Happy New Year 2024 (and sorry for the forum being offline some hours) /DM
Tonight has been one for the record books. While we made the right call to Hurivac the F-15E and KC-135s, what we did not expect was the significant flooding in base housing. Thanks to the quick reaction of our neighbors, friends, Civil Engineers, Defenders, and leadership, we were able to evacuate those flooded and those who were the most threatened. It broke my heart to see the flooded houses, not to mention the numerous flooded cars around base.
Saturday night, rainfall totals were 16 inches [400 mm] in Bladen County, 15 inches in Goldsboro, 12 inches in Lumberton and Smithfield, and 9 inches in Raleigh and Rocky Mount, McCrory said in a statement.The Fayetteville, North Carolina, Emergency Operations Center said response teams rescued nearly 700 people overnight in the Fayetteville and Cumberland County areas while 503 people were being housed in area shelters. ...
After a devastating 12-day rampage from the Caribbean to the U.S. Mid-Atlantic, Hurricane Matthew was reclassified as a post-tropical cyclone at 5 am EDT Sunday by the National Hurricane Center. Matthew wasn’t exactly slacking off--its top sustained winds remained 75 mph as of NHC’s 2 pm Sunday advisory--but it no longer had the warm core required for tropical-cyclone status. At 2 pm EDT, Matthew was located about 150 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, moving east at 15 mph. After days of computer models suggesting a potential loop back toward Florida, it now appears Matthew will continue eastward and gradually dissipate.It will be some time before we have a more complete sense of Matthew’s toll, but we already know that it is the deadliest hurricane in the Western Hemisphere since 2005. In Haiti, Matthew took at least 877 lives and and left entire towns across southern Haiti almost completely destroyed. A handful of deaths and significant damage were also reported in Cuba, Jamaica, The Bahamas, Colombia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, and the Dominican Republic. After Haiti, it was the United States that took the worst of Matthew’s wrath. At least 16 U.S. deaths have been reported, and insured damage is expected to total at least $4 billion. See our Saturday post for details on how you can provide much-needed help to those struggling with the aftermath of Matthew.
Flooding continued to threaten parts of North Carolina on Wednesday as Hurricane Matthew's deadly after-effects swelled rivers and forced tens of thousands to be evacuated....Matthew's death toll in the U.S. has climbed to 36, more than half of them in North Carolina. Tens of thousands of people, some of them as much as 125 miles inland, have been warned to move to higher ground since the hurricane drenched the state....The full extent of the damage in North Carolina was unclear, but it appeared that thousands of homes were damaged. Many likened Matthew to Hurricane Floyd, which did $3 billion in damage and destroyed 7,000 homes in North Carolina as it skirted the state's coast in 1999.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda Thursday morning, with tropical storm conditions expected to begin this evening or tonight. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in Bermuda. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over Bermuda through Thursday. SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the next few days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by the Bermuda Weather Service. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda tonight and early Thursday.
The annual king tides are beginning to rise in South Florida, submerging docks, flooding low-lying streets and spilling over seawalls.The tides are not expected to peak until Monday, but offshore winds from Hurricane Nicole are causing local water to swell about a flood over predictions, giving the region a preview of the rising tides.
Keeping Storm strength all the way to Greenland. Interesting.
Phil Klotzbach: "Atlantic [tropical cyclones] have generated 66 ACE units so far this month - the most on record (since 1851) between 10/1-10/16. #Matthew #Nicole"https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/787649262557368320
Am amazed at this storm's staying power. Must be due at least in part to the water temperature.I am amazed too, but according to http://cci-reanalyzer.org/DailySummary/index_ds.php#SST the water temperature is only about 15 C. Something else is going on. Cyclone inertia or lack of wind shear or something else?
Wrt the low SSTs inthevicinity of Nicole: remember that hurricane Alex transformed into a hurricane despite unfavorable conditions. Similar process might be in charge for Nicole!
Will Nicole bring rain or snow to greenland?
Marginal environmental conditions are only expected to support slow strengthening for the next 36 hours or so. After that, the moderate vertical wind shear currently affecting the cyclone is forecast to decrease to less than 10 kt while mid-level humidity values increase to more than 70 percent. This should allow for the depression to strengthen into a hurricane by 72 hours before landfall occurs.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Costa Rica/Panama border to south of BluefieldsA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Nargana to Colon* San AndresA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...* West of Colon to the Costa Rica/Panama border* Bluefields to Sandy Bay Sirpi
Otto is the latest hurricane formation on record in the Caribbean Sea, eclipsing the record of Martha 1969.
Tropical Storm Otto, earlier the seventh hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season, is about 24 hours away from an extremely rare late November landfall in Nicaragua or Costa Rica, posing a danger of flooding and mudslides in parts of Central America.
Data just received from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunteraircraft indicate that Otto now has maximum sustained winds of 100mph (155 km/h), with higher gusts.The aircraft will continue to investigate Otto this morning, and anintermediate advisory will be issued at 700 AM EST (1200 UTC).
