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What will be the JAXA daily Arctic SIE rank on 31 December 2018?

1 or 2 (i.e., lowest or second lowest)
3 (6%)
2 or 3
11 (22%)
3 to 5
10 (20%)
4 to 7
16 (32%)
6 to 10
1 (2%)
8 to 14
4 (8%)
11 or more
5 (10%)

Total Members Voted: 49

Voting closed: December 06, 2018, 06:03:27 PM

Author Topic: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking  (Read 7530 times)

Tor Bejnar

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #50 on: January 01, 2019, 09:12:14 PM »
I started out with 3-5, then changed on the last day of changes to 4-7 because I was tired of being overly pessimistic about Arctic sea ice.  Oh well.
Arctic ice is healthy for children and other living things.

Neven

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #51 on: January 01, 2019, 11:37:36 PM »
I really expected it would end 4th, but 3-5 seems to have done the trick.  :)
Il faut comparer, comparer, comparer, et cultiver notre jardin

Klondike Kat

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #52 on: January 02, 2019, 03:11:28 AM »
I really expected it would end 4th, but 3-5 seems to have done the trick.  :)

As did I.  It was extremely close with 2010.

Pmt111500

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #53 on: January 02, 2019, 07:00:01 AM »
Ah, just missed the correct slot by one day. Let's see if the Arctic drops back to 2nd place today.
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BeeKnees

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #54 on: January 02, 2019, 08:45:06 AM »
I went for 3-5.  Beginners luck I guess.

Paddy

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #55 on: January 02, 2019, 09:09:51 AM »
I was torn between 3-5 and 4-7, and ulyimstely wrnt for the latter, partly since the former is relatively narrow in  numerical terms (greater than 12.10 and less than 12.34, vs greater than 12.19 and less than 12.47). Honestly, though, I'd not be too surprised by anything between 11.9 and 12.6.

Ah, regrets. So it goes.

be cause

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #56 on: January 02, 2019, 12:15:09 PM »
I stuck with 2-3 from the start .. my faith was rewarded .. starting the New Year on a high .. and under one .. 1044mb atm .. Happy New Year to all who post or follow .. b.c.
2007 + 5 = 2012 + 4 = 2016 + 3 = 2019 ...

Klondike Kat

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #57 on: January 02, 2019, 03:33:36 PM »
Just to show how close they were, recent JAXA data is now 5th lowest.

Stephan

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #58 on: January 02, 2019, 05:41:58 PM »
Also I missed the correct bin by one day because I voted for 4-7th.
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Brigantine

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Re: Poll: year-end JAXA extent ranking
« Reply #59 on: January 03, 2019, 11:21:41 PM »
I guessed 12.15, (2nd or 3rd place), and the end result was 12.16.

I considerably under-estimated the Pacific ice, and considerably over-estimated the Atlantic ice. The errors cancelled each other out ;D

Happy New Year everyone!