Cryosphere > Antarctica

Rift in Larsen C

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Seumas:
Hi folks,

Thoughts on the developing rift in the Larsen C ice shelf? There's a paper at:

http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/861/2015/tcd-9-861-2015.html

They don't say when it's likely to calf based on the current rate. Any speculation?

AbruptSLR:
Seumas,

See the last several posts in the following linked thread:

http://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,322.0.html#lastPost

Best,
ASLR

Seumas:
Ah, thanks AbruptSLR. I do read more than I post (or understand ;) ) but I somehow missed those.

What do you reckon to timeline for the rift to cause a major calfing? I understand that people can be reluctant to speculate, but are we talking 5 years, 15 years, 150 years?

Oh, and since I rarely post, I'd like to thank you for all your posts on various topics. I enjoy reading them even though I don't post on the threads myself (and I'm sure there are many like myself).

AbruptSLR:
Seumas,

My guess is that Larsen C ice shelf will have a major calving event in the next 5 +/- 3 years.

You can what the progress of the rift yourself by periodically checking the following link:

http://www.polarview.aq/antarctic

Thanks for the thoughtful words, as I work full-time & have a family it can be tricky finding time to post.

Best,
ASLR

nukefix:
Intersting, I'm getting coherence and fringes on S-1 12-day interferogram over the area (1 & 13.3.2015). There'a a phase-discontinuity going until Pin 1. Unfortunately the orbits and/or flat Earth correction are off so there are phase-ramps all over the place. In addition I don't know where I am exactly related to the images in the article..  :P

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