Happy New Year 2024 (and sorry for the forum being offline some hours) /DM
There has been no evidence of an outer eyewall from the aircraftreports or earlier radar imagery from Grand Cayman. As a result, some additional strengthening is likely to occur before Delta reaches the northeastern coast of the Yucatan peninsula latetonight or early Wednesday.
I wonder if they will retire the letter?
Paddy:Even if they did that, we would still have that mess this year, just with Alpha instead of Delta.
Hurricane Delta is a monster...4 or 5 when it strikes?
Forecasts show barely cat 3 before landfall but it can become worse.
Delta is strengthening. In satellite imagery, an eye is now seen in the cold cloud tops of the central dense overcast. On the aircraft side, just received reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft included 700-mb flight-level winds of 119 kt, SFMR winds estimates near 90 kt, and a central pressure of 959 mb inside a 30 n mi wide eye...Shear, sea surface temperature, and moisture conditions appear favorable for strengthening during the next 12 h or so, and based on this additional intensification is expected tonight. A short period of rapid intensification remains possible given current trends, although the various rapid intensification indices are not enthusiastic about the possibilities of this
...The NOAA Hurricane Hunters this season have started delivering significant real-time wave height data to the National Hurricane Center from a Ka-band Interferometric Altimeter (KaIA); the data is being posted here. On Thursday morning, a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft measured significant wave heights (the mean wave height of the highest third of the waves) of up to 30 feet inside Delta....Modest damage and no deaths in Mexico from Delta’s landfall...... bringing Delta ashore over western Louisiana late Friday afternoon or early Friday evening. The computer models are tightly clustered, giving confidence in this forecast. Delta’s landfall location is likely to be within 50 miles of where devastating category 4 Hurricane Laura made landfall on August 27....
BREAKING: #Delta has made landfall near Creole, LA, making history for two reasons:1️⃣ It's the first Greek-named storm to make landfall in the mainland US, and2️⃣ 2020 now has the most US landfalls EVER in a season (10), beating a century-old record set in 1916.
Mark Sudduth (@hurricanetrack) 10/9/20, 7:01 PM You can literally see the storm surge coming in from the Gulf of Mexico on our Creole, Louisiana camera. #HurricaneDelta
LAKE CHARLES, La. — As floodwaters from Hurricane Delta receded from this city, the largest in southwestern Louisiana to be severely hit by two hurricanes in six weeks, residents and city officials on Sunday were still surveying the damage of compounding crises — and wondering how much federal help they can count on.Power had returned in many neighborhoods and some traffic lights were working again. Some outlying areas were still underwater after a double dose of storm surge from Delta on Friday and Hurricane Laura in August, though water levels had lowered across the city.Statewide, almost half of all power outages stemming from Delta had been restored by Sunday afternoon, officials said, after peaking at nearly 690,000 — more than during Laura. But in a testament to the storms’ lasting devastation, more than 9,000 Louisianans remain in shelters, most of them people displaced by Hurricane Laura who still need temporary housing, authorities say.The Federal Emergency Management Agency had previously promised to deliver alternative housing for residents whose homes were destroyed in Laura by mid-October, Mayor Nic Hunter said in an interview Sunday, and the agency said that will still be the case after Delta.But how much financial assistance this besieged city of 78,000 residents will receive from the federal government is still uncertain, Hunter said. FEMA Administrator Peter T. Gaynor declined to provide assurances that the city will receive full reimbursement for municipal costs incurred during the hurricanes, Hunter said.The federal government has provided full reimbursement in extreme cases before, the mayor said, including after hurricanes Katrina and Rita in 2005 and Hurricane Michael, which made landfall in the Florida panhandle in 2018.“To have us go through what we are going through right now, and to be treated differently than Michael was in 2018, to me it’s going to be a slap in the face,” Hunter said....With an economy heavily reliant on tourism, Lake Charles was already struggling because of the coronavirus pandemic. Now the city and Louisiana have to recover from a punishing storm season, too. Laura and Delta are believed to have caused billions of dollars in damage across the state, including tens of millions in Lake Charles. ...
Another tropical storm is aimed at Louisiana.
Eric Holthaus (@EricHolthaus) 10/25/20, 10:45 AM We now have Tropical Storm Zeta.https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/1320375819827634176⬇️ 8am map below.Zeta is the 27th named storm of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season, 1 behind the record of 28 in 2005.It's also the 4th storm to threaten the Yucatan peninsula this year, and the 7th storm to threaten Louisiana.Hurricane Delta hit just two weeks ago:
Tropical storm Zeta is expected to hookup with winter storm Billy. The two storms will converge around Nashville and soak the entire area from the Tennessee Valley through the mid-Atlantic states.
The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season has been "extremely active" and with the formation of Tropical Storm Zeta, the season has now broken the record for earliest 27th named storm.Early Sunday morning, the cyclone went from a tropical depression to a tropical storm, earning it the name Zeta in accordance with the Greek alphabet. The last time a hurricane season produced 27 storms was in 2005, when a tropical storm formed on November 29, later turning into Hurricane Epsilon, the last of 15 hurricanes to occur during the season.The 2005 season also produced a Zeta storm on December 29, the 28th and final named storm of the season.
NWS is now predicting Zeta will be a stronger hurricane at landfall then ever previously predicted (100 mph winds - Category 2) (in 10 hours +/- a few)From NewsweekQuoteThe 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season has been "extremely active" and with the formation of Tropical Storm Zeta, the season has now broken the record for earliest 27th named storm.Early Sunday morning, the cyclone went from a tropical depression to a tropical storm, earning it the name Zeta in accordance with the Greek alphabet. The last time a hurricane season produced 27 storms was in 2005, when a tropical storm formed on November 29, later turning into Hurricane Epsilon, the last of 15 hurricanes to occur during the season.The 2005 season also produced a Zeta storm on December 29, the 28th and final named storm of the season.I find it interesting that accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), although above average this year, is no where near the top ten years. (We're currently at about 60% of the top 7 years' ACE average.) In other words, this year we have lots (and I mean lots!) of weak or short lived storms. For a technical approach, see this Wikipedia page.
BATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Hurricane Zeta continues to show signs of strengthening as it approaches the Southeast Louisiana coast.The official forecast from the National Hurricane Center calls for Zeta to become a Category 2 hurricane prior to landfall.As Zeta prepares for landfall, the hurricane is expected to weaken slightly or no longer strengthen. Therefore, a powerful hurricane is taking aim at Louisiana. Landfall is forecast to occur late this afternoon or early this evening along the Terrebonne/Lafourche Coasts.Zeta’s landfall will mark the record-breaking fifth named storm to make landfall in the state this year.Zeta will quickly move inland over metro New Orleans and the Northshore of Lake Pontchartrain through the evening. Storm surge and strong damaging winds are the main concerns associated with Zeta in these areas. Thankfully, Zeta will be moving through the area very quickly meaning the duration of significant rain, wind, and surge will be brief. ...
Three people have died following Hurricane Zeta's landfall in southeast Louisiana Wednesday.
884 mb / 170 kt (18:00 UTC). Typhoon Goni is something.