2019 sea ice area and extent data

[gerontocrat]

Ice extent in two seas, not really part of the Arctic ocean, has maxed out at greater than 1980's average extent.

[RoxTheGeologist]

The eastern seaboard of both Asia and North America have been particularly strong ice growth this season. The peripheral seas have increased ice while the Bering and Barents are still below long term averages (though the Barents sea is catching up).

Perhaps its due to increased incursions of air from the Pacific and Atlantic disrupting the polar vortex and pushing cold air South and East over the continents; WACCy? It's hard to draw any conclusions from one season. In my naive understanding of fluid dynamics, its almost as if the mixing has been intensified, that there is more energy pushing the cold and warm air masses around.

Trading transitory ice in the south for thinner ice with lower extent further north will do little for preserving the summer ice over the Arctic. It might be, however,  that increased ice in the south will reduce the isolation for the planet on a year to year basis, and provide a negative feedback.

[Juan C. García]

Hang on - the max so far is 14,194,560. Surely it needs 101,100 k or so, not 27k?

Sorry, my mistake. 

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

March 8^th, 2019:
     14,117,749 km², an increase of 24,265 km².
     2019 is now 9^th lowest on record.
     It needs an increase of 76,812 km² to reach a new max.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,117,749 km2（March 8, 2019）

Through (justifiable?) obstinacy the data below assume the maximum has not yet occurred...
- Extent now just 77k less than current maximum on 22 Feb,
- Extent GAIN 24k, 44 k more than the average LOSS of 20k on this day.
- Extent is 9th lowest in the satellite record,
- Freezing to date from minimum is 73 k (0.7%) less than the 10 year average extent gain,
- On average (last 10 years) 97.7 % of the increase in extent from min to max is done.
- On average (last 10 years) 3 days to maximum (11th March)

The Perils of Projections.
Remaining ice gain in 3 out of the previous 10 years still gives a resulting maximum of MORE than 14.195 million km2 . i.e. Extent at 14.195 million km2 on the 22nd February is merely possibly the 2019 maximum. It is the time of year when daily extent gains and losses could cause the maximum to remain uncertain until the end of March.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will reduce from +2.5 to +0 degrees over the next 3 days or so, then in the range  -1 to +1 to day 10, with the Pacific side  and Baffin bay tending to warmth and the Atlantic front and the Okhotsk tending to cold.

I still wonder if the cold on the Atlantic Front will be sufficient to allow significant ice gain to make a new maximum, given the lateness in the freezing season.

Still not a day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 8 March 2019 (5 day trailing average) 12,835,175 km2

Total Area           12,835,175    km2       -49,662    km2   <   2010's average.  585,350    k   >   2018 -575,385    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    19    k   gain Peripheral Seas    5    k   gain Central Seas__    15    k   gain Other Seas___   -1    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    1    k   gain Baffin  Bay____    5    k   gain Greenland____    6    k   gain Barents ______   -7    k   loss           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____    6    k   gain CAA_________    3    k   gain East Siberian__    5    k   gain Central Arctic_   -1    k   loss           Kara_________   -1    k   loss Laptev_______    1    k   gain Chukchi______    2    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -1    k   loss St Lawrence___   -1    k   loss Hudson Bay___    1    k   gain

Area GAIN 19 k, 5 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 14 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will reduce from +2.5 to +0 degrees over the next 3 days or so, then in the range  -1 to +1 to day 10, with the Pacific side  and Baffin bay tending to warmth and the Atlantic front and the Okhotsk tending to cold.

I still wonder if the cold on the Atlantic Front will be sufficient to allow significant ice gain to make a new maximum, given the lateness in the freezing season.
_____________________________________________________________
ps: Daily NSIDC Extent up by 19k to 14.703 million KM2, and now only 32 k less than the current 2019 maximum of 14.735 million km2 on the 23 Feb..

Extent is still likely to dither up and down for some time..

