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Author Topic: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action  (Read 174076 times)

kassy

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #850 on: November 19, 2020, 08:16:42 PM »
India only G20 nation to meet its climate change mitigation goal

New Delhi: India is the only country on track among the G20 nations to meet its climate change mitigation commitments, according to a the 2020 Climate Transparency report published on Wednesday.

Climate Transparency, an international partnership of 14 research and non-governmental organisations, examined efforts to combat climate change among the G20 nations — examining their climate goals and actions taken.

The report found that India's "fair share" climate targets that it set under the 2015 Paris Agreement as well as the actions it's taken in the years since make it "compatible" with the upper goal of curbing global warming by 2 degrees Celsius by the end of the century.

India has promised to reduce its emissions intensity by 33-35 per cent by 2030 and took actions in its energy, waste, industry, transport and forestry sectors, the report said.

However, the report noted that India continues to not be on track to reach the Paris Agreement's long-term 1.5 C target. It added that India could be a "global leader" if it didn't build new coal fired power and phased out the use of coal by 2040.

...

According to the report, other nations and the European Union's targets do not go far enough to curb global warming between 1.5 to 2 C, and their actions have fallen short of the targets set when the Paris agreement was ratified. Projected temperature increases under these commitments are now expected to be more than 2.7 C of warming by 2100.

No country, barring Japan, has submitted new targets until now — although the report noted that Japan has made no changes to its original target.

...

The use of natural gas in the EU was also flagged as a threat for a potential "carbon lock-in." The EU is currently co-funding 32 new gas infrastructure projects worth €29 billion ($34.3 billion)

https://timesofoman.com/article/india-only-g20-nation-to-meet-its-climate-change-mitigation-goal

So that´s all going much slower then pledged...

Report:
https://www.climate-transparency.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Climate-Transparency-Report-2020.pdf
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gerontocrat

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #851 on: November 19, 2020, 09:20:00 PM »
Quote
India only G20 nation to meet its climate change mitigation goal

However, the report noted that India continues to not be on track to reach the Paris Agreement's long-term 1.5 C target.

According to the report, other nations and the European Union's targets do not go far enough to curb global warming between 1.5 to 2 C, and their actions have fallen short of the targets set when the Paris agreement was ratified. Projected temperature increases under these commitments are now expected to be more than 2.7 C of warming by 2100.

No country, barring Japan, has submitted new targets until now — although the report noted that Japan has made no changes to its original target.

The use of natural gas in the EU was also flagged as a threat for a potential "carbon lock-in." The EU is currently co-funding 32 new gas infrastructure projects worth €29 billion ($34.3 billion)

https://timesofoman.com/article/india-only-g20-nation-to-meet-its-climate-change-mitigation-goal


So that´s all going much slower then pledged...

No shit, shylock? Shock, horror, amazement.
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kassy

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #852 on: November 22, 2020, 05:29:42 PM »
British billionaire to force ‘hundreds’ of companies into climate action

British billionaire Chris Hohn is aiming to force hundreds of U.S. and European companies to slash their greenhouse gas emissions by enlisting global investors to demand an annual vote on their climate plans at shareholder meetings.

Hohn, who has emerged as a major investor voice on climate change, set a precedent last month by using a shareholder resolution to force Spanish airports operator Aena AENA.MC to draft a new climate plan and submit it to an annual vote.

Hohn, founder of the TCI hedge fund, aims to replicate that model at many more companies in the next two years by mobilising investors to sponsor similar resolutions as part of his new Say on Climate www.sayonclimate.org campaign.

...

Under Hohn’s plan, shareholders submit a resolution requesting companies to disclose their greenhouse gas emissions, present a plan to reduce them, and give shareholders an annual nonbinding advisory vote on that plan.

Rather than push for specific action by groups of high-emitting companies, such as oil and gas majors, Hohn aims to drive a systemic shift so that it becomes standard practice for all major companies to submit climate plans for annual scrutiny.

“We think we need an annual general meeting shareholder vote to create an accountability mechanism for the execution of the plan – otherwise companies will do as little as they can get away with,” Hohn said.

https://cyprus-mail.com/2020/11/22/billionaire-companies-climate/

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Juan C. García

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #853 on: November 23, 2020, 08:49:47 PM »
Quote
With John Kerry Pick, Biden Selects a ‘Climate Envoy’ With Stature

When John Kerry served as President Barack Obama’s secretary of state, he helped steer the negotiation of the Paris Agreement, locking down commitments from nearly 200 nations — including his own — to begin to reverse the dangerous warming of the planet.

Now his diplomatic task may be even tougher.

