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Author Topic: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change  (Read 1198369 times)

John Batteen

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1100 on: March 09, 2016, 04:45:25 AM »
We hit 70 in Minneapolis today, 33 degrees above average.  3rd earliest 70 degree day.  2nd shortest between 70 degrees in fall and spring.

The current running 12 month period from 3/8/15 to 3/7/16 is the warmest such period on record in Minneapolis with an average temperature of 49.7.  For reference the average is 45.4.  That's 4.3f or 2.4c above average.  Fits right in with the northern hemisphere about 2c above average.

Also the frost came out of the ground at the NWS measuring station in Chanhassen (a Minneapolis suburb) today.  That's crazy.  I don't know where it stands on the recordbook but it's pretty much unfathomable to my mind.  March 8th can still have feet of snow on the ground.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1101 on: March 09, 2016, 01:15:06 PM »
Eric Holthaus:  "Temperatures into the 70s on Thursday as far north as (maybe) Boston. About 30 degrees warmer than normal."
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/707265942984663040
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sidd

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1103 on: March 09, 2016, 09:24:36 PM »
Pussy willow blooming in ohio

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1104 on: March 10, 2016, 12:24:10 AM »
3,500 homes under mandatory evacuation in Bossier Parish, Louisiana as forecast of 25 inches of rain threatens to overtop a five-mile stretch of levee.  Bossier Sheriff says water rose the fastest he's seen in his 57 years in the area.

Mandatory evacuations ordered for 9 N. Bossier neighborhoods
http://www.ksla.com/story/31427988/mandatory-evacuations-ordered-for-8-n-bossier-neighborhoods
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1105 on: March 10, 2016, 01:03:27 AM »
Stuck jet stream pattern to spawn dangerous 'Maya Express' deluge
Quote
Blocked weather patterns tend to be a clue that something extreme is about to happen, and that is the case this week.

To weather forecasters, it has been clear for more than a week now that a series of extreme events will play out across the western and south-central U.S., along with parts of Mexico, during the next several days: everything from snow in Mexico City to dangerous flooding in several states.

The National Weather Service went so far as to hold a rare Friday afternoon press conference last week to highlight the threat, which Louis Uccellini, the NWS director, said was unusually clear from virtually all the major computer models that forecasters use to help guide their predictions.

Uccellini said the storms are the type of events expected during strong El Niño events, when milder than average ocean waters in the tropical Pacific alter weather patterns worldwide, favoring a strong southern branch of the jet stream and storm after storm rolling into California.
...
The end result will be feet of snow in the California mountains, flooding rains in lower elevations of central and southern California, and a potentially deadly flood event in at least four states: Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri and Texas. In fact, the flooding in the south-central U.S. may end up being a bigger story than the arrival of El Niño rains in California.

Already, unusual things are happening, with a lot more to come. Los Angeles saw severe thunderstorms on Monday morning, with lightning sparking fires in palm trees and high winds causing airport delays.
...
By midweek, the highly contorted shape of the jet stream in particular will resemble a butterfly, as a the jet traces a curving, winglike outline on a weather map. It is rare that such a deep dip in the jet stream — extending all the way to Puerto Vallarta, Mexico — takes place in March.
http://mashable.com/2016/03/07/california-storms-maya-express-flooding/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1106 on: March 10, 2016, 02:34:04 AM »
Eric Fisher:  In 3+ weeks, coldest temperature in decades to warmest air ever recorded so early in a season. # whiplash #Boston
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/707678646832529408
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1107 on: March 12, 2016, 03:48:54 PM »
The number of tornadoes, and the number of tornado outbreaks, is not increasing. But what IS increasing is the number of tornadoes occurring in outbreaks.

