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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #950 on: September 14, 2019, 01:24:09 PM »
Death Toll Rises as Millions in Indonesia Suffer from Raging Forest Fires https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/death-toll-rises-as-millions-in-indonesia-suffer-from-raging-11902862

... According to the Indonesian National Disaster Mitigation Agency, more than 285,000ha of land have been burned since the dry season began in June.

On Friday morning, a total of 3,673 hotspots were detected across three provinces in Sumatra and three provinces in the Indonesian part of Borneo, compared to 1,092 hotspots detected in mid-August.

The forest fires have caused several Indonesian cities to be blanketed by thick smog. Neighbouring Singapore and Malaysia were not spared either.


Fires & Haze over Indonesia

On Friday afternoon, Kuala Lumpur and Singapore topped the list of major cities with the worst air quality according to Swiss-based group AirVisual.

In Singapore, the AQI ranged between 156 and 160. AQI measures the concentration of six major pollutants in the air.

Meanwhile in Indonesia, an AQI of 580 was recorded on Friday afternoon, a level which is considered “hazardous”, meaning that the air is deemed toxic and poses serious risk to the heart and lungs.

The haze was so thick in the city that visibility dropped to as low as 300 metres.

... This year’s forest fires are the worst since the 2015 haze crisis, when smog from forest fires in Indonesia reached as far as Hanoi and Phnom Penh.

Scientists had estimated that the 2015 fires released CO2 emissions comparable to Japan or India's annual fossil fuel emissions, exposed more than 69 million people to unhealthy air, and cost more than US$16 billion in damages.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― Leonardo da Vinci

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #951 on: September 14, 2019, 02:34:59 PM »
Australia

After fires tore through parts of Queensland in an earlier-than-expected bushfire season, emergency services are warning of the growing threat to suburban backyards as the weather gets hotter and drier.

Queensland's early bushfire season prompts call for emergency plans in suburbia
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-14/queensland-bushfire-season-early-emergency-plan/11502320
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Tom_Mazanec

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #952 on: September 16, 2019, 06:07:56 PM »
Amazon fish species at risk if fires destroy river habitat
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2019/09/amazon-fires-brazil-threaten-fish/
Quote
The fires burning through the Brazilian Amazon are a threat to the fish that rely on forest flooding to survive, raising fears the fish will be lost.
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Tom_Mazanec

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #953 on: September 18, 2019, 07:53:19 PM »
Lax law enforcement causing Indonesia's forest fires: Greenpeace
https://www.dw.com/en/lax-law-enforcement-causing-indonesias-forest-fires-greenpeace/a-50460060
Quote
According to data released by the Indonesian National Board of Disaster Management (BNPB), 3287.4 square kilometers of forest and land was burned across Indonesia between January and August 2019. Smoke from the fires also gave rise to toxic smog in Malaysia and Singapore.

DW spoke to Greenpeace Indonesia's Forest Campaigner Rusmadya Maharuddin about the reasons behind the calamity.

The Lawless Frontier at the
Heart of the Burning Amazon
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/amazon-burning-bolsonaro-novo-progresso-deforestation-885114/
Quote
Inside the battle for the forest's future — and ours — as Brazilian ranchers and farmers vow to protect their way of life at any cost
« Last Edit: September 18, 2019, 08:13:01 PM by Tom_Mazanec »
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Tom_Mazanec

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #954 on: September 21, 2019, 12:37:03 AM »
Defending Your Home from a Raging Wildfire
https://www.outsideonline.com/2402319/protect-home-wildfire
Quote
The 2018 Carr Fire was one of the worst wildfires in California history. By the time it was contained, it had burned 359 square miles, destroyed close to 2,000 buildings, and killed seven people. It also spawned a massive fire tornado—only the second ever recorded. Meteorologists examining the damage afterward estimated that the vortex had generated winds of up to 165 miles per hour. When a blaze like that is coming your way, the only sane thing to do is run for your life. But Gary and Lori Lyon did the opposite, staying to defend their home. Outside contributor Stephanie Joyce has the story on why, in an era of increasingly intense fires, someone would dare to stand and fight an inferno.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #955 on: September 23, 2019, 03:56:09 PM »
Hundreds Of Cameras Will Be Watching For Wildfires In California, Nevada This Fire Season
Quote
As fall approaches, bringing strong winds to California’s dry landscape, a coalition of universities, public safety agencies and utility companies is building a network of cameras in high fire risk areas like the foothills, coastal mountains and the rangelands of Nevada.
...
“In the old days, a few years ago, it was basically a guess,” Kent said. “You might have a lookout tower with somebody who’s experienced with binoculars. But that was always a conversation, they could never see it.”

