It's way too late in the season to have an effect on the minimum of this year and where the weakest ice is, north of Laptev, it's quite calm now and it could be that most of the ice that's still around there will survive.
Looks quite calm around the edges of the ice pack 🤔
Exactly, quite means quite and not it's calm.
Wind speeds along the ice edge are around mid-twenties km/h, this is when i start to get my surfboard out or switch to a 6m2 sail coming from 7.5m2, nothing to fall in awe about.
The wind direction is "with the ice-edge" hence the wind and even more so the waves cannot attach the ice head on. Neither is the ice compacted nor is it dispersed and driven south for melting.
Air won't melt 500 extre K of ice at 0.5-2.5C, mostly below 1C.
Waves that develop are mostly running into open water, they are running the wrong angle.
Last but not least and even though the map you chose looks somehow impressive, wind-speeds at the periphery of that low are not THAT HIGH
Pressure is not that low, won't crack the ice by lifting it from the surface (just kidding)
At close to 500k above 2012 and with such kind of storms that dissipate over intact ice, land masses as well as narrow water channels won't be able to do the damage needed to make up for +400k.
If you follow the temps carefully one can see that temps are dropping significantly all around the arctic (inside arctic circle) and this means that storms soon will have to come up from the tropics to bring significant melting power to the ice "air-wise"
Bottom melt is probably at it's peak but we would have needed the ocean to be stirred up in serious with long stretches of steady strong winds and this is only the case on the atlantic side, exactly where thick ice will be met and no huge melting can be expected north of fram/greenland.
In short, this storm is too weak and has to wrong path to do the job as you will see for yourself withing 2-3 days.
That does NOT mean nor say that there won't be any more melt but it means and DOES say that we won't make up 500k withing 20 days if there won't be a real GAC with the correct path, best coming in from Sbiria to finish of the weak ice in Laptev and the small protrusion in ESS joint with the remainder in Beaufort and Parry Channel at least.
And BTW your slight condescension is misplaced. Even though my opinion is only an opinion is also and educated opinion from experience and by no way as ridiculous as you tried to make it sound.
The wind and temp map is from 18:00 UTC, that's less than 3 hours ago.