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Iceismylife

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2018 melt season
« on: February 10, 2018, 09:04:49 PM »
Has it started yet?

Ninebelowzero

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Re: 2018 melt season
« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2018, 09:15:43 PM »
< checks rear view mirror, clenches steering wheel then settles down to another 3 hours on the motorway. :)

Gray-Wolf

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Re: 2018 melt season
« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2018, 09:48:29 PM »
Well it's getting closer?

Soooo, hows it gonna pan out? Are there patterns we've not put together yet?

Well 07' was on the downslide to solar min? 2010's record low volume was in solar min and 2012 was just past solar min then.....Nix, nada, nil

Could the propensity to northern blocking over solar min be tied in with 'perfect melt storm' type synoptics?

We were told , back in oct 07', that we see a perfect melt storm every 10 to 20 years with the two prior to 07' seeing 10 year gaps?

normal Solar cycles are around 11 years from start to finish?

These last few years we have seen low melt ponding and this impacts the losses later on/

If low solar drives high latitude high pressure then we might expect cloudless skies under that H.P.?

Low cloud might mean high solar and so high melt ponding?

The current move to a sudden stratospheric warming is another way to see high lat. 'blocking' so  might we expect a calm , sunny start to this melt season?

We have not seen a high momentum early melt season in a while have we?

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Dharma Rupa

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Re: 2018 melt season
« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2018, 10:47:41 PM »
Has it started yet?

History says no, but I bet yes.

Pmt111500

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Re: 2018 melt season
« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2018, 11:10:06 PM »
Last year 2017 I was quite strongly in the belief we'd have a new absolute minimum in the amount of Arctic Sea Ice, in all measures. But instead, 2017 had an early melt in the Southern Ocean. Thus, no idea what happens on the Arctic during summer 2018. At least not yet. Hoping the NA drift is strong enough to keep the Greenland freezing temperatures out of Southern Finland better than last three years.
Cooling the outside by heat pump.

Neven

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Re: 2018 melt season
« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2018, 11:23:21 PM »
Has it started yet?

Probably not, hold yer horses.  :)
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