^11 " the major consequence of increasing tidal action is greater recycling of Arctic waters south, if the flow of water south through Fram forces inflows from the Pacific then Beaufort will cycle anti[counter] clockwise and free up the channels of the CAA allowing the release of much of the freshwater lens. If the forcing is of Atlantic waters then these will cycle through to the ESS and a river of weak ice will move towards the pole from there, but this will induce more water from the Atlantic to flow south towards Banks is. again risking opening up the channels through the CAA."
^45 "the high has been pushing near surface waters through Fram fairly rapidly, the easiest route for flow is aligned with Amundsen basin and from the other side of Lomonosv between 140E-180 so a remote possibility of a +[near] pole hole. Come tuesday we should see Amundsen gulf begin to clear and that forcing in turn push the ice towards Chukchi, then any thick ice along the CAA sucked into Beaufort over the following days.
ATM the incoming AW looks like it'll head towards both Kara and Ellesmere"
The flow through CAA has begun.
In Baffin and Foxe basin the less saline result comes out at near -1.8c. once a flow is established it tends to persist, as Bruce pointed out the bouys in Beaufort indicate warming implying imo increased inflow from the Atlantic side.
So with cold water flowing into Baffin>Hudson expect a prolonged cold spell which'll probably extend down the east coast over time. With more 'high' tidal forcing onto/into Barents the 'low' tidal forcing has to draw more Arctic waters south this in turn must be replenished by the next high so unless some atmospheric forcing brings a halt to the process, the Atlantic penetration towards Banks will accelerate and with it the flow through to Baffin/Foxe. Implicit in this process is the loss of any thick ice 'resident' or arriving on/in the CAA coastchannels and an increasingly free c/wise rotation of the ice.
The Atlantic water flowing through Barents and onwards towards Chukchi finally slows and settles mainly in Makorov basin but Chukchi abyssal plain too, and from here a return flow moves in the direction of Fram, i think this flow caused the thinning near the pole around the 22nd and a similar but more pronounced thinning will occur around the 5th and subsequent thinning will occur on the 'Fram' side of the pole.
The smoothness of some of the coastlines of the channels through CAA suggest deep permafrost which will also suffer from erosion as the passing currents rises above 0c.
