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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #750 on: July 25, 2015, 12:29:22 AM »
Per Gary Szatkowski of NWS: A similar report for NJ will be issued by USGS.

Analysis of storm-tide impacts from Hurricane Sandy in New York
Scientific Investigations Report 2015-5036
Prepared in cooperation with the Federal Emergency Management Agency
http://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/sir20155036
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Sigmetnow

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #752 on: July 30, 2015, 12:50:36 AM »
Temperatures soar above 123 degrees Fahrenheit in Iraq, forcing four-day holiday
http://mashable.com/2015/07/29/iraq-heat-advisory-123-degrees/
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wili

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #753 on: July 30, 2015, 06:20:39 PM »
http://www.dutchnews.nl/news/archives/2015/07/one-killed-several-injured-as-summer-storm-sweeps-across-the-netherlands/

"...the gales were the strongest recorded in the summer since official records began in 1901."

One killed, several injured as summer storm sweeps across the Netherlands
"A force de chercher de bonnes raisons, on en trouve; on les dit; et après on y tient, non pas tant parce qu'elles sont bonnes que pour ne pas se démentir." Choderlos de Laclos "You struggle to come up with some valid reasons, then cling to them, not because they're good, but just to not back down."

Laurent

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #754 on: July 31, 2015, 06:20:43 PM »
68°c...at 35°c outside and me inside my home at 27°C I feel very bad...
Freak Weather Event Made It Feel Like 70C In The Iranian City Of Bandar Mahshahr Yesterday
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/07/31/freak-weather-68-celsius-iranian-city-bandar-mahshahr_n_7910308.html

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #755 on: July 31, 2015, 11:44:19 PM »
”...storms in the Southern Hemisphere are creating more intense currents in the Pacific Ocean, and larger than normal waves”  ???

Rip Currents Lead to Hundreds of Rescues on SoCal Beaches
http://www.nbcnews.com/nightly-news/rip-currents-lead-hundreds-rescues-los-angeles-county-beaches-n401311
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #756 on: August 01, 2015, 03:47:45 PM »
Weather Underground's Christopher Burt on the Northwest U.S. heat wave.

Quote
The hot weather and dry conditions have critically impacted the sockeye salmon runs along the Columbia River and its tributaries. Federal and state fishery biologists estimate that up to 80% of the salmon may perish since the fish become stressed at water temperatures above 68° and stop migrating when the water reaches 74° or higher. Many of the Columbian River tributaries are already measuring temperatures above 76°. The Columbian River itself is running at its lowest level for this time of the year in 60 years according to U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service officials.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/comment.html?entrynum=328
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #757 on: August 01, 2015, 07:07:56 PM »
India and Myanmar monsoon rains leave dozens dead
Quote
Incessant rain over several weeks has led to flooding and landslides in most of the country (also known as Burma).
...
This is much, much worse than normal," Toe Zaw Latt, the Myanmar bureau chief for the Democratic Voice of Burma (DVB) network, told the BBC from Yangon.

On Friday, Ko Myo Zaw Lin, a journalist with DVB, was filmed carrying out a live interview in flood waters up to his chest in the southern city of Bago.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-33745840
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JimD

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #758 on: August 01, 2015, 09:34:54 PM »
Holy crapo!@!@!

Quote
Iran city hits suffocating heat index of 165 degrees, near world record

Wherever you live or happen to travel to, never complain about the heat and humidity again.

In the city of Bandar Mahshahr (population of about 110,000 as of 2010), the air felt like a searing 165 degrees (74 Celsius) today factoring in the humidity.

[Iran’s heat index is literally off the charts, and this is what it feels like]

Although there are no official records of heat indices, this is second highest level we have ever seen reported.

To achieve today’s astronomical heat index level of 165, Bandar Mahshahr’s actual air temperature registered 115 degrees (46 Celsius) with an astonishing dew point temperature of 90 (32 Celsius)....