Climate Whirlwind: Severe Tornado Outbreaks Are Increasing
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2016/03/09/severe_tornado_outbreaks_are_increasing_over_time.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1108 on: March 12, 2016, 08:36:59 PM »
Louisiana flooding (see #1104, 1105 above):

1:20 p.m., update: Gov. John Bel Edwards speaks to officials, reporters.
Quote
...Twelve Mile Bayou will reach 39 feet – flood stage – by Tuesday. Texas is releasing water from Lake O’ the Pines which will find its way into the bayou that goes through north Shreveport and into Red River.

It’s there at Red River the bayou is experiencing trouble. The river already is at 28 feet – too high for the bayou to empty into. So, Twelve Mile is now backflowing and with that will come expected flooding in Shreveport’s Martin Luther King, Allendale and other neighborhoods. Dixie and other areas north of Shreveport also are in danger.

“It can’t dump into the river,” said Caddo Sheriff Steve Prator.

At an earlier briefing officials said the area could expect at least another inch of rain. Nantucket Harbor neighborhood on Dianne Street was being evacuated. Tornados and hail were possible on Sunday. Red River was expected to crest at 30 feet on Sunday.
http://www.shreveporttimes.com/story/news/breaking/2016/03/11/friday-flood-updates-closures-resources/81634912/
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Buddy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1109 on: March 12, 2016, 10:27:09 PM »
Quote
The number of tornadoes, and the number of tornado outbreaks, is not increasing. But what IS increasing is the number of tornadoes occurring in outbreaks.

OK.  I must be having a brain fart.....or maybe just a bad day.

IF.....
x = the total number of tornado's
y = the number of tornado outbreaks

Then x divided by y would EQUAL the number of tornado's occurring in each outbreak.  If the average number of tornado's per outbreak is INCREASING.....but the total number of tornado's is NOT increasing.....then the number of outbreaks has to DECREASE.

Am I missing something?  Should I go back to sleep?  Am I on drugs.....or ALL OF THE ABOVE?


 
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magnamentis

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1110 on: March 13, 2016, 01:20:01 AM »
as it seems we have the same BF hence i'll gonna sleep now too ( not back to it's wel after midnight here ) LOL

sidd

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1111 on: March 13, 2016, 05:58:01 AM »
the smaller groups have less and the bigger ones have more ?
 variances not means

Jim Hunt

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1112 on: March 13, 2016, 09:29:10 AM »
Stuck jetstream finally brings a "hiatus" in an incessant stream of hurricane force storms!

https://twitter.com/metoffice/status/708534981350572032



Now we have a "weather warning" for fog instead of wind and rain!

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1113 on: March 14, 2016, 12:15:12 AM »
the smaller groups have less and the bigger ones have more ?
 variances not means

Right.  Fewer isolated tornadoes, and more in the severe outbreaks. 
The significance being, perhaps, that societal resources in affected areas will be strained to a greater degree than expected.  You figure you can call in help from the neighboring county if you have a disaster, but if they suffer their own disaster at the same time....
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1114 on: March 15, 2016, 09:01:22 PM »
Australia:  Scorching start to autumn smashed national heat records, Bureau of Meteorology says
Quote
National records were smashed in the scorching start to March, as the driest January-February in parts of northern Australia for half a century led to an unusual build-up of heat, according to the Bureau of Meteorology.
In a special climate statement on the heatwave that is yet to ebb in parts of south-eastern Australia, the bureau said the first three days of the month were each warmer than any previous March day, based on area-averaged temperatures across the nation.
The average maximum temperature of 38.14 degrees on March 2 broke the previous record for the month by 0.98 degrees – a margin that has only been surpassed once before, in July 1975, the bureau said. 
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/scorching-start-to-autumn-smashed-national-heat-records-bureau-of-meteorology-says-20160312-gnha5q.html
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werther

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1115 on: March 15, 2016, 10:06:47 PM »
Shocking warming hovers over the Northern Hemisphere. This is forecast for Greenland, next Saturday:



For the region around Nuuk and Kanggerlussuaq, this day may produce the first melt-day of the season.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1116 on: March 16, 2016, 03:07:33 PM »
Record-breaking temperatures 'have robbed the Arctic of its winter'
Quote
This year’s record-breaking temperatures have robbed the Arctic of its winter, sending snowmobilers plunging through thin ice into freezing rivers and forcing deliveries of snow to the starting line of Alaska’s legendary Iditarod dogsledding race.

