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Who is your Preferred Choice today to be the Democratic Party Presidential Nominee

Gov. Steve Bullock (Undeclared)
VP Joe Biden (Undeclared)
Sen. Bernie Sanders
Sen. Kamala Harris
Sen. Elizabeth Warren
Rep. Beto O'Rourke
Sen. Cory Booker
Sen. Amy Klobuchar
Sen. Mike Gravel (Retired)
Rep. Eric Swalwell
Rep. Tulsi Gabbard
Julian Castro (Former Sec. / Mayor)
Pete Buttigiege (Mayor)
Rep. John Delaney
Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand
Another Candidate
"Frankly my dear I don't give a damn!"
Gov. Jay Inslee
Gov. John Hickenlooper
Andrew Yang (Entrepreneur)
Rep. Tim Ryan
Marianne Williamson (Activist/Author)
Wayne Messam (Mayor)
Sherrod Brown (withdrew March 7)
Michael Bloomberg (withdrew March 5)
Hillary Clinton (withdrew March 4)

Voting closes: December 31, 2019, 06:43:04 AM

Author Topic: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020  (Read 1750 times)

Lurk

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Who is your Preferred Choice today to be the Democratic Party Presidential Nominee in 2020?

Not who you think will win it, but who you want to win it.

This is a Pre-Primary Poll which closes on 31st Dec 2019.

You can change your Vote at any time.

Non-Americans are encouraged to cast your Vote too.


Current RCP Polling
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

Wiki 2020 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries information to date
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries

b_lumenkraft

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #1 on: February 23, 2019, 10:04:35 AM »
Bernie for President!

Warren as the vice.

That's my personal dream team.

karl dubhe2

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #2 on: February 23, 2019, 12:27:23 PM »
Go Pete, go!

I'd love to see him take a victory over You-Know-Who.

Young, has a good beard...

gerontocrat

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #3 on: February 23, 2019, 01:19:33 PM »
"Frankly, my dear, I don't give a damn" - on this forum.
"Para a Causa do Povo a Luta Continua!"
"And that's all I'm going to say about that". Forrest Gump
"Damn, I wanted to see what happened next" (Epitaph)

oren

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #4 on: February 23, 2019, 02:19:34 PM »
Bernie, the only one who can and will make a big change about climate change.

Klondike Kat

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2019, 02:40:06 PM »
I agree with Rhett.

Rob Dekker

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2019, 09:51:08 AM »
I was with Bernie in 2016 and am with him for 2020.

His policies, across the board, align with my own opinions about justice.
Economically, politically and environmentally.

Knowing what we got with Trump, maybe we all realize that :

« Last Edit: February 24, 2019, 10:00:23 AM by Rob Dekker »
This is our planet. This is our time.
Let's not waste either.

ritter

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #7 on: February 25, 2019, 05:55:41 PM »
Currently, I'd vote for Sanders first and Gabbard second. Gabbard has some anti LGBTQ baggage that I don't like.

Being Californian and witnessing Harris for several yeas, I won't vote for her. She's an opportunist/corporate Dem in progressive clothing, no question about it.

ritter

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #8 on: February 26, 2019, 06:00:31 PM »
Currently, I'd vote for Sanders first and Gabbard second. Gabbard has some anti LGBTQ baggage that I don't like.

Being Californian and witnessing Harris for several yeas, I won't vote for her. She's an opportunist/corporate Dem in progressive clothing, no question about it.

Gabbard has some anti LGBTQ baggage that I don't like?

I'd check the record if I were you. She has repeatedly cleared that up and apologised.

Barack Obama (and Hillary Clinton too) was elected multiple times not supporting Gay marriage and outright being against it - they changed their minds on that.

But Gabbard has gone much further than either of those tow did. She means it, they did not.
Yes, she has apologized. Who knows what's in her heart.

Honestly, all the dem candidates have things I don't like, primarily around gun control as a tenet of electability--a very restrictive policy platform that has much better root cause solutions that would actually reduce all violence and that don't erode an enumerated right (rather not get too far into the weeds on this since I know it's a minority opinion on this board and isn't central to any of the discussions here). But those root cause solutions actually require real work to bring up the poor and provide equal access, something Republicans will never acknowledge and Corporate Dems won't address either.

