Happy New Year 2024 (and sorry for the forum being offline some hours) /DM
I know the arctic has been the big indicator (seriously wacky up there) but - for antarctica - this is stunning and remarkably "dangerous".
Long time lurker first time poster. Astonishing isn't it. I have been watching this since November. In particular the Amery shelf and the Shirase glacier. Haven't been able to see the Shirase very well for the past two weeks. However a small glimpse today and the leading sea ward face isn't looking very stable to me. There has been what looks like upwelling to the right against the land mass growing bigger since November with what appears to be under cutting by current all the way to open ocean. If I'm right thats a lot of movement from somewhere. the images I use are from NASA's EOSDIS Worldview. The last good view on November 4th:https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=antarctic&l=MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Coastlines&t=2017-01-04&z=3&v=1333758.506606413,1673440.4053282563,1599742.506606413,1844960.4053282563Today's view shows some of what looks like separating of the lead edge of the glacier as well as the shelf ice in increasingly bad shape.https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?p=antarctic&l=MODIS_Aqua_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor,Coastlines&t=2017-01-17&z=3&v=1316094.506606413,1656544.4053282563,1582078.506606413,1828064.4053282563
Staring back in November when I first noticed it I started searching past history. There was no precedent for that.
Quote from: Red on January 17, 2017, 11:21:33 PMStaring back in November when I first noticed it I started searching past history. There was no precedent for that. Look at the dates 2016 Apr 1, and 2014 Jan 17, then 2014 later in April for how fast it can recover. I was very alarmed by Thwaites this year, but noticed that 2013 was much worse. My impression is that the antarctic sea ice is getting weaker, but stormy conditions breaking it up can't be ruled out yet.
Some calving of the Amery ice shelf in Prydz Bay, near the 'loose tooth'.Images are from the Antarctica mosaic recent images, e.g.https://lance.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subsets/?subset=Antarctica_r04c06.2017015.aqua.250m1st image is enhanced to show tabular icebergs from the ice tongue.2nd image is animated to highlight some of the cracks in the Amery ice shelf.3 and 4 are the images I used to make the animation.Nice images, impressive piece of ice.
These folks have some historic data on this looking at daily melt but nothing for last year and this.http://lgge.osug.fr/personnels/PICARD_Ghislain/melting/
This striking melt pond across the center of the Amery Ice Shelf has had explosive growth the last ten dayshttp://go.nasa.gov/2iWj5W2
Tealight,your image 2 shows wind shadow and scour. The wind shadow effect occurs where air blowing over an obstruction induces turbulence to leeward which picks up the snow and carries it away leaving the blue ice surface showing.The same effect occurs where the wind blows around an obstruction and becomes turbulent.Generally speaking, in satellite images, pale blue is water, dark blue is ice.
Looking at the Amery ice sheet again.. I noticed these persistent plumes. Could these be melt water, fresh water, flowing along under the ice shelf and then coming to the open ocean? The ocean at the edge of the ice shelf is probably cold enough to freeze some of the fresh water, hence the plume. http://go.nasa.gov/2kamy2m is the EODIS link. It fits in with the model of eroding the ice sheet that has been proposed: that fresh melt water flows along under the sheet and cause warm salty water to be drawn under the sheet by convection. All that blue has to go somewhere, right?
The third image is the plume Rox mentioned at 10m resolution.
Regarding plumes in the water.I think a mechanism related to wind-blown snow coming off the shelf edge is more likely. Remember, Coriolis force is reversed in the Southern Hemisphere. The rapid disappearance of the sea ice in the top of the image also points to strong winds blowing off-shore.
Quote from: P-maker on February 04, 2017, 11:24:07 AMRegarding plumes in the water.I think a mechanism related to wind-blown snow coming off the shelf edge is more likely. Remember, Coriolis force is reversed in the Southern Hemisphere. The rapid disappearance of the sea ice in the top of the image also points to strong winds blowing off-shore.I agree the plumes look wind-borne. They move far faster than the floes. In the very first image of these posted here, you can see that there's clearing of the mist on the leeward side of the floes. I'd favor fog. Cold air coming off the ice shelf, flowing over slightly warmer ocean.
How do we know it's on the water?
The Cumulative Melting Surface (CMS) for the different regions have been corrected from changes in acquisition hours due to satellite replacements with the method developed by Picard and Fily, 2006... To our opinion, the correction efficiently reduces errors for some regions (Peninsula, DML, Amery, Wilkes, MBL), but is less efficient or may add new errors for other regions (Filchner, Ross). In the latter regions, we recommend to use both the corrected and uncorrected CMS.