Last month’s high temperatures – up to 16C (29F) above normal in some parts of the Arctic – flummoxed scientists, and are redefining life in the Arctic, especially for the indigenous people who live close to the land.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/15/record-breaking-temperatures-have-robbed-the-arctic-of-its-winter
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1117 on: March 16, 2016, 07:48:08 PM »
Quote
The Sabine River at Deweyville, Texas, broke the unofficial highest river level set over 130 years ago Monday evening, but it appears the rise ended after a crest at 33.24 feet Tuesday night.

Mandatory evacuations were ordered in Deweyville after a week of heavy rain pushed the Sabine River over historic flood levels Monday evening, completely isolating the small Newton County town of about 1,200.

More than 400 Newton County homes have been flooded by the swollen Sabine, and officials told NBC Dallas-Fort Worth that they fear all of Deweyville's homes will be flooded before the river returns to normal. Newton is among nearly 20 Texas counties under a state of disaster declaration, according to the Associated Press.
https://www.wunderground.com/news/deweyville-texas-sabine-river-flooding
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Buddy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1118 on: March 16, 2016, 08:56:15 PM »
Quote
Shocking warming hovers over the Northern Hemisphere. This is forecast for Greenland, next Saturday:

Imagine if (when) we get a setup like that in July or August..... :'(
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1119 on: March 18, 2016, 09:42:42 PM »
March so far:  coast to coast anomalous warmth in the U.S.
From Michael Ventrice on Twitter.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1120 on: March 19, 2016, 07:25:53 PM »
Early Cherry Blossom Bloom Date A Sign Of Climate Change? Washington, DC Forecast Adjusted For Warm Winter
(The article has a link to the D.C. cherry blossom WebCam!)
http://www.ibtimes.com/early-cherry-blossom-bloom-date-sign-climate-change-washington-dc-forecast-adjusted-2338410
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1121 on: March 20, 2016, 02:59:26 PM »
Flooding continues in Louisiana in wake of 1,000-year rains
Quote
Last week, more than two feet of rain fell in northwest Louisiana and portions of Arkansas and Texas, transforming the landscape into raging rivers and newly formed lakes.
...
In some cases, the return period of the rains that fell near Monroe, Louisiana, and other communities is just 1-in-1,000 years, meaning that in an individual year there is just a 0.1% chance of such a heavy rainfall event occurring.
Quote
A new, comprehensive report from the National Academy of Sciences released on March 11 shows that climate science has advanced to the point where the frequently-made caveat that no single extreme event can be tied to climate change is invalid.

The report states:

In the past, a typical climate scientist’s response to questions about climate change’s role in any given extreme weather event was “we cannot attribute any single event to climate change.” The science has advanced to the point that this is no longer true as an unqualified blanket statement.
http://mashable.com/2016/03/15/nasa-visualization-louisiana-flooding/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1122 on: March 20, 2016, 04:16:06 PM »
Australian Climate Council calls for urgent action as heat records tumble
Autumn brings no relief following a record-breaking summer driven by rapid global warming
Quote
Despite summer being over, the New South Wales/Victorian border towns of Echuca and Tocumwal suffered the longest, hottest spell in their recorded history, with eight consecutive days of 38C or above.

It follows a summer that delivered Perth more 40C days than ever before and 39 consecutive days over 26C for Sydney, a record that more than doubled the previous high.
...
Tim Flannery, former Australian climate commissioner who helped found the Climate Council after the commission was abolished by the Abbott government in 2013, said world heat records were an ominous sign the world had shifted from “climate change concern to climate change consequences”.

“Scientists have been voicing their concerns for decades and now we are seeing the consequences,” Flannery said.

