Clearing the Air
1. Hydrogen Cars are a myth
started by the oil industry. While the power density looks favorable, leakage and corrosion issues make fueling infrastructure impossible. In addition, the majority of the modeled production of hydrogen comes as a byproduct of oil refinement. It is a backdoor oil policy dressed up as green. (A nuclear equivalent of this would be the National Ignition Facility which was billed as a fusion energy research platform but was really a bomb project)
2. The Navigant study severely understates the Electric Vehicle future sales.
This is because they rely on the Energy Information Administration and the International Energy Administration's projection of gasoline prices.
These prices are severely understated. What most people don't realize is that the "fracking
revolution" isn't about natural gas AT ALL, it is about oil
The value of oil sold from the shale fields is worth about 4 times as much as the value of natural gas sold from those wells. Plus, the rate of drop off in production for those wells makes them "crash". So they need to continually drill more wells to maintain production. Once the oil is gone, the natural gas is no longer profitable to produce and they close up the well.
In addition, the Navigant study does not project
the implementation of a carbon tax
. The implementation of this tax, coupled with future oil price increases will make electric cars much more viable.
3. The Department of Energy is putting significant effort into the development of solar roadways
. They have a working prototype and the cost of asphalt has gone up so much now that the new solar roadway, Video Here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ep4L18zOEYI
coupled with wireless charging infrastructure
placed under these solar roadways will allow electric vehicles to charge while driving and prevent the 10% line losses http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9247958/TDK_moves_quickly_to_commercialize_wireless_charging_for_electric_cars
will make electric vehicles the primary mode of transportation. Note: this technology also works for public transportation as well.
4. If we globally reduce our per capita emissions to 1 tonne per person per year
the Anthropogenic emissions would be 7.2 Gigatonnes per year. Globally, the earth naturally removes 55% of the human-caused CO2 from the atmosphere each year. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/co2conference/posters_pdf/jones1_poster.pdf
(this is equal to 17.6 Gigatonnes going mostly into the oceans each year) A reduction in global emission from the current 32 Gigatonnes per year to 7.2 Gigatonnes per year would mean that the earth would naturally sequester approximately 10 Gigatonnes of CO2 from the current atmospheric abundance.
Since it takes 7.81 Gigatonnes for 1 part per million volume in the atmosphere http://www.skepticalscience.com/print.php?r=45 This would mean that the atmospheric abundance of CO2 would go down by 1.2 ppmv per year.
5. These ideas assume a free-market response instead of a command economy response. In wartime, the command economy response is the only solution. We are soon approaching a "war on warming".
As people understand that their children will de if we don't then they will rally for these kind of changes. A command economy approach in 10 years will transform our transportation sector and reduce oil consumption by 90% in 5 years.