It's looking quite a lot like we have a winner (2 to 2.25), though I'd like to wait another week or so before calling it, just in case.
Largest falls after now in March that I could find 2004 26.5k from 26th to 27th 2006 3.5k for 13th to 14th and 1k for 2011 9th to 10th.
I guess I could believe four time the size of the previous largest fall after this date to create a later minimum could occur even if that seems very unlikely after 6 consecutive rises. Also there are 38 years with 12 or 24 data days where a fall could have occurred and I only found 3 falls.
10 times larger to get into a lower bin seems stretching it a bit.
I called it after 4 consecutive rises even though it was only 40k above the minimum on the other thread. If you want to be really safe, another day or two seems likely to be plenty. A week seems overly cautious.