I'm anticipating a pretty chaotic melt season, with very strong melt in the early part that will begin to break up the CAB pack. As I've said previously, I also expect the increased Arctic cloudiness in the summer to be accepted as a real feedback effect of raised temperatures, but this will only result in a 2013-esque subdued melt season if it's a quiet, stable sort of cloudiness. I'm pretty sure it won't be. I reckon we'll see more of a roller-coaster of warm sunshine (breaking up the ice into a mosaic) and storms (swirling it down the plughole).
In short, I keep trying to find a way to avert major cryo-carnage, but I don't think it's happening. I suspect that the bastion of old, cold, stable ice north of Greenland is going to have been, in retrospect, critical to maintaining the overall regime... and I don't think it's there any more, in any way that counts. We've seen how it responds to changes in wind direction, and how it seems to be pulled about all over the place. I fear that what's left is mainly going to be heading for the Fram.
End result? Not a blue Arctic, but closer to it than humans have ever seen.
Caveat: when it comes down to it, I know nothing.