NSIDC Total Area as at 9 August 2019 (5 day trailing average) 3,570,381 km2 The 7 day turnaround has stopped.
On 8 August area loss collapsed.
On this day area loss collapsed even more.
Total Area
3,570,381 km2
-463,667 km2 < 2010's average.
-468,455 km2 < 2018
-1,289,749 km2 < 2000's average.
Total Area Change -13 k loss
Peripheral Seas -2 k loss
Central Seas__ -12 k loss
Other Seas___ 1 k gain
Peripheral Seas
Bering _______ -0 k loss
Baffin Bay____ -0 k loss
Greenland____ -1 k loss
Barents ______ -0 k loss
CAB Seas
Beaufort_____ -3 k loss
CAA_________ -6 k loss
East Siberian__ -22 k loss
Central Arctic_ 22 k gain
Kara_________ -1 k loss
Laptev_______ 0 k gain
Chukchi______ -3 k loss
Other Seas
Okhotsk______ -0 k loss
St Lawrence___ - k loss
Hudson Bay___ 1 k gain
|
-
Area loss 13 k, 39 k LESS than the 2010's average area loss of 52 k on this day.- Total area
2nd Lowest, 102 k LESS than 2016, and 327 k MORE than 2012.
Of note is:
- Most of the seven seas of the High Arctic are losing seas ice area at well below average daily rates or even gaining area.
- The Chukchi & Beaufort seas area loss have slowed to a crawl,
- The ESS is still losing area at a good clip,,
- The CAA should still be really warm all this week again - and some rain. Also high daily melt.
- No or little Fram export - but Greenland area loss slowed.
- The CAB gained area strongly and thus is even more above the 2010's average .
OutlookWe are now in the period of reducing daily area loss that that will slide to zero by mid-September.
On these last 2 days area extremely below average, much less than 2016 and much less than 2012.
________________________________________________________________________
Area continues 'twixt 2012 and 2016 but this so slow loss if continued could change things quickly.
BUT...
NSIDC daily extent loss was a healthy 131k on this day.
JAXA extent loss was well above average,
GFS weather forecast suggests a change
may be on its way to give area loss a fillip.
Maybe this collapse in loss is temporary, maybe not.
