So, the consensus is pretty much that a BOA is coming in this Century, but we don't know if it will be in 2019 or 2090, although the former is more likely, and that it will be bad, but not as bad as Sam Carana (one of the better science fiction writers on the Web, IMHO) thinks it will be? Is that about the size of it?
BTW, I meant that in a good way, as science fiction being a spectacular story based on scientific fact.