“Our internationally renowned Great Barrier Reef is already experiencing widespread coral bleaching due to record sea surface temperatures.

“Our world heritage ancient forests in Tasmania have been razed by bushfires sparked by tinderbox conditions driven by climate change.

“And, just weeks after health experts warned of the grave dangers posed to Australians through more frequent and severe heatwaves, we’ve seen hospitals in Perth overwhelmed after four consecutive days over 40°C.

“The window of time we have to act is closing. The world is acting but Australia is so far behind.”
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/20/australia-climate-council-urgent-action-temperature-records-summer-march
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Laurent

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1123 on: March 21, 2016, 02:17:55 PM »
Great Barrier Reef’s Bleaching Crisis Reaches ‘Severe’ Level, As Photos Reveal Widespread Coral Death
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/great-barrier-reef-coral-bleaching_us_56efab0ce4b084c67220b6d2?ir=Green&section=us_green&utm_hp_ref=green

Quote
WWF Australia/XL Catlin Seaview Survey
Coral bleaching at Lizard Island, Great Barrier Reef.

Australia is raising the alarm: Swathes of the Great Barrier Reef, the world’s largest coral reef system, are dying.

On Sunday, WWF Australia released shocking footage and photographs of bleached coral around Lizard Island, located in the northern part of the reef.

“The new video and stills are very concerning and show large sections of coral drained of all color and fighting for survival,” WWF spokesperson Richard Leck said in a statement.

    Dramatic new video and pictures of coral bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef https://t.co/YfeH5CeYM0 @WWF_Australia pic.twitter.com/CsA5BnQcGG
    — Daniel Rockett (@DRock1978) March 21, 2016

Earlier in the day, Australia’s Environment Minister Greg Hunt had raised the reef’s threat level to its highest level after surveying parts of it by plane.

Bleaching in the northernmost quarter of the reef is a particular “cause for concern,” Hunt said. Experts say bleaching in that area is both widespread and severe.

“I’m witnessing the death of a very large part of this reef system. I’m extremely worried and upset,” said veteran marine researcher Justin Marshall from the northern section of the reef last week.
WWF Australia/XL Catlin Seaview Survey
Coral bleaching at Lizard Island, Great Barrier Reef.

Soaring temperatures have been blamed for the reef’s bleaching crisis.

Russell Reichelt, chairman of the Great Barrier Reef marine park authority, told The Guardian that corals in the reef’s north, where surface sea temperatures surpassed 90 degrees in February, were “effectively bathed in warm water for months, creating heat stress that they could no longer cope with.”

“We still have many more reefs to survey to gauge the full impact of bleaching, however, unfortunately, the further north we go from Cooktown [in Queensland] the more coral mortality we’re finding,” he said.

Earlier this month, researchers at Lizard Island, located about 50 miles north of Cooktown, said the area was suffering from the worst coral bleaching event in at least 15 years.

“We do notice a bit of minor bleaching most summers, but this year is exceptional,” researcher Lyle Vail told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation. “Unfortunately we’ve got the perfect storm conditions for coral bleaching. At the moment we’ve got brilliant clear sunny skies, calm conditions, little tidal movement. A lot of that hot water on top of the reef flat is just staying there and cooking the coral.”
WWF Australia/XL Catlin Seaview Survey
Coral bleaching at Lizard Island, Great Barrier Reef.

In light of the severe bleaching event, Hunt has announced plans for increased monitoring of the Great Barrier Reef, a UNESCO World Heritage Site; as well as programs to tackle run-off pollution and outbreaks of crown-of-thorns starfish, which prey on coral polyps.

However, the minister has been criticized this week for his failure to pinpoint climate change as a major cause of the bleaching.

“Being able to monitor the state of affected coral is important — Mr Hunt’s contribution on that front is welcome — but it is not enough,” said Queensland environment minister, Steven Miles, per The Guardian. “Where is his plan to reduce Australia’s greenhouse gas pollution? February sent records tumbling — the new hottest month on record after July 2015.”

