JAXA ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT: 5,669,846 KM2 as at 02-Aug-2020
Below average extent loss for the 11th day in a row, but still lowest in the satellite record
- Extent loss on this day 48k, 23 k less than the average loss on this day (of the last 10 years) of 71k,
- Extent loss from maximum on this date is 8,778 k, 845 k, 10.7% more than the 10 year average of 7,933 k.
- Extent is at position #1 in the satellite record
- Extent is 183 k LESS than 2019,
- Extent is 531 k LESS than 2016,
- Extent is 364 k LESS than 2012
- Extent is 429 k LESS than 2007
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On average 79.7% of melting from maximum to minimum done, and 43 days to minimum
Projections. (Table JAXA-Arc1)
Average remaining melt (of the last 10 years) would produce a minimum in Sept 2020 of 3.65 million km2, 0.47 million km2 above the 2012 minimum of 3.18 million km2.
For a record low, remaining melt needs to be 23.5% or more above average.
For the 2020 minimum to be above the 2019 minimum of 3.96 million km2, remaining melt needs to be 15.3% or more below the previous 10 years average remaining melt.
In every year from 2007 to 2019, with the exception of 2009, remaining melt results in an extent below 3.96 million km2, which was the 2nd lowest extent of 2019.