But now, command staff can see a developing fire for themselves and even watch a timelapse video of its behavior, so they get a better sense of what resources they need to send, whether it’s ground crews, fire engines or air tankers. ...
https://www.ijpr.org/post/hundreds-cameras-will-be-watching-wildfires-california-nevada-fire-season
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Tom_Mazanec

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #956 on: September 24, 2019, 08:46:09 PM »
1967 Black Tuesday fires that destroyed Hobart 'will happen again', experts warn
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-23/experts-warn-fire-threat-to-hobart-is-imminent/11531494
Quote
"Every firefighter and fire expert I speak to says it's not a question of if we get a big fire, it's when," Cr Reynolds, Hobart's Lord Mayor, says.

"And a lot of them are increasingly nervous that when is going to be very soon."

Her council will spend $1.9 million on bushfire preparations this year. The money will go to fire-trail management, hazard reduction burns and firebreaks.

"It's absolutely the number-one risk to Hobart. We've always been a dry city. But with climate change it's becoming a tinderbox city," she says.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #957 on: October 06, 2019, 02:22:05 PM »
Western U.S.:  Firefighters battle 6,000-acre blaze in Colorado
Quote
Hundreds of firefighters in Colorado are battling a 6,000-acre wildfire that threatens communities near Salida, a city located 142 miles south of Denver.

Low humidity and wind gusts are causing problems for the 730 people working on the Decker Fire, according to the Rocky Mountain Incident Management Team's Facebook page.

Lightning started the fire September 8, the Incident Management Team said. A combination of low humidity and high winds have created significant potential for spotting, the team said. This threat lead to a pre-evacuation notice for Howard, Pine Ridge, Wellsville and Swissvale communities Friday afternoon.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2019/10/05/us/decker-fire-colorado/index.html

On ‘Pivotal Day’ For Decker Fire, Several Colorado Towns Await Word On Evacuation
Quote
Fremont County Sheriff Allen Cooper urged people to be prepared to evacuate in case the fire takes a turn for the worse. He said officials want to be sure residents have plenty of time to move their livestock.
“If we get into an evacuation plan, that is not the time to move your stock,” he said. “The time to move your stock is now.”
https://www.cpr.org/2019/10/05/decker-fire-colorado-evacuations/
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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #958 on: October 07, 2019, 09:34:25 PM »
Extreme Fire Danger: PG&E Issues Unprecedented Power Shut-Off Watch for Much of Northern California
https://www.sfchronicle.com/california-wildfires/amp/PG-E-issues-unprecedented-power-shutoff-watch-for-14498454.php

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. issued an unprecedented notification to potentially shut off power across much of Northern California — as many as 30 California counties including almost all of the Bay Area — on Wednesday and Thursday to prevent power lines and equipment from sparking wildfires.

... Winds are expected to be 20 mph to 30 mph in the mountains with gusts of at least 55 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph are expected in valleys.



... This is basically an earthquake kit situation without the earthquake, and will potentially affect millions of Californians between Wednesday morning and Thursday afternoon.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― Leonardo da Vinci

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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #959 on: October 08, 2019, 10:35:45 PM »
PG&E Power Shut-Off: 257,000 Bay Area Customers on Alert; Outages Could Start at Midnight
https://www.sfchronicle.com/california-wildfires/amp/PG-E-power-shut-off-257-000-Bay-Area-residents-14500945.php

Officials in Oakland and Contra Costa County said Tuesday that the shut-offs could begin as early as midnight Wednesday, four hours earlier than Pacific Gas & Electric Co.’s initial estimate of 4 a.m. The outages could affect a total of 1.8 million people, Oakland officials said.

“We encourage you to find alternative energy sources for light, charging devices and other necessities,” official said. “Plan ahead with food and water, and make sure your grab-and-go emergency kits are ready.”

National Weather Service forecasters have issued red flag warnings for the East Bay and North Bay hills, as well as the Santa Cruz Mountains.



Update: PG&E has announced it will shut off power to more than 800,000 customers in an effort to prevent new wildfires, in the largest preventive outage in state history.

Pacific Gas & Electric utility said it will start turning off power to 34 counties in northern and central California after midnight Wednesday.

It may take several days to fully restore power, Michael Lewis, senior vice-president of PG&E’s electric operations, said in a statement.

Separately, the Southern California Edison utility website said more than 106,000 of its customers in parts of eight counties could face power cuts.