[Juan C. García]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

March 9^th, 2019:
     14,150,474 km², an increase of 32,725 km².
     2019 is now 8^th lowest on record.
     It needs an increase of 44,087 km² to reach a new max.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,150,474 km2（March 9, 2019）

Through (justifiable?) obstinacy the data below assume the maximum has not yet occurred...
- Extent now just 44k less than current maximum on 22 Feb,
- Extent GAIN 33k, 69 k more than the average LOSS of 36k on this day.
- Extent is 8th lowest in the satellite record,
- Freezing to date from minimum is 4 k (0.0%) less than the 10 year average extent gain,
- On average (last 10 years) 98 % of the increase in extent from min to max is done.
- On average (last 10 years) 2 days to maximum (11th March)

The Perils of Projections.
Remaining ice gain in 3  5 out of the previous 10 years still gives a resulting maximum of MORE than 14.195 million km2 . i.e. Extent at 14.195 million km2 on the 22nd February is merely possibly the 2019 maximum. It is the time of year when daily extent gains and losses could cause the maximum to remain uncertain until the end of March.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will reduce from +2.5 to +0 degrees over the next 3 days or so, then in the range  -1 to +1 to day 10, with the Pacific side  and Baffin bay tending to some warmth and the Atlantic front and the Okhotsk tending to cold.

I am obviously more confident the cold on the Atlantic Front will be sufficient to allow significant ice gain to make a new JAXA maximum extent, given lack of matching extreme warmth on the Pacific side.

Still not a day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?
[/quote]

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 9 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  12,854,701 km2

Total Area           12,854,701    km2       -34,784    km2   <   2010's average.  527,506    k   >   2018 -554,194    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    20    k   gain Peripheral Seas    5    k   gain Central Seas__    22    k   gain Other Seas___   -8    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    5    k   gain Baffin  Bay____   -1    k   loss Greenland____    7    k   gain Barents ______   -6    k   loss           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____    5    k   gain CAA_________    3    k   gain East Siberian__    5    k   gain Central Arctic_   -1    k   loss           Kara_________    2    k   gain Laptev_______    1    k   gain Chukchi______    7    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -1    k   loss St Lawrence___   -6    k   loss Hudson Bay___    0    k   gain

Area GAIN 20 k, 15 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 5 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will reduce from +2.5 to +0 degrees over the next 3 days or so, then in the range  -1 to +1 to day 10, with the Pacific side  and Baffin bay tending to some warmth and the Atlantic front and the Okhotsk tending to cold.


I no longer have to wonder if the cold on the Atlantic Front will be sufficient to allow significant ice gain to make a new NSIDC maximum extent. See below.
_____________________________________________________________
ps: Daily NSIDC Extent up by 38k to 14.740 million KM2, 5k greater than what was the current 2019 maximum of 14.735 million km2 on the 23 Feb..

Extent is still likely to dither up and down for some time..

[Juan C. García]

I am not able to access the ADS NIPR page. It sends me to twitter, but there is no message on twitter explaining what is happening. 
Maybe someone of you will access the data...

[Stephan]

I just experienced the same   
Hopefully JAXA data will be available soon...

[Jim Hunt]

I am not able to access the ADS NIPR page.

Me neither 

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2591.msg191699.html#new

[Neven]

And as usual, just when things get really exciting... 

[bbr2314]

I think daylight savings ruins all the charts. CCIN has gone blank as well. Who needs Y2K when the monkeys change the clocks twice a year anyways for no apparent reason.

[Jim Hunt]

No crow pie consumption for "Snow White" just yet:

https://forum.arctic-sea-ice.net/index.php/topic,2591.msg191710.html#msg191710

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 10 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  12,885,159 km2

Total Area           12,885,159    km2       -6,909    km2   <   2010's average.  487,268    k   >   2018 -524,865    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    30    k   gain Peripheral Seas    16    k   gain Central Seas__    19    k   gain Other Seas___   -5    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    8    k   gain Baffin  Bay____   -3    k   loss Greenland____    3    k   gain Barents ______    8    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____    1    k   gain CAA_________    1    k   gain East Siberian__    3    k   gain Central Arctic_    2    k   gain           Kara_________    2    k   gain Laptev_______    2    k   gain Chukchi______    8    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -1    k   loss St Lawrence___   -2    k   loss Hudson Bay___   -2    k   loss

Area GAIN 30 k, 27 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 3 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will reduce from +2.5 to +0 degrees over the next 3 days or so, then in the range  -1 to +1 to day 10, with the Pacific side  and Baffin bay tending to some warmth and the Atlantic front and the Okhotsk tending to cold.