On Monday, president-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. said he intended to name Mr. Kerry his special presidential envoy for climate, a cabinet-level position in the new administration. In that role, Mr. Kerry will need to persuade skeptical global leaders, burned by the Trump administration’s hostility toward climate science, that the United States is prepared to resume its leadership role — and will stay the course, regardless of the Biden administration’s future.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/23/climate/john-kerry-climate-change.html
Which is the best answer to Sep-2012 ASI lost (compared to 1979-2000)?
50% [NSIDC Extent] or
73% [PIOMAS Volume]

Volume is harder to measure than extent, but 3-dimensional space is real, 2D's hide ~50% thickness gone.
-> IPCC/NSIDC trends [based on extent] underestimate the real speed of ASI lost.

kassy

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #854 on: November 30, 2020, 09:10:48 PM »
Quote
De uitstoot van broeikasgassen in de Europese Unie is in 2019 met 3,7 procent gedaald. Dat meldt de Europese Commissie maandag. De emissies zijn inmiddels met 24 procent teruggedrongen ten opzichte van het niveau van 1990. Het doel is om de uitstoot voor 2030 met 55 procent terug te dringen.
https://www.nu.nl/economie/6093687/uitstoot-van-broeikasgassen-daalde-in-eu-vorig-jaar-met-37-procent.html

2019 GHG emissions in the EU down 3,7%

Of course that is created and not used emissions but whatever.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #855 on: December 01, 2020, 05:17:05 PM »
Dutch climate activists Milieudefensie sue Shell over emissions
Quote
A group of environmental organizations backed by thousands of Dutch citizens launched a civil case Tuesday against the energy giant Shell, asking a court to order the multinational to commit to reining in its carbon emissions by 45 percent by the year 2030.

Lawyer Roger Cox told a panel of three judges at The Hague District Court that Royal Dutch Shell’s corporate policy is “at odds” with global climate goals.

“The claimants therefore conclude that Royal Dutch Shell’s corporate policy is on collision course with global climate targets,” Cox said as he opened four days of hearings spread over the coming weeks.

Shell lawyers were to make their opening statement later Tuesday.

The legal battle led by Milieudefensie, the Dutch arm of Friends of the Earth, is the latest in a string of cases around the world in which activists are using the courts as a venue to fight for action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from governments and companies.

A victory for climate activists in a Dutch courtroom could spur even more legal challenges. ... 
https://www.thestandard.com.hk/breaking-news/section/6/160088/Dutch-climate-activists-Milieudefensie-sue-Shell-over-emissions
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Iain

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #856 on: December 02, 2020, 09:42:34 AM »
"Climate change: Temperature analysis shows UN goals 'within reach"

We can keep it down to a 2.1C rise by 2100, now that China and the US are onboard, IF the Paris pledges are met.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-55073169
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kassy

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #857 on: December 02, 2020, 10:24:41 AM »
How can we even think of 2.1C as safe or a worthy goal?

Our current inputs are already enough to lose Arctic sea ice, to turn Siberia into a source instead of a sink and to accelerate Antarctic ice loss.

All these things were the things we needed to prevent from happening.
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Iain

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #858 on: December 02, 2020, 12:25:37 PM »
I agree, and note the "IF" in caps

The UK is NOT on track to meet it's pledge:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-55138338
"If I have seen further than others, it is by standing upon the shoulders of giants." Isaac Newton

Tor Bejnar

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #859 on: December 02, 2020, 04:44:56 PM »
Then there's the fine print, here enlarged for your education:
In the spirit of wishful thinkingFor those who want to remain hopeful in government action
Arctic ice is healthy for children and other living things.

gerontocrat

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #860 on: December 02, 2020, 05:16:25 PM »
There is a conventional wisdom gaining credence that reducing fossil fuels by 6% per year up to 2030 somehow fixes everything. How wrong can you get? My understanding is that carbon capture and storage on a large scale and further fossil fuel reduction will then be required.

Obviously there will be increasing use of renewable energy and it is likely that much loot will be wasted on investments in increased fossil fuel production capacity that will never be used.

I reckon we will see at least one year of +1.5 before 2030, +2 by then will be wishful thinking, and further environmental damage done to Planet Earth, life survives but damaged even more (see last image).

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/02/world-is-doubling-down-on-fossil-fuels-despite-climate-crisis-un-report
World is ‘doubling down’ on fossil fuels despite climate crisis – UN report

Production must fall by 6% a year to avoid ‘severe climate disruption’ but Covid-19 funding is supporting increases

Quote
The world’s governments are “doubling down” on fossil fuels despite the urgent need for cuts in carbon emissions to tackle the climate crisis, a report by the UN and partners has found.

The researchers say production of coal, oil and gas must fall by 6% a year until 2030 to keep global heating under the 1.5C target agreed in the Paris accord and avoid “severe climate disruption”. But nations are planning production increases of 2% a year and G20 countries are giving 50% more coronavirus recovery funding to fossil fuels than to clean energy.

The Covid-19 pandemic is expected to cut production in 2020 by 7%, the report says, but this barely changes the total production expected by 2030. Countries are on track to produce more than double the amount of fossil fuels consistent with a 1.5C limit by that date.

The Production Gap report says G20 governments have committed more than $230bn (£173bn) in Covid-19-related funding to fossil fuel production and consumption to date, far more than the $150bn to clean energy. But it found that between 2020 and 2030, global coal, oil, and gas production must fall by 11%, 4%, and 3% a year respectively, to meet the 1.5C target.