The affected regions include an area of wine country north of San Francisco where several fires two years ago killed 22 people and destroyed thousands of homes.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2019, 12:38:46 AM by vox_mundi »
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― Leonardo da Vinci

Insensible before the wave so soon released by callous fate. Affected most, they understand the least, and understanding, when it comes, invariably arrives too late

Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #960 on: October 09, 2019, 12:50:10 AM »
PG&E shut-offs: Could you lose power? Map of potential outages in the Bay Area, California
https://projects.sfchronicle.com/trackers/power-outages/
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #961 on: October 09, 2019, 01:39:24 AM »
Quote
Dave Toussaint (@engineco16)  ;)10/8/19, 7:17 PM
The fire has hit Sweetwater Ridge Rd at the top of the ridge. So it's larger than the 3400+ acres I'm showing here.
#BriceburgFire @CALFIREMMU Several have asked where the Ferguson Fire is in relationship to this fire. The green line is the Ferguson.
https://twitter.com/engineco16/status/1181710276711706624

Quote
Dave Toussaint (@engineco16) 10/8/19, 5:49 PM
#BriceburgFire  @CALFIREMMU The fire is capping out again and growing larger and larger by the minute. It's still moving in an ESE direction, but this evening the winds will shift to a more north wind.
https://twitter.com/engineco16/status/1181688180409372673

The red pin on the map below is Briceburg.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #962 on: October 09, 2019, 06:07:19 PM »
Millions without power as PG&E shuts down grid amid critical fire danger - Los Angeles Times
Quote
Based on the latest forecasts, the utility says it expects high winds will last through midday Thursday with peak winds reaching up to 70 mph from early Wednesday through Thursday morning. Once the fire weather subsides, PG&E will inspect and test the grid both with on-site crews and electronically before restoring service, a company official said.

It took the utility less than a day to restore power to customers during a three-county shutoff last weekend and another in September, the company said in a statement.

Assembly Republican leader Marie Waldron (R-Escondido) said PG&E’s announcement is a sign of how far the state has fallen behind in efforts to prevent catastrophic wildfires.

“This is the frustrating result of decades of forest mismanagement and aging energy infrastructure,” Waldron said. “These shutoffs highlight the need to invest in vegetation management, update our energy grid and help Californians harden their homes against wildfires.” ...
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2019-10-09/pg-e-cuts-power-across-northern-california-as-winds-bring-critical-fire-danger
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Darvince

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #963 on: October 11, 2019, 10:25:06 AM »
Quote
#BREAKING: The #SaddleridgeFire has completely consumed the 5 freeway in the #newhall pass... MAJOR FIRE EMERGENCY
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EGk-IJPUcAErZWt.jpg:large

Attached is the infrared satellite view of SoCal as of 8:16Z. Just four hours ago it wasn't even visible.

TerryM

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #964 on: October 11, 2019, 11:17:54 AM »
^^
Some bad ass fires in California tonight!
It'll be a little harder to put the blame on PG&E this year.
Terry

Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #965 on: October 11, 2019, 01:06:03 PM »
Fires in California push south forcing evacuations around Los Angeles amid rolling power outages today
Quote
Despite an unprecedented effort to prevent wildfires, at least three of them erupted in Southern California on Thursday fueled by strong winds and dry conditions. The fires quickly claimed more ground, destroying homes and by Friday morning at least 100,000 people had been forced to flee under mandatory evacuation orders around Los Angeles.

L.A. Mayor Eric Garcetti confirmed evacuation orders after the high winds pushed the Saddleridge fire across two freeways and into communities. Most of the residents ordered out were in neighborhoods about 20 miles northwest of central Los Angeles.

The Los Angeles Fire Department said early Friday that the blaze had grown to 2,000 acres, and it was being battled by more than 400 firefighters, but it was still moving.
...
“We have found multiple cases of damage or hazards" caused by heavy winds, including fallen branches that came in contact with overhead lines, said Sumeet Singh, a vice president for the utility. "If they were energized, they could've ignited."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/california-fires-power-outages-today-wildfires-santa-ana-high-winds-evacuations-2019-10-11/
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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #966 on: October 16, 2019, 12:33:51 AM »
BBC Video: Lebanon Battles Worst Wildfires in Decades
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-middle-east-50063429/lebanon-battles-worst-wildfires-in-decades

Firefighters and specialist aircraft in Lebanon are working to tackle a series of wildfires which have broken out during a period of high temperatures and strong winds.

The blazes started in Lebanon's western mountains, but have spread to other areas. The initial cause is not known.

Officials said on Tuesday that more than 100 fires had broken out in the space of 24 hours.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #967 on: October 23, 2019, 09:59:14 PM »
Oct 23:  Blackouts set for Northern California. PG&E announces major shutoff starting this afternoon
Quote
After days of warnings, PG&E Corp. announced it will launch a major safety blackout this afternoon in 17 north and central California counties, the second such deliberate power outage in two weeks.

The troubled utility, citing forecasts of dangerous winds that could cause wildfires, said it will cut power to approximately 179,000 households and businesses in the Sierra foothills and Bay Area. Pacific Gas and Electric Co. has been warning about the power shutoff since Monday.

The National Weather Service issued a red flag warning for much of Northern and Central California.

