But my feeling is that a summer with a very ice-dispersive weather like 2016 will eventually melt most of it.
I think that if we want to get an idea as to what has to happen so that we can't dodge all the bullets anymore, i'd suggest to focus on the melting season of 2007.
2007 was a year when there was a lot of thick MYI, no comparable preconditioning the way we have it now and nevertheless we reached almost the same level of extent like this year.
IMO 2007 beats 2012 in the way that albeit 2012 was a perfect melt year of course, it followed 2007, 1010 and 2011 that have already damaged the ice in certain ways while 2007 did almost the same, starting with way healthier conditions overall.
I could imagine that 2007 has been one of the years with very high losses from max to min, while nowadays we start almost every season with relative low volume, area and extent.
In short, once the summer of 2007 shall repeat, we gonna see something new i'm sure.