Posts I made on americanwx
This is a great example of the situation.
You have to look past the clouds.
As the ice thickness gets low enough the scan starts to become transparent.
You can see compared to 2014 huge areas of the Pacific side and CAA are almost ice free.
This is where all of that crap concentration is.
This is just isn't spread out. It's almost gone.
On nevens forum there are images from modis showing huge floes in the Beaufort starting to just disentigrate. Next phase is vanishing.
That's getting counted as extent.
But not for long!!!
30% concentration has been
Plummeting still.
Below 2011 only above 2012/2007.
It's going to require an extraordinary cold pattern + endless dispersal of the ice and that probably won't be enough.
The combo of a mile mild late May and June melting off snow early then an epic July has left way to much heat in the water.
Just yesterday at a buoy in the Western CAB 2cm of snow and 4cm of bottom ice melt took place with surface temps below freezing.
This is the only buoy out of 9 in the Beaufort and Western CAB that isn't floating.
And it's down to 85CM of ice.
So it's likely its on one of the thickest flies left.
The ice surface area is barely above the water line and you can see the ice in the water and its definitely well under 1 meter.
Here is one a little further South that had massive bottom melt in I'm June it crapped out in early July with BMI going nuts.
I don't know why this year is being treated like the current ice state is a mirage.
If the dipole pattern didn't break this year would be with 2007 right now.
And there is still an abundance of lower Latitude ice for sure gonna go.
The ice over the Pacific side will slowly degrade and vanish.