Possibly tangential…. Over all, similarly to A-Team having followed this forum for 10 years, my sense, like his, is that most of the academics are behind the curve compared to the constant daily analysis and discussion being done here.
There are a few exceptions, but I think that’s generally the case, and in fact, observations made *in* these forums has been picked up and run with by researchers whom, once having been introduced to an idea, have picked up and run with it.
Now, generally I have no problem with this; it is in fact exactly the sort of thing we want to have happen. (Just cite people who’ve done stuff here when you use it please, OK?! It won’t detract from what you do, really!)
But, back to the Fram…
There seems a pretty direct relationship between volume and transport, particularly looking at transport as a trailing factor to volume.
It has practical immediate implications, especially at this stage in the refreeze, as what’s happening is “setting the table” for what happens after the impending max. The more (sadly, depressingly rare) MYI that gets kicked out the door, the more likely it is the remaining fraction will be too thin and too weak to avoid getting everlastingly scorched in June July and August.
I’ll get off my soap box now…