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/07/30/iran-city-hits-suffocating-heat-index-of-154-degrees-near-world-record/
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pikaia

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #759 on: August 01, 2015, 10:20:48 PM »
That corresponds to a wet-bulb temperature of 34.7C. A wet-bulb temperature of 35C would be fatal after a few hours because it is impossible to lose body heat.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/07/opinion/sunday/the-deadly-combination-of-heat-and-humidity.html



wili

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #760 on: August 01, 2015, 11:07:36 PM »
"At least 52 children in Iraq refugees have died from the heat"

http://www.digitaljournal.com/news/world/iran-heat-index-near-record-165-degrees-fatalities-reported/article/439879#ixzz3hbCUdHOZ

I'm thinking these numbers will go higher, though the gov there may be too dysfunctional to do an accurate count.

Children and the elderly are particularly susceptible to heat waves like this. But, as others pointed out, when/if it gets above 35 wbt for over six hours, pretty much everybody not in airconditioning of some kind will die.
"A force de chercher de bonnes raisons, on en trouve; on les dit; et après on y tient, non pas tant parce qu'elles sont bonnes que pour ne pas se démentir." Choderlos de Laclos "You struggle to come up with some valid reasons, then cling to them, not because they're good, but just to not back down."

TerryM

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #761 on: August 01, 2015, 11:55:16 PM »
That corresponds to a wet-bulb temperature of 34.7C. A wet-bulb temperature of 35C would be fatal after a few hours because it is impossible to lose body heat.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/07/opinion/sunday/the-deadly-combination-of-heat-and-humidity.html



I'd estimated 34.66 wet bulb, but was just guessing at the air pressure. 35WB is the upper limit for humans, but I believe many mammals are less able to deal with extreme heat. If the locals relied on sheep, goats or cattle they may need to import some food PDQ.


Brown outs, where the electrical supplies are hampered by overuse of the grid or poor cooling at generating plants is deadly for AC and refrigeration compressors. When they try to start without enough voltage they require extra amperage which overheats the start windings and burns out the units. This could be deadly for those relying on the HVAC system as no one will be available to make repairs until the danger has past.


I can't imagine any way to prepare for such an eventuality other than shutting down any compressor based system at the first sign of a brownout (dim lamps, small TV picture, flickering lights), and keeping them off line until the situation has resolved itself.


I was in California when Enron was playing with grid voltage and the damage done to commercial refrigeration systems alone was unbelievable.


Terry

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #762 on: August 03, 2015, 09:55:02 PM »
Rescues Underway, Evacuations Ordered As More Heavy Rain, Flooding Swamps Tampa Bay, Florida Area
Quote
The Anclote River was expected to crest Monday evening, potentially at a level just under 5 inches below the crest observed during Tropical Storm Debby on June 26, 2012, according to the National Weather Service office in Ruskin, Florida.
...
Through 1 p.m. Monday, Tampa International Airport has picked up 17.06 inches of rain since Friday, July 24, more than the average monthly rain in the city's two wettest months of July (7.06 inches) and August (7.76 inches).

Less than three full days into August, Tampa exceeded its average August rainfall late Monday morning, already tallying over eight inches of rain.
http://www.weather.com/news/news/tampa-florida-flooding-impacts
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #763 on: August 05, 2015, 01:17:19 PM »
Super Typhoon Soudelor is the strongest storm on Earth this year
Quote
Since Soudelor reached the equivalent of a Category 5 intensity storm, with maximum sustained winds of 155 miles per hour or greater, it has become the sixth such storm on Earth this year. The average number of these fierce storms is just 4.6 per year.
http://mashable.com/2015/08/03/super-typhoon-soudelor-cat5-monster/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #764 on: August 09, 2015, 03:15:11 AM »
Hong Kong swelters on hottest day in history
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Hong Kong on Saturday recorded its hottest day since authorities began taking temperature readings 130 years ago, due to the influence of a nearby typhoon.
http://news.yahoo.com/hong-kong-swelters-hottest-day-history-102424750.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #765 on: August 09, 2015, 04:59:21 PM »
Quote
@billmckibben: Tokyo notches 8 straight days over 95F, twice as long as the old record heatwave http://t.co/ETusGsWcIS

Soudelor Winds Down; Hilda Hits Category 4; Hong Kong Sets All-Time Heat Record
Quote
Former Typhoon Soudelor, now a 50-mph tropical storm, is inland over eastern China after giving storm-savvy Taiwan one of its most powerful typhoon strikes on record.
...
On Saturday, the venerable Hong Kong Observatory reached 36.3°C (97.3°F), the hottest temperature in its 132-year history. The heat in Hong Kong was likely enhanced by sinking air around the southern periphery of Typhoon Soudelor. Likewise, subsidence on the north side of Soudelor helped keep Tokyo toasty, as the city notched its eight consecutive day of at least 95°F temperatures on Friday. The streak was twice the previous record length of four days, recorded on five different occasions between 1978 and 2013, as noted in a full report by The Weather Channel’s Nick Wiltgen. Records in Tokyo began in 1875. The streak was broken on Saturday, as temperatures topped out at 91°F, and the heat should stay just short of the 95°F threshold over the coming week.

