Large daily fluctuations in global temps are not that unusual. See for example Nick Stokes' NCEP/NCAR temps:
So.....the question is....DID
the anomaly "bottom out" in late December...AND
...have we started a new UPTREND
with a "higher low" a few days ago? Those blue arrows show "significant lows".
The answer, of course.....is that it is too early to tell. And the climate FUNDAMENTALS
will be the "cause" of whatever the graph will do in the future.
The "black line" in my graph....shows an area of "resistance", where previous warm anomalies have "petered out" and broken back DOWN.
So this graph "could" be showing us a "basing pattern" where the downturn is over....and we're "wandering sideways" for a bit.....with highs that get back to the level of the black line....followed by lows that MAY have started a pattern of "higher lows".
Is the ice area in the Arctic going to push down to new low levels allowing more heat to be absorbed into the oceans and thus creating more heat transfer to the atmosphere? Are methane levels going to continue to rise over this short term? The fundamentals will tell us in future months.....right now I'm just pointing out a POSSIBILITY
that we may be headed back up.