this morning when i was looking at :
https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extenti first was annoyed but then had to laugh loudly because it's a good day as far as once again the value of extent numbers at this time of the year has been negatively proven:
a) almost the entire arctic is aroun or above zero
b) parts of the ice cover are hit with temps way above melting temps and in places above 30C
c) ice is thin and mobile and the winter was warm
d) there have been extraordinarily strong winds recently and rain throwing water on the surface.
and now the models want to make us believe that zero ice has been melting yesterday ?
a big joke is the only non-offensive word that comes to my mind, and no wonder that some
question the expenses (i'm not but some are) it's similarly ridiculous like the millions of euros expensive weather forecasts in times when skies are neither blue or overcast and it's not that easy

this is probably due to the 15% threshold which each year causes issues, perhaps we better start to count only zero or close to zero ice agains non-totally ice free to avoid such ups and downs, both often not justified.
where does the 15% threshold come from, is it arbitrary or does it have a solid foundation?
the above mentioned measuring of blue against white or anything that is not totally blue/black i mean seriously being an alternative to those complicated and at times contradictory algorithms that fail over and over again and each failure is feeding deniers who can point at such ridiculous numbers to "QUASI" make their point and cut funding.
i'm sure that some won't like this but this is my opinion and it's about seeking maximum accuracy and clarity as opposed to complicated and well paid models that so often can't keep up with their promises.
those who have another opinion are welcome to tell me why, i'm listening, this is not meant to be the only valid opinion, hence convince me where i'm wrong in your opinion but with reason, not with bias or trouble to get out of the comfort zone

finally it is a miracle that they (the models) don't try to tell us that there was more freezing than melt LOL
