we are still 400.000 km2 lower than 2012 and 140.000 km2 lower than 2007 at this time of the year, which were lowest and 3rd lowest ever recorded, so based on that still 'on schedule' for a new record, around 2.6/2.7k km2
Or we are ~800.000 above 2016, so we won't get below 5 million km2 this year.
Or the gap with the 2000's average is halved in 2 months (800k earlier, 400k now), so in 4 months (2*400k) we will be 400k higher than the 2000's average, so around 6 million km2
Just pick the one you want, they are all based on the same set of numbers