Meanwhile, central and eastern Europe continues to broil in a sustained heat wave. In Poland, the Wroclaw Observatory hit an all-time record high on Saturday of 38.9°C (102.0°F), and highs soared above 95°F over a broad swath from Lithuania to the Mediterranean. Some areas will see relief over the next several days, but others are facing at least a solid week of torrid readings....
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3066
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #766 on: August 12, 2015, 04:32:21 PM »
Europe Heat Wave Sets All-Time Record in Germany, Again; Prompts Poland Power Cuts
http://www.weather.com/news/climate/news/europe-heat-wave-poland-germany-czech-august-2015


Death Toll in Egypt's Scorching Heat Wave Rises to Over 60
Quote
The Mideast has been hit by a heat wave since late July. Egyptian summers are usually hot, but temperatures this week soared to 46 degrees Celsius (114 degrees Fahrenheit) in the south.

http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/death-toll-egypts-scorching-heat-wave-rises-60-33032796
« Last Edit: August 12, 2015, 04:45:48 PM by Sigmetnow »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #767 on: August 12, 2015, 05:01:34 PM »
Some context for the above comment.  Temperature Anomaly map.

From:  http://cci-reanalyzer.org/DailySummary/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #768 on: August 13, 2015, 01:07:48 AM »
Three Years of Rain Falls in 12 Hours as Deadly Storm Causes Flooding, Mudslides in Chile
Quote
"The Atacama Desert is an extremely arid region and has been for millions of years. As a result, the terrain is hard and rocky because rainfall isn't frequent or abundant enough for either weathering rocks into sand or supporting the kind of ecosystem that would help turn rocks and minerals into soil. Without soil and plant cover to help absorb rainfall, it just runs off instantly as torrents of water," weather.com senior meteorologist Nick Wiltgen said.

http://www.weather.com/news/news/chile-deadly-storm-flooding-mudslides
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #769 on: August 13, 2015, 02:20:22 AM »
Global warming seen lurking behind this summer’s deadly heat waves
http://mashable.com/2015/08/12/summer-heat-waves-global-warming/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #770 on: August 20, 2015, 03:08:44 AM »
Rare, Large Hail Prompts First Severe Thunderstorm Warning from NWS-Anchorage in Six Years
http://www.weather.com/storms/severe/news/alaska-rare-hailstorm-august-2015
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Buddy

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FOX (RT) News....."The Trump Channel.....where truth and journalism are dead."

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #772 on: August 26, 2015, 03:55:02 PM »
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #773 on: August 29, 2015, 09:15:27 PM »
NASA visualizations:
Quote
Hurricane Katrina hit the U.S. Gulf Coast on August 29, 2005, leaving a trail of destruction and hundreds of deaths. Since then, researchers have made strides in understanding the inner-core processes and environmental factors that affect the path and intensity of a hurricane. When a hurricane strikes now, scientists have a better understanding of where it’s going and what’s going on inside it than they did ten years ago thanks to higher resolution models largely enabled by more powerful supercomputers. Today’s models have up to ten times the resolution than those during Katrina and allow for a more accurate look inside a hurricane. Using these models, historical storms can even be recreated in great detail to help scientists study and learn about past events. Watch the videos to see simulations of Hurricane Katrina created from a NASA weather and climate model in 2015.
http://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/details.cgi?aid=11925&button=recent&linkId=16662186
(Note: may take a minute for the page to appear.)
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #774 on: August 30, 2015, 05:44:34 PM »
450,000 lose power in Seattle, Washington area due to unusual, strong wind storm.
Quote
The National Weather Service reported 20 to 35 mph winds, with gusts of 50 mph. One weather station in Hoquiam clocked a gust of 63 mph.

