Global sea ice area and extent data

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,367,105 KM2 as at 12-Jun-2022

- Area gain on this day 76k, 69 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 7k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.37 million km2, 0.57 million km2, 11.5% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.94 million km2.

- Area is 2th lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.01 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.13 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.44 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.29 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.72 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.94 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.42 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 84.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 144 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.28 million km2, 0.21 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Antarctic sea ice staging a recovery at the moment -
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,447,178 KM2 as at 13-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 86k, 35 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 51k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.31 million km2, 0.52 million km2, 7.6% less than the 10 year average gain of 6.83 million km2.

- Extent is 3nd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.42 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.15 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.66 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.05 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.55 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.67 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.08 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 77.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 143 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.40 million km2, 0.64 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,499,492 KM2 as at 14-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 52k, 15 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 67k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.37 million km2, 0.53 million km2, 7.7% less than the 10 year average gain of 6.90 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.46 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.15 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.70 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.05 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.59 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.72 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.08 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 78.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 142 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.38 million km2, 0.62 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,519,929 KM2 as at 15-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 20k, 49 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 69k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.39 million km2, 0.58 million km2, 8.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 6.97 million km2.

- Extent is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.53 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.20 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.74 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.03 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -0.59 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.75 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.09 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 79.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 141 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.33 million km2, 0.57 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,530,168 KM2 as at 16-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 10k, 31 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 41k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.40 million km2, 0.61 million km2, 8.7% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.01 million km2.

- Extent is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.61 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.23 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.76 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.11 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -0.60 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.73 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.10 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 79.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 140 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.30 million km2, 0.54 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,436,468 KM2 as at 16-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 36k, 14 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 22k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.44 million km2, 0.46 million km2, 9.4% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.91 million km2.

- Area is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.08 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.99 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.62 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.12 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.78 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.83 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.37 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 140 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.39 million km2, 0.31 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,526,907 KM2 as at 17-Jun-2022

- Extent loss on this day 3k, 36 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 33k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.39 million km2, 0.65 million km2, 9.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.04 million km2.

- Extent is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.70 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.28 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.78 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.12 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -0.58 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.70 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.17 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 80.2% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 139 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.27 million km2, 0.51 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,386,439 KM2 as at 17-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 50k, 29 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 21k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.39 million km2, 0.49 million km2, 10.1% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.88 million km2.

- Area is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.14 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.03 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.66 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.17 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.77 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.75 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.34 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 139 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.36 million km2, 0.28 million km2 above the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,311,090 KM2 as at 18-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 75k, 40 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 35k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.32 million km2, 0.53 million km2, 11.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.85 million km2.

- Area is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.26 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.09 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.73 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.21 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.73 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.67 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.27 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 138 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.32 million km2, 0.24 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,528,571 KM2 as at 19-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 8k, 15 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 23k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.40 million km2, 0.71 million km2, 10.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.11 million km2.

- Extent is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.80 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.35 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.87 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.08 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -0.71 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.76 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.21 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 80.9% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 137 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.20 million km2, 0.44 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,225,287 KM2 as at 19-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 86k, 57 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 29k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.23 million km2, 0.59 million km2, 12.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.82 million km2.

- Area is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.36 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.16 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.85 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.23 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.70 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.63 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.19 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 137 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.26 million km2, 0.19 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,496,808 KM2 as at 20-Jun-2022

- Extent loss on this day 32k, 73 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 41k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.36 million km2, 0.78 million km2, 11.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.15 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -2.88 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.41 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.92 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.09 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -0.84 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.85 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.30 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 136 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.13 million km2, 0.37 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Global sea ice extent the lowest in the 44 year satellite record for the first time this year.
This is entirely due to consistently low sea ice extent gains in the Antarctic.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,139,502 KM2 as at 20-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 86k, 58 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 28k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.15 million km2, 0.65 million km2, 13.5% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.79 million km2.

- Area is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.45 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.24 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.93 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.25 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.72 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.62 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.13 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.9% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 136 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.20 million km2, 0.13 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,409,194 KM2 as at 21-Jun-2022

- Extent loss on this day 88k, 143 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 55k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.28 million km2, 0.93 million km2, 12.9% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.20 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.03 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.53 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -1.02 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.16 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -1.02 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -1.03 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.38 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.0% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 135 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 23.99 million km2, 0.23 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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On this day a well above average Arctic sea ice loss and a very much below Antarctic sea ice gain combine to produce a global sea ice extent loss of 143k below the 10 year average gain.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,319,900 KM2 as at 22-Jun-2022

- Extent loss on this day 89k, 107 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 18k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.19 million km2, 1.03 million km2, 14.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.22 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.18 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.65 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -1.15 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.27 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -1.12 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -1.14 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.46 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.2% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 134 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 23.88 million km2, 0.12 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,964,011 KM2 as at 22-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 81k, 70 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 11k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.97 million km2, 0.80 million km2, 16.7% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.77 million km2.