    Calls for climate action over coral bleaching on Great Barrier Reef https://t.co/vnGRXEtc5g pic.twitter.com/mSZ9U2Oy4M
    — AFP news agency (@AFP) March 21, 2016

Activists are pushing Australia to address the issue of climate change — particularly its role in the fossil fuel industry — as it tackles the bleaching crisis.

“The pictures we’re seeing coming out of the northern Great Barrier Reef are devastating,” Shani Tager of Greenpeace Australia said in a statement. “The Queensland and federal Governments must see this as a red alert and act accordingly ... The best way of protecting our Reef from climate change, is to do everything we can to stop burning fossil fuels, which means leaving them in the ground.”

The Great Barrier Reef is not the only reef system in the world under threat from climate change. The world is currently in the the midst of the longest-ever global coral bleaching event — a crisis that began in 2014 and could extend to 2017.

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1124 on: March 22, 2016, 08:25:42 PM »
Quote
CIPS Analog Guidance will be down today due to moving our web server to a new building. Thank you for your patience.
https://twitter.com/cipsanalogs/status/712266982402297856
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1125 on: March 24, 2016, 12:20:59 PM »
Hundreds Trapped on Colorado Highway in Record-Breaking Storm
Quote
Several hundred motorists were stranded on highways in Colorado during a wintry storm late Wednesday, authorities said.

Micki Trost, a public information officer for Colorado's emergency operations center, said that around 200 people were stuck in snowy conditions and winds of up to 50 mph on I-70 east of Denver.

Some people had spent more than eight hours in their vehicles while others had abandoned them and headed to shelters, Trost added.
...
Over a foot of snow fell at Denver International Airport Wednesday and 24 inches was recorded in nearby Boulder as a bout of winter-like weather struck less than a week after the start of spring, the National Weather Service said. The 12.1 inches that fell at Denver International broke a one-day record.
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/hundreds-trapped-colorado-highway-record-breaking-storm-n544631


Meanwhile, farther east:
Tornado, Golf Ball-Sized Hail Pummel Arkansas, North Texas
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/tornado-golf-ball-sized-hail-pummel-arkansas-north-texas-n544661
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1126 on: March 24, 2016, 11:52:50 PM »
Lack of snow caused dangerous conditions for Alaska's Iditarod sled dog race this year.

'There was just no snow': climate change puts Iditarod future in doubt
After record high winter temperatures reduced parts of the course to a bone-jarring, sled-wrecking obstacle course, is the great mushing race on its way out?
http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/mar/24/iditarod-climate-change-sled-dogs-winter-alaska
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Buddy

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1127 on: March 25, 2016, 01:57:22 PM »
Quote
After record high winter temperatures reduced parts of the course to a bone-jarring, sled-wrecking obstacle course, is the great mushing race on its way out?

Fortunately....Sara Palin and Trump will set people straight about climate change:  "Drill baby drill." ;D

I wonder what the good people of Alaska think about their beloved Sara Palin now... :o
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Clare

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1128 on: March 26, 2016, 03:19:19 AM »
Article
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/mar/25/great-barrier-reef-aerial-survey-reveals-extent-of-coral-bleaching

Sorry cant figure how to embed the shocking Video showing coral bleaching on the Great Barrier reef
:-(

Clare
« Last Edit: March 26, 2016, 03:24:29 AM by Clare »

Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1129 on: March 29, 2016, 02:29:38 AM »
Not exactly "weird weather," but an under-appreciated weather risk, which may be increasing:

U.K. bounce house death highlights danger of inflatable structures and wind
Quote
A 7-year-old British girl died last week when a gust of wind lofted a “Toy Story” bouncy castle into the air before it fell back down nearly a mile away. The incident, which occurred at a fairgrounds 30 miles north of London, reveals the often-overlooked danger of large, inflatable outdoor play spaces in the wind.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/03/28/uk-bounce-house-death-casts-light-on-dangers-of-inflatable-structures-and-wind/
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AbruptSLR

