What glitch ? - Both NSIDC and JAXA extent loss slowed a lot for the week before two days ago, and JAXA extent loss increased a bit on the 14th and rose above average on the 15th.
Independent data sets, different technology and different algorithms.
NSIDC area loss (5 day average) also accelerated on the 14th and 15th.
The data is consistent across all the measures.
Statements without evidence are not very helpful.
most theories that were later proven correct lacked evidence initially.
IMO those data were incorrect, it could be seen with naked eyes.
some believe in formulas even though they are based on past conditions that do not apply anymore.
the same is the reason why we have to work so hard to convince people to change their life style, it was working in the past and there is no evidence how exactly future will deal with certain changes, so we can lean back and live in the past until it's too late.
that said i have no problem with different points of view but will certainly keep mine until proven otherwise, thinking out of the box with an open ear for different opinions has often proven to be a good thing.
if i write IMO it means "in my opinion" and opinions are free and only i know my quota of ultimately having had the feel. perhaps it's poor perhaps it's close to 100% LOL.
thanks however for all the great contributions, my full respect and appreciation for sure.
EDIT: someone, i think it was WIP, even posted one possible explanation for possible flaws in algorithms leading possibly to errors (misinterpretation of readings)
i for one often think (without evidence) that we should perhaps start to pay more attention to water vapor and clouds as possible causes for spikes and throughs in the graphs. just an idea, really dunno and cant' prove anything but here i paste my reasoning, posted earler this week in the melting season thread:
a) almost the entire arctic is(was) around or above zero,
(hence no refreeze is possible)b) parts of the ice cover are/was hit with temps way above melting temps and in places above 30C
.
(and more widely spread between 20 and 25C)c) ice is thin and mobile and the winter was warm
d) there have been extraordinarily strong winds recently and rain throwing water on the surface,
. (lowering albedo significantly)the logics tell us that there has definitely been significant melt in some places but there has
certainly not been any refreeze because temps were far away from freezing point for see-ice.
the result is that there must have been a reduction in ice over all, melt versus no freeeze.
the charts/numbers were showing more or less the same like the day before and the above considered that's not possible without good explanation that evades me.
in the wake of this i believe that the numbers were wrong, without knowing how much, but if they were wrong they can as well be significantly wrong and sooner or later, once the reason for the glitch has gone aways, there would be a correction, this is what apparently is happening now.
no, this is not a proof, but it's also not totally of, not enough off to say it's useless to think about it and consider the possibility for errors of the kind WIP mentioned and/or others.