Global sea ice area and extent data

[gerontocrat]

And here is the table comparing the 2020 maximum with previous yerars maxima.

[psymmo7]

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in November 2020 of 16.19 million km2, 0.64 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

Surely minimum will occur in February 2021

[Tom_Mazanec]

I think with global there are two annual minima?

[gerontocrat]

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in November 2020 of 16.19 million km2, 0.64 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

Surely minimum will occur in February 2021

So far only only one screw-up with change of blurb from looking at max to looking at min.

[gerontocrat]

I think with global there are two annual minima?

Yes, the main one in February and a false one (much higher) usually in early September.

[gerontocrat]

Oh well, that's me fooled again.
Yesterday I assumed that the maximum had been reached on 6th November.
Today I look at 8 November data and we have a new maximum - due to high Arctic sea ice gain and low Antarctic sea ice loss.

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,132,517 KM2 as at 08-Nov-2020

- Extent gain on this day 107k, 131 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 24k,

- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

- 2020 Extent is  0.72 million km2 MORE than 2019,

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

The maximum is already late.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,171,652 KM2 as at 10-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 14k, 28 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 42k,

- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

- 2020 Extent is  0.95 million km2 MORE than 2019,

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Maybe the maximum was reached on 9th November at 25.19 million km2, but maybe not.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

Today I am assuming that the maximum was on the 9th November at 25.185 million km2. So below is the blurb for the Global sea ice melting season.

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,107,667 KM2 as at 11-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 64k, 1 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.08 million km2, 0.26 million km2, 77% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.33 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record
- 2020 Extent is  1.00 million km2 MORE than 2019,
On average 3.7% of sea ice gain from maximum to minimum done, and 93 days to minimum.

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.44 million km2, 0.19 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,110,051 KM2 as at 12-Nov-2020

- Extent gain on this day 2k, 73 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,

- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

- 2020 Extent is  1.03 million km2 MORE than 2019,

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Extent is still dithering - could even increase to a new maximum. Plume attached as projections totally meaningless at the mpment.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,115,220 KM2 as at 13-Nov-2020

- Extent GAIN on this day 5k, 76 k less than the average LOSS on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,

- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

- 2020 Extent is  1.04 million km2 MORE than 2019,

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Extent is still being disobedient- could even increase to a new maximum. Plume attached as projections even more totally meaningless than usual at the moment.

All because Antarctic sea ice losses less thn average, Arctic sea ice gains greater than average.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,144,244 KM2 as at 14-Nov-2020

- Extent GAIN on this day 29k, 90 k less than the average LOSS on this day (of the last 10 years) of 61k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.04 million km2, 0.49 million km2, 92% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.53 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record
- 2020 Extent is  1.14 million km2 MORE than 2019,

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Extent is still being disobedient- can increase of 42 k would be a new maximum well over a week later than average.

And all because Antarctic sea ice losses less than average, Arctic sea ice gains greater than average.

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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

Despite a below average Antarctic sea ice extent loss, a very much below average Arctic sea ice extent gain suggest that the melting season might now be actually under way.

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,053,167 KM2 as at 15-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 91k, 45 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 46k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.13 million km2, 0.45 million km2, 77% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.58 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

On average 6.5% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 89 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.63 million km2, 1.08 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  25,031,176 KM2 as at 16-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 22k, 35 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 57k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.15 million km2, 0.48 million km2, 76% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.64 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

On average 7.1% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 88 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.67 million km2, 1.11 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,971,596 KM2 as at 17-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 60k, 20 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 80k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.21 million km2, 0.50 million km2, 70% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.72 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

On average 8.0% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 87 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.69 million km2, 1.14 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,916,264 KM2 as at 18-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 55k, 14 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 69k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.27 million km2, 0.52 million km2, 66% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.79 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

On average 8.7% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 86 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.70 million km2, 1.15 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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On this day in 2016, global sea ice extent was just 23k shy of being 3 million km2 less than it is on this day. Some of us were thinking - that's it, tipping point passed.

Well, got that one wrong - maybe. Something is going on the Antarctic, but what?
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

Blurb for melting Season
JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,837,817 KM2 as at 19-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 78k, 1 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 79k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.35 million km2, 0.52 million km2, 60% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.87 million km2.
- Extent is at position #5 in the satellite record

On average 9.6% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 85 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.70 million km2, 1.15 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,794,970 KM2 as at 20-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 43k, 28 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.39 million km2, 0.55 million km2, 58% less than the 10 year average loss of -0.94 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 10.4% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 84 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.72 million km2, 1.17 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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The low daily sea ice extent losses is mainly down to the Antarctic slow melting season..
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,797,177 KM2 as at 21-Nov-2020

- Extent GAIN on this day 2k, 64 k less than the average LOSS on this day (of the last 10 years) of 62k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.39 million km2, 0.61 million km2, 61% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.00 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 11.1% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 83 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.72 million km2, 1.17 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,797,129 KM2 as at 22-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 0k, 40 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 40k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.39 million km2, 0.65 million km2, 63% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.04 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 11.5% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 82 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.83 million km2, 1.28 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,787,343 KM2 as at 23-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 10k, 26 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 36k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.40 million km2, 0.68 million km2, 63% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.08 million km2.
- Extent is at position #8 in the satellite record