I no longer have to wonder if the cold on the Atlantic Front will be sufficient to allow significant ice gain to make a new NSIDC maximum extent. See below.
_____________________________________________________________
ps: Daily NSIDC Extent
             09/03/19   14.743
            10/03/19   14.742
..

Extent is still likely to dither up and down for some time..

[gerontocrat]

I think daylight savings ruins all the charts. CCIN has gone blank as well. Who needs Y2K when the monkeys change the clocks twice a year anyways for no apparent reason.

Not in Japan
Daylight Saving Time (DST) Not Observed in Year 2019. Tokyo currently observes Japan Standard Time (JST) all year. The previous DST change in Tokyo was on September 8, 1951.
Daylight Saving Time Changes 2019 in Tokyo, Japan
https://www.timeanddate.com/time/change/japan/tokyo

ps : https://ccin.ca/ccw/snow/current is up and running Ok

pps:Daylight saving time 2019 in United Kingdom will begin at 01:00 on
Sunday, 31 March
and ends at 02:00 on
Sunday, 27 October
All times are in United Kingdom Time.

ppps: Daylight saving time 2019 in Canada & United States of America began at 02:00 on
Sunday, 10 March
and ends at 02:00 on
Sunday, 3 November
All times are in Eastern Time.

[Juan C. García]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

I was looking  to congratulate Neven today, for holding on the call of the max for the 2018-19 freezing season.
But on JAXA data, we will have to wait to be sure. 

[magnamentis]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

I was looking  to congratulate Neven today, for holding on the call of the max for the 2018-19 freezing season.
But on JAXA data, we will have to wait to be sure. 

yeah, winds blew a lot of ice through bering and there was no significant reduction elsewhere, hence we can assume that a new max has been reached yesterday or will be reached today.

curious to see the facts of course

however i consider my theory expressed in the "guess the max" thread as failed (proven wrong)

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 11 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  12,936,787 km2

Total Area           Total Area           12,936,787    km2        44,942    km2   >   2010's average.  477,206    k   >   2018 -466,718    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    52    k   gain Peripheral Seas    36    k   gain Central Seas__    12    k   gain Other Seas___    4    k   gain           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    11    k   gain Baffin  Bay____    5    k   gain Greenland____    4    k   gain Barents ______    16    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____   -1    k   loss CAA_________   -1    k   loss East Siberian__    1    k   gain Central Arctic_    4    k   gain           Kara_________    3    k   gain Laptev_______    1    k   gain Chukchi______    5    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______    3    k   gain St Lawrence___    3    k   gain Hudson Bay___   -3    k   loss

Area GAIN 52 k, 52 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 0 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will reduce from +1 to +0 degrees over the next 24 hours days or so, then in the range  -1 to +1 to day 10, with no real direction of travel except mostly a bit chilly.

I no longer have to wonder if the cold on the Atlantic Front will be sufficient to allow significant ice gain to make a new NSIDC maximum . All measures, area , extent, daily, 5 day averages, are at new maxima. Difficult to see JAXA data not on a similar path.

Extent is still likely to dither up and down for some time , and looking more like up than down...

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 12 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  12,992,156 km2

Total Area           12,992,156    km2        99,538    km2   >   2010's average.  478,661    k   >   2018 -396,654    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    55    k   gain Peripheral Seas    44    k   gain Central Seas__    9    k   gain Other Seas___    3    k   gain           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    14    k   gain Baffin  Bay____    3    k   gain Greenland____    3    k   gain Barents ______    24    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____   -1    k   loss CAA_________   -2    k   loss East Siberian__    0    k   gain Central Arctic_    4    k   gain           Kara_________    5    k   gain Laptev_______    0    k   gain Chukchi______    2    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______    4    k   gain St Lawrence___   -0    k   loss Hudson Bay___   -1    k   loss

Area GAIN 55 k, 54 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 1 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will vary from +2.5 to -1 degrees over the next 10 days, with no real direction of travel except mostly a bit chilly, especially on the Atlantic Front.