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1130 on: March 31, 2016, 04:45:45 PM »
Such severe storm/tornado events are becoming all too common in the Southern US :

http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2016/03/31/least-7-hurt-after-oklahoma-tornado/82457960/

Extract: "More storms are expected Thursday, after severe storms in northeastern Oklahoma spawned vicious tornadoes that injured at least seven people and left a trail of damaged homes and businesses on Wednesday.
The storms, which produced severe weather in Oklahoma, Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and western Mississippi and western Tennessee on Wednesday night, pushed eastward Thursday and were forecast to produce severe weather in northern Mississippi, northern Alabama and western Tennessee.
Almost the entire states of Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia were under flash flood watches as of Thursday morning."

See also:
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/03/enhanced_threat_of_severe_weat.html

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1131 on: April 04, 2016, 03:28:58 AM »
Canada:  Yukoners basking in unprecedented warm spell
Quote
Thursday’s daytime high of 16.8 C at the Erik Nielsen Whitehorse International Airport shattered the previous record set in 1969 by 7.8 degrees.

And if today’s forecast high of 15 C holds true, the standing record of 8.9 C set in 1942, will also fall.

Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday have all set a new benchmark for record highs: Tuesday’s daytime high rose to 12.5, rising above the 10.5 set in 1994; Wednesday’s 10 C beat out the 9.4, also set in 1994.
http://www.whitehorsestar.com/News/yukoners-basking-in-unprecedented-warm-spell
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jai mitchell

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1132 on: April 04, 2016, 08:28:27 PM »
Forecast for temperature highs in the low 90's on Wednesday in Northern California. 
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1133 on: April 09, 2016, 02:45:35 AM »
Quote
Steve Bowen: Unseasonably hot temperatures (110°F+) in #India will continue into next week. Already 115 dead in two states.
https://twitter.com/stevebowenwx/status/718482688710217728
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1134 on: April 12, 2016, 04:38:00 PM »
Quote
BEGINNING ON MAY 11, @NOAA’S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS WILL STOP YELLING AT YOU.
https://twitter.com/nws/status/719623142461857792
"... Don't worry, we will still YELL WHEN IT IS REALLY IMPORTANT! ... "

"We'll stop shouting, but we'll still be speaking in Courier New. One step at a time."


I say:  As long as its not Comic Sans! ;D

http://www.noaa.gov/national-weather-service-will-stop-using-all-caps-its-forecasts
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Neven

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1135 on: April 12, 2016, 04:46:37 PM »
They finally found the CAPS LOCK button, have they?  ;)
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1136 on: April 13, 2016, 01:49:45 AM »
At best, it's just a 21st century replacement for the Farmers Almanac....

AccuWeather extends its controversial, 45-day weather forecasts to 90 days
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/04/11/accuweather-extends-its-controversial-45-day-weather-forecasts-to-90-days/

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1137 on: April 16, 2016, 03:08:18 AM »
"Omega Block" pattern:  U.S. Plains states could see monthly record amounts of rain in the next 4-5 days -- on the heels of a "flash drought."

Plains Flood Threat Looms From Unusual April Multi-Day Heavy Rain Event (FORECAST)
Quote
A stalled storm system is likely to produce several days of flooding rainfall over a broad swath of the Plains, in addition to a threat of severe thunderstorms from Nebraska to Texas.

In some parts of the High Plains, rainfall totals over a 4-5 day period from Friday night into early next week could approach all-time monthly records for the month of April.
https://weather.com/storms/severe/news/plains-heavy-rain-flood-threat-severe-mid-april-2016


Image:  Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) for days 1-3
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1138 on: April 18, 2016, 04:32:32 PM »
Texas:  Houston area dealing with flooding emergency
Quote
HOUSTON – The Houston area is seeing a Flash Flood Emergency as historic rains move through Southeast Texas early Monday morning causing major flooding.