On average 11.9% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 81 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.86 million km2, 1.31 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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In the last three days very high Arctic sea ice extent gains plus very high Antarctic sea ice extent losses resulted in very little change in Global sea ice extent.
i.e. the Global data hides large changes in the North & South
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[Stephan]

In the last month the difference between the actual Global Sea Ice extent to the average extent of the 2000s declined from 2.5 M km² to 0.5 M km².
If this trend continues, Global Sea Ice Extent will match the 2000s average curve soon for the first time since Dec 03, 2015.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,693,467 KM2 as at 24-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 94k, 29 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.49 million km2, 0.65 million km2, 57% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.14 million km2.
- Extent is at position #8 in the satellite record

On average 12.7% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 80 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.83 million km2, 1.28 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,520,933 KM2 as at 25-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 173k, 95 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 78k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.66 million km2, 0.56 million km2, 45% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.22 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 13.5% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 79 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.74 million km2, 1.19 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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A complete change in the last 2 days - Antarctic sea ice extent losses well above average, Arctic sea ice extent gains well below average - and the result is very very much above average global sea ice extent losses, and Global extent back to 6th lowest from 8th lowest.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,316,093 KM2 as at 26-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 205k, 138 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 67k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -0.87 million km2, 0.42 million km2, 32% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.29 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 14.3% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 78 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.60 million km2, 1.05 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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A complete change now for the last 3 days - Antarctic sea ice extent losses well above average, Arctic sea ice extent gains well below average and on this day a 4k extent loss - and the result is very very much above average global sea ice extent losses.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  24,146,541 KM2 as at 27-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 170k, 111 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 59k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.04 million km2, 0.31 million km2, 23% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.34 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 14.9% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 77 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.49 million km2, 0.94 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,966,783 KM2 as at 28-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 180k, 98 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 82k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.22 million km2, 0.21 million km2, 15% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.43 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 15.8% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 76 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.39 million km2, 0.84 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,899,670 KM2 as at 29-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 67k, 18 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 85k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.29 million km2, 0.23 million km2, 15% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.51 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 16.8% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 75 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.41 million km2, 0.86 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,866,221 KM2 as at 30-Nov-2020

- Extent loss on this day 33k, 48 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 81k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.32 million km2, 0.27 million km2, 17% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.59 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 17.7% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 74 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.46 million km2, 0.91 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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Once again it is low Antarctic sea ice losses that is slowing down progress to the minimum
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA Data - a bit more

I attach the November monthly average graph. At 24.80 million km2, it is 5th lowest in the satellite record and just a modest 64k km2 above the linear trend.

I also attach the plume of the projected 2021 minimum, and the 365 day trailing average graph - which is heading upwards.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,827,235 KM2 as at 01-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 39k, 73 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 112k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.36 million km2, 0.35 million km2, 20% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.70 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 18.9% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 73 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.53 million km2, 0.98 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,820,054 KM2 as at 02-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 7k, 106 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 113k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.37 million km2, 0.45 million km2, 25% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.82 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 20.2% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 72 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.64 million km2, 1.08 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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In the last 2 days while Antractic sea ice loss has been close to average, Arctic sea ice loss has been very high. Hence global sea ice extent loss almost down to zero.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,716,980 KM2 as at 03-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 103k, 21 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 124k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.47 million km2, 0.47 million km2, 24% less than the 10 year average loss of -1.94 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 21.6% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 71 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.66 million km2, 1.11 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,574,275 KM2 as at 04-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 143k, 10 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 133k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.61 million km2, 0.46 million km2, 22% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.08 million km2.
- Extent is at position #7 in the satellite record

On average 23.1% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 70 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.65 million km2, 1.10 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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Despite low Arctic sea ice gains in the last 2 days, continuing below average Antarctic sea ice losses have resulted in global sea ice extent going down one place to 7th lowest, 2012 up one place to 6th lowest.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,412,604 KM2 as at 05-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 162k, 47 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 115k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.77 million km2, 0.42 million km2, 19% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.19 million km2.
- Extent is at position #6 in the satellite record

On average 24.3% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 69 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.60 million km2, 1.05 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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And a higher than average extent loss puts 2020 sea ice extent back ito 6th lowest from 7th.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,366,577 KM2 as at 06-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 46k, 38 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 84k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.82 million km2, 0.46 million km2, 20% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.28 million km2.
- Extent is at position #7 in the satellite record

On average 25.3% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 68 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.64 million km2, 1.09 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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High Antarctic sea ice extent loss trumped by very high Arctic sea ice extent gain.
Now 2005 and 2006 have a lower extent on this day
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,294,403 KM2 as at 07-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 72k, 39 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 111k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -1.89 million km2, 0.49 million km2, 21% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.39 million km2.
- Extent is at position #7 in the satellite record