The assessment of future fossil fuel production is based on the most recent published energy plans by eight key countries that produce 60% of the world’s fossil fuels: Australia, Canada, China, India, Indonesia, Norway, Russia and the US.
« Last Edit: December 02, 2020, 06:58:02 PM by gerontocrat »
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Ken Feldman

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #861 on: December 02, 2020, 06:49:32 PM »
Quote
The Production Gap report says G20 governments have committed more than $230bn (£173bn) in Covid-19-related funding to fossil fuel production and consumption to date, far more than the $150bn to clean energy. But it found that between 2020 and 2030, global coal, oil, and gas production must fall by 11%, 4%, and 3% a year respectively, to meet the 1.5C target.

In addition to government policies, economics are also important.  And the reality is that alternatives to fossil fuels are either cheaper now (wind and solar power) or are becoming cheaper in the next few years (battery electric vehicles).

Oil demand is expected to drop in the next few years due to decreased air travel (which will lead to a 4% drop in oil demand alone in 2021), and the increased adoption of electric vehicles.  So beating the 4% for oil is a given.

Coal is dropping like a rock due to the fact that it's more expensive than renewables and natural gas.  Global consumption peaked in 2013 and more capacity is being retired than is being built now.  While China still builds new coal fired power plants to keep construction workers employed, they run the plants at lower capacity factors because the electricity is more expensive and more polluting than the alternatives.  While reductions in coal use may not reach 11% in the early 2020's, reductions of greater than 11% per year are likely by the end of the decade.  It's unlikely that any coal fired power plants will be operating in the US, India or Europe after 2035 because it is cheaper to build new wind and solar than it is to run an existing coal fired power plant.  It will be interesting to see how China treats coal in it's new five-year plan to be published soon.  They can't afford to have their manufacturers pay more for electricity if Vietnam, India and their other competitors switch to cheaper renewable electricity.

Natural gas is currently the most competitive fossil fuel with renewables, but as renewables continue to decrease in cost, natural gas will lose that advantage.  For electricity generation, renewables will continue to take market share from gas at an increasing rate.  In the US, we're currently installing 75% new renewables to 25% new gas.  A few years ago, those numbers were reversed.  In the US, we're seeing media reports about natural gas being in the same position coal was a few years ago (about to be replaced by renewables).

And we're seeing large battery installation replace peaker gas plants and investment in new LNG export facilities has dried up with no new final investment decisions for LNG facilities in North America this year.  Several major pipeline projects in the US were cancelled this year.

In summary, while fossil fuel producers may have grandiose plans to continue to grow their facilities and production ability, the reality is that they're on the decline.  And the alternatives to fossil fuels continue to get cheaper, which will lead to more cancellations for planned projects and more early retirements for existing facilities.

Exxon just wrote down $17 billion in fossil fuel assets.  BP has acknowledge that peak oil demand occurred in 2019 and shifted billions of dollars of investment plans from oil production to renewable energy projects.  With these large private corporations making these financial decisions, it's clear that the energy transition is well underway.


Sigmetnow

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #862 on: December 08, 2020, 04:25:17 PM »
Ardern declares climate emergency, pledges carbon neutral New Zealand government
Dec 2
Quote
WELLINGTON (Reuters) - New Zealand promised its public sector would become carbon neutral by 2025 as it declared a climate emergency on Wednesday, a symbolic move that critics said needed to be backed with greater actions to reduce emissions. ...
https://mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKBN28C0CR
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Sigmetnow

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Re: What's New in Climate Change Acceptance and Action
« Reply #863 on: December 09, 2020, 08:08:11 PM »
Influential New York pension fund will drop fossil-fuel stocks, put pressure on utilities and auto makers to cut emissions
Dec. 9, 2020
Quote
New York’s $226 billion pension fund sets 2040 net-zero carbon emissions target
New York State’s $226 billion pension fund, one of the world’s largest and most influential investors, will eliminate many of its fossil-fuel stocks in the next five years, officials said Wednesday.

In addition to the split from oil, gas, oil-services and pipeline companies, the fund will sell shares in other companies that contribute to global warming by 2040, the state comptroller added.
“Achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2040 will put the fund in a strong position for the future mapped out in the Paris Agreement,” Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli said in a release.

“We continue to assess energy-sector companies in our portfolio for their future ability to provide investment returns in light of the global consensus on climate change. Those that fail to meet our minimum standards may be removed from our portfolio,” DiNapoli said. “Divestment is a last resort, but it is an investment tool we can apply to companies that consistently put our investment’s long-term value at risk.”

New York’s fund, the New York State Common Retirement Fund, has historically invested about $12 billion in fossil fuels, the New York Times reported. The fund’s announcement comes after it moved to sell its stock in 22 coal companies last year.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/influential-new-york-pension-fund-will-drop-fossil-fuel-stocks-put-pressure-on-utilities-and-auto-makers-to-cut-emissions-11607538475
People who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it.