Global sea ice area and extent data

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,719,165 KM2 as at 02-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 5k, which is 39 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 34k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.78 million km2, 0.13 million km2, 3.5% more than the 10 year average gain of 3.66 million km2.

- AREA is 10th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  0.98 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.50 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.09 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.61 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  1.07 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2022
- Area is  0.71 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 65% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 188 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.72 million km2, 2.10 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  20,679,553 KM2 as at 03-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 21k, which is 62 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 83k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 4.66 million km2, 0.09 million km2, 1.9% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.57 million km2.

- Extent is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.60 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.63 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.27 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.74 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.72 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.32 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.80 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.06 million km2 MORE than 2022
- Extent is  0.86 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 52.1% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 183.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.89 million km2, 1.12 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,723,576 KM2 as at 03-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 4k, which is 39 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 43k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.79 million km2, 0.09 million km2, 2.4% more than the 10 year average gain of 3.70 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.03 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.53 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.10 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.57 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  1.06 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.05 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.66 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 66% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 187 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.68 million km2, 2.06 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  20,688,366 KM2 as at 04-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 9k, which is 72 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 81k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 4.66 million km2, 0.02 million km2, 0.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.65 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.61 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.69 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.31 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.70 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.67 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.15 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.83 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.09 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 53.0% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 182.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.81 million km2, 1.05 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,707,920 KM2 as at 04-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 16k, which is 71 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 55k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.77 million km2, 0.02 million km2, 0.5% more than the 10 year average gain of 3.75 million km2.

- AREA is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.10 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.58 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.14 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.52 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  1.00 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.15 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.59 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 67% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 186 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.61 million km2, 2.00 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  20,758,338 KM2 as at 05-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 70k, which is 7 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 77k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 4.73 million km2, 0.01 million km2, 0.2% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.73 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.56 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.69 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.27 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.68 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.64 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.14 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.81 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.16 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.71 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 53.9% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 181.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.81 million km2, 1.04 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,705,112 KM2 as at 05-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 3k, which is 62 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 59k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.77 million km2, 0.04 million km2, 1.1% less than the 10 year average gain of 3.81 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.63 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.19 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.47 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.98 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.26 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.53 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 68% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 185 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.
The projected 2024 maximum is 19.55 million km2, 1.94 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  20,892,401 KM2 as at 06-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 134k, which is 68 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 66k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 4.87 million km2, 0.08 million km2, 1.6% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.79 million km2.

- Extent is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.50 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.62 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.18 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.65 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.29 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.13 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 54.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 180.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.87 million km2, 1.11 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,743,928 KM2 as at 06-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 39k, which is 26 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.81 million km2, 0.07 million km2, 1.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 3.88 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.16 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.64 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.20 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.42 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.99 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.32 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.51 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 69% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 184 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.53 million km2, 1.92 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,799,075 KM2 as at 07-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 55k, which is 15 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 70k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.86 million km2, 0.08 million km2, 2.1% less than the 10 year average gain of 3.95 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.14 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.65 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.19 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.39 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.99 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.51 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 70% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 183 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.52 million km2, 1.91 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,116,165 KM2 as at 08-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 120k, which is 85 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 35k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.09 million km2, 0.21 million km2, 4.2% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.89 million km2.

- Extent is 9th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.45 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.52 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.05 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.84 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.77 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.39 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.69 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.02 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.90 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 55.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 178.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 25.00 million km2, 1.24 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 7th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,844,453 KM2 as at 08-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 45k, which is 20 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.91 million km2, 0.10 million km2, 2.6% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.01 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.14 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.66 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.20 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.36 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.99 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.44 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.49 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 71% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 182 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.51 million km2, 1.89 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 3rd lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,202,495 KM2 as at 09-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 86k, which is 34 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 52k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.18 million km2, 0.24 million km2, 4.9% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.94 million km2.

- Extent is 9th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.44 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.49 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.15 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.85 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.83 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.40 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.67 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.01 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.94 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 56.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 177.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 25.04 million km2, 1.28 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 7th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,919,209 KM2 as at 09-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 75k, which is 18 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 57k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 3.98 million km2, 0.09 million km2, 2.1% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.07 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.12 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.63 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.17 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.36 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  1.01 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.42 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.49 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 72% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 181 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.53 million km2, 1.91 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,231,817 KM2 as at 10-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 29k, which is 1 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 30k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.21 million km2, 0.24 million km2, 4.8% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.97 million km2.