Klondike Kat

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #9 on: February 26, 2019, 06:28:02 PM »
Currently, I'd vote for Sanders first and Gabbard second. Gabbard has some anti LGBTQ baggage that I don't like.

Being Californian and witnessing Harris for several yeas, I won't vote for her. She's an opportunist/corporate Dem in progressive clothing, no question about it.

Gabbard has some anti LGBTQ baggage that I don't like?

I'd check the record if I were you. She has repeatedly cleared that up and apologised.

Barack Obama (and Hillary Clinton too) was elected multiple times not supporting Gay marriage and outright being against it - they changed their minds on that.

But Gabbard has gone much further than either of those tow did. She means it, they did not.
Yes, she has apologized. Who knows what's in her heart.

Honestly, all the dem candidates have things I don't like, primarily around gun control as a tenet of electability--a very restrictive policy platform that has much better root cause solutions that would actually reduce all violence and that don't erode an enumerated right (rather not get too far into the weeds on this since I know it's a minority opinion on this board and isn't central to any of the discussions here). But those root cause solutions actually require real work to bring up the poor and provide equal access, something Republicans will never acknowledge and Corporate Dems won't address either.

Yes, the parties have become quite restrictive in what their respective candidates are allowed to support.  Very few people align with either party on all issues, why should the candidates?

ritter

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #10 on: February 26, 2019, 06:45:42 PM »
Very few people align with either party on all issues, why should the candidates?

Most of the Dem candidates are right in line with the DNC platform. Sanders, less so. I suppose at this point in time, I expect some outside of the box thinking by those running and create some policy that will advance goals of: environmental quality, affordable health care and education, a functioning mental health and social support system and protection of rights. Instead, we get the same policy of incrementalism on those issues topped with a whopping serving of gun control as the most pressing thing in the US. It just isn't. The Green New Deal is about the best breath of fresh air I've seen in my lifetime and the establishment Dems are doing their best to erode it.

Lurk

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #11 on: February 27, 2019, 12:11:15 AM »
Longer discussions are best had on this thread

Who should be the Democratic nominee for President in 2020?
https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2200.0.html

Klondike Kat

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #12 on: February 27, 2019, 01:41:52 AM »

Most of the Dem candidates are right in line with the DNC platform.

That is too bad.  I would like to some fresh, independent ideas.

Lurk

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #13 on: February 27, 2019, 02:57:16 AM »
Leader Board Combining the Two Polls to date 24th February

Total Votes 34

1) Bernie Sanders    13 Votes 38%

2) Kamala Harris      4 Votes 12%
2) Elizabeth Warren  4 Votes 12%

3) Tulsi Gabbard      3 Votes  9%

             Their Votes equal 71%

You irresponsible bunch of radicals you are.

I'll do this less often as the months go on .. but fwiw now 27-02

Combined results - Total Votes 41

Top Three
Bernie - 16 - 39%
Harris - 6 - 15%
Warren - 5 - 12%

Their Votes equal 66%

In national polling Joe Biden is still up around 30%

I think this race is going to be more interesting and more dramatic than 2008 or 2016 (gut feel)

Only 350 Days to the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary

Only 616 Days to the Election Day :)

b_lumenkraft

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #14 on: February 27, 2019, 06:00:18 PM »
Political Forecast - Election Predictions

Lurk

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #15 on: February 28, 2019, 12:27:51 AM »
Political Forecast - Election Predictions


Thanks that was fascinating insights.

Here's the link to the source info
https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

Klondike Kat

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Re: Poll for the Democratic Party's Nomination for U.S. President in 2020
« Reply #16 on: February 28, 2019, 03:00:01 PM »
Political Forecast - Election Predictions


Thanks that was fascinating insights.

Here's the link to the source info
https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

I tend to agree.  If Biden runs, he will be the front runner and likely nominee.  He probably has the best chance of winning too.

colchonero

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Daily Kos independent visitor Poll
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/3/5/1839795/-Test-2-W-Poll

23210 votes - Who is your preferred candidate for President?

