Latest Five Day Forecast
Wind @ Surface + Total Precipitable Water
Well, it's happening. This storm has a new feeding ground on the pacific side and ends up in this forecast with food on both sides. If this pattern holds, I can see a lot of destruction to the ice. Winds will be persistent over the same piece of ocean. If they get any stronger, this storm will turn out to be a disaster for the ice. But again, this is a layman's opinion...
It also seems as if I was right that this cold air has gotten warmer than the models initially predicted. But I have no idea how to quantify this. It is just my perception.
To be continued...
PS: can we start calling this storm the 2020 GAC? Or is it still to small for that?
Edit: I just checked the long term forecast, and that's not looking good...