- Extent is 9th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.48 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.49 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.18 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.86 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.37 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.67 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.03 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.95 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 56.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 176.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 25.04 million km2, 1.28 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 7th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  17,978,309 KM2 as at 10-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 59k, which is 11 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 48k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.04 million km2, 0.07 million km2, 1.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.12 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.11 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.63 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.13 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.35 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  1.00 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.49 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 73% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 180 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.54 million km2, 1.93 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,202,648 KM2 as at 11-May-2024

- Extent loss on this day 29k, which is 73 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 44k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.18 million km2, 0.17 million km2, 3.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.01 million km2.

- Extent is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.59 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.56 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.12 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.61 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.77 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.20 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.73 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.05 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.84 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 57.1% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 175.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.96 million km2, 1.20 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,009,650 KM2 as at 11-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 31k, which is 1 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 32k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.07 million km2, 0.08 million km2, 1.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.15 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.13 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.65 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.08 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.34 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.93 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.35 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.47 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 74% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 179 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.54 million km2, 1.93 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,143,928 KM2 as at 12-May-2024

- Extent loss on this day 59k, which is 107 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 48k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.12 million km2, 0.06 million km2, 1.2% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.06 million km2.

- Extent is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.73 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.68 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.08 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.48 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.65 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.07 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.88 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.19 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.70 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 57.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 174.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.86 million km2, 1.10 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,025,898 KM2 as at 12-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 16k, which is 8 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 24k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.09 million km2, 0.08 million km2, 2.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.17 million km2.

- AREA is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.67 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.04 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.31 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.88 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.35 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.44 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 74% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 178 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June.  This year the false maximum is already well above the record low false maximum of 2023

From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.53 million km2, 1.92 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,143,325 KM2 as at 13-May-2024

- Extent loss on this day 1k, which is 72 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.12 million km2, 0.01 million km2, 0.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.13 million km2.

- Extent is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.81 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.07 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.43 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.46 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.02 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.94 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.28 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.65 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 58.5% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 173.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.79 million km2, 1.02 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,038,873 KM2 as at 13-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 13k, which is 9 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 22k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.10 million km2, 0.09 million km2, 2.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.20 million km2.

- AREA is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.19 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.70 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.03 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Area is  0.26 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.82 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.37 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.44 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 75% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 177 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.52 million km2, 1.91 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,216,784 KM2 as at 14-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 73k, which is 25 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 48k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.19 million km2, 0.01 million km2, 0.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.18 million km2.

- Extent is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.76 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.10 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.40 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.45 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.06 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.95 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.27 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.72 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 59.0% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 172.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.81 million km2, 1.05 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,067,501 KM2 as at 14-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 29k, which is 13 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 16k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.13 million km2, 0.08 million km2, 1.9% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.21 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.20 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.70 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.23 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.79 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.39 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.50 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 75% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 176 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June.  This year the false maximum is already well above the record low false maximum of 2023

From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.53 million km2, 1.92 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,329,557 KM2 as at 15-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 113k, which is 57 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 56k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.31 million km2, 0.07 million km2, 1.4% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.24 million km2.

- Extent is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.66 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.70 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.14 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.40 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.45 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.17 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.91 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.25 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.81 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 59.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 171.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.87 million km2, 1.11 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,333,759 KM2 as at 16-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 4k, which is 50 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 54k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.31 million km2, 0.02 million km2, 0.4% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.29 million km2.

- Extent is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.73 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.06 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.37 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.37 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.14 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.99 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.36 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.83 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 60.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 170.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.82 million km2, 1.06 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,134,007 KM2 as at 16-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 36k, which is 11 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 25k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.20 million km2, 0.06 million km2, 1.3% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.25 million km2.

- AREA is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.23 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.69 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.02 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.18 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.78 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.44 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.60 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 76% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 174 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.56 million km2, 1.95 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,380,233 KM2 as at 17-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 46k, which is 1 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 45k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.36 million km2, 0.02 million km2, 0.4% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.33 million km2.

- Extent is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.75 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.07 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.37 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.35 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.13 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.00 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.39 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.92 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 60.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 169.4 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.82 million km2, 1.06 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,190,911 KM2 as at 17-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 57k, which is 22 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 35k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.26 million km2, 0.03 million km2, 0.8% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.29 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.21 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.67 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.17 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.79 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.42 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.68 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 76% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 173 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.59 million km2, 1.98 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,406,532 KM2 as at 18-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 26k, which is 21 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 47k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.38 million km2, 0.00 million km2, 0.0% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.38 million km2.