Areas west and northwest of the Houston metro area have received as much as 16 inches of rain overnight, according to the National Weather Service.

Huffmeister near Highway 6 has received a reported 20 inches of rainfall.
http://www.wfaa.com/weather/houston-area-dealing-with-flash-flooding-emergency/140626317
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1139 on: April 18, 2016, 10:19:46 PM »
Houston region swamped and shutdown by ‘historic’ flood
Quote
A huge portion of this region west of Houston was impacted by an amount of rain that occurs roughly once every one hundred to two hundreds years, on average.

Rainfall rates in some areas reached two to three inches per hour and a foot in 12 hours. Storm totals exceeded 17 inches in 24 hours just west of the city.  As of early this afternoon, more than 11 inches had fallen at Houston Intercontinental Airport, breaking the monthly record of 8.16 inches set in 1976.

The torrents caused dramatic rises in water, with some creeks rising 20 feet in just five hours.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/04/18/houston-region-swamped-and-shutdown-by-historic-flood/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1140 on: April 19, 2016, 01:21:42 AM »
Historic Flooding Ongoing as Houston Records Its Rainiest Day Ever—Before Noon
Quote
Houston is in the midst of an unbelievable deluge, with already more rainfall in a single day than any hurricane to ever hit the hurricane-prone city. The National Weather Service has called Monday’s flooding “historic.”

More than 21,000 square miles of southeast Texas is now in a flash flood warning, but the worst flooding seems to be occurring in western parts of the Houston metro area. More than 17 inches of rainfall has fallen in just the past 24 hours in some neighborhoods, with about 1 foot of rain coming just since midnight—already making Monday the rainiest day ever in Houston before noon. At Houston’s George Bush International Airport, 11.16 inches fell by 10 a.m., breaking the all-time daily record of 10.34 inches set on June 26, 1989. And it’s still falling. More rain is in the forecast for the next 36 hours or so. Update, 6:35 pm ET: The rain has stopped for now, with 11.75 inches measured at George Bush Airport on Monday.
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/04/18/houston_flooding_is_historic_and_linked_to_climate_change.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1141 on: April 19, 2016, 02:34:46 AM »
Fantala Strongest Cyclone on Record for Indian Ocean; Massive Flash Flood in Houston
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/fantala-strongest-cyclone-on-record-for-indian-ocean-massive-flash-fl
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1142 on: April 26, 2016, 01:04:34 PM »
Quote
Bill McKibben: The 'most intense heatwave ever observed' in SE Asia has toppled temperature records in country after country ...
https://twitter.com/billmckibben/status/724061049461215236

Extraordinary Heat Wave Sweeps Southeast Asia and Points Beyond
Quote
What is most likely the most intense heat wave ever observed in Southeast Asia has been ongoing for the past several weeks. All-time national heat records have been observed in Cambodia, Laos, and (almost) in Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, and Vietnam. Meanwhile extreme heat has resulted in all-time record high temperatures in the Maldives, India, China, and portions of Africa as well....
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/extraordinary-heat-wave-sweeps-southeast-asia-and-points-beyond
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pikaia

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1143 on: April 26, 2016, 01:43:17 PM »
Quote
Singapore
 Record for the city-state is 37.0°C (98.6°F) at Tengah on April 17, 1983.

Still not as hot as the record for England (Latitude 52N) of 38.5 °C (101.3 °F)!