The size of the “public safety power shutoff” has been dialed back slightly. It was originally targeting 209,000 customers. ...
https://www.sacbee.com/news/california/article236563918.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #968 on: October 24, 2019, 09:40:10 PM »
“They shut off the power and we still had a fire.”

Kincade fire in Sonoma County scorches 10,000 acres
Quote
The wind-driven Kincade fire has burned an estimated 10,000 acres and has no containment, according to Cal Fire and local officials. The fire started in a mountainous area near Kincade and Burned Mountain roads.
...
The entire town of Geyersville and vineyards across the California wine country were forced to evacuate as a monster fire, pushed by wind gusts topping 70 mph, spread rapidly in a rural section of Sonoma County.

Some Geyersville residents evacuated in the darkness after Pacific Gas & Electric Company shut power off to areas in Sonoma County and the Kincade fire crossed Highway 128, moving west toward homes in the town of about 929 people. ...
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2019-10-23/kincade-fire-sonoma-county-prompts-evacuations
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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #969 on: October 25, 2019, 05:19:41 PM »
Is Earth On Fire? Data Shows Almost Five Times as Many Wildfires Over Last Year
https://phys.org/news/2019-10-earth-wildfires-year.html

Data from the Sentinel-3 World Fire Atlas shows that there were almost five times as many wildfires in August 2019 compared to August 2018, but a detailed analysis reveals precisely where these fires have been occurring—most of which were in Asia.

The Copernicus Sentinel-3 mission recorded 79,000 fires in August this year, compared to just over 16,000 fires detected during the same period last year. These figures were achieved by using data from the Sentinel-3 World Fire Atlas Prototype, which is also able to provide a breakdown of these fires per continent.

The data reveals 49 percent of fires were detected in Asia, around 28 percent were detected in South America, 16 percent in Africa, and the remaining were recorded in North America, Europe and Oceania.



ESA's Olivier Arino comments, "We have never seen an increase of wildfires of this kind since the ATSR World Fire Atlas was created in 1995."
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― Leonardo da Vinci

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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #970 on: October 26, 2019, 02:06:23 AM »
California

Kincade Fire: PG&E tower near ignition point of Sonoma County wildfire was not shut off, had broken equipment
Quote
SONOMA COUNTY, Calif. (KGO) -- The Kincade Fire erupted near some power lines and a power plant just minutes after a PG&E transmission tower experienced an outage, possibly because of a broken piece of equipment.

This is according to details uncovered in a PG&E electric incident report, filed to the California Public Utility Commission Thursday morning.

This new report is raising some questions about whether PG&E's planned power shutoffs are effective.

According to PG&E's website, this area was part of a Public Safety Power Shutoff, but the power was not cut in the area until 28 minutes after the fire started. ...
https://abc7news.com/pg-e-tower-near-kincade-fires-starting-point-wasnt-shut-off/5644820/


Kincade Fire in Sonoma County continues to rage: 21,900 acres, 5% containment
https://www.sfgate.com/california-wildfires/article/Wildfire-Kincade-Sonoma-County-Geysers-14558378.php
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #971 on: October 26, 2019, 02:08:36 AM »
Oct 25, 2019 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/
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bbr2314

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #972 on: October 26, 2019, 03:02:02 AM »
I am extremely concerned about the upcoming period of high winds. Both 2017 and 2018 saw extensive devastating wildfires occurring during similar events. In 2017 much of Santa Rosa and Napa Valley burned, in 2018, Paradise burned to the ground, and much of Ventura County also caught fire. I would imagine we will see at least one major firestorm in Northern CA, possibly alongside one in Southern CA as well.

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #973 on: October 26, 2019, 03:21:43 AM »
It is worth noting there were no "destructive" wildfires between 2008 and 2015. In 2017 there were five, in 2018 there were three. There haven't been any yet in 2019.

The below are the 500MB composite anomaly patterns for 10/7-8/2017, and 11/7-8/2018. The last image is the EURO's 72 hour forecast. The similarity with last year's 500MB look at the time of the Paradise and Woolsey Fires is uncanny. It is also a close match to the October 2017 event.

In 2017, almost 10,000 structures burned by the end of the year. In 2018, almost 20,000 burned. If those are at all analogous to what's impending in the next 72 hours, we are about to see a very bad situation unfold in California.


Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #974 on: October 26, 2019, 06:00:15 PM »
California

Quote
Mary and Charles Lindsey went to sleep to the glow of the Tick fire, but they had seen wildfires before, and their two-story home in the Santa Clarita foothills seemed safe enough. All Thursday, they hadn't gotten a reverse-911 alert, or an emergency email, or a phone call. All had seemed quiet since 11 a.m., when Southern California Edison shut off their power.

It wasn't until 2:30 a.m. Friday that something — maybe the whir of helicopters or perhaps the providence of God — woke Mary up. She saw the unusual light creeping through the bedroom curtains. “That’s not right,” she thought, grabbing a flashlight.

