JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT :- 10,386,229 km2(June 7, 2019)
- Extent is 2nd lowest in the satellite record, 88 k > 2016, 97 k < 2018, 641 k < 2012.
- Extent loss on this day 51 k, 1 k less than the average loss on this day of 52 k.
- Extent loss from maximum 3,885 k, 425 k (12%) greater than the average of 3,460k loss from maximum by this day,
- On average 35.0% of the melting season done, with 98 days to average date of minimum (13 September).
The Perils of Projections.
Average remaining melt would give a minimum of 3.97 million km2, 2nd lowest in the satellite record, and 0.79 million km2 above the 2012 low of 3.18 million km2.
Looking at the last 5 years average remaining melt only gives a result of 4.17 million km2, 4th lowest, 0.99 million km2 above 2012.
Other Stuff
GFS shows temperature anomalies varying from +1.9 to +2.7. Positive anomalies spread over most of the Arctic. with extreme +ve anomalies in Eastern Siberia from Sunday onwards for one week, (and high +ve anomalies in the CAA in the last few days of the 10 day forecast period - reliability?).
In the next few days both 2018 and 2016 daily extent loss was very low, so an average 2019 daily loss would make 2019 the lowest extent again for the rest of June at least after this long period of being in 2nd place. From early July..... ? ? ?
So far average remaining melt data still points towards a 2nd lowest minimum well above 2012. However, only just over 1/3rd of the average melt in the season completed.