All measures, area , extent, daily & 5 day averages, are at new maxima. It is difficult to impossible to assume JAXA data is not on a similar path. Extent is still likely to dither up and down for some days, and looking more like up than down...

[arctic-watcher]

Is JAXA extent data still unavailable? 

[gerontocrat]

Is JAXA extent data still unavailable?

Yes.
Last tweet from NIPR ......

[zufall]

JAXA is available again! Extent at 14.22M on March 13.

[Neven]

Then crow it is. But I'll also have a piece of that pie, Jim (if you'll share it). 

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,150,474 km2（March 9, 2019）

Through (justifiable?) obstinacy the data below assume the maximum has not yet occurred...
- Extent now just 46k less than current maximum on 12 March,
- Extent loss 46k, 51 k more than the average gain of 5k on this day.
- Extent is 8th lowest in the satellite record,
- Freezing to date from minimum is 25 k (0.3%) more than the 10 year average extent gain,
- On average (last 10 years) it is 2 days after the maximum (11th March)

The Perils of Projections.
Remaining ice gain in 3  5 4  out of the previous 10 years still gives a resulting maximum of MORE than 14.271 million km2 . i.e. Extent at 14.271 million km2 on the 12th March is merely possibly(though more likely)  the 2019 maximum. It is the time of year when daily extent gains and losses could cause the maximum to remain uncertain until the end of March.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually from around -0.5 degrees to +3 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side.

Still not a day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?

Not all of us are eating crow pie, he said smugly.

[Juan C. García]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

New max on March 12^th: 14,271,121 km².
Congrats Neven! You were right holding up the max call! 
 
March 13^th, 2019:
     14,224,663 km², a drop of -46,458 km².
     2019 is 8^th lowest on record.

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 13 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  13,042,392 km2

Total Area           13,042,392    km2        141,851    km2   >   2010's average.  471,854    k   >   2018 -331,612    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    50    k   gain Peripheral Seas    48    k   gain Central Seas__    5    k   gain Other Seas___   -2    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    19    k   gain Baffin  Bay____    3    k   gain Greenland____   -0    k   loss Barents ______    26    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____   -0    k   loss CAA_________   -1    k   loss East Siberian__   -1    k   loss Central Arctic_    4    k   gain           Kara_________    4    k   gain Laptev_______   -1    k   loss Chukchi______    1    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -2    k   loss St Lawrence___    0    k   gain Hudson Bay___   -0    k   loss

Area GAIN 50 k, 42 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 8 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually from around -0.5 degrees to +3 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side. 

The data suggests that after 2 or 3 days further area gain, there is a genuine prospect of the melting season getting underway.

[Brigantine]

Previous maxima [JAXA extent, since 2005] in million square km: [re-ordered]
2019 is now the median

1. 2017: 13.88
2. 2018: 13.89
3. 2015: 13.94
4. 2016: 13.96
5.= 2006: 14.13
5.= 2011: 14.13
7. 2007: 14.21
8. 2019 to date: 14.27
mean: 14.31
9. 2005: 14.4
10. 2014: 14.45
11. 2013: 14.52
12. 2009: 14.66
13. 2010: 14.69
14. 2012: 14.71
15. 2008: 14.77

High: Barents, St. Lawrence, Okhotsk, CAB
Low: Bering, Baffin (specifically the Subpolar Gyre, per CIS anomaly charts)

[Feeltheburn]

NSIDC max for 2019 so far: 14,883,000 on March 11
JAXA max for 2019 so far: 14,271,121 on March 12

[Juan C. García]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

March 14^th, 2019:
     14,184,906 km², a drop of -39,757 km².
     2019 is 8^th lowest on record.