- Extent is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.80 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.79 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.08 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.29 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.36 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  1.03 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.98 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.37 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.91 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 61.3% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 168 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.80 million km2, 1.04 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,270,302 KM2 as at 18-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 79k, which is 47 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 32k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.33 million km2, 0.01 million km2, 0.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.32 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.17 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.62 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.05 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.18 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.81 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.76 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 77% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 172 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.64 million km2, 2.03 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,359,689 KM2 as at 19-May-2024

- Extent loss on this day 47k, which is 112 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.34 million km2, 0.11 million km2, 2.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.45 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.93 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.90 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.01 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.15 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.21 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.92 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.09 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.46 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.77 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 62.1% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 167 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.69 million km2, 0.93 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,301,443 KM2 as at 19-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 31k, which is 6 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 37k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.37 million km2, 0.01 million km2, 0.2% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.36 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.19 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.62 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.06 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.15 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.80 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.38 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.74 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 77% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 171 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.64 million km2, 2.02 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,409,900 KM2 as at 20-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 50k, which is 0 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 50k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.39 million km2, 0.11 million km2, 2.0% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.50 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.92 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.89 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.04 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.14 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.17 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.94 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.04 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.46 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.75 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 62.6% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 166 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.69 million km2, 0.93 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,339,766 KM2 as at 20-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 38k, which is 5 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 33k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.40 million km2, 0.01 million km2, 0.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.39 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.18 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.61 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.07 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.12 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.78 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.39 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.73 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 78% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 170 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.65 million km2, 2.03 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,494,243 KM2 as at 21-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 84k, which is 19 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 65k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.47 million km2, 0.09 million km2, 1.6% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.56 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.88 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.87 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.04 million km2 LESS than 2016
- Extent is  0.21 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.15 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.94 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.00 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.43 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 63.4% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 165 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.71 million km2, 0.95 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,398,396 KM2 as at 21-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 59k, which is 24 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 35k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.46 million km2, 0.04 million km2, 0.8% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.43 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.58 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.12 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.11 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.78 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.36 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.74 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 79% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 169 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.67 million km2, 2.06 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,574,579 KM2 as at 22-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 80k, which is 10 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 70k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.55 million km2, 0.08 million km2, 1.4% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.63 million km2.

- Extent is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.86 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.86 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.28 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.12 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.87 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.96 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.39 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 64.2% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 164 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.72 million km2, 0.96 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,432,239 KM2 as at 22-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 34k, which is 17 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 17k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.50 million km2, 0.05 million km2, 1.2% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.44 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.15 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.57 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.17 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.10 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.75 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.31 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.70 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 79% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 168 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.69 million km2, 2.07 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,633,229 KM2 as at 23-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 59k, which is 12 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 47k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.61 million km2, 0.07 million km2, 1.2% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.68 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.88 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.87 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.07 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.30 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.21 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.79 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  0.95 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.30 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 64.7% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 163 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.73 million km2, 0.97 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,441,433 KM2 as at 23-May-2024

- Area gain on this day 9k, which is 6 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 3k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.51 million km2, 0.06 million km2, 1.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.45 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.17 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.59 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.20 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.10 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.70 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.23 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.67 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 79% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 167 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.69 million km2, 2.08 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,847,102 KM2 as at 26-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 91k, which is 56 k more than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 35k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.82 million km2, 0.05 million km2, 0.8% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.78 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.93 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.76 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.39 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.36 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.39 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.88 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.02 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.18 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  1.04 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 65.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 160 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.85 million km2, 1.08 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,455,488 KM2 as at 26-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 27k, which is 2 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 29k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.52 million km2, 0.13 million km2, 3.1% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.38 million km2.

- AREA is 9th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.27 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.62 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.28 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.19 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.65 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.12 million km2 MORE than 2022
- Area is  0.80 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 78% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 164 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.76 million km2, 2.15 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,875,560 KM2 as at 27-May-2024

- Extent gain on this day 28k, which is 8 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 36k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.85 million km2, 0.04 million km2, 0.7% more than the 10 year average gain of 5.81 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  1.96 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.78 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.33 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.36 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.34 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.92 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.06 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.16 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  1.09 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 66.2% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 159 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.84 million km2, 1.08 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,445,535 KM2 as at 27-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 16k, which is 4 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 20k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.51 million km2, 0.14 million km2, 3.3% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.37 million km2.