Late August is unusually early for such a powerful storm, meteorologists said. Trees, already stressed by dry conditions, still have their leaves, which makes them more likely to fall when strong winds blow.

Crews working to restore power were taxed by the storm's breadth. It tore trees out of the ground across a vast swatch of the Pacific Northwest, stretching manpower and equipment thin.

"If it just hits one part of our service area, you can maybe send crews down from another area. But this is a service-area-wide event," said Christina Donegan, a spokeswoman for Puget Sound Energy, which reported 224,000 customers without power by early evening.
Strong winds blamed for 2 deaths in Seattle area
http://m.seattlepi.com/news/us/article/Strong-winds-blamed-for-2-deaths-in-Seattle-area-6473708.php
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #775 on: August 30, 2015, 09:44:28 PM »
Unusual hurricane-strength storm forming in far eastern Atlantic: "Fred."

Quote
@weatherchannel: T.S. #Fred forecast to become a #hurricane. Hurricane warning issued for Cape Verde Islands: http://t.co/U4YQgLViFU http://t.co/AL3cooU7zT

https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/638007268085268480
Quote
@AlexJLamers: Only two previous cases could probably be argued as hurricanes moving thru Cape Verde Isl in historical record. #Fred http://t.co/mIfS0pTnqA

https://twitter.com/alexjlamers/status/637958010963275776
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #776 on: August 30, 2015, 10:01:28 PM »
Barometric, temperature and snowfall maps at the link.

Quote
@RyanMaue: Unusually deep trough & low-pressure (< 980 mb) over Alaska & Yukon Canada.  Snow, freezing temps next several days http://t.co/VgdYvq2Re8

https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/637869733438705664
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #777 on: August 31, 2015, 12:19:37 AM »
Quote
@billmckibben: No wonder WA is on fire--Seattle smashes record for most 80-degree days in a year (and 85, and 90) http://t.co/IaJXA47BRz

https://twitter.com/billmckibben/status/638055841480904704
Seattle's hot summer claims final heat record left on the books
http://www.komonews.com/weather/blogs/scott/Seattles-hot-summer-claims-final-heat-record-left-on-the-books-323128211.html
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Jim Hunt

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #778 on: August 31, 2015, 12:00:04 PM »
Unusual hurricane-strength storm forming in far eastern Atlantic: "Fred."

Fred achieved hurricane strength overnight:

http://econnexus.org/hurricane-fred-threatens-cape-verde-islands/

Quote
FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE EASTERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

LOCATION…15.3N 22.5W

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Jim Hunt

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #779 on: August 31, 2015, 05:14:28 PM »
Fred from Terra today:

http://econnexus.org/hurricane-fred-threatens-cape-verde-islands/#1445Aug31

Although a mere tropical storm, Erika killed 20+ in the Dominican Republic over the weekend:





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Juan C. García

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #780 on: September 05, 2015, 05:34:33 AM »
This is climate change: Alaskan villagers struggle as island is chewed up by the sea:

http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-arctic-obama-20150830-story.html

Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #781 on: September 10, 2015, 02:36:29 PM »
 :D

Quote
The Welsh town of Llanfairpwllgwyngyllgogerychwyrndrobwllllantysiliogogogoch was particularly warm on Monday. Which meant Welsh weatherman Liam Dutton would have to include it as part of his daily forecast.
http://www.today.com/news/weatherman-aces-pronunciation-llanfair-pwllgwyngyll-gogery-chwyrn-drobwll-llan-tysilio-t43041
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #782 on: September 10, 2015, 07:09:33 PM »
Heavy rain causes floods in Japan; sends tainted water from Fukushima into the sea
Quote
A Japanese city was flooded on Thursday (Sept 10) when a raging river burst its banks, destroying homes and cars as desperate residents waited for help, and as thousands of people were ordered to evacuate.

Dramatic television footage showed a wall of muddy water gushing from the swollen Kinugawa river in Joso city, north of Tokyo, which is home to around 65,000 people.

Several people are reportedly missing across the country as waist-high floods in some areas left rescuers scrambling to pluck residents to safety as a wide area was deluged in the wake of Typhoon Etau.