- Area is lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.67 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.40 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  1.03 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.35 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.95 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.82 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.15 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 134 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.05 million km2, 0.02 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,373,400 KM2 as at 23-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 54k, 27 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 27k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.24 million km2, 1.01 million km2, 13.9% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.25 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.16 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.62 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -1.10 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.31 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -1.11 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -1.15 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.39 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.5% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 133 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 23.91 million km2, 0.15 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,902,744 KM2 as at 23-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 61k, 61 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 0k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.91 million km2, 0.86 million km2, 18.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.77 million km2.

- Area is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.73 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.45 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  1.04 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.10 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.95 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.21 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 133 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 18.99 million km2, 0.08 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,391,974 KM2 as at 24-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 19k, 9 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 10k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.26 million km2, 1.00 million km2, 13.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.26 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.20 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.60 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -1.04 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.35 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -1.11 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -1.10 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.43 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 132 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 23.92 million km2, 0.15 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,853,493 KM2 as at 24-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 49k, 47 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 2k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.86 million km2, 0.90 million km2, 19.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.76 million km2.

- Area is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.78 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.48 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  1.01 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.39 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.25 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  1.03 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.32 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 132 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 18.94 million km2, 0.13 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,468,671 KM2 as at 25-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 77k, 50 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 27k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.34 million km2, 0.95 million km2, 13.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.28 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.17 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.54 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.95 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.29 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -1.08 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.98 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.44 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.9% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 131 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 23.97 million km2, 0.20 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,833,642 KM2 as at 25-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 20k, 14 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 6k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.84 million km2, 0.92 million km2, 19.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.76 million km2.

- Area is lowest in the satellite record

- Area is  2.78 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.49 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.93 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.32 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.34 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  1.06 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.42 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 131 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 18.93 million km2, 0.14 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,552,537 KM2 as at 26-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 84k, 42 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 42k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.42 million km2, 0.91 million km2, 12.4% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.33 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.14 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.48 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.94 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.16 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -1.06 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.92 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.43 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 130 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.01 million km2, 0.25 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,819,098 KM2 as at 26-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 15k, 9 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 6k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.83 million km2, 0.93 million km2, 19.5% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.75 million km2.

- AREA is 1st lowest in the 44 year satellite record which is for the 16th day this year

- Area is  2.78 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.49 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.88 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.25 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.39 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  1.03 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.51 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.2% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 130 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 18.92 million km2, 0.15 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,633,105 KM2 as at 27-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 81k, 83 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 2k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.50 million km2, 0.82 million km2, 11.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.32 million km2.

- Extent is 1st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.13 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.39 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.89 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  -0.03 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Extent is  -0.98 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.90 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.34 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 129 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.09 million km2, 0.33 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,780,311 KM2 as at 27-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 39k, 30 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 9k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.79 million km2, 0.96 million km2, 20.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.74 million km2.

- AREA is 1st lowest in the 44 year satellite record which is for the 17th day this year

- Area is  2.80 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.50 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.88 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.24 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.42 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  1.03 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.62 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.0% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 129 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 18.89 million km2, 0.18 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,680,976 KM2 as at 28-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 48k, 41 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 7k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.55 million km2, 0.78 million km2, 10.7% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.33 million km2.

- Extent is 2st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.34 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.89 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.03 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.95 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.89 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.27 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.5% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 128 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.13 million km2, 0.37 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
In recent days some higher than average Antarctic sea ice gains and low Arctic sea ice losses slips total Global extent back to 2nd lowest in the satellite record. The Global sea ice AREA graph may show something rather different.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,762,535 KM2 as at 28-Jun-2022

- Area loss on this day 18k, 11 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 7k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.77 million km2, 0.97 million km2, 20.5% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.74 million km2.

- AREA is 1st lowest in the 44 year satellite record which is for the 18th day this year

- Area is  2.78 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.50 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.87 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.25 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.44 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.99 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.69 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 80.9% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 128 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 18.88 million km2, 0.19 million km2 below  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,693,059 KM2 as at 29-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 12k, 30 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 18k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.56 million km2, 0.75 million km2, 10.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.31 million km2.

- Extent is 2nd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.20 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.33 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.89 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.99 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.80 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.21 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 127 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.16 million km2, 0.40 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,752,790 KM2 as at 30-Jun-2022

- Extent gain on this day 60k, 80 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 20k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.62 million km2, 0.67 million km2, 9.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.29 million km2.