- AREA is 9th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.33 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.64 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.29 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.19 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.66 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.16 million km2 MORE than 2022
- Area is  0.92 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 78% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 163 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June.  2024 sea ice area is already above the 2023 record low false maximum.
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.77 million km2, 2.16 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

JAXA GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT:  21,855,999 KM2 as at 28-May-2024

- Extent loss on this day 20k, which is 69 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 49k,
- Extent gain from minimum on this date is 5.83 million km2, 0.03 million km2, 0.5% less than the 10 year average gain of 5.86 million km2.

- Extent is 6th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Extent is  2.04 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Extent is  0.87 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Extent is  0.32 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Extent is  0.26 million km2 MORE than 2017
- Extent is  0.19 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Extent is  0.89 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Extent is  1.10 million km2 LESS than 2021
- Extent is  0.22 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Extent is  0.99 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 66.8% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 158 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity. (Table JAXA-AA1)

Average remaining sea ice gain (of the last 10 years) would produce a maximum in November 2024 of 24.77 million km2, 1.01 million km2 above the record low of 23.76 million KM2 in 2016, and 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
___________________________________________________
In an average year sea ice reaches the false maximum in late June/ early July and the false minimum in early September, and then sea ice extent makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November
___________________________________________________
Click an image to enlarge

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,415,333 KM2 as at 28-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 30k, which is 23 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 7k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.48 million km2, 0.12 million km2, 2.8% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.36 million km2.

- AREA is 8th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.39 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.68 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.27 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.11 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.68 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.13 million km2 MORE than 2022
- Area is  1.00 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 77% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 162 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.75 million km2, 2.13 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,354,548 KM2 as at 29-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 61k, which is 60 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 1k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.42 million km2, 0.06 million km2, 1.4% more than the 10 year average gain of 4.36 million km2.

- AREA is 7th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.48 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.74 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.22 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.01 million km2 MORE than 2018
- Area is  0.67 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.03 million km2 MORE than 2022
- Area is  1.03 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 77% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 161 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
There is a possibility the false maximum was reached on the 25th May @ 18.48 million km2, which would be 3rd lowest in the 46 year satellite record, and very early.

From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.69 million km2, 2.08 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 5th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
_____________________________________
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,263,260 KM2 as at 30-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 91k, which is 101 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 10k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.33 million km2, 0.04 million km2, 0.9% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.37 million km2.

- AREA is 5th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.59 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.84 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.14 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.14 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.60 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.11 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.99 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 78% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 160 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
There is a high possibility the false maximum was reached on the 25th May @ 18.48 million km2, which would be 3rd lowest in the 46 year satellite record, and very early.

From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.60 million km2, 1.99 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 4th lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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[gerontocrat]

NSIDC 5 Day trailing Average -  GLOBAL SEA ICE AREA:  18,177,944 KM2 as at 31-May-2024

- Area loss on this day 85k, which is 121 k less than the average gain on this day (of the last 10 years) of 36k,
- Area gain from minimum on this date is 4.24 million km2, 0.16 million km2, 3.7% less than the 10 year average gain of 4.40 million km2.

- AREA is 5th lowest in the 45 year satellite record

- Area is  1.71 million km2 LESS than 1980's Average
- Area is  0.96 million km2 LESS than 2010's Average
- Area is  0.02 million km2 MORE than 2016
- Area is  0.32 million km2 LESS than 2018
- Area is  0.52 million km2 MORE than 2019
- Area is  0.24 million km2 LESS than 2022
- Area is  0.86 million km2 MORE than 2023

On average 78% of sea ice gain from minimum to maximum done, and 159 days to maximum

Projections of the Unknown Quantity.
_____________________________________________
The false maximum passes sometime between late May and late June. 
It is now probable that the false maximum was reached on the 25th May @ 18.48 million km2, which would be 3rd lowest in the 46 year satellite record, and very early.

From then average daily losses continue until the false minimum in early/mid September.
Sea ice Area then normally makes the final run to the maximum in late October /early November.

The projected 2024 maximum is 19.49 million km2, 1.88 more than the November 2016 record low maximum of 17.61 million km2, which would be 3rd lowest in the 46 year satellite record
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