated against in favor of minorities for jobs. I think that kind of thing drove a lot of the Trump vote.
"A force de chercher de bonnes raisons, on en trouve; on les dit; et après on y tient, non pas tant parce qu'elles sont bonnes que pour ne pas se démentir." Choderlos de Laclos "You struggle to come up with some valid reasons, then cling to them, not because they're good, but just to not back down."

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #291 on: March 25, 2017, 10:49:55 PM »
The linked article is entitled: “Our Miserable 21st Century“, and it references a 2016 study report entitled: “Where Have All the Workers Gone?” by Alan B. Krueger.  This work raises the prospect that the rise of alt-right populism is related to the  7 million opioid addicted, prime-age, unemployed men with their drugs being paid for by Medicaid so they cannot afford to look for work that would end their disability pay.

https://www.commentarymagazine.com/articles/our-miserable-21st-century/


Extract: “In the fall of 2016, Alan Krueger, former chairman of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers, released a study that further refined the picture of the real existing opioid epidemic in America: According to his work, nearly half of all prime working-age male labor-force dropouts—an army now totaling roughly 7 million men—currently take pain medication on a daily basis.
We already knew from other sources (such as BLS “time use” surveys) that the overwhelming majority of the prime-age men in this un-working army generally don’t “do civil society” (charitable work, religious activities, volunteering), or for that matter much in the way of child care or help for others in the home either, despite the abundance of time on their hands. Their routine, instead, typically centers on watching—watching TV, DVDs, Internet, hand-held devices, etc.—and indeed watching for an average of 2,000 hours a year, as if it were a full-time job. But Krueger’s study adds a poignant and immensely sad detail to this portrait of daily life in 21st-century America: In our mind’s eye we can now picture many millions of un-working men in the prime of life, out of work and not looking for jobs, sitting in front of screens—stoned.

But how did so many millions of un-working men, whose incomes are limited, manage en masse to afford a constant supply of pain medication? Oxycontin is not cheap. As Dreamland carefully explains, one main mechanism today has been the welfare state: more specifically, Medicaid, Uncle Sam’s means-tested health-benefits program.

In 21st-century America, “dependence on government” has thus come to take on an entirely new meaning.

You may now wish to ask: What share of prime-working-age men these days are enrolled in Medicaid? According to the Census Bureau’s SIPP survey (Survey of Income and Program Participation), as of 2013, over one-fifth (21 percent) of all civilian men between 25 and 55 years of age were Medicaid beneficiaries. For prime-age people not in the labor force, the share was over half (53 percent). And for un-working Anglos (non-Hispanic white men not in the labor force) of prime working age, the share enrolled in Medicaid was 48 percent.

By the way: Of the entire un-working prime-age male Anglo population in 2013, nearly three-fifths (57 percent) were reportedly collecting disability benefits from one or more government disability program in 2013. Disability checks and means-tested benefits cannot support a lavish lifestyle. But they can offer a permanent alternative to paid employment, and for growing numbers of American men, they do."
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #292 on: March 25, 2017, 10:57:36 PM »
The linked article is entitled: "Is empathy a luxury in the age of Trump?", and features an interview with the renowned sociologist Arlie Russell Hochschild (ARH).  This information (together with that in my three immediately prior posts) helps to dialectically understand the underpinnings of the alt-right populist movement in the USA:

http://news.berkeley.edu/berkeley_blog/is-empathy-a-luxury-in-the-age-of-trump/

Extract: "The election of Barack Obama marked the emergence of the Tea Party, a radical right-wing movement that challenged the Republican establishment and ultimately fueled the rise of Donald Trump.

We discussed her research for Strangers in Their Own Land, what it could tell us about how divided America has become—and how we might begin to bridge our differences.

Emotions are at the bottom of anybody’s political beliefs. Those emotions are evoked by a story that feels true. So a deep story is a story that feels true. You take facts out of a deep story, you take moral judgments out of a story.

Their deep story is that you’re waiting in line, as in a pilgrimage. At the top of the hill is the American Dream. The line hasn’t moved. You really deserve to move forward, because you’ve done what everyone said you should do. Why isn’t it moving?

Then you see people who are cutting into line ahead of you—they’re blacks, women, immigrants—who are taking jobs formerly reserved for white men. Then you see Barack Obama, who is supposed to be supervising the line, actually signaling to the line-cutters. He’s their sponsor. He looks like them. He’s a line-cutter himself.

