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Author Topic: Tony Seba - Distruptive Technologies - Synthesis of Solar, Storage, EVs & AEVs  (Read 1229 times)

jai mitchell

  • Nilas ice
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AEVs are autonomous electric vehicles.  Self-driving Uber type ride-share technology called Transportation as a Service (TaaS).

This is a wonderful lecture to see what has happened in the past with these kinds of disruptive technologies where asset utilization goes from 4% to 40% while operational costs drop 10X below the costs of incumbent technologies.  Then he shows how these emergent technologies are actually doing this right now and that they have a synthesis of support for each other creating a massive disruption to ALL fossil fuel infrastructure - in other words, it is ALL stranded costs, today.

Since this addresses multiple technologies and current threads are only looking at specific tech, I though this new thread could address they synthesis of these technologies and their impacts on the economy (massive increases in household personal consumption spending) and the fossil fuel industry (i.e. petroleum refinery margins when global gasoline consumption drops by 30% in the next 10 years).

Published on Jun 9, 2017
Stanford University futurist Tony Seba spent the last decades studying technological disruptions. He argues that the Electric Vehicle, battery storage, and solar power, along with autonomous vehicles, are a perfect example of a 10x exponential process which will wipe fossil fuels off the market in about a decade. –

He is the author of several books, including most recently “Clean Disruption of Energy and Transportation: How Silicon Valley Will Make Oil, Nuclear, Natural Gas, Coal, Electric Utilities and Conventional Cars Obsolete by 2030”, and “Solar Trillions: 7 Market and Investment Opportunities in the Emerging Clean-Energy Economy”

Tony Seba spoke in Boulder, Colorado, where he was awarded the 2017 Sunshine Award by Clean Energy Action (

Filmed and edited pro bono by Martin Voelker with the Colorado Renewable Energy Society (
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  • Young ice
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Can solar increase emissions? A debate erupts
A recent newspaper article and claims from conservative groups are stirring up a debate about whether greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution can rise because of large amounts of solar on the grid.

At issue is a group of combustion turbine power plants in a county at the North Carolina-Virginia border that Duke Energy Corp. only operates during certain times of the day. The so-called peaker plants adjust their power output during the day as electric demand changes.

This means the units could be running at a higher output during extremely hot or cold days. But for the most part, they are being used in conjunction with solar, an intermittent resource.


  • Frazil ice
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install battery back up and shut peaker plants down. Nothing to debate this is another attempt to derail renewables.