As people will be thinking about the July poll, I have
- wiped the cobwebs off the extent analysis in Jaxa format (below),
- produced some montly average graphs for your delectation (post after this ne).
NSIDC ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT: 8,957,284 KM2 as at 05-Jul-2020
- Extent loss on this day 157k, 41 k more than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 116k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 5,927 k, 500 k, (09.2%) more than the 10 year average of 5,427 k.
- Extent is at position #3 in the satellite record
- Extent is 58 k LESS than 2016,
- Extent is 77 k LESS than 2019,
- Extent is 64 k MORE than 2012,
- Extent is 328 k LESS than 2007.
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On average 53.4% of melting from maximum to minimum done, and 71 days to minimum
Projections. (Table NSIDC-EXTENT-Arc1)
Average remaining melt (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2020 of 4.22 million km2, 0.83 million km2 above the 2012 minimum of 3.39 million km2.
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Given that above average extent loss is guaranteed for the 6th July and probably for the 2 days after, extent will be #2 on the 6th (goodbye 2010), and might be #1 soon after.