On average 26.5% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 67 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.68 million km2, 1.13 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  23,148,399 KM2 as at 08-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 146k, 8 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 138k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.04 million km2, 0.49 million km2, 19% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.52 million km2.
- Extent is at position #8 in the satellite record

On average 28.0% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 66 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.67 million km2, 1.12 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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Global sea ice extent slips down to 8th lowest in the satellite record on this day, 7th lowest now taken by 2009.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,961,643 KM2 as at 09-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 187k, 47 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 140k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.22 million km2, 0.44 million km2, 16% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.66 million km2.
- Extent is at position #7 in the satellite record

On average 29.6% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 65 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.62 million km2, 1.07 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,863,120 KM2 as at 10-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 99k, 56 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 155k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.32 million km2, 0.49 million km2, 18% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.82 million km2.
- Extent is at position #7 in the satellite record

On average 31.3% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 64 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.68 million km2, 1.13 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,780,626 KM2 as at 11-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 82k, 66 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 148k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.40 million km2, 0.56 million km2, 19% less than the 10 year average loss of -2.97 million km2.
- Extent is at position #8 in the satellite record

On average 32.9% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 63 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.74 million km2, 1.19 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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Despite that Arctic sea ice extent is 2nd lowest and could be lowest very soon, this is more than offset by below average Antarctic sea ice extent loss in this melting season. As a result Global sea ice extent is now 8th lowest for the years 2000 to date, but 1986 extent was also lower so Global sea ice is 9th lowest in the satellite record since 1979.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,481,307 KM2 as at 13-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 125k, 44 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 169k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.70 million km2, 0.58 million km2, 18% less than the 10 year average loss of -3.29 million km2.
- Extent is at position #8 in the satellite record of which no years were in the years before 2000

On average 36.5% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 61 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.76 million km2, 1.21 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,367,862 KM2 as at 14-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 113k, 32 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 145k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.82 million km2, 0.61 million km2, 18% less than the 10 year average loss of -3.43 million km2.
- Extent is at position #9 in the satellite record

On average 38.1% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 60 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.80 million km2, 1.24 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.

[Stephan]

Yesterday's values (11.22 in the Arctic, 11.00 M km² around Antartica) are four days behind in the Arctic compared to 2010s average, and two days behind around Antarctica. This sums up to 2 days (4 - 2 = 2).
These differences are larger when compared to earlier decadal averages:
            Arctic     Antarctica  sum
2000s    11 d        - 2 d           9 d
1990s    21 d        - 2 d         19 d
1980s    28 d        - 1 d         27 d

Interestingly the decadal averages of JAXA sea ice extent around Antarctica are almost identical (which means there is no significant trend at this time of the year)

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,217,307 KM2 as at 15-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 151k, 11 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 162k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -2.97 million km2, 0.62 million km2, 17% less than the 10 year average loss of -3.59 million km2.
- Extent is at position #11 in the satellite record of which  year(s) was in the years before 1996

On average 39.9% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 59 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.81 million km2, 1.26 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,029,068 KM2 as at 16-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 188k, 17 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 171k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -3.16 million km2, 0.61 million km2, 16% less than the 10 year average loss of -3.76 million km2.
- Extent is at position #11 in the satellite record

On average 41.8% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 58 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.79 million km2, 1.24 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,871,591 KM2 as at 17-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 157k, 78 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 235k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -3.31 million km2, 0.69 million km2, 17% less than the 10 year average loss of -4.00 million km2.

- Extent is at position #13 in the satellite record of which 1 year(s) was in the years before 1996

On average 44.4% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 57 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.87 million km2, 1.32 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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Low Antarctic sea ice loss and high Arctic sea ice gains sends extent from 8th to 13th lowest in the last 4 days
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,745,420 KM2 as at 18-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 126k, 70 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 196k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -3.44 million km2, 0.76 million km2, 18% less than the 10 year average loss of -4.20 million km2.

- Extent is at position #14 in the satellite record of which 2 year(s) were in the years before 1996

On average 46.6% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 56 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.94 million km2, 1.39 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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Very high Arctic sea ice extent gain sees extent down another place to 14th lowest.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[Stephan]

Only 0.276 M km² to go below the 2000s average.
The last time global sea ice extent was above that average was Dec 03, 2015, more than five years ago.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,586,132 KM2 as at 19-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 159k, 17 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 142k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -3.60 million km2, 0.74 million km2, 17% less than the 10 year average loss of -4.34 million km2.

- Extent is at position #14 in the satellite record of which 2 year(s) was in the years before 1996

On average 48.2% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 55 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.92 million km2, 1.37 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,452,197 KM2 as at 20-Dec-2020

- Extent loss on this day 134k, 56 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 190k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is -3.73 million km2, 0.79 million km2, 18% less than the 10 year average loss of -4.53 million km2.

- Extent is at position #13 in the satellite record of which 1 year(s) was in the years before 1996

On average 50.3% of sea ice loss  from maximum to minimum done, and 54 days to minimum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice loss (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in February 2021 of 16.98 million km2, 1.42 million km2 above the 2018 record low minimum of 15.55 million km2.
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N.B. Click an image once for full-size