Bernie Sanders  70%
Andrew Yang 12%
Tulsi Gabbard 6%

Harris 3%
Warren 2%
Joe Biden 1%


Well there's a realistic poll ;D 8)

Paddy

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I honestly don't know. I look at each name and think either "not him/her" and "who"s that?"

To those backing Bernie: I kind of like him, but do you not see his age as an obstacle? The oldest ever elected president was Reagan, who was 73 at the time of his second election. Bernie will be 78 in September. 

b_lumenkraft

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What do you think is the max age and why, Paddy?

Paddy

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It's not that I think there should be a specific cut off, but being of an age at which more than half of American men would already be dead would seem distinctly disadvantageous, both for campaigning (the Republicans came up with a lot of bs about Hillary's health, and she was a lot younger) and for doing the job itself.

Sanders and Biden are just a tad too old to inspire the confidence of swing voters etc. Sanders even looked a bit too old at the time of the *last* primaries, and he's not getting any younger.

b_lumenkraft

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Thank you for your answer Paddy. Allow me to debunk that.

It's not that I think there should be a specific cut off

Good, he fits this criterium.  ;)

Quote
but being of an age at which more than half of American men would already be dead

There are younger presidents died younger, and there are Americans being older.

He seems healthy, so this is pretty arbitrary.

In most societies, it is assumed an older person is wiser and more experienced. I can't see how this shouldn't also be a consideration for the most important job in the world.

Quote
would seem distinctly disadvantageous, both for campaigning

There is a huge grassroots army out there helping. I do not worry about that at all.

More than 1 million volunteers, the many small donations, word to mouth this is gonna be big!

Also, damn, he is a really good campaigner. Did he campaign his ass off for Hillary, or not?

Quote
(the Republicans came up with a lot of bs about Hillary's health, and she was a lot younger)

Idk man, the GOP smear machine will find smears no matter what. The Democratic candidate ought to wins with their agenda.

Quote
swing voters

To quote AOC here: " But he does!"


oren

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I sure wish he was younger, but nobody's perfect.

b_lumenkraft

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Our policy failed, we need to bend the knee.

Why there needs to be a candidate from the "radical left".

Neoliberal Policy Architect: Whoops!



Paddy

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Thank you for your answer Paddy.

You're welcome - thank you too!

Quote

He seems healthy, so this is pretty arbitrary.

In most societies, it is assumed an older person is wiser and more experienced. I can't see how this shouldn't also be a consideration for the most important job in the world.

It's also noted in most workplaces that performqnce drops with age. Athletes in most disciplines peak by 30, surgeons about age 40, and most people retire around age 60 or 65. Many who try to stay on later still end up being unproductive and often a bit of a problem for their colleagues.  Past 80, he's going to be accruing health problems pretty quickly however perky he looks at 77, as entropy inevitably takes its toll.

Quote
Quote
would seem distinctly disadvantageous, both for campaigning

There is a huge grassroots army out there helping. I do not worry about that at all.

More than 1 million volunteers, the many small donations, word to mouth this is gonna be big!

Also, damn, he is a really good campaigner. Did he campaign his ass off for Hillary, or not?


Was. Was a good campaigner. And Hillary still didn't win, of course.

He's going to be slower now than he was then, physically and mentally. When Dems have won in the last few decades, it's been with candidates who were young, charismatic and energetic (Barrack Obama, Bill Clinton).  They need someone who can do now what they did then, and no 78 year old on earth would fit that bill.

b_lumenkraft

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Noam Chomsky at age 91 is still Americas brightest thinker. The mind tends to grow with age unless you are mentally unhealthy like the acting president* indeed is.

Bernie is not candidating for being an athlete so i don't really get your point.

We have to agree to strongly disagree Paddy. ;)

Paddy

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Noam Chomsky at age 91 is still Americas brightest thinker. The mind tends to grow with age unless you are mentally unhealthy like the acting president* indeed is.

On the contrary, cognitive decline is part of the normal aging process https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4906299, even if you're lucky enough to avoid dementia, stroke, head injury or brain mets.

Quote
Bernie is not candidating for being an athlete so i don't really get your point.

It wasn't the best point, I'll confess... but the truth is that general physical decline begins in early adulthood.