- Extent is 2st lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.18 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.27 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.86 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.09 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.99 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.65 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.13 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.0% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 126 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.24 million km2, 0.48 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
The average date in the last 10 years of the "false" maximum is 28th June - with low arctic sea ice extent gains and high Antarctic sea ice extent gains this false maximum is delayed this year
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

from JAXA Data - a bit more

In June, Antarctic daily sea ice gains were mostly below average, but above in the last week. This can be seen in the 7-day trailing average daily change graph

The June Monthly Average graph and rankings table  The June 22 monthly average at 22.42 million km2 is the 2nd lowest in the 44 year satellite record, and 0.87 million km2 below the long-term linear trend. June 21, which at 23.55 million km2 and 8th lowest in the satellite record, was 1.14 million km2 more than the June 22 average.

The 365 day trailing average this month has been consistently well below that of June 21, meaning the average decreased during the month by 91k km2.

[gerontocrat]

And here is the 365 day trailing average graph showing Arctic & Antarctic seperately

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,806,715 KM2 as at 01-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 54k, 60 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 6k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.67 million km2, 0.61 million km2, 8.4% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.29 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.16 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.21 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.88 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.17 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.96 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.57 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.15 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 83.0% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 125 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.30 million km2, 0.54 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Very slow Arctic sea ice losses at the time daily losses are usually at the maximum, and a bit above average Antarctic sea ice gains are delaying the "false maximum".
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,835,694 KM2 as at 02-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 29k, 48 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 19k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.70 million km2, 0.57 million km2, 7.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.27 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.17 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.15 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.80 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.14 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.95 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.52 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.08 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 124 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.35 million km2, 0.59 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Very slow Arctic sea ice losses at the time daily losses are usually at the maximum are continuing to delay the "false maximum".
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,886,659 KM2 as at 03-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 51k, 67 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 16k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.75 million km2, 0.50 million km2, 6.9% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.25 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.09 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.66 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.16 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.87 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.50 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.95 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 123 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.42 million km2, 0.65 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Very slow Arctic sea ice losses at the time daily losses are usually at the maximum are continuing to delay the "false maximum".
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,927,745 KM2 as at 03-Jul-2022

- Area gain on this day 31k, 97 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 66k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.93 million km2, 0.65 million km2, 14.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.58 million km2.

- AREA is 1st lowest in the 44 year satellite record which is for the 23th day this year

- Area is  2.56 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.18 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.49 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.23 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.14 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.49 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.40 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 78.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 123 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.20 million km2, 0.13 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Recent slow Arctic sea ice loss has caused daily gains in Global sea ice and brought total sea ice area to the brink of losing 1st lowest position in the satellite record
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,852,422 KM2 as at 04-Jul-2022

- Extent loss on this day 34k, 46 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 12k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.72 million km2, 0.55 million km2, 7.5% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.26 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.20 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.13 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.68 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.14 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.98 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.57 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.96 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 122 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.37 million km2, 0.61 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Perhaps we will see global sea ice losses from now on as perhaps yesterday saw the "false maximum"?
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,824,991 KM2 as at 05-Jul-2022

- Extent loss on this day 27k, 29 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 2k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.69 million km2, 0.57 million km2, 7.9% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.27 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.23 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.16 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.73 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.14 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -1.04 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.58 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.96 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 121 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.34 million km2, 0.58 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,874,978 KM2 as at 05-Jul-2022

- Area loss on this day 40k, 15 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 55k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.88 million km2, 0.58 million km2, 13.1% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.47 million km2.

- AREA is 2nd lowest in the 44 year satellite record0

- Area is  2.60 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.12 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.36 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.22 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  1.02 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.40 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 76.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 121 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.26 million km2, 0.19 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[Stephan]

Perhaps we will see global sea ice losses from now on as perhaps yesterday saw the "false maximum"?

I analyzed the individual years (JAXA) to see whether the false maximum has already passed (June 3, 22.89 M km²) and grouped the decision into the several decades, counting the number of years in which the individual decision is applicable. The criteria are:
PASS: No further increase from June 06 onward
UNDECIDED: Increase of 0.00 to 0.06 M km² from June 06 onward
FAIL: An increase of more than 0.06 M km² from June 06 onward

Decade      Pass      Undecided    Fail
1979-89       3              2             6
1990-99       3              1             6
2000-09       1              4             5
2010-21       3              3             6
sum            10            10           23

From this statistics one should expect a false maximum in the (near) future.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,834,771 KM2 as at 06-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 10k, 10 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 0k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.70 million km2, 0.56 million km2, 7.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.27 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.23 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.16 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.85 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.04 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -1.02 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.43 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -1.00 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 120 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.35 million km2, 0.59 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,843,146 KM2 as at 06-Jul-2022

- Area loss on this day 32k, 1 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 33k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.85 million km2, 0.58 million km2, 13.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.43 million km2.

