NSIDC Total Area as at 8 August 2019 (5 day trailing average) 3,583,842 km2 The 7 day turnaround has stopped.
On this day area loss collapsed.
Total Area 3,583,842 km2 -506,255 km2 < 2010's average. -499,532 km2 < 2018 -1,323,315 km2 < 2000's average. Total Area Change -26 k loss Peripheral Seas -4 k loss Central Seas__ -22 k loss Other Seas___ 0 k gain Peripheral Seas Bering _______ -0 k loss Baffin Bay____ -0 k loss Greenland____ -3 k loss Barents ______ -1 k loss CAB Seas Beaufort_____ -2 k loss CAA_________ -8 k loss East Siberian__ -20 k loss Central Arctic_ 7 k gain Kara_________ 1 k gain Laptev_______ 3 k gain Chukchi______ -2 k loss Other Seas Okhotsk______ 0 k gain St Lawrence___ - k loss Hudson Bay___ 0 k gain
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Area loss 26 k, 27 k LESS than the 2010's average area loss of 53 k on this day.
- Total area
2nd Lowest, 152 k LESS than 2016, and 248 k MORE than 2012.
OutlookWe are now in the period of reducing daily area loss that that will slide to zero by mid-September.
On this day area loss average, much less than 2016 and much less than 2012 on this day.
Of note is:
- Most of the seven seas of the High Arctic are losing seas ice area at well below average daily rates or even gaining area.
- The Chukchi & Beaufort seas area loss have slowed to a crawl,
- The ESS is still losing area at a good clip,,
- The CAA should still be really warm all this week again - and some rain. Also high daily melt.
- No or little Fram export - but Greenland area loss slowed.
- The CAB gained area and thus is even more above the 2010's average .
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Area continues 'twixt 2012 and 2016 but this slow loss if continued could change things quickly.
NSIDC daily extent loss was a measly 2k on this day.
GFS weather forecast suggests a change
may be on its way to give area loss a fillip.
Maybe this collapse in loss is temporary.