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,184,906 km2（March 14, 2019）

- Extent now 86k less than current maximum of 12 March,
- Extent loss 40k, 49 k more than the average gain of 9k on this day.
- Extent is 8th lowest in the satellite record,
- On average (last 10 years) it is 3 days after the maximum (11th March)

The Perils of Projections.
Remaining ice gain in 3  5 4  3 out of the previous 10 years still gives a resulting maximum of MORE than 14.271 million km2 . i.e. Extent at 14.271 million km2 on the 12th March is likely the 2019 maximum.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually from around -0.5 degrees to +1.5 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side.

Still not a day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 14 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)   13,090,986 km2

Total Area           13,090,986    km2        170,560    km2   >   2010's average.  469,005    k   >   2018 -266,814    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    49    k   gain Peripheral Seas    52    k   gain Central Seas__    0    k   gain Other Seas___   -3    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    17    k   gain Baffin  Bay____    7    k   gain Greenland____    3    k   gain Barents ______    25    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____   -0    k   loss CAA_________   -0    k   loss East Siberian__   -2    k   loss Central Arctic_    4    k   gain           Kara_________   -1    k   loss Laptev_______   -1    k   loss Chukchi______    1    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -6    k   loss St Lawrence___    1    k   gain Hudson Bay___    1    k   gain

Area GAIN 49 k, 29 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 20 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually change from around -0.5 degrees to +1.5 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side. 

The data suggests that after 2 or 3 days further area gain, there is a genuine prospect of the melting season getting underway.

[Juan C. García]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

March 15^th, 2019:
     14,148,530 km², a drop of -36,376 km².
     2019 is 8^th lowest on record.

P.S. 2012 is the 19th. lowest and is 518K km² above 2019...

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,148,530 km2（March 15, 2019）

- Extent now 123k less than current maximum of 12 March,
- Extent loss 36k, 61 k more than the average gain of 25k on this day.
- Extent is 8th lowest in the satellite record,
- On average (last 10 years) it is 4 days after the maximum (11th March)

The Perils of Projections.
Remaining ice gain in 3  5 4 3 only 1 out of the previous 10 years still gives a resulting maximum of MORE than 14.271 million km2 . i.e. Extent at 14.271 million km2 on the 12th March is very much probably the 2019 maximum.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually rise from around -0.5 degrees to +2.5 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side.

Is this the day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?

[psymmo7]

GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually from around -0.5 degrees to +2.5 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side.

There is a word missing: "rise" after "will gradually"

[Pmt111500]

Oh, now it should drop like a stone for me to be averagedly correct, I guess it'll be pie for me too. Last seasons apple jam and some dough to the oven or something like that.

[Jim Hunt]

Is this the day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?

Obviously I'm biased. Equally obviously the answer is yes!

TMMMV (The management's mileage may vary)

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 15 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  13,123,348 km2

Total Area           13,123,348    km2        184,917    km2   >   2010's average.  440,414    k   >   2018 -220,376    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss    32    k   gain Peripheral Seas    40    k   gain Central Seas__   -2    k   loss Other Seas___   -6    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    18    k   gain Baffin  Bay____    11    k   gain Greenland____    3    k   gain Barents ______    10    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____   -2    k   loss CAA_________    0    k   gain East Siberian__   -1    k   loss Central Arctic_    2    k   gain           Kara_________   -2    k   loss Laptev_______   -1    k   loss Chukchi______    2    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -6    k   loss St Lawrence___    2    k   gain Hudson Bay___   -2    k   loss

Area GAIN 32 k, 14 k more than the 2010's average GAIN of 18 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually change from around -0.5 degrees to +2.5 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side. 

The data suggests that after 2 or so days further area gain, there is a genuine prospect of the melting season getting underway.

[Juan C. García]

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

March 16^th, 2019:
     14,093,381 km², a drop of -55,149 km².
     2019 is now 7^th lowest on record.
     (2012 also highlighted)

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,093,381 km2（March 16, 2019）

- Extent now 178k less than current maximum of 12 March,
- Extent loss 55k, 66 k more than the average gain of 11k on this day.
- Extent is 7th lowest in the satellite record,
- On average (last 10 years) it is 5 days after the maximum (11th March)

The Perils of Projections.
Remaining ice gain in 3  5 4 3 1  zero out of the previous 10 years still gives a resulting maximum of MORE than 14.271 million km2 .

i.e. Extent at 14.271 million km2 on the 12th March is surely the 2019 maximum.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually rise from around -0.5 degrees to +2.5 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side.