Outside, a sheriff’s deputy cruising by noticed the flashlight in the window and flicked on his siren, then shouted into the home: “It’s a mandatory evacuation!” The deputy wondered why the occupants hadn't gotten an alert. She told him that entire section of the Stonecrest community didn't have a clue. They were all still in their homes. "Oh, my God!" the deputy replied.

What followed, by Mary Lindsey's recollection the next day at an evacuation center at the College of the Canyons in Valencia, was a pitch-black rush to safety for the Lindseys and dozens of their neighbors — just a microcosm of the unsettling new abnormal confronting residents in California's sprawling wildfire country: managing emergency evacuations without lights, electrical garage doors, internet-enabled phone lines or air conditioning.
...
As fires still raged in Northern California's wine country and close to the suburbs above the 14 Freeway in Southern California, evacuees described how getting out, and getting on, felt markedly more frightening because the state's biggest utilities had cut power as part of wide "public safety power shut-offs." There was no small irony in the fact that the discomfiting power outages had been ordered to prevent the fires in the first place.

California has built much of its emergency response system around the premise that alerts and evacuation orders will be received by residents with cellphones or landlines. But landline technology has changed, and telecommunications companies are increasingly relying on internet technology, which is subject to power outages, to serve households with voice calls. ...
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2019-10-26/power-outages-residents-miss-fire-evacuation-alerts
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #975 on: October 26, 2019, 10:18:55 PM »
Quote
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0258 PM CDT Sat Oct 26 2019

   Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
   BAY AREA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND
   CENTRAL SACRAMENTO VALLEY...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...

   ...Portions of northern California including most of the Sacramento
   River Valley...
   Extremely critical conditions are expected to develop rather quickly
   Sunday morning in areas near and north of the Bay Area, as RH values
   drop quickly to around 10% amidst sustained winds of 25-40 mph
   (locally greater) with higher gusts across terrain-favored regions.
   Surrounding the extremely critical area, critical conditions are
   expected to spread into at least the central Sacramento Valley. See
   the previous discussion below for more details regarding the
   dangerous fire-weather conditions expected on Sunday.

   ...Southern California...
   Elevated to locally critical conditions still appear likely to
   develop Sunday night into Monday morning across the higher terrain
   and foothills of southern CA. The elevated area has been expanded
   based on latest high-resolution and pressure gradient guidance, with
   a critical area added for areas in and near the higher terrain of
   southern CA, where sustained winds in excess of 20 mph (with much
   stronger gusts) and critical RH values at or below 15% are expected
   to develop Sunday night or early Monday morning.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #976 on: October 26, 2019, 10:38:54 PM »
Quote
Daniel Swain (@Weather_West) 10/26/19, 2:15 PM
Geographic scope of anticipatory evacuations for the #KincaidFire in advance of upcoming extreme wind event is absolutely stunning. Wow. Based on this map, it seems like fire officials are worried fire could jump Hwy 101 and make a run toward the Pacific Ocean... #CAwx #CAfire
https://twitter.com/weather_west/status/1188157279847075840
- Update: official Evacuation Warning now does officially extend all the way to the Pacific Ocean--35 miles from the fire's current location. #KincaidFire [Image below.]
< I’m packing up and leaving my little home in Healdsburg soon.  :'(
< I'm so sorry. Healdsburg is a lovely little town and it'd be heart-breaking to see it destroyed.
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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #977 on: October 27, 2019, 01:19:00 PM »
Thousands of Homeowners in Fire Zones are Losing Their Insurance
https://abc7news.com/amp/insurance-companies-refusing-policies-in-wildfire-areas/5647865/

ORINDA, Calif. (KGO) -- It's getting harder for thousands to find fire insurance. The disastrous blazes have insurance companies dropping customers living in wildfire areas-- and many new homeowners can't buy a policy in a wildfire area.

The state Department of Insurance released some astonishing figures. Insurance companies refused to renew more than 167,000 homeowner policies last year.

That's up six percent statewide -- and up 10 percent in wildfire areas alone. Statistics show about nine thousand residents in disaster zones lost their homeowners insurance in 2018. They were living in or near one of the major fires of the past two years. Also, state officials say an estimated 88,000 homeowners living in fire-prone areas -- that is rural, wooded, hot and windy -- lost their coverage last year even if there was no actual fire near them.
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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #978 on: October 27, 2019, 03:18:53 PM »
Latest: Wind Gusts Up To 93 mph Recorded in Healdsburg Hills
https://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/10227533-181/latest-winds-picking-up-in

Wind gusts as high as 93 mph were recorded in the Healdsburg hills early Sunday morning, the National Weather Service reported, an example of the intensity of the windstorm that prompted widespread evacuations from the Kincade fire.
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TerryM

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #979 on: October 27, 2019, 03:44:41 PM »
^^
Has the velocity of the Santa Ana winds been increasing due to AGW? They were fierce back in the '60s & will make California living more difficult/dangerous if so.
I was once blown across 3 lanes of freeway by a sudden gust when coming out of Orange County.
Terry

vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #980 on: October 27, 2019, 06:51:07 PM »
^
I don't think so Terry.