Then you realize that the federal government is actually their government—the government of the line-cutters. He’s their president. He’s supporting them. And in essence, he is the instrument of your marginalization, pushing you backwards. And then you see someone ahead of you in line who turns around and adds insult to injury by saying, “Oh, you’re just a redneck.”

All of this is going on while you, in fact, are not feeling good about yourself. In a way, you’re kind of in mourning for a lost identity and way of life—a life with good, union-supported industrial jobs. And you feel like there’s no one who sees your distress. You’ve been in line for a long time, and each of those line-cutters seems to be saying, through identity politics, “Poor me, oh, poor me.”

You do not believe in identity politics. You don’t say, “I’m a white man and I’m waiting in line, too.” Because you have an ethic that says you shouldn’t call on people’s pity or sympathy. You just obey the rules and work hard. And so there’s something dishonorable about what they have done. At the same time—and here’s your conflict—you do feel like a forgotten minority group. So without believing in a culture of victimhood, you feel like a victim.

And then you have Donald Trump come along and say, “Hey, you are a victim, and it’s OK. You are a stranger in your own land, and I am your guy. I’m representing you.”

JAS: In your book, you write: “Race seemed everywhere in the physical surroundings, but almost nowhere in spontaneous direct talk.” Barack Obama’s election catalyzed the Tea Party movement, and you describe, in your book, some racially-charged attitudes toward the president. Based on your interviews, to what degree do you think the Tea Party and Trump’s campaign were fueled by racial fears?

ARH: I think, definitely, they were fueled by racial fears. But you have to understand the deeper story that those racial fears are embedded in. When you say, “Oh, it’s racism,” then you’ve suddenly objectified the person. “Oh, they’re an evil racist and sexist, and they’re not educated.”"
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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #293 on: March 26, 2017, 09:26:54 AM »
Just for fun, I provide the linked reference (with an open access pdf), which is a scholarly work containing a wide range of information related to the coming the Great Bodhisatta Metteyya, and which indicates that Metteyya will be a viriya (energy) – type of Bodhisatta.  This indicates to me that (if true) the period after his enlightenment will be associated with low systemic isolation (including in the Hegelian institutional sense).  Furthermore, in Reply #20, I indicate that Metteyya may be born (and/or conceived) in 2017; and in Reply #168, I associate Metteyya with the "Auspicious Aeon" (bhadrakalpa).  Herein I speculate that the golden age of the bhadrakalpa will follow the enlightenment of Metteyya; which I suspect may occur around an age of 35 to 40, circa 2052 to 2058.


Sayagyi U Chit Tin, PhD. Assisted by William Pruitt, PhD. (1992), "The Coming Buddha Ariya Metteyya", The Wheel Publication No. 381/383, Buddhist Publication Society, Kandy, Sri Lanka

https://what-buddha-said.net/library/pdfs/Metteyya.pdf

Extract: "Great Bodhisattas are of three types: (1) those in whom wisdom (panna) is predominant, (2) those in whom faith (saddha) is predominant, and (3) those in whom energy (viriya) is predominant.

According to the commentary on the Anagatavamsa, those in whom wisdom is predominant, which was the case for the Bodhisatta who became Buddha Gotama, …

Those in whom energy is predominant, as is the case for Bodhisatta Metteyya …

… the fact that a Bodhisatta for whom energy is predominant develops the perfections four times as long as a Bodhisatta for whom wisdom is predominant."


Notes:
(A) It is commonly accepted that Buddha Gotama become enlightened at an age of 35 (see the following linked Wikipedia article).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gautama_Buddha

(B) I discount the value of much of the information about Metteyya contained in the non-canonical Pali texts including: the Anagatavamsa, the Dasabohisattuppattikatha, the Dasabodhisatta-uddesa, the Dasavatthuppakarana, the Sihalavatthupakarana and the Mahavamsa [all cited, for scholarly completeness, in U Chit Tin (1992)].
« Last Edit: March 26, 2017, 07:18:26 PM by AbruptSLR »
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #294 on: March 26, 2017, 09:22:43 PM »
While my last post, Reply #293, is speculative as it deal with the future; it included the following quote: "… Metteyya will be a viriya (energy) – type of Bodhisatta.  This indicates to me that (if true) the period after his enlightenment will be associated with low systemic isolation (including in the Hegelian institutional sense [see Replies #264 to 281])."  I introduced Hegelian metaphors to this thread in order to more practicably convey the deeper (but much more complex) underlying systemic characteristics of the HIOTTOE framework, which is itself a set of metaphors intended to convey the still deeper (and still more complex) nature of Dhamma.  However, before posting further predominantly using Hegelian metaphors, I briefly summarize herein some of the deeper metaphors between HIOTTOE and the nature of Dhamma.