- AREA is 2nd lowest in the 44 year satellite record.

- Area is  2.62 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  1.11 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.23 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.96 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.43 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  1.40 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 75.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 120 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.26 million km2, 0.19 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,883,481 KM2 as at 07-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 49k, 61 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 12k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.75 million km2, 0.50 million km2, 7.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.26 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.18 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.10 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.88 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.05 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.98 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.27 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.97 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 119 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.41 million km2, 0.65 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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We are well past the average date of the false maximum but with low arctic sea ice loss and above average Antarctic sea ice gain it loks like this year this false maximum is likely to be late.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,890,631 KM2 as at 08-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 7k, 52 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 45k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.76 million km2, 0.45 million km2, 6.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.21 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.17 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.05 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.85 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.03 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.91 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.15 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.94 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 82.1% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 118 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.46 million km2, 0.70 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Below average Arctic sea ice loss and above average sea ice gain on this day delays the onset of the false maximum
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,873,464 KM2 as at 09-Jul-2022

- Extent loss on this day 17k, 13 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 30k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.74 million km2, 0.44 million km2, 6.1% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.18 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.19 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.05 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.86 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -1.04 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.16 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.83 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 117 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.47 million km2, 0.71 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year, after passing the  the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, sea ice extent then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached on the 7th July. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,904,787 KM2 as at 10-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 31k, 63 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 32k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.77 million km2, 0.38 million km2, 5.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.15 million km2.

- Extent is 3rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.17 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -1.00 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.85 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.07 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -1.04 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  -0.12 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Extent is  -0.72 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 81.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 116 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.54 million km2, 0.78 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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A high Antarctic sea ice gain on this day once again delays the onset of the false maximum
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,881,018 KM2 as at 10-Jul-2022

- Area gain on this day 67k, 97 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 30k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.89 million km2, 0.45 million km2, 10.4% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.34 million km2.

- AREA is 3nd lowest in the 44 year satellite record0

- Area is  2.46 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.97 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.59 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.13 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.72 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.36 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  0.96 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 74.1% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 116 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.40 million km2, 0.33 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
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High Antarctic sea ice gain and low Arctic sea ice loss on this day has sent Global sea ice into reverse gear. Daily area data on this day suggests this may well cintinue for a few days.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,999,548 KM2 as at 11-Jul-2022

- Extent gain on this day 95k, 139 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 44k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.87 million km2, 0.24 million km2, 3.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.10 million km2.

- Extent is 5rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.09 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -0.88 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.75 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.18 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.88 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  0.07 million km2 MORE than 2020
- Extent is  -0.55 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 80.9% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 115 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.68 million km2, 0.91 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #3 in the 44 year satellite record
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Once again, High Antarctic sea ice gain and low Arctic sea ice loss on this day has sent Global sea ice into reverse gear.
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,934,908 KM2 as at 11-Jul-2022

- Area gain on this day 54k, 99 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 45k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.94 million km2, 0.35 million km2, 8.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.29 million km2.

- AREA is 3nd lowest in the 44 year satellite record0

- Area is  2.34 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.89 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.54 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.04 million km2 LESS than 2017
- Area is  0.63 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.18 million km2 LESS than 2020
- Area is  0.79 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 73.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 115 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 19.50 million km2, 0.42 million km2 above  the 2016 record low sea ice area maximum of 19.07 million km at position #2 in the 44 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
This year (2022) the false maximum passed  very early on 22nd May instead of mid-June. From now average daily losses last until the false minimum in early September. Sea ice Area then makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November .

N.B. In 2016 the maximum  for the year was reached in mid-June. i.e. the November maximum was less than the “false” maximum.
___________________________________________________
Once again, High Antarctic sea ice gain and low Arctic sea ice loss on this day has sent Global sea ice into reverse gear.
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  22,966,902 KM2 as at 12-Jul-2022

- Extent loss on this day 33k, 2 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 31k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 6.83 million km2, 0.24 million km2, 3.4% less than the 10 year average gain of 7.07 million km2.

- Extent is 5rd lowest in the satellite record

- Extent is  -3.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  -0.90 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  -0.74 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.18 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  -0.93 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Extent is  0.08 million km2 MORE than 2020
- Extent is  -0.53 million km2 LESS than 2021

On average 80.5% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 114 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2022 of 24.68 million km2, 0.91 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and at position #3 in the 44 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge