JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT 13,930,708 km2(February 14, 2020)Back to a sea ice extent gain.- Extent gain on this day 27 k, 27 k less than the average gain (of the last 10 years) of 54 k,
- Extent gain in this freezing season to date is 9,966 k, 558 k (5.9%) MORE than the average last 10 years gain to date of 9,409 k.
- Extent is 9th lowest in the satellite record,
- Extent is 384 k more than 2017
- Extent is 23 k LESS than 2019
- Extent is 120 k (0.8%) MORE than the 2010's average.
- on average 95.6% of extent gain for the the season done, 25 days on average to maximum.
We are into the period when on average daily extent gains are low but highly variable.
Projections.Average remaining extent gain in the last 10 years from this date produces a maximum of 14.36 million km2, above the lowest in the satellite record in March 2017 by 0.48 million km2.
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Freezing Outlook?
GFS says overall Arctic temperature anomalies increasing from +2.1 to +3.0 celsius over the next 5 days.
A messy picture, being the annual battle of the warmth from the rising sun fighting the bitter cold of the Arctic Ocean (as we are now 50+ days after the winter solstice).
Indeed so messy and so quickly changing that the best thing to do is to go to
https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/fcst/#gfs.arc-lea.t2anom and look for yourself.
This is the time of year when area and extent go up and down so much that I am just sitting back and watching with a coffee.
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