In Reply # 119 I stated:  "In a Holographic Information Universe, or a HIOTTOE Universe, as perceived by un-fully realized dimples as "reality", one needs to remembers that what most un-fully realized dimples conceive as time is associated with changes in information entropy of an evolved information network (in particular see Reply #86, where entropy, H, is defined in terms of the system (subject to evolution from Gaussian adaptation) wide aggregation of efficiency.  Where efficiency, E, is information divided by the work/time needed to achieve an event (observation/measurement) with a probability P of occurrence, and –log (P) is the unit-less measure of information transmitted.  Thus E = −P log(P), and H = the summation of E for a system subject to evolution).

In HIOTTOE, an un-fully realized dimple cannot see beyond its preconceptions of the information contained in the free-will network, resulting in numerous event horizons (or parity horizons) that create the various kaplas cited in the edit to Reply # 117.  For instance if one (un-fully realized dimple) considers one's mind as the universe that one lives in then one's perception of one's series of re-birth's through "time" is associated with the evolution of choices that the dimple makes based on the evolution of the state of mind creates by information with in the free-will network that it clings to, thus resulting in the illusion of a series of lives that one cannot see beyond."

The prior quote from Reply #119 only discusses the nature of indirect information within the free-will information network.  However, direct information within the free-will information network is related to the awakening/enlightenment of Bodhisatta as briefly discussed in the following quote from Reply #153 [see also page 7 of U Chit Tin (1992)]:  "In Reply #115 I provide links to references discussing the relationship of dark energy to "Holographic Dark Information Energy" that indicate that "… algorithmic entropy of the universe always increases because the extra states produced by the accelerating expansion compensate for the loss of entropy from star formation."  Furthermore, the reference in Reply #148 provides specific mathematics as to how Holographic information theory accounts for dark energy.

With this in mind I reiterate that HIOTTOE is based on an evolving free-will information network that cyclically (and timelessly) reconfigures itself into different configurations (depending on the free-will choices) that metaphorically correspond to the dimples (baby universes) in the String Theory Landscape.  In this regards dark energy can be calculated based on changes in information entropy.  Furthermore, dark matter can be related to significantly, but partially realized, free-will information dimples, or arahants ranging from stream dippers: pakati-savaka, maha-savaka, agga-savaka, to pacceka-bodhisatta.  Finally, the baby universes are sub-divided based on the maha-bodhisatta associated with these free-will information network configurations.

In this regards, the configuration of the free-will information network associated with the observable universe results in 68% dark energy, 27% dark matter and 5% normal matter (see the following Forbes article); which can be used to help characterize the specifics of how the free-will information network is currently configured"

Furthermore, the following quote comes from Reply #168: "In an evolved Holographic Information Universe the laws of physics (or laws of dhamma in HIOTTOE ) evolve with "time".  In my last post I noted that the Constructor Theory, QBism, Shape Dynamics and other work might serve to help establish & extend the ER=EPR conjecture into a firmer understanding of a Holographic Information Universe.  Furthermore, if the Holographic Information Universe is a subset of HIOTTOE then it is also possible that a clearer understanding of the wisdom conveyed by the Buddha Gotama might also help to establish a firmer understanding of a Theory of Everything.  In this regards in Reply #117, I noted that per the Pali Canon the present kalpa is called the bhadrakalpa, or Auspicious aeon; which has (or will have depending on how you think about time) five Great (Maha-) Bodhisattas (which are of three types: panna, saddha and viriya) who are: Kakusandha, Koṇāgaman, Kassapa, Gotama & Metteyya; and who are associated with the parity horizon between our universe and the others in the Nibbanic equivalent of the String Theory Landscape.  Also, in my last post I reiterated that arahantship could be associate with black holes and their event horizon (I note that as content inside of a black hole's event horizon occurs in the future, that the arahants for Metteyya already affect the observable universe).  As arahantship is associated with abhijna/abhinna, I provide the following Wikipedia link on this topic:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abhij%C3%B1%C4%81

Extract: " Abhijñā (Skt., Pali, abhiññā; Tib., mngon shes, མངོན་ཤེས་) has been translated generally as "knowing," "direct knowing" and "direct knowledge" or, at times more technically, as "higher knowledge" and "supernormal knowledge." In Buddhism, such knowing and knowledge is obtained through virtuous living and meditation. In terms of specifically enumerated knowledges, these include worldly extra-sensory abilities (such as seeing past and future lives) as well as the supramundane extinction of all mental intoxicants (āsava)."