AbruptSLR

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1144 on: April 26, 2016, 05:58:46 PM »
Grapefruit sized hail in the Plains states:

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/storms-could-bring-tornadoes-grapefruit-sized-hail-plains-n562331

Extract: "Damaging wind gusts and three to four inch-diameter hail — up to the size of a grapefruit — are expected, with the biggest threat eyeing southern Nebraska and northern Kansas, according to NBC meteorologist Dylan Dreyer. Strong tornadoes could also whip up chaos.
Storms have been pummeling Plains states since Sunday with large hail and a few reports of tornadoes."
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1145 on: April 30, 2016, 10:25:08 PM »
Quote
Bill McKibben:  5 dead in TX flooding, #fracking wells
'overwhelmed,' rainfall records in some areas…
https://twitter.com/billmckibben/status/726438955521040384
Overnight Flooding Kills Five People in Texas Amid Violent Winds, Heavy Rains
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/storm-weary-south-gears-more-rain-hail-tornadoes-n565091#
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1146 on: May 01, 2016, 05:35:04 PM »
Cross-posted from the Oil and Gas thread:

Flooding flushes oil, fracking chemicals into Texas rivers
Quote
Recent Texas floods have inundated oil wells and fracking sites, flushing oil and fracking chemicals into rivers.

State emergency officials have taken dozens of photos that show sheens and plumes spreading from tipped tanks and flooded production sites during Sabine River flooding in March. Photos showed similar scenes in last year’s floods of the Trinity, Red and Colorado rivers.

“That’s a potential disaster,” Dr. Walter Tsou, past president of the American Public Health Association, told the El Paso Times. “Cattle that drank the fracking fluid actually died an hour after drinking it. There are potential carcinogens that can lead to leukemia, brain cancer and other endocrine disruptors that can affect premature births.”

The Texas Railroad Commission, which regulates oil and gas drilling, said it has responded effectively to such incidents. “I’m confident that once the agency is notified, we’re taking appropriate measures,” spokesman Rich Parsons said.

State management emergency officials mobilize the Civil Air Patrol to photograph potential spills and leaks, and the commission responds quickly to reports of spills or other releases, spokeswoman Ramona Nye said. “If a release or spill is identified, the agency dispatches an inspector to investigate. Alleged violations are documented and appropriate action is taken based on the nature of the alleged violation,” she said.

Critics worry that the commission is soft on holding the oil and gas industry responsible for such incidents, since — according to one watchdog group’s accounting — commissioners receive more than half of their campaign contributions from that sector. However, Nye insists that spill prevention is the commission’s top priority, a statement echoed by Todd Staples, president of the Texas Oil and Gas Association.

“Oil and natural gas companies utilize the latest technologies to establish and maintain safe operations in any weather condition,” Staples, a former Texas agriculture commissioner, wrote in an email to the Times. “The Railroad Commission provides direction and oversight in the unlikely event that an environmental cleanup project is necessary. Operators who do not comply with regulations or remediation directives should face enforcement and can lose their permit to operate in Texas.”

However, with some climatologists expecting storms to become more intense in the future, it’s critical to strengthen measures to prevent such flood-related runoff, said Ken Kramer, water resources chairman of the Lone Star Chapter of the Sierra Club.

“We just know they’re going to recur all the time,” he said.
http://m.statesman.com/news/news/state-regional/flooding-flushes-oil-fracking-chemicals-into-texas/nrFSS/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1147 on: May 03, 2016, 02:51:59 AM »
 Severe hail with supercells in the Washington, DC area this evening.

Severe thunderstorm watch: Large hail threat wanes, lightning and torrential rain continues (Updates)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/05/02/threat-of-strong-storms-heavy-rain-tonight/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1148 on: May 04, 2016, 01:26:26 PM »
Quote
Ryan Maue: Temps pushed 90°F in northern Alberta on Tuesday, almost to 60ºN latitude
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/727710397910921216

See the Wildfire thread:
Alberta, Canada:  Fort McMurray Wildfire: 60,000 Evacuated Over Out-of-Control Blaze
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/fort-mcmurray-wildfire-60-000-evacuated-over-out-control-blaze-n567371
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Weird Weather and anecdotal stories about climate change
« Reply #1149 on: May 04, 2016, 03:11:18 PM »
Two Omega Blocks!

Quote
Ryan Maue: Two omega blocks in quadrature to blame for the record heat in western Canada ... 20°C at 850mb extends well north.
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/727711756550868994
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