AGW will increase the prevalence of drought, but the Santa Ana winds are caused by a pressure gradient between a High in the Great Basin and a Low along the Pacific shore. A drought would increase the fuel but not the wind speed.

-----------------

2 Million Californians Without Power And 180,000 Ordered To Evacuate Amid Wildfires
https://www.npr.org/2019/10/27/773844324/2-million-californians-without-power-and-180-000-ordered-to-evacuate-amid-wildfi

PG&E, the state's bankrupt electric utility, said it would be cutting power to 940,000 homes and businesses in 38 counties. That means an estimated 2.35 million people are without power, according to the AP.

... They are also preparing for more Santa Ana winds expected on Sunday evening and Monday morning. Critical fire conditions are possible on Wednesday and Thursday, as gusts could reach 50-70 miles per hour and humidity is low.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #981 on: October 27, 2019, 08:03:14 PM »
San Francisco area.
Vallejo is 55 miles south of Geyserville where the massive Kincade Fire has forced 185,000 people to flee their communities.
Interstate 80 Shuts Down, Evacuations Ordered as Fire Breaks Out in Vallejo, California
https://weather.com/news/news/2019-10-27-vallejo-glen-cove-fire-shuts-interstate-80-forces-evacuations

“Fieldstone Winery Alexander Valley Sonoma County CA #KincadeFire”
https://mobile.twitter.com/cphilpottcraig/status/1188422695379062785
Video clip at the link.

“Soda rock winery total loss. Awful. #KincadeFire”
https://mobile.twitter.com/stuartpalley/status/1188416243453136896
Photo at the link.

Edit:
“Driving on Hwy 128 [last night] near Fieldstone Winery Alexander Valley CA #KincadeFire”
https://mobile.twitter.com/cphilpottcraig/status/1188429631386308609
Video clip at the link.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2019, 08:34:17 PM by Sigmetnow »
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Tor Bejnar

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #982 on: October 28, 2019, 03:52:32 AM »
California wildfires, strong winds prompt Newsom to declare state of emergency; 200,000 ordered to evacuate
(as reported 2 hours ago)
Quote
...
 Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E) shut off power to 2.3 million people across 36 counties ...
Kincade Fire, which began Wednesday night and has burned 47 square miles and has destroyed 79 structures, was only 10 percent contained Sunday morning ...
Strong winds hit Sunday as gusts reached 93 mph in the hills north of Healdsburg and topped more than 80 mph in many other areas, according to the National Weather Service.
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #983 on: October 30, 2019, 12:18:48 AM »
Quote
***Dangerous, extremely critical fire weather will continue across southern California Wednesday***
The ongoing forecast is generally on track and more details are in the previous outlook. Very strong winds are expected across coastal ranges in southern California early in the day, with 75-85 mph wind gusts possible across Ventura, Los Angeles, and western San Bernardino counties with 75-85 mph wind gusts through 19Z Wednesday - with 60 mph wind gusts farther south toward San Diego County around that same time period. These conditions will combine with extremely low RH values (3-8%) and result in an extremely dangerous environment capable of rapidly moving fires exhibiting extreme and unpredictable behavior.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html
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vox_mundi

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #984 on: October 30, 2019, 08:33:11 AM »
Google Taps Satellites to Offer Clearer Picture of Wildfires
https://www.axios.com/google-taps-satellites-to-offer-clearer-picture-of-wildfires-b27dfd4c-2020-4074-be39-d1efa47deb3a.html

With this week's wildfires, Google is using the power of two U.S. satellites to provide a clearer and more quickly updated view of how the blazes are spreading.

Why it matters: Official information can often be hard to find and presented in less than straightforward ways, especially for those trying to quickly assess their situation in an emergency.

What's new: Google is drawing on both near-infrared and visible spectrum images to create a map of the Kincade Fire in Northern California, which can be updated every 5-20 minutes.

It's then combining the map with other official information as part of its official page on the fire.
https://www.google.com/search?q=kincade%20fire

What's next: Google hopes to expand beyond the U.S. to offer similar alerts in other countries.