I provide all of these quotes from my prior posts just to make the following points related to my opening paragraph that following the socio-economic collapse the possibility that Metteyya might be an energy-type Great Bodhisatta indicates that Hegelian institutions can be established to facilitate both low systemic socio-economic entropy that will in turn facilitate the enlightenment of many times more individuals than occurred during the period of Buddha Gotama:

1.  If one considers the Hegelian dialectic double spiral as one of many stream flows in Gotama's analogy of a river (life) flowing to the sea (Nibbana), then Gotama's wisdom-type teachings serves as a small boat to help carry an aspirant to the far shore; then Metteyya's potential future energy (entropy)-type teaching (including Hegelian systemic insights) may act as a big boat to carry more individuals to the far shore.

2.  In HIOTTOE terms the points made in Item 1 could be rephrased to indicate that in a Holographic Universe the lowest bodhisatta or stream dippers (pakati-savaka bodhisattas) correspond to individual sized boats that correspond to very small black holes that are not subject to evaporation from Hawking's' radiation.  While the five Great Bodhisattas of the bhadrakalpa, require a penultimate energy (entropy) – type Great Bodhisatta to result in a free-will information network configuration/circuit corresponding to the observable universe.

3.  A Hegelian thesis is a partial truth that creates entropy/suffering that in turn creates an antithesis as a complementary partial truth with complementary entropy/suffering, much like the crest and trough of a wave in a river (life).

In this sense if one takes a Hegelian thesis that modern Scientism (incomplete science) and its associated technology (fossil fuel industry, military-industrial complex and globalism) has led to our current overshoot and climate change then this could be considered (by Kleptocrats like Steve Bannon et. al.) as creating the current isolationist populism that distrusts intellectuals, globalism and evidence-based science that doesn't feed its appetite for material goods/power; then in order to systemically decrease the entropy associated with this Hegelian dialectic dynamic, one would need to develop both institutions and information theory/science to hold accountable all parties for the partial truths that create the Hegelian dialectic double spiral of continuing/increasing suffering/entropy.  Again accountability (in an evidenced-based sense) is the key to reducing this Hegelian spiral of suffering leading to the coming socio-economic collapse, but information theory/science, AI, and AWE (artificial wisdom evolved) will survive the socio-economic collapse and may facilitate a period of sustainable society overlain on top of the consequences of our overshoot.  Lastly, the attached image illustrates the consequences of living a life with no preconceived ideas.

See also:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bodhisattva
« Last Edit: March 27, 2017, 01:24:01 AM by AbruptSLR »
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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wili

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #295 on: March 26, 2017, 09:25:57 PM »
ASLR: Though I can't always follow it, I enjoy your mix (or juxtaposition) of Buddhist and Western philosophies and ideas.
"A force de chercher de bonnes raisons, on en trouve; on les dit; et après on y tient, non pas tant parce qu'elles sont bonnes que pour ne pas se démentir." Choderlos de Laclos "You struggle to come up with some valid reasons, then cling to them, not because they're good, but just to not back down."

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #296 on: March 27, 2017, 01:15:46 AM »
ASLR: Though I can't always follow it, I enjoy your mix (or juxtaposition) of Buddhist and Western philosophies and ideas.

As my posts tend to be rather convoluted, let me provide some hopefully more concrete examples of the Scientism – Populism Hegelian dialectic double helix dynamic metaphor (mentioned at the end of my last post, Reply #294) applied to some of the discussions in some of the threads within the ASIF.  But first let me present the first image of a physicist (say one like Gavin Schmidt a former Global Circulation Modeler & current head of NASA's Goddard Institute) representing a know-it-all scientismist acting like an instant authority & lecturing others (say about the excellent quality of AR5's CMIP5 GCM projections); while the second attached image shows alt-right populist materialism leading a BAU herd off a socio-economic cliff, say by Trump cutting-off funding for NASA/Goddard Institute's GCM projections.