The huge rains also exacerbated a contaminated water problem at the crippled Fukushima nuclear plant as it overwhelmed the site’s drainage pumps, sending radiation-tainted water into the ocean.

“This is a scale of downpour that we have not experienced before,” forecaster Takuya Deshimaru told an emergency press conference.
http://atimes.com/2015/09/heavy-rain-causes-floods-in-japan-sends-tainted-water-from-fukushima-plant-into-sea/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #783 on: September 10, 2015, 07:28:20 PM »
Historic Floods in Japan Force More Than 100,000 People From Their Homes
https://news.vice.com/article/historic-floods-in-japan-force-more-than-100000-people-from-their-homes
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BornFromTheVoid

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #784 on: September 10, 2015, 08:10:09 PM »
Could be some flooding in Ireland over the next few days.

Met Eireann have an orange warning out for flooding tomorrow.

Quote
STATUS ORANGE

Rainfall Warning for Connacht, Donegal, Clare, Cork, Kerry, Limerick and Tipperary
Widespread, very heavy rain, with some thundery downpours will develop Thursday night and persist through Friday, leading to spot flooding and possibly accumulations of 35 to 50mm, but up to 70mm possibly on hilly ground and on mountains.

Issued:Thursday 10 September 2015 09:00
Valid:Friday 11 September 2015 00:01 to Friday 11 September 2015 23:59

More heavy rain is forecast for Sunday too, with accumulations between tonight and Sunday night possibly exceeding 100mm in parts of the west, but widely between 50 and 100mm.

Typical totals for the month of September range from about 110mm along parts of the south west coast to about 60mm towards the east coast

I recently joined the twitter thing, where I post more analysis, pics and animations: @Icy_Samuel

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #785 on: September 12, 2015, 03:33:12 PM »
Dust storms and thunderstorms are common in the area at this time of year. Was this storm "unusually strong"?

Crane Collapse in High Winds Kills At Least 107 at Mecca's Grand Mosque During Hajj
http://www.weather.com/news/news/mecca-crane-collapse

Saudi Arabia blames winds for deadly crane collapse, opens investigation
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/09/12/us-saudi-haj-idUSKCN0RB1WN20150912
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #786 on: September 12, 2015, 08:18:47 PM »
People who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #787 on: September 13, 2015, 09:51:39 PM »
All-time record heat in the Caribbean
Quote
Record heat scorched the Caribbean again on Saturday. According to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera, an all-time heat record was set on the island of Anguilla in the Lesser Antilles: 33.8°C (92.8°F), besting the record of 33.7°C set just four days previously. The Cuban capital of La Habana (Havana) also recorded its hottest temperature on record and the hottest temperature ever measured in September in Cuba, with 38.2°C (100.8°F) at the Casablanca Observatory. Havana's previous all-time heat record was set just a few months ago, on April 26, 2015: 37.0°C....

Record heat and drought has been widespread over the Caribbean this summer, with the worst drought conditions occurring over Haiti, Eastern Cuba, Nicaragua, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Honduras, and Costa Rica. Reuters reported last month that Cuba began a two-month cloud-seeding campaign in September over the eastern part of the Caribbean island in hopes of easing its worst drought since at least 1901. The atmospheric circulation associated with the strong El Niño event in the Eastern Pacific has brought warm, sinking air and high pressure to the Caribbean, and has contributed to many cities recording their all-time highest temperatures on record. Another big factor in Saturday's record highs, and the record highs all across the Caribbean this year, is the fact that the year-to-date period of 2015 has been the warmest on record for the globe as a whole....
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3111
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #788 on: September 28, 2015, 02:43:48 PM »
A reminder that it no longer requires a "tropical storm" for extreme amounts of rain to fall.

Alabama and Florida Hit by Floods After Historic Gulf Coast Downpour
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/mobile-alabama-hit-floods-after-historic-gulf-coast-downpour-n434641
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #789 on: September 29, 2015, 08:46:55 PM »
Heads up, U.S. East Coast!