"We think natural disasters are only going to get bigger as climate change takes hold," said Pete Giencke, a product manager for Google search.
“There are three classes of people: those who see. Those who see when they are shown. Those who do not see.” ― Leonardo da Vinci

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nanning

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #985 on: October 30, 2019, 05:46:29 PM »
« Last Edit: November 01, 2019, 06:58:24 AM by nanning »
"It is preoccupation with possessions, more than anything else, that prevents us from living freely and nobly" - Bertrand Russell
"It is preoccupation with what other people from your groups think of you, that prevents you from living freely and nobly" - Nanning
Why do you keep accumulating stuff?

bbr2314

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #986 on: October 30, 2019, 09:20:46 PM »
I think the Montana / "Triangle of Coldness" I won't shut up about is connected to the situation in SoCal (though not always). The engorged Hadley Cells press against the Rockies and the higher heights result in more topographic influence on sensible weather. In practical terms this results in the jetstream being forced from W->E across North America (on the west coast) to N->S.

The jet has shifted to N->S many times throughout history, however, it has never done so in recorded history on an extremely extended basis. The instances where this occurs for a long period result in severely cold temperatures in the Lower 48, like literally the coldest weather the States have ever seen, as the heart of the anomalies partially reside in the area of coldest ordinary temperatures.

The same phenomenon is responsible for the summertime desertification of California. When the jet shifts from W->E to N->S, precip that would normally deposit over the SW Rockies instead falls over the NW Rockies and Highest Plains. This feedback will worsen further as open water in the Arctic continues to increase on a seasonal basis.

Besides the fact that the shift in the jet deposits snow/rain over the Rockies of Montana and the plains of the Dakotas instead of California, the severe cold that accompanies the airmasses drifting down from the Arctic into Montana et al also sometimes descends on SoCal from the N / NE. This has been the case for both of the wind events of recent (previous and ongoing) as well as the events of 2017 and 2018.


kassy

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #987 on: October 31, 2019, 03:08:35 PM »
Thousands of hectares of prime koala habitat near Port Macquarie has been burnt during this week's Crestwood-Lake Cathie fire, killing as many as 350 of the marsupials and many other species.

Wildlife researchers visited some of the areas destroyed in the bushfire but only located two live koalas during a survey of about 100 hectares on Thursday.

...

While some animals such as kangaroos, wallabies and birds can typically evade the bushfires, koalas' survival strategy is typically to climb higher in the trees.

https://www.theage.com.au/environment/conservation/the-whole-place-went-up-fears-for-koala-colonies-as-nsw-fires-burn-on-20191031-p5366y.html
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #988 on: October 31, 2019, 08:47:47 PM »
“Video of the day from the #EasyFire. A horse goes back into the blaze to get his [sic] family.”
https://mobile.twitter.com/loganhallnews/status/1189598883849990144
Video clip at the link.
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kassy

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #989 on: November 01, 2019, 10:32:47 AM »
Brazil wildfires: Blaze advances across Pantanal wetlands

A 50 kilometre-long (31 mile) wildfire is advancing across Brazil's Pantanal wetlands.

The governor's office in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul said the fire was "bigger than anything seen before" in the region.

At least 50,000 hectares of vegetation have already been destroyed.

The area, located in the southern part of the country, is one of the most biodiverse regions in the world and a popular tourist destination.

The fire began on 25 October and is said to be advancing rapidly due to the combination of high temperatures and high winds.

...

Over 8,000 fires have been recorded in the Pantanal until 30 October, up 462% on the same period last year.

Brazil has had a large number of forest fires this year. Official figures show more than 167,000 forest fires were recorded from January until 30 October this year.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-50257684
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Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #990 on: November 03, 2019, 08:35:22 PM »
Victor Venema on Twitter:

"California Wildfire Denial
https://tamino.wordpress.com/2019/11/02/california-wildfire-denial/

@TaminoClimate responds to Roy Spencer. That is an impressive fit using only temperature & precipitation. One would expect the problem to be much more complicated,but maybe it is not or these other factors did not change much.”
https://mobile.twitter.com/variabilityblog/status/1190690854148677632
Image below; model explanation at the tamino link.
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Klondike Kat

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #991 on: November 04, 2019, 08:08:12 PM »
Personally, I prefer the hot-dry-wind (HDW) index developed by the U.S. Forest Service:

https://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/pubs/ja/2018/ja_2018_goodrick_001.pdf

Updated and historical values can be found here:

https://hdwindex.org/

Rodius

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #992 on: November 08, 2019, 09:08:45 AM »
Australia:
New South Wales and Queensland
The fire season in those regions has barely started, this is only the beginning......

Quotes from the article:
“Unfortunately we are in uncharted territory this afternoon - we’ve never seen this many fires concurrently at emergency warning level,” Fitzsimmons told ABC TV.

Fitzsimmons said bush and grass fires were burning through about 370,000 hectares of NSW land – more than the entire land area burned last year.