Quote
We have to agree to strongly disagree Paddy. ;)

Maybe so.  But just out of curioaity: how old would a candidate need to be before you had second thoughts on thst basis? 85? 90?

b_lumenkraft

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It's the agenda that counts for me entirely Paddy. I don't have an age limit, i have an issue limit. :)

ritter

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Currently, I'd vote for Sanders first and Gabbard second. Gabbard has some anti LGBTQ baggage that I don't like.
Beto O’Rourke has stated he's running. He's moved to first place for me based on his statements surrounding the urgency of climate change. 12 years to get it done. Sanders is now second.

Tor Bejnar

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Tamino on Why you need to support Jay Inslee, even though you’d rather choose another candidate
Quote


So I suggest you throw your support 100% behind the candidate who I don’t think can get the nomination. Jay Inslee.

What??? Why would I suggest you not only support, but vigourously support the guy I think won’t even get the nomination? Let me tell you.



If you love Bernie, keep Jay in the race so when the bitch-slaps come, the only ones left standing are Jay and Bernie. If you love Elizabeth, give her the bitch-slap she desperately needs, not just to get the nomination and the presidency, but to do right by us when she does.

Whoever gets the democratic nomination, needs to hear Jay Inslee’s voice loud and clear, right on their heels.

Tamino usually makes sense.
Arctic ice is healthy for children and other living things.

b_lumenkraft

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So, it's either a strong candidate with good climate action or a candidate with great climate action but less popular.

Also, it's either seeing Bernie win the primaries or seeing Kamela* win because the vote was split between Jay and Bernie.

*maybe Beto even...!?

Lurk

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Tamino usually makes sense.  (?)

So Tamino still believes the illusion that whoever wins the Democrat primary and the US Presidency will actually make a difference to the global climate crisis and the GHG emissions of the USA into the future. Gosh they might even be able to roll out a Green New Deal ... wow.

Seriously?

There's one born every minute.

Paddy

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Eh, with a democratic congress they may make some difference. Obama was a bit hamstrung.

oren

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A little difference is better than nothing. It's not as if there are other alternatives that will make a big difference.

Klondike Kat

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Eh, with a democratic congress they may make some difference. Obama was a bit hamstrung.

Really?  He had two years of total control, and focused on an economic stimulus package and the affordable care act. 

b_lumenkraft

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Bernie Sanders Frontrunner Wisconsin Democratic Primary Poll Emerson March 2019


Neven

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I've added Andrew Yang to the list.
Il faut comparer, comparer, comparer, et cultiver notre jardin

Lurk

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 Who’s Leading Now

The figures are broken out among Democratic primary voters nationwide and in early primary states, which includes just voters who live in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada.

The latest results are based on 13,644 interviews with registered voters, collected from April 1-7 2019.
https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

Pete Buttigieg Mayor, has jumped 2% to 5% in about 2 weeks.
Biden and Sanders both dropped ~3% in recent weeks.

Second Choices: Where Voters Could Migrate

This to me is the most curious aspect of voter polling at this time -- about 30% of current Biden and Warren supporters would switch to Bernie if those two dropped out.

 If Bernie Sanders dropped out 33% would go to Biden, and 17% to Warren.

If when Harris dropped out 20% would go to Biden, and 14% each to Sanders and O'Rourke.

If when O'Rouke drops out, 25% would jump to Biden and 21% to Sanders.

 What this tells me atm is that there is a strong identification of most voters towards both Sanders and Biden no matter which one they primarily support. This leaning is much stronger than all the others in the race whose polling seems more "scattered" but still leans heavily to BOTH Biden and Sanders. 

Reading the tea leaves here but considering history patterns and recent polling, to me it shows that if Biden was to run and drop out, and if Sanders is doing ok then a very high majority of DEMS (25-35% or even more) will switch automatically enmass to Sanders, and not the others.
And the reverse is also true but it's not quite as strong a leaning. I think that is really interesting and worth following where it is at in early 2020 and if Biden does run, what happens then.

 Now I am going to update the candidate poll list as at 9th April.

Feel free to change your choice anytime.

Now with 21 Candidate options, plus "someone/anyone" else or don't give a dam :)
« Last Edit: April 10, 2019, 09:19:24 AM by Lurk »