you're posts are very close to be trollish IMO and sooner or later others will stumble upon and recognize it.
There is a troll in this thread, but you called out the wrong person. The real troll is much more savvy than DanielB ever was, and he is very good at getting people to fight over nonsense.
The real shame in this is that long time experts are not posting this year, presumably because of all the nonsense, and this year is an extremely interesting season of melting.
The Atlantic front has moved farther north, and stayed there for longer, than at anytime ever in the satellite record. The Beaufort gyre has clearly slowed, and possibly reversed, which might mark the first reversal since before the 2007 crash.
These are very important issues that could mark a profound change in the ocean currents that could lead at sometime in the future to an ice free CAB.
When, or if, that might happen is anyone's guess. However, as A-Team remarked earlier this melt season, the time of peak solar activity does not overlap well with the time of minimum ice.
Therefore, it is safe to say that an ice free arctic would have to be caused by more than just sunshine. If the lower amounts of ice that we are seeing now allow warmer and more salty water to move deeper into the CAB, that could be a potential mechanism.
This thread is based upon speculation, and that is what we are all doing. No one knows when, or even if, the CAB will become ice free in winter.
But it is still an interesting topic to discuss. Just ignore the trolls, and respond to the posts that you think have merit.
If people stop attacking each other so much, it might prompt other people who have valuable things to say to get involved in the discussion.