“On top of the current weather, we’ve had stress on the plants, we’ve got a lot of what’s called curing, a lot of the grass is already brown,” Queensland Fire and Emergency Services superintendent James Haig said.
“What I’m saying is, the drought conditions, the long-term dry conditions, the lack of rainfall, have exacerbated the bushfire conditions.”
Wind gusts of up to 80km/h are expected Friday afternoon as a low-pressure trough sweeps across the southeast.


https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/08/dozens-of-bushfires-burn-out-of-control-in-nsw-and-queensland-as-temperatures-soar

blumenkraft

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #993 on: November 09, 2019, 06:30:04 AM »
West East Australia via Himawari-8.

24 frames, 20-minute increments.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2019, 09:08:41 AM by blumenkraft »

ruffed

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #994 on: November 09, 2019, 08:46:20 AM »
Oops.
If this is Western Australia, it's the first time I have seen wildfires in the Indian ocean?

blumenkraft

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #995 on: November 09, 2019, 09:08:05 AM »
Damn! Thanks, Ruffed! ;)

Rodius

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #996 on: November 09, 2019, 12:26:21 PM »
There are plenty of fires on the West Coast, but the winds blow the smoke inland, not out to sea (most of the time.)

Australia is going to put on a fire show this year on the East Coast.
It is extremely dry.
The heat is already in the middle of Australia and waiting for the wind to blow it East.
The prediction for the coming three months is well below average rain and well above average temps.
Tropic forests are burning (that shouldnt be happening at all) right now.

If we are lucky, we will avoid a massive disaster.

Tor Bejnar

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #997 on: November 09, 2019, 06:23:18 PM »
Oops.
If this is Western Australia, it's the first time I have seen wildfires in the Indian ocean?
Well, North could have been down with the wind blowing smoke westward over the Indian Ocean (clearly the land is to the left of the white like line - I like to think it is 'surf' and not a mapmaker's addition* :P).  But it looks like 'prevailing winds', and they would be from the west, not to the west.

And isn't that Fraser Island near the image's top?  Who moved it from Queensland to Western Australia?  :o  Does blumenkraft have powers we don't know about?  :D

______
* - I remember from some years ago an article somewhere that said the image shown was "exactly what folks on the International Space Station would see."  The image was of the eastern part of North America, with white state boundaries included.  I've seen big white plastic sheeting "X"s on the ground for 'ground proofing' air photography (I presume).  It must have been some project outlining all the eastern states with the stuff!   ::) :P
« Last Edit: November 10, 2019, 09:43:54 PM by Tor Bejnar »
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Rodius

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #998 on: November 10, 2019, 07:33:20 AM »
Sydney has just entered its fire season.

Quote from the article.......
The NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) has warned Tuesday's bushfire risk for the Greater Sydney and Greater Hunter areas is set to be "catastrophic".

It is the first time the Sydney region has been rated at that level since the new fire danger ratings were introduced in 2009.

The RFS has launched a strong warning that "lives and homes will be at risk" as high temperatures, strong winds and low humidity combine to create fierce conditions.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-11-10/nsw-weather-conditions-ease-but-high-risk-fires-expected/11690080

Sigmetnow

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Re: Wildfires
« Reply #999 on: November 11, 2019, 04:21:36 AM »
Australia

NSW bushfires: RFS upgrades 'catastrophic' fire conditions after Premier declares state of emergency
Quote
The "catastrophic" fire warning for the Greater Sydney and Hunter regions has been extended to include the Illawarra and Shoalhaven regions after NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian declared a state of emergency for the next seven days as the state prepares for extreme bushfire conditions.
The Victorian Black Saturday bushfires occurred during similar conditions, Rural Fire Service Commander Shane Fitzsimmons said on Monday morning.

"The fire danger is now expected to be worse than originally forecast," the RFS said.
"The Illawarra Shoalhaven has now been added as an area of Catastrophic fire danger.

"Catastrophic is the highest level of bush fire danger. Homes are not designed to withstand a fire under these conditions.

"If a fire starts and takes hold during Catastrophic fire danger conditions, lives and homes will be at risk.

Catastrophic fire danger is now forecast for the Greater Sydney, Greater Hunter and Illawarra Shoalhaven areas, due to worsening weather conditions.

The state of emergency declared by the Premier on Monday came after Rural Fire Service Commissioner Shane Fitzsimmons wrote to her on Sunday night requesting the emergency powers.

The last time such an emergency declaration was made in the state was in October 2013, when there were extensive bushfires in the Blue Mountains, the Premier said.

The broad emergency powers allow the RFS Commissioner to control and coordinate the allocation of government resources; direct any government agency to conduct or refrain from conducting its functions; evacuate people from property; close roads; order the shutdown of essential utilities including gas and water; and take possession of property. ...
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/almost-one-million-hectares-burnt-as-catastrophic-bushfire-conditions-loom-20191111-p539a5.h
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