Semimonthly BOE evaluation
August 15th extent was 4,734,585 km^2. With on average just 29 days to go until the end of the melt season on September 13th, we now require a daily drop of -128,779 km^2 for a BOE to occur. (See Attachment 1).
Total extent loss thus far in August 2019 was -1,221,266 km^2. And total extent loss so far this season is -9,536,536 km^2. This has resulted in the current average daily drop of -61,132 km^2. If the month of August ended today, this would be the 2nd fastest rate of melt for the same period for the years 2007-2019. (See Attachment 2).
Additionally, if the melt season ended today, -61,132 km^2 would place 2019 as 1st out of 13 for the years 2007-2019.
Looking only at the month of August thus far, we have averaged -81,418 km^2 per day. If the month of August ended today, this average daily drop places August 2019 as 2nd out of 13 (2007-2019) in average daily August melt. (See Attachment 3).