1.  In the "Validation of GCM Models" thread in the Science folder, in my opinion Jim Williams presented Judith Curry's denialist (alt-right populist) case that in order to be worthy of societal/governmental support GCM model projections need to meet engineering/regulatory-scientific levels of model confidence with regard to repeatability (very difficult as we are conducting a one of a kind experience on our Earth Systems), reliability and precision (see the article entitled: " Judith Curry confuses laypeople about climate models", @  https://andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2017/02/21/judith-curry-confuses-laypeople-about-climate-models/).
Such thinking got the likes of Donald Trump, Lamar Smith, Mitch McConnell, et. al. elected and is going to soon result in major cut-backs in federal support for science models that cannot meet engineering/regulatory-science standards.  While no current-GCM can honestly meet such standards several posters half-indicated that they believed that CMIP5 projection could be treated as if they did meet the current engineering/regulatory-science standards, thus playing into the hands of Judith Curry et. al. and her alt-right populist defense of the lay person.  In a Hegelian dialectic dynamic the evidence-based scientismists would need to wait (while we continue on a BAU pathway towards collapse) until populism swings towards leftist populists like Bernie Sanders in reaction/disgust to the non-evidence based alt-right kleptocratic movement.  However, using information to increase accountability (see the third image of populist a fence-sitter ready to adopt either right or left populism depending on the mode of the day) one can use a Bayesian approach (see the fourth image of Einstein recommending forming priori based on the past that may not perfectly match the present, then correcting for evidence from the moment to create a posterior that serves as a new priori and then repeat).

2.  As my last example in this post, I cite the scientism common in the "Global Surface Air Temperature" thread in the Consequences folder, that hopes to avoid the uncertainties of climate change models by pointing authoritatively to direct observations of Global Surface Air Temperature Anomalies, GMSTA, and only using statistics to interpret the data.  While populist/denialists are familiar with the saying "There are lies, damn lies and statistic" and then they use statistics to shamelessly cherry pick the direct data to support Lamar Smith (head of the US Congresses Science Committee) to attack climate scientists, saying that Congress is the true authority and not some egghead climate scientists like Michael Mann because there is an insufficient amount of observed data to justify wasting public money on fighting climate change when the observed data falls within the window of uncertainty.  I would suggest that again Bayesian techniques can extend the value of limited data sets, and that correction/safety factors could be applied to account for remaining uncertainties (say of for example: Arctic Amplification resulting in a non-stationary situation, an incomplete range of observations, lag-time from radiative forcing to final climate response, etc.), following the Precautionary Principle.
« Last Edit: March 27, 2017, 01:28:58 AM by AbruptSLR »
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
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sidd

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #297 on: March 27, 2017, 07:51:22 AM »
"But first let me present the first image of a physicist (say one like Gavin Schmidt a former Global Circulation Modeler & current head of NASA's Goddard Institute) representing a know-it-all scientismist acting like an instant authority & lecturing others (say about the excellent quality of AR5's CMIP5 GCM projections)"

This forum has been host to too many personal attacks on scientists lately. Posting cartoons is not an argument, and this is gratuitous attack.  If you have objections to Dr. Schmidt's defence of climate models, take it to realclimate, where you may engage him directly.

sidd

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #298 on: March 27, 2017, 07:36:14 PM »
"But first let me present the first image of a physicist (say one like Gavin Schmidt a former Global Circulation Modeler & current head of NASA's Goddard Institute) representing a know-it-all scientismist acting like an instant authority & lecturing others (say about the excellent quality of AR5's CMIP5 GCM projections)"

This forum has been host to too many personal attacks on scientists lately. Posting cartoons is not an argument, and this is gratuitous attack.  If you have objections to Dr. Schmidt's defence of climate models, take it to realclimate, where you may engage him directly.

sidd

What does, or does not, constitute a gratuitous attack may be a fine line; and it is not my intent to insult any particular scientist, including Gavin.  I have previously engaged Gavin at RealClimate and I was not satisfied by his response, so I do not intend to engage him again.

“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson

AbruptSLR

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Re: Systemic Isolation
« Reply #299 on: March 27, 2017, 11:48:28 PM »
To continue with my last few posts about the Hegelian dynamic between Scientism & Populism, I would like to briefly state that I believe it would help if scientists could better convey to the general public (including to populists) a greater sense of awe of nature (all of nature); including the upper bound dynamics of nature such as the potential rapid collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet as discussed in the Antarctic folder.

Edit: If it is not clear, in the first image the Statue of Liberty would easier fit inside the crevasse, and that if the West Antarctic Ice Sheet were to collapse abruptly models indicate that an armada of icebergs would float around Antarctica, many with blue ice sails as shown in the second image.

Edit2: To develop a partial sense of awe of how fast marine glaciers can form icebergs watch the linked video of a calving event in Greenland from the movie "Chasing Ice".

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hC3VTgIPoGU

And to get an idea of the possible consequences of such cliff failures and hydrofracturing to the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, see the last image from DeConto & Pollard, for less that a 2.7C increase in GMSTA.
« Last Edit: March 28, 2017, 12:51:19 PM by AbruptSLR »
“It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change.”
― Leon C. Megginson