A Reality Check On 'Direct Air Capture': Many Climate-Stabilization Plans May Be Based On Questionable Assumptionshttps://phys.org/news/2024-11-reality-air-capture-climate-stabilization.htmlThe world must reduce the levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and strategies for achieving levels that will "stabilize the climate" have been both proposed and adopted. Many of those strategies combine dramatic cuts in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions with the use of direct air capture (DAC), a technology that removes CO2 from the ambient air.
As a reality check, a team of researchers in the MIT Energy Initiative (MITEI) examined those strategies, and what they found was alarming: The strategies rely on overly optimistic—indeed, unrealistic—assumptions about how much CO2 could be removed by DAC.
Their investigation identified three unavoidable engineering challenges that together lead to a fourth challenge—high costs for removing a single ton of CO2 from the atmosphere. The details of their findings are reported in a paper published in the journal
One Earth on Sept. 20.
... When it comes to removing CO2 from the air, nature presents "a major, non-negotiable challenge," notes the MITEI team: The concentration of CO2 in the air is extremely low—just 420 parts per million, or roughly 0.04%. In contrast, the CO2 concentration in flue gases emitted by power plants and industrial processes ranges from 3% to 20%.
Companies now use various carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technologies to capture CO2 from their flue gases, but capturing CO2 from the air is much more difficult. To explain, the researchers offer the following analogy: "The difference is akin to needing to find 10 red marbles in a jar of 25,000 marbles, of which 24,990 are blue [the task representing DAC] versus needing to find about 10 red marbles in a jar of 100 marbles of which 90 are blue [the task for CCS]."
Given that low concentration, removing a single metric ton of CO2 from air requires processing about 1.8 million cubic meters of air, which is roughly equivalent to the volume of 720 Olympic-sized swimming pools. And all that air must be moved across a CO2-capturing sorbent—a feat requiring large equipment. For example, one recently proposed design for capturing 1 million metric tons of CO2 per year would require an "air contactor" equivalent in size to a structure about three stories high and three miles long.
Given the low concentration of CO2 in the air and the need to move large quantities of air to capture it, it's no surprise that even the best DAC processes proposed today would consume large amounts of energy—energy that's generally supplied by a combination of electricity and heat. Including the energy needed to compress the captured CO2 for transportation and storage, most proposed processes require an equivalent of at least 1.2 megawatt-hours of electricity for each metric ton of CO2 removed.
The source of that electricity is critical. For example, using coal-based electricity to drive an all-electric DAC process would generate 1.2 tons of CO2 for each metric ton of CO2 captured. The result would be a net increase in emissions, defeating the whole purpose of the DAC.
Many studies assume that a DAC unit could also get energy from "waste heat" generated by some industrial process or facility nearby. In the MITEI researchers' opinion, "that may be more wishful thinking than reality."
... Considering the first three challenges, the final challenge is clear: The cost per metric ton of CO2 removed is inevitably high. Recent modeling studies assume DAC costs as low as $100 to $200 per ton of CO2 removed. But the researchers found evidence suggesting far higher costs. ... Some estimates in the literature exceed $5,000 per metric ton captured per year.
Then there are the ongoing costs of energy. As noted under Challenge 2, removing 1 metric ton of CO2 requires the equivalent of 1.2 megawatt-hours of electricity. If that electricity costs $0.10 per kilowatt-hour, the cost of just the electricity needed to remove 1 metric ton of CO2 is $120.
Then there's the cost of storage, which is ignored in many DAC cost estimates.
... The largest DAC plant in operation today removes just 4,000 tons of CO2 per year, and the price to buy the company's carbon-removal credits on the market today is $1,500 per metric ton.
Howard Herzog et al,
Getting real about capturing carbon from the air,
One Earth (2024)
https://www.cell.com/one-earth/abstract/S2590-3322(24)00421-4?_returnURL=https%3A%2F%2Flinkinghub.elsevier.com%2Fretrieve%2Fpii%2FS2590332224004214%3Fshowall%3Dtrue