[ADS NIPR VISHOP (JAXA)] Arctic Sea Ice Extent.
July 8th, 2019:
8,135,012 km2, a century drop of -150,362 km2.
2019 is the lowest on record.
(2012 highlighted).
I remember about a month ago now maybe a couple guys from the sea ice area/extent thread called me out saying they didn't want my hyperbole mucking things up.
Uh huh.
One of them was me, not that I wanted to ban hyperbole. It's part of life's rich tapestry. Other people made a hoo-hah about it.
Since then, extent and area losses have been such that my prediction for a 2nd lowest JAXA daily extent minimum at or a bit below 4 million is looking a bit more likely. (In early June a minimum well above 4 million looked more like it).
Your own postings recently have suggested a moderation in extent and area loss in the immediate future.
The great questions remain:
- will the remainder of July and August build on the "melting momentum" suggested by Neven, or will it just fade away,
- will there be a GAC before September, and will it be huge, and will it impact sea ice ice as it did in 2012?
If yes, hyperbole wins and I slink away, tail firmly between legs.
If no, and the JAXA minimum is, say, a couple of hundred k below 4 million, hyperbole loses, and I tell everyone how marvellous I am.
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ps:
While JAXA daily extent loss accelerates, NSIDC 5 day average area daily loss gently declines.
A different story nearly every day.