Surely this is the day for Neven to make the 2019 Melting Season thread "sticky" ?
[/quote]

[kassy]

Juan & Ger thanks for reporting on this winter season.

And bonuspoints for zilching that huge +/- error....those things ´are doing me ´ead in´.

 

[Phil.]

Extent loss 55k, 66 k more than the average gain of 11k on this day.

I know what you mean but it seems a rather strange way to say it?
Perhaps Extent loss 55k, 66 k less than the average gain of 11k on this day, just a thought, thanks for your work in posting this data. 

[gerontocrat]

NSIDC Total Area as at 16 March 2019 (5 day trailing average)  13,113,396 km2

Total Area           13,113,396    km2        162,395    km2   >   2010's average.  371,029    k   >   2018 -220,565    k   <   2000's average.           Total gain/loss   -10    k   loss Peripheral Seas    15    k   gain Central Seas__    1    k   gain Other Seas___   -26    k   loss           Peripheral Seas          Bering _______    15    k   gain Baffin  Bay____   -1    k   loss Greenland____   -0    k   loss Barents ______    1    k   gain           CAB Seas          Beaufort_____   -1    k   loss CAA_________    1    k   gain East Siberian__   -1    k   loss Central Arctic_    1    k   gain           Kara_________   -4    k   loss Laptev_______   -1    k   loss Chukchi______    5    k   gain           Other Seas          Okhotsk______   -10    k   loss St Lawrence___   -11    k   loss Hudson Bay___   -5    k   loss

Area LOSS 10 k, 23 k less than the 2010's average GAIN of 13 k on this day.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will gradually change from around -0.5 degrees to +3 over the next 10 days, with the additional warmth mainly from the Pacific side. 

A surprising swift switch from area gain to area loss, entirely due to losses in the Okhotsk, St Lawrence and Hudson seas. From today posting will assume the melting season is getting underway.

[Stephan]

I think it is time to thank gerontocat and Juan for presenting up-to-date tables, statistics and information which were almost delivered daily (on some days Juan would have posted the data but he couldn't due to a JAXA timeout).
You two have contributed much valuable information. Please keep up your good work :-)

[oren]

I normally push the Like button as silent thanks, but I'll join the public thanking ceremony. JCG's and Ger's area/extent posts are the ones I first read whenever I get the chance.

[miki]

I normally push the Like button as silent thanks, but I'll join the public thanking ceremony. JCG's and Ger's area/extent posts are the ones I first read whenever I get the chance.

Same here. Thanks, guys. So much appreciated.

[Neven]

JAXA SIE total freeze for the 2018/2019 winter was 9,813,869 km2:

[Juan C. García]

Juan & Ger thanks for reporting on this winter season.

I'll join the public thanking ceremony. JCG's and Ger's area/extent posts are the ones I first read whenever I get the chance.

Thanks everyone! It really felt like a public thanking ceremony!   

[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.

March 17^th, 2019:
     14,017,283 km², a drop of -76,098 km².
     2019 is 7^th lowest on record.
     (2012 also highlighted)

[Rod]

I'm late to the ceremony, but thank you Juan and Gerontocrat!  I read your posts first thing every morning when I wake up.  Thank you for the work you do in providing the info!

[gerontocrat]

JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT : 14,017,283 km2（March 17, 2019

- Extent is 7th lowest in the satellite record,
- Extent loss on this day 76k, 61 k more than the average loss of 15k on this day.
- Extent loss from maximum 254k, 149 k (142%) greater than average of 105k,
- On average 1.1% of the melting season done, with 180 days to average date of minimum (13 September)

The Perils of Projections.
Average remaining melt would give a minimum of 4.24 million km2, 4th lowest in the satellite record.

Other Stuff
GFS indicates that overall the Arctic temperature anomaly will vary from -0 degrees to +2.5 over the next 10 days.