Tropical Storm Joaquin Likely to Produce East Coast Deluge This Week
Quote
The East Coast is about to get a lot of rain. The latest projection from the National Weather Service’s Weather Prediction Center (below), which is produced by meteorologists after consulting a suite of computer forecast models, shows as much as 8-9 inches of rain is likely from the Mid-Atlantic to southern New England through next Tuesday. That’s an incredible amount—more than two months’ worth—and individual weather models are showing even more is possible in some areas if thunderstorms align into narrow bands.
...
Comparing the current pattern with similar historical weather patterns, one of the leading analogs right now is Hurricane Irene in 2011, which produced catastrophic flooding in upstate New York and New England. Other matches include the merging of Tropical Storm Tammy and a subtropical depression in October 2005 and the remnants of Tropical Storm Nicole in 2010. Ocean temperatures in the vicinity of Tropical Storm Joaquin are currently at the warmest levels ever measured since weather records began in 1880—there’s clearly a lot of energy to work with here.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/09/29/tropical_storm_joaquin_new_york_city_and_the_rest_of_the_east_coast_should.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #790 on: September 30, 2015, 04:12:20 AM »
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@billmckibben: TS Joaquin now passing over the warmest waters measured off Bahamas since record-keeping began in the 1880s http://t.co/Yfx3aonF9o

https://twitter.com/billmckibben/status/649038494703222785
Joaquin Intensifying; Potential Threat for Bahamas and U.S. Coast
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3130
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #791 on: September 30, 2015, 04:34:07 PM »
U.S. Landfall Increasingly Likely for Hurricane Joaquin
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Even if Joaquin somehow avoids a U.S. landfall, it’s going to rain a lot in a lot of cities over the next few days. This morning’s GFS model shows a ridiculous 2 feet—or more—of rain possible over the Carolinas by Monday.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2015/09/30/hurricane_joaquin_sandy_like_possibilities_and_a_scary_forecast_for_washington.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #792 on: September 30, 2015, 05:36:21 PM »
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@EricHolthaus: Again, regardless of where #Joaquin makes landfall, potentially destructive/catastrophic flooding possible from Carolinas to New England.

https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/649243481416839168
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #793 on: October 01, 2015, 07:51:30 PM »
The linked Robert Scribbler article compares the many similarities between Hurricane Joaquin and Hurricane Sandy (shades of "Storms of my Grandchildren")

http://robertscribbler.com/2015/09/30/climate-change-superstorm-redux-joaquine-shows-some-eerie-similarities-to-sandy-in-gfs-forecast/
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #794 on: October 01, 2015, 11:28:15 PM »
The linked Fox News report has Hurricane Joaquin making landfall at NYC next Tuesday (shades of Hurricane Sandy):

http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2015/10/01/hurricane-joaquin-strengthens-into-category-3-storm-eyes-bahamas/
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silkman

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #795 on: October 02, 2015, 09:23:57 AM »
Now Category 4 and really battering the Bahamas but models indicating a higher probability of avoiding a direct hit on the East Coast.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/index.shtml?#IRENE

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #796 on: October 02, 2015, 09:56:16 PM »
Historic rainfall and major flood event looms for the Southeast this weekend
Quote
According to statistics compiled by NOAA, South Carolina’s torrential weekend rain could turn out to be 1,000-year rainfall events.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2015/10/02/historic-rainfall-and-major-flood-event-looms-for-the-southeast-this-weekend/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #797 on: October 02, 2015, 10:23:19 PM »
The linked Fox News report has Hurricane Joaquin making landfall at NYC next Tuesday (shades of Hurricane Sandy):

http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2015/10/01/hurricane-joaquin-strengthens-into-category-3-storm-eyes-bahamas/

Models have come around to the EURO way of thinking, that Hurricane Joaquim will head out to sea.

But "Rex Block" atmospheric conditions will still result in days of catastrophic rains over much of the U.S. east coast.
http://www.nbcnews.com/nightly-news/video/how-the--rex-block--will-dump-massive-rain-on-the-carolinas--mid-atlantic-536827459544
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #798 on: October 02, 2015, 10:34:06 PM »
Porentially catastrophic conditions in the Bahamas, where Hurricane Joaquin, currently Category 4,  will remain until Saturday.
http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/hurricane-joaquin-bahamas-atlantic-east-coast-bermuda-2015

Many related articles on the landing page of www.weather.com
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #799 on: October 02, 2015, 10:46:31 PM »
Already flooding at New Jersey shore around high tide.